Today· Jul 5Slate in progressPaper bankroll$19,265.40· 17–12 Peak$20,465.40· 5–0 Settled· Jun 18Paper-only · educational

Overview NBA· live MLB· live NHL· pending IPL· pending Parlays· pending snapshots

Settled projections · Saturday, July 4

48.6%

142–150 on 292 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-07-04. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

142

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

150

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

48.6%

142–150 on 292

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBJunior CamineroOver 1.5 Total Bases+35.3pp edgeactual 5
MLBLogan GilbertOver 5.5 Strikeouts+35.1pp edgeactual 7
MLBBrandon WoodruffOver 4.5 Strikeouts+25.5pp edgeactual 6
MLBBraxton AshcraftOver 5.5 Strikeouts+24.6pp edgeactual 7
MLBGriffin CanningUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+22.1pp edgeactual 4

Biggest misses

MLBParker MessickOver 6.5 Strikeouts+14.6pp edgeactual 3
MLBMerrill KellyUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+12.1pp edgeactual 6
MLBSandy AlcantaraUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+7.4pp edgeactual 8
MLBChristian YelichUnder 1.5 Total Bases+5.8pp edgeactual 4
MLBShota ImanagaUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+5.3pp edgeactual 8

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

PIT @ WSH

14–1024 dec58.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Zack Littell	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.13	3	-2.6%	Low	Win
Braxton Ashcraft	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	7.63	7	+24.6%	Low	Win
Konnor Griffin	Hits	Over 1.5	1.23	1	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Under 1.5	0.98	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Under 1.5	1.01	2	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits	Over 1.5	1.18	2	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 1.5	1.22	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Over 1.5	1.21	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.43	1	+13.7%	High	Win
James Wood	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+1.8%	Low	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Curtis Mead	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	2	+6.5%	High	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	—	+6.0%	High	Void
Tyler Callihan	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	1	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	—	-3.4%	Low	Void
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	1	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Konnor Griffin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	1	+6.2%	High	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	2	+0.4%	Low	Win
Ryan O'Hearn	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	2	+10.7%	High	Win
James Wood	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.07	4	+13.5%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	2	+7.1%	High	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.95	1	+29.3%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Dylan Crews	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	1	+4.4%	Medium	Loss

MIN @ NYY

11–1627 dec40.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Zebby Matthews	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.23	5	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits	Under 1.5	0.75	0	+9.7%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Trent Grisham	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.83	0	+0.8%	Low	Win
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	+11.1%	High	Loss
Jasson Domínguez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	2	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	2	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	3	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	1	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	2	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	0	-1.0%	Low	Win
Tristan Gray	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	—	-3.0%	Low	Void
Alex Jackson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+13.9%	High	Win
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.60	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Trent Grisham	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	5	+10.3%	High	Win
Cody Bellinger	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.93	2	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+5.8%	High	Loss
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+8.4%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	1	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Jasson Domínguez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	6	+0.7%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	10	+6.3%	High	Win
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	5	+11.5%	High	Win

DET @ TEX

8–1422 dec36.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jack Flaherty	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.56	5	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Riley Greene	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Josh Jung	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Kerry Carpenter	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	—	-2.3%	Low	Void
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+9.7%	High	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
Colt Keith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	1	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	+5.3%	High	Win
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Alejandro Osuna	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Nicky Lopez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	+16.7%	High	Loss
Evan Carter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	1	+1.2%	Low	Win
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	—	+13.4%	High	Void
James Outman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Kerry Carpenter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	1	+6.6%	High	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.00	0	+13.3%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Riley Greene	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	5	+13.9%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Josh Jung	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	2	+13.4%	High	Win

TOR @ SEA

9–1221 dec42.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Logan Gilbert	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	7.42	7	+35.1%	Low	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	3	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	0	+0.8%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	2	+5.6%	High	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+11.9%	High	Loss
Victor Robles	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+11.6%	High	Win
Daulton Varsho	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+8.0%	High	Loss
Luke Raley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	0	+0.9%	Low	Win
Colt Emerson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	2	+0.7%	Low	Win
Myles Straw	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	—	+0.2%	Low	Void
Brandon Valenzuela	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	7	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.09	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	1	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	5	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Ernie Clement	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	0	+7.7%	High	Loss

BAL @ CIN

14–1024 dec58.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Brandon Young	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.72	5	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Under 1.5	0.99	2	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.97	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	3	-1.9%	Low	Win
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Samuel Basallo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	1	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	2	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Blaze Alexander	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	-1.7%	Low	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	1	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+0.9%	Low	Win
Noelvi Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	—	+2.2%	Low	Void
Edwin Arroyo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	—	-1.7%	Low	Void
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	—	+3.9%	Medium	Void
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	—	-1.1%	Low	Void
TJ Friedl	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	1	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	0	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	1	-1.4%	Low	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	2	-1.1%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	1	+0.0%	Low	Loss
JJ Bleday	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.11	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	4	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.09	2	+15.6%	High	Win
Nathaniel Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.12	0	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	4	+8.2%	High	Win
Adley Rutschman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.23	4	+1.7%	Low	Win
Taylor Ward	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Blaze Alexander	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	1	+6.5%	High	Loss

CWS @ CLE

10–1424 dec41.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Sean Burke	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.55	11	+14.7%	High	Win
Parker Messick	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.21	3	+14.6%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+6.5%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	0	-0.7%	Low	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	2	-1.5%	Low	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	2	-1.7%	Low	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Randal Grichuk	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Kahlil Watson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+10.9%	High	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Cooper Ingle	Hits	Under 0.5	0.20	0	+17.5%	High	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+16.0%	High	Loss
Kyle Manzardo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Gabriel Arias	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	0	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Drew Romo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.26	1	+10.9%	High	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	—	+1.9%	Low	Void
Junior Perez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.50	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.36	0	+19.3%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+9.2%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	6	+6.5%	High	Win
Travis Bazzana	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.18	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	2	+5.9%	High	Win
Chase Meidroth	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+8.5%	High	Loss

TB @ HOU

17–219 dec89.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Drew Rasmussen	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.76	2	+1.0%	Low	Win
Hunter Brown	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.63	3	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	—	+7.6%	High	Void
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 0.5	1.30	2	+12.3%	High	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	3	+2.0%	Low	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	1	+13.9%	High	Win
Jose Altuve	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	2	-0.6%	Low	Win
Christian Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
Yainer Diaz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+10.5%	High	Win
Cam Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+7.7%	High	Win
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	0	+1.7%	Low	Win
Richie Palacios	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	2	+1.6%	Low	Win
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+9.5%	High	Win
Taylor Trammell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Nick Allen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.54	1	+1.6%	Low	Win
Hunter Feduccia	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	9	+11.1%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	3.31	5	+35.3%	Low	Win
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	—	+8.8%	High	Void

NYM @ ATL

12–1325 dec48.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Chris Sale	Strikeouts	Over 7.5	7.49	3	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Sean Manaea	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.98	4	+9.2%	High	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Under 1.5	0.64	0	+13.3%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Under 1.5	0.87	1	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 1.5	1.01	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Under 0.5	0.99	3	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Juan Soto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	-0.3%	Low	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	2	-0.1%	Low	Win
Austin Riley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+8.9%	High	Win
Mark Vientos	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	2	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Eli White	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	2	+6.6%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Eric Wagaman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.37	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Joey Bart	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+7.6%	High	Win
Jorge Mateo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.42	1	-0.0%	Low	Loss
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.53	1	-0.5%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.02	0	+2.4%	Low	Win
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	6	+5.7%	High	Win
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	1	+15.4%	High	Loss
Juan Soto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+9.9%	High	Loss

STL @ CHC

12–1123 dec52.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kyle Leahy	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.63	6	+9.5%	High	Win
Shota Imanaga	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.45	8	+5.3%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+1.5%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.83	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	0	+0.3%	Low	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	3	+2.1%	Low	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+13.9%	High	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+13.8%	High	Loss
Blaze Jordan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	—	+1.1%	Low	Void
Miguel Amaya	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Michael Conforto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	2	+1.3%	Low	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	1	+11.3%	High	Loss
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	2	+9.9%	High	Win
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	2	+5.4%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+18.2%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.24	7	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	1	+9.0%	High	Loss

SF @ COL

1–01 dec100.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Robbie Ray	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.10	4	+4.2%	Medium	Win

PHI @ KC

8–2028 dec28.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Michael Wacha	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.97	7	+6.4%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Over 1.5	1.29	1	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.12	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 1.5	1.33	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits	Under 1.5	0.71	2	+11.3%	High	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	-0.6%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	3	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	1	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Starling Marte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	-1.3%	Low	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	2	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Michael Massey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Kameron Misner	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.16	1	+12.0%	High	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	3	-0.4%	Low	Win
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.57	0	+20.3%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.10	1	+11.8%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.21	6	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.14	4	-3.3%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+18.0%	High	Loss

BOS @ LAA

11–1021 dec52.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Sonny Gray	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	6.65	7	+1.1%	Low	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Under 1.5	1.04	0	-2.5%	Low	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	1	+7.9%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Nate Eaton	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	—	+14.4%	High	Void
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+8.3%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Jorge Soler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Anthony Seigler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+16.8%	High	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+8.7%	High	Win
Josh Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+10.6%	High	Win
Oswald Peraza	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	—	+4.7%	Medium	Void
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	1	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.52	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	4	+9.3%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	2	+8.4%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	2	+7.2%	High	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Zach Neto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+13.6%	High	Loss

MIL @ AZ

14–1529 dec48.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 1.5	1.17	1	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits	Under 1.5	0.68	1	+10.0%	High	Win
William Contreras	Hits	Over 1.5	1.07	2	-2.5%	Low	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits	Under 1.5	0.94	0	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Brice Turang	Hits	Under 1.5	1.06	3	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	0	-2.0%	Low	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Cooper Pratt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	1	+10.6%	High	Loss
Max Kepler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	0	+8.8%	High	Win
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	—	+0.0%	Low	Void
Tommy Troy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Pavin Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	—	-1.4%	Low	Void
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.05	4	+5.6%	High	Win
Christian Yelich	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.99	4	+5.8%	High	Loss
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	5	+5.0%	High	Win
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.53	0	+23.3%	Low	Loss
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+5.1%	High	Win
Sal Frelick	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.28	0	-2.9%	Low	Win
Jake Bauers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	0	+11.8%	High	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	1	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.92	3	+17.0%	High	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	0	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Woodruff	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.61	6	+25.5%	Low	Win
Merrill Kelly	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.16	6	+12.1%	High	Loss

MIA @ ATH

0–22 dec0.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Sandy Alcantara	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.48	8	+7.4%	High	Loss
Aaron Civale	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.19	6	+9.1%	High	Loss

SD @ LAD

1–12 dec50.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.82	10	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Griffin Canning	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.17	4	+22.1%	Low	Win

← 2026-07-03 all settled dates