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GameTime Picks
Today · Oct 5 · 3 eventsGames under waySettled· Oct 4

NFL · Receiving yards

781 forecasts published · 657 measured · 0 not final · 124 void or not measurable. Models: not recorded by this forecast's record.

23.4average miss (n 657)
16.4median miss
33.0root-mean-square miss
-9.0bias (+ = we projected high)
77.8%inside our 80% range (n 657) — about 80% is the target, higher is not better
131–148–1pick record: the side of the sportsbook line our projection pointed to

Latest forecasts

The 60 most recent of 781. Download all 781 as CSV.

GameForecast forWhat we saidMarketWhat happenedScored
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
Sam LaPorta · DET33.9 (range 5.4–80.2)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 49.5Actual 84missed by 50.1 · outside range
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
Darren Waller · CAR20.8 (range 0–60.7)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 37.5Actual 36missed by 15.2 · inside range
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
Tommy Tremble · CAR14.0 (range 0–47.9)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 13.5Actual 12missed by 2.0 · inside range
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
Tetairoa McMillan · CAR43.6 (range 8.8–100.0)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 73.5Actual 192missed by 148.4 · outside range
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
Amon-Ra St. Brown · DET60.2 (range 20.4–116.9)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 78.5Actual 75missed by 14.8 · inside range
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
Jameson Williams · DET31.4 (range 3.0–81.1)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 52.5Actual 102missed by 70.6 · outside range
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
Mitchell Evans · CAR6.8 (range 0–37.1)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 7.5Actual 8missed by 1.1 · inside range
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
Isaac TeSlaa · DET12.9 (range 0–48.6)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 17.5Actual 95missed by 82.1 · outside range
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
Jahmyr Gibbs · DET37.5 (range 8.9–83.6)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 38.5Actual 31missed by 6.5 · inside range
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
John Metchie III · CAR5.4 (range 0–34.5)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 17.5Actual 37missed by 31.6 · outside range
2026-10-05
DET @ CAR
Chuba Hubbard · CAR12.2 (range 0–44.3)
published 2026-10-04 23:51Z
line 18.5Actual 7missed by 5.2 · inside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Ricky Pearsall · SF18.3 (range 0–58.9)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
—Not measurable — no official line—
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Courtland Sutton · DEN26.6 (range 2.0–68.5)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 39.5Actual 4missed by 22.6 · inside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Mike Evans · SF27.8 (range 2.1–70.2)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 43.5Actual 76missed by 48.2 · outside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Tyquan Thornton · KC12.7 (range 0–52.4)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 21.5Actual 111missed by 98.3 · outside range
2026-10-04
LAC @ SEA
Tory Horton · SEA11.1 (range 0–46.0)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 7.5Actual 6missed by 5.0 · inside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Adam Trautman · DEN7.0 (range 0–36.4)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 4.5Actual 0missed by 7.0 · inside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Tre Tucker · LV32.1 (range 3.0–84.0)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 37.5Actual 44missed by 11.9 · inside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Ashton Jeanty · LV25.0 (range 3.2–63.5)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 20.5Actual 68missed by 43.0 · outside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
George Kittle · SF35.2 (range 5.8–86.6)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 63.5Actual 70missed by 34.8 · inside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Jalen Nailor · LV14.4 (range 0–48.6)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 20.5Not measurable — no official line—
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Brock Bowers · LV57.4 (range 18.7–115.2)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 69.5Actual 86missed by 28.6 · inside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Kenneth Walker III · KC26.7 (range 3.2–65.7)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 22.5Actual 2missed by 24.7 · outside range
2026-10-04
LAC @ SEA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · SEA86.9 (range 34.5–164.9)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 95.5Actual 76missed by 10.9 · inside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Marvin Mims Jr. · DEN6.5 (range 0–36.4)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
—Actual 10missed by 3.5 · inside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Michael Mayer · LV22.6 (range 0.9–62.0)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 24.5Actual 82missed by 59.4 · outside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Cody White · LV5.6 (range 0–34.6)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 10.5Actual 36missed by 30.4 · outside range
2026-10-04
LAC @ SEA
Quentin Johnston · LAC27.7 (range 2.2–70.7)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 36.5Actual 44missed by 16.3 · inside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Evan Engram · DEN11.3 (range 0–44.2)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 16.5Actual 6missed by 5.3 · inside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Rashee Rice · KC52.0 (range 14.3–109.2)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 57.5Not measurable — no official line—
2026-10-04
LAC @ SEA
Ladd McConkey · LAC33.8 (range 4.7–85.6)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 47.5Actual 0missed by 33.8 · outside range
2026-10-04
LAC @ SEA
Rashid Shaheed · SEA17.6 (range 0–54.0)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 22.5Actual 20missed by 2.4 · inside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Kyle Juszczyk · SF6.6 (range 0–37.5)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 8.5Actual 28missed by 21.4 · inside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Deebo Samuel Sr. · SF14.1 (range 0–46.9)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 32.5Actual 26missed by 11.9 · inside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Christian McCaffrey · SF27.9 (range 4.2–70.6)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 44.5Actual 18missed by 9.9 · inside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Jake Tonges · SF14.2 (range 0–48.7)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
—Not measurable — no official line—
2026-10-04
LAC @ SEA
Cooper Kupp · SEA21.0 (range 0–63.0)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 23.5Actual 13missed by 8.0 · inside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Xavier Worthy · KC24.9 (range 2.0–64.7)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 34.5Actual 70missed by 45.1 · outside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
RJ Harvey · DEN24.7 (range 2.8–63.1)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 22.5Actual 68missed by 43.3 · outside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Brandon Aiyuk · SF9.9 (range 0–41.0)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
—Not measurable — no official line—
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Troy Franklin · DEN6.5 (range 0–37.8)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 5.5Not measurable — no official line—
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Jaylen Waddle · DEN33.5 (range 5.0–84.3)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 58.5Actual 35missed by 1.4 · inside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Noah Gray · KC9.6 (range 0–42.2)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 9.5Actual 17missed by 7.4 · inside range
2026-10-04
KC @ LV
Travis Kelce · KC39.1 (range 6.9–93.3)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 49.5Actual 15missed by 24.1 · inside range
2026-10-04
LAC @ SEA
Oronde Gadsden · LAC12.4 (range 0–48.1)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 29.5Actual 36missed by 23.6 · inside range
2026-10-04
LAC @ SEA
Tre' Harris · LAC28.4 (range 1.7–72.5)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 35.5Actual 60missed by 31.6 · inside range
2026-10-04
DEN @ SF
Pat Bryant · DEN13.8 (range 0–49.9)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 22.5Actual 47missed by 33.2 · inside range
2026-10-04
LAC @ SEA
AJ Barner · SEA16.8 (range 0–53.3)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 31.5Actual 12missed by 4.8 · inside range
2026-10-04
MIA @ MIN
Malik Washington · MIA41.3 (range 8.9–90.9)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 40.5Actual 67missed by 25.7 · inside range
2026-10-04
MIA @ MIN
Chris Bell · MIA20.3 (range 0–61.5)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 33.5Actual 0missed by 20.3 · inside range
2026-10-04
MIA @ MIN
Greg Dulcich · MIA26.3 (range 2.1–70.3)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 30.5Not measurable — no official line—
2026-10-04
MIA @ MIN
DJ Herman · MIA15.4 (range 0–50.9)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
—Not measurable — no official line—
2026-10-04
MIA @ MIN
Aaron Jones Sr. · MIN16.6 (range 0–50.0)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 19.5Actual 34missed by 17.4 · inside range
2026-10-04
MIA @ MIN
Kevin Coleman Jr. · MIA9.6 (range 0–41.0)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 15.5Actual 3missed by 6.6 · inside range
2026-10-04
MIA @ MIN
Jordan Addison · MIN39.4 (range 6.7–91.6)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 62.5Actual 52missed by 12.6 · inside range
2026-10-04
MIA @ MIN
Ryan Miller · MIA7.5 (range 0–43.2)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 3.5Not measurable — no official line—
2026-10-04
MIA @ MIN
T.J. Hockenson · MIN31.4 (range 5.4–75.4)
published 2026-10-04 19:24Z
line 38.5Actual 119missed by 87.6 · outside range
2026-10-04
NYJ @ CHI
Isaiah Williams · NYJ13.1 (range 0–45.4)
published 2026-10-04 15:02Z
line 22.5Actual 73missed by 59.9 · outside range
2026-10-04
ARI @ NYG
James Conner · ARI7.7 (range 0–37.6)
published 2026-10-04 15:02Z
—Not measurable — no official line—
2026-10-04
NE @ BUF
Joshua Palmer · BUF12.8 (range 0–51.0)
published 2026-10-04 15:02Z
—Actual 3missed by 9.8 · inside range

Market numbers are the sportsbook’s, shown for context. They are not part of any score on this page.