NFL · Player research
Luther Burden III
Current roster: Chicago Bears · 2 recorded seasons (2025 to 2026)
Current GameTime forecast · model output, not history
Published pregame ranges
CHI @ SEA · Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET · Model status: published families only
- Receiving yards
- 51 (range 12–111)
- Receptions
- 4.0 (range 1–9)
- Anytime touchdown
- 26.8% chance to score, if he plays
Forecast record · what we said, and what happened
Our forecasts for Luther Burden III
21 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 24.9% chance | Happened |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Receptions | 4 (range 1–9) | Actual 4 · missed by 0 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Receiving yards | 44.6 (range 11.2–99.5) | Actual 130 · missed by 85.4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Receiving yards | 42.2 (range 9.3–94.2) | Actual 95 · missed by 52.8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 26.0% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Receptions | 4 (range 1–9) | Actual 8 · missed by 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 27.3% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Receptions | 4 (range 1–9) | Actual 4 · missed by 0 |
Show 13 older forecasts
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Receiving yards | 44.6 (range 11.4–98.8) | Actual 47 · missed by 2.4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Receptions | 4 (range 1–8) | Actual 4 · missed by 0 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 31.2% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Receiving yards | 41.9 (range 9.2–93.7) | Actual 63 · missed by 21.1 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 24.1% chance | Happened |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Receiving yards | 42.9 (range 13.9–94.3) | Actual 61 · missed by 18.1 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Receptions | 4 (range 1–8) | Actual 7 · missed by 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Receiving yards | 41.8 (range 13.2–92.8) | Actual 32 · missed by 9.8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Receptions | 4 (range 1–8) | Actual 3 · missed by 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 25.6% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 8.0% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Receiving yards | 26 (range 0–70) | Actual 63 · missed by 37 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Receptions | 2 (range 1–5) | Actual 5 · missed by 3 |
How each forecast type has done overall: Anytime touchdown · Receptions · Receiving yards
2026 recorded snapshot
Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.
Recent form and game log
Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.
Last 3 / 5 / 10 recorded games
| Stat | Last 3 · avg (n) | Last 5 · avg (n) | Last 10 · avg (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6 (n=3) | 7 (n=5) | 6.5 (n=10) |
| Receptions | 5.3 (n=3) | 5.4 (n=5) | 4.4 (n=10) |
| Receiving yards | 90.7 (n=3) | 79.2 (n=5) | 59.2 (n=10) |
| Receiving TDs | 0.3 (n=3) | 0.4 (n=5) | 0.2 (n=10) |
Recorded 130, 95, 47 receiving yards in the last 3 available games.
Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.
Receiving yards, game by game
Game log
7 recorded games · 47 targets · 35 receptions · 491 receiving yards| Date | Team | Opponent | Team result | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | Game page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | CHI | vs NE | W 30–24 | 4 | 4 | 130 | 1 | Game → |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CHI | @ ATL | W 31–23 | 8 | 8 | 95 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CHI | @ GB | L 7–31 | 6 | 4 | 47 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CHI | vs NYJ | W 23–12 | 6 | 4 | 63 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 28, 2026 | CHI | vs PHI | W 27–7 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 1 | Game → |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CHI | vs MIN | L 3–9 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CHI | @ CAR | W 59–37 | 5 | 5 | 63 | 0 | Game → |
