Thursday, September 3
Game by game
Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.
MLB · 14–7 game calls
Full MLB record →Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →
CWS @ HOU
Final · CWS 2 – 6 HOUOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 26–14 →Call Pick Outcome Winner CWS (away) Loss Total runs UNDER 8.5 Win Run line (simulated ±1.5) HOU +1.5 Win BOS @ BAL
Final · BOS 6 – 5 BALOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 21–15 · 7 void →Call Pick Outcome Winner BOS (away) Win Total runs UNDER 8.5 Loss Run line (simulated ±1.5) BAL +1.5 Win MIL @ CHC
Final · MIL 1 – 2 CHCOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 13–26 · 4 void →Call Pick Outcome Winner CHC (home) Win Total runs OVER 8.5 Loss Run line (simulated ±1.5) MIL +1.5 Win MIA @ KC
Final · MIA 3 – 7 KCOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 30–14 · 2 void →Call Pick Outcome Winner KC (home) Win Total runs UNDER 9 Loss Run line (simulated ±1.5) MIA +1.5 Loss TB @ TEX
Final · TB 0 – 6 TEXOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 15–18 · 7 void →Call Pick Outcome Winner TEX (home) Win Total runs UNDER 8 Win Run line (simulated ±1.5) TB +1.5 Loss ATH @ SEA
Final · ATH 7 – 4 SEAOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 25–8 · 2 void →Call Pick Outcome Winner ATH (away) Win Total runs OVER 7.5 Win Run line (simulated ±1.5) SEA +1.5 Loss STL @ LAD
Final · STL 2 – 3 LADOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 12–14 · 3 void →Call Pick Outcome Winner LAD (home) Win Total runs UNDER 8 Win Run line (simulated ±1.5) STL +1.5 Win TOR v CLE
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 20–18 →
Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff
Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.
No qualifying board was frozen for Thursday, September 3.
- MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
- Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
- UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.
Product cards settled this day
Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.
Bank Builder · lane A
Pending — not settled yetNo legs on this lane's receipt.
Bank Builder · lane B
Pending — not settled yetNo legs on this lane's receipt.
Moonshot · lane A
Pending — not settled yetNo legs on this lane's receipt.
Moonshot · lane B
Pending — not settled yetNo legs on this lane's receipt.
Suggested Parlays published this day
The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.
Medium Risk · +271
WonLeg Price Grade Michael Stefanic · ATH · Hits Over 0.5 -116 Won Thomas Saggese · STL · Hits Over 0.5 -101 Won Longshot · +2913
LostLeg Price Grade William Contreras · MIL · Total Bases Over 1.5 +138 Lost Pete Crow-Armstrong · CHC · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 -114 Won Ian Happ · CHC · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 +128 Lost Lawrence Butler · ATH · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5 -170 Won Brett Bateman · TOR · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 -116 Won Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
High Risk
No card was published — every card in this tier reused a leg already on the ladder, or ran past the five-leg cap.
Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks
Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.
Biggest hits
- MLBLuis CastilloUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+25.0pp edgeactual 3
- MLBThomas SaggeseOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+24.5pp edgeactual 1
- MLBPete Crow-ArmstrongOver 1.5 Total Bases+22.1pp edgeactual 4
- MLBEzequiel DuranOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.4pp edgeactual 3
- MLBNathan ChurchOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.2pp edgeactual 1
Biggest misses
- MLBSeiya SuzukiOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+23.3pp edgeactual 0
- MLBJackson ChourioOver 1.5 Total Bases+18.3pp edgeactual 0
- MLBWilliam ContrerasOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.1pp edgeactual 0
- MLBJackson ChourioOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+14.1pp edgeactual 0
- MLBJack PerkinsUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+12.9pp edgeactual 7
MLB settled games · projection vs actual
TOR @ CLE20–1838 dec52.6%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.99 | 0 | -1.8% | Low | Win |
| Steven Kwan | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.23 | 2 | +6.6% | High | Win |
| Ernie Clement | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.77 | 1 | +3.2% | Medium | Loss |
| Brett Bateman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.34 | 3 | +10.6% | High | Win |
| Chase DeLauter | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.20 | 1 | +4.3% | Medium | Win |
| Nathan Lukes | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 2 | -0.6% | Low | Win |
| Angel Genao | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 1 | +3.0% | Medium | Loss |
| Jo Adell | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | 1 | +5.4% | High | Win |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.70 | 1 | -1.9% | Low | Loss |
| Brayan Rocchio | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.7% | Low | Loss |
| Josh Smith | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.72 | 0 | -0.1% | Low | Loss |
| Travis Bazzana | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.88 | 0 | +5.5% | High | Loss |
| Sean Keys | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.52 | 1 | +1.9% | Low | Loss |
| Austin Hedges | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.62 | 1 | +2.3% | Low | Win |
| Brandon Valenzuela | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.54 | 0 | -0.7% | Low | Loss |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.96 | 2 | +2.3% | Low | Win |
| Chase DeLauter | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.14 | 1 | +6.6% | High | Loss |
| Steven Kwan | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.16 | 2 | +11.0% | High | Win |
| Brett Bateman | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.42 | 4 | +19.6% | High | Win |
| Nathan Lukes | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.99 | 5 | +9.2% | High | Win |
| Ernie Clement | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 1.5 | 1.18 | 3 | +1.6% | Low | Loss |
| Jo Adell | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.17 | 3 | +10.8% | High | Win |
| Angel Genao | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 1.5 | 1.26 | 3 | -1.8% | Low | Loss |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.52 | 1 | +2.1% | Low | Loss |
| Sean Keys | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.24 | 2 | -1.2% | Low | Win |
| Brayan Rocchio | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.53 | 0 | +6.1% | High | Loss |
| Travis Bazzana | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.84 | 0 | +12.2% | High | Loss |
| Josh Smith | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.57 | 1 | +8.0% | High | Loss |
| Brandon Valenzuela | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | 1 | +0.4% | Low | Win |
| Austin Hedges | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.15 | 3 | +6.4% | High | Win |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.48 | 0 | +1.9% | Low | Loss |
| Chase DeLauter | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.85 | 2 | +14.6% | High | Win |
| Nathan Lukes | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.59 | 4 | +10.6% | High | Win |
| Brett Bateman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.69 | 3 | +14.0% | High | Win |
| Ernie Clement | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.04 | 1 | -2.9% | Low | Loss |
| Steven Kwan | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.44 | 2 | +8.7% | High | Win |
| Tanner Bibee | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 4.62 | 4 | +8.2% | High | Loss |
| Tanner Bibee | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 4.62 | 4 | +6.2% | High | Win |
CWS @ HOU26–1440 dec65.0%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | Hits | Under 1.5 | 1.07 | 0 | -1.3% | Low | Win |
| Jose Altuve | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.87 | 1 | -2.1% | Low | Loss |
| Isaac Paredes | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.82 | 1 | -2.5% | Low | Loss |
| Daulton Varsho | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.87 | 1 | -0.2% | Low | Win |
| Yainer Diaz | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 1 | +3.5% | Medium | Win |
| Miguel Vargas | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | 2 | +7.4% | High | Win |
| Sam Antonacci | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 1 | -0.1% | Low | Win |
| Christian Walker | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.67 | 2 | -1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Braden Montgomery | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.71 | 1 | -2.5% | Low | Win |
| Andrew Benintendi | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.83 | 0 | +4.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Chase Meidroth | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 2 | +13.6% | High | Win |
| Taylor Trammell | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.48 | 1 | +1.9% | Low | Loss |
| Munetaka Murakami | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.58 | 0 | -3.3% | Low | Win |
| Tristan Peters | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.06 | 0 | +17.3% | High | Loss |
| Colson Montgomery | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.75 | 0 | +6.2% | High | Loss |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.40 | 1 | -1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Jake Rogers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.53 | 1 | +2.1% | Low | Win |
| Yordan Alvarez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 2.5 | 2.24 | 1 | -2.2% | Low | Win |
| Daulton Varsho | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 4 | +1.9% | Low | Win |
| Jose Altuve | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 4 | +3.8% | Medium | Win |
| Isaac Paredes | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | 4 | +6.8% | High | Win |
| Miguel Vargas | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.03 | 2 | +8.6% | High | Win |
| Sam Antonacci | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.77 | 2 | +6.2% | High | Win |
| Yainer Diaz | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 1 | +9.1% | High | Loss |
| Christian Walker | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.49 | 3 | +2.0% | Low | Win |
| Munetaka Murakami | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.46 | 0 | +2.6% | Medium | Loss |
| Braden Montgomery | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 1 | +10.4% | High | Loss |
| Andrew Benintendi | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 0 | +13.2% | High | Loss |
| Taylor Trammell | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 1.5 | 0.78 | 1 | +5.6% | High | Win |
| Chase Meidroth | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.83 | 2 | +15.3% | High | Win |
| Colson Montgomery | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.90 | 1 | +13.1% | High | Win |
| Tristan Peters | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 2.22 | 1 | +18.3% | High | Win |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.02 | 2 | +2.4% | Low | Win |
| Jake Rogers | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.29 | 2 | +13.1% | High | Win |
| Yordan Alvarez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 0 | -0.9% | Low | Loss |
| Daulton Varsho | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.45 | 3 | +6.4% | High | Win |
| Isaac Paredes | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.41 | 2 | +5.8% | High | Win |
| Jose Altuve | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.40 | 4 | +8.4% | High | Win |
| Hunter Brown | Strikeouts | Under 6.5 | 6.06 | 7 | +5.3% | High | Loss |
| Luis Castillo | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 2.82 | 3 | +25.0% | Low | Win |
BOS @ BAL21–1536 dec7 void58.3%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bennett | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 5.56 | 7 | +12.4% | High | Win |
| Brandon Young | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 3.85 | 7 | +4.7% | Medium | Loss |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | — | -2.3% | Low | Void |
| Roman Anthony | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.25 | 1 | +6.8% | High | Win |
| Pete Alonso | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 1 | -3.2% | Low | Win |
| Wilyer Abreu | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.10 | 0 | +4.2% | Medium | Loss |
| Caleb Durbin | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.73 | 0 | +2.5% | Low | Win |
| Blaze Alexander | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.03 | 1 | +1.5% | Low | Win |
| Gunnar Henderson | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.84 | 1 | -2.5% | Low | Loss |
| Mickey Gasper | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 0 | +5.3% | High | Loss |
| Trevor Story | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.06 | — | +8.6% | High | Void |
| Nick Sogard | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 1 | +2.0% | Low | Win |
| Jarren Duran | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.3% | Low | Win |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.83 | 1 | -0.2% | Low | Win |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 2 | +2.8% | Medium | Win |
| Leody Taveras | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.61 | 0 | +1.4% | Low | Win |
| Coby Mayo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 1 | +4.4% | Medium | Win |
| Jackson Holliday | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.03 | 0 | +9.9% | High | Loss |
| Connor Wong | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | — | +3.0% | Medium | Void |
| Roman Anthony | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.87 | 3 | -0.5% | Low | Win |
| Wilyer Abreu | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 0 | +1.9% | Low | Loss |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.68 | — | -3.0% | Low | Void |
| Pete Alonso | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.19 | 4 | +8.2% | High | Win |
| Mickey Gasper | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.06 | 0 | +11.1% | High | Loss |
| Caleb Durbin | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 1.5 | 1.32 | 0 | -2.2% | Low | Win |
| Blaze Alexander | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 2 | +7.7% | High | Win |
| Trevor Story | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | — | +10.0% | High | Void |
| Jarren Duran | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.63 | 0 | +2.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Gunnar Henderson | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.89 | 2 | +8.0% | High | Win |
| Nick Sogard | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 4 | +6.2% | High | Win |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.07 | 5 | +10.1% | High | Win |
| Coby Mayo | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 1 | +15.2% | High | Loss |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.86 | 3 | +10.2% | High | Win |
| Leody Taveras | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 0 | +10.4% | High | Loss |
| Jackson Holliday | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.81 | 0 | +13.1% | High | Loss |
| Connor Wong | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.50 | — | +10.9% | High | Void |
| Wilyer Abreu | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.00 | 0 | +10.4% | High | Loss |
| Roman Anthony | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | 4 | +13.6% | High | Win |
| Pete Alonso | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.68 | 4 | +6.7% | High | Win |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.29 | — | -0.9% | Low | Void |
| Gunnar Henderson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.65 | 1 | +12.8% | High | Loss |
| Blaze Alexander | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.36 | 1 | +6.6% | High | Loss |
| Caleb Durbin | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 0.96 | 0 | -2.7% | Low | Loss |
MIL @ CHC13–2639 dec4 void33.3%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.40 | 0 | +10.7% | High | Loss |
| William Contreras | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.33 | 0 | +10.0% | High | Loss |
| Nico Hoerner | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 0 | +1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Brice Turang | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.80 | 0 | -2.9% | Low | Win |
| Seiya Suzuki | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.22 | 0 | +11.7% | High | Loss |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.19 | 1 | +9.3% | High | Win |
| Alex Bregman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.12 | 1 | +8.8% | High | Win |
| Jake Bauers | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.75 | 0 | -2.4% | Low | Win |
| Sal Frelick | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.72 | — | -1.9% | Low | Void |
| Christian Yelich | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.06 | 1 | +7.7% | High | Win |
| Cooper Pratt | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.88 | — | +4.6% | Medium | Void |
| Michael Busch | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.75 | 0 | -0.3% | Low | Loss |
| Garrett Mitchell | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 1 | +5.3% | High | Win |
| David Hamilton | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.91 | 1 | +9.8% | High | Win |
| Ian Happ | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 0 | +9.3% | High | Loss |
| Carson Kelly | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 1 | +13.2% | High | Win |
| Matt Shaw | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.57 | 0 | -2.5% | Low | Loss |
| Michael Conforto | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.62 | 0 | +4.4% | Medium | Loss |
| Jackson Chourio | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.92 | 0 | +14.1% | High | Loss |
| Jake Bauers | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.72 | 0 | +0.1% | Low | Loss |
| William Contreras | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.68 | 0 | +16.1% | High | Loss |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.98 | 4 | +19.3% | High | Win |
| Brice Turang | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 0 | +5.7% | High | Loss |
| Seiya Suzuki | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.90 | 0 | +23.3% | Low | Loss |
| Christian Yelich | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.17 | 1 | +12.8% | High | Loss |
| Alex Bregman | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.91 | 1 | +23.1% | Low | Loss |
| Nico Hoerner | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.75 | 0 | +7.2% | High | Loss |
| Sal Frelick | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.56 | — | +3.9% | Medium | Void |
| Michael Busch | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.72 | 0 | +7.9% | High | Loss |
| Cooper Pratt | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.01 | — | +14.9% | High | Void |
| Garrett Mitchell | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 1 | +11.0% | High | Loss |
| Ian Happ | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.18 | 0 | +19.2% | High | Loss |
| David Hamilton | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.84 | 1 | +14.8% | High | Loss |
| Carson Kelly | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 2.31 | 2 | +16.6% | High | Win |
| Matt Shaw | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.42 | 0 | +7.2% | High | Loss |
| Michael Conforto | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.52 | 0 | +12.1% | High | Loss |
| Jackson Chourio | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.51 | 0 | +18.3% | High | Loss |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.69 | 4 | +22.1% | Low | Win |
| Jake Bauers | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.27 | 0 | +1.3% | Low | Loss |
| Seiya Suzuki | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.13 | 0 | +20.6% | Low | Loss |
| William Contreras | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.03 | 0 | +19.9% | High | Loss |
| Logan Henderson | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 5.88 | 7 | +4.6% | Medium | Win |
| Kevin Gausman | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 5.81 | 9 | +3.0% | Medium | Win |
MIA @ KC30–1444 dec2 void68.2%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Hits | Under 1.5 | 1.01 | 0 | +1.4% | Low | Win |
| Jac Caglianone | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.16 | 2 | +2.5% | Low | Win |
| Otto Lopez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.16 | 0 | +4.0% | Medium | Loss |
| Kyle Stowers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | 1 | -1.7% | Low | Win |
| Javier Sanoja | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.17 | 1 | +5.4% | High | Win |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 1 | -2.7% | Low | Win |
| Salvador Perez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 1 | +0.9% | Low | Win |
| Carter Jensen | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 3 | +0.1% | Low | Win |
| Jakob Marsee | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.75 | 1 | -1.9% | Low | Loss |
| Nick Loftin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.92 | 1 | +1.9% | Low | Win |
| Griffin Conine | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.62 | 0 | +2.7% | Medium | Win |
| Michael Massey | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.24 | 1 | +15.3% | High | Win |
| Isaac Collins | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.82 | 0 | +2.7% | Medium | Loss |
| Kyle Isbel | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.75 | 2 | +1.3% | Low | Win |
| Owen Caissie | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.56 | — | +0.0% | Low | Void |
| Joe Mack | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.65 | 1 | -1.8% | Low | Win |
| Graham Pauley | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.67 | 0 | +4.2% | Medium | Loss |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 2.5 | 1.99 | 0 | -0.9% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Stowers | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.23 | 1 | +4.3% | Medium | Loss |
| Jac Caglianone | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.38 | 5 | +6.8% | High | Win |
| Carter Jensen | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.04 | 9 | +5.7% | High | Win |
| Otto Lopez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.29 | 0 | +10.6% | High | Loss |
| Salvador Perez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | 2 | +6.6% | High | Win |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.74 | 2 | +2.4% | Low | Win |
| Javier Sanoja | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.91 | 1 | +5.5% | High | Loss |
| Jakob Marsee | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.64 | 2 | +1.4% | Low | Win |
| Griffin Conine | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 1.5 | 1.32 | 0 | -1.4% | Low | Win |
| Nick Loftin | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 1 | +8.9% | High | Loss |
| Michael Massey | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.27 | 1 | +18.5% | High | Loss |
| Isaac Collins | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.45 | 0 | +2.2% | Low | Loss |
| Owen Caissie | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.22 | — | -2.4% | Low | Void |
| Kyle Isbel | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | 4 | +8.7% | High | Win |
| Joe Mack | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.28 | 2 | +0.7% | Low | Win |
| Graham Pauley | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.52 | 0 | +13.7% | High | Loss |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.43 | 0 | -2.5% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Stowers | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 2 | +5.8% | High | Win |
| Jac Caglianone | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.90 | 3 | +7.2% | High | Win |
| Carter Jensen | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.90 | 9 | +11.9% | High | Win |
| Otto Lopez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.74 | 0 | +9.2% | High | Loss |
| Griffin Conine | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.95 | 0 | -0.9% | Low | Win |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.49 | 2 | +5.1% | High | Win |
| Jakob Marsee | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.36 | 2 | +3.1% | Medium | Win |
| Salvador Perez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | 2 | +11.3% | High | Win |
| Javier Sanoja | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.65 | 1 | +11.4% | High | Loss |
| Michael Wacha | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 5.75 | 7 | +11.4% | High | Win |
| Sandy Alcantara | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 4.01 | 2 | +1.0% | Low | Loss |
TB @ TEX15–1833 dec7 void45.5%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 4.58 | 5 | +20.1% | Low | Win |
| Shane McClanahan | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 4.22 | 3 | +7.0% | High | Win |
| Junior Caminero | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.19 | 0 | -0.6% | Low | Loss |
| Chandler Simpson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.30 | 0 | +8.0% | High | Loss |
| Jonathan Aranda | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.92 | 0 | -3.0% | Low | Win |
| Liam Hicks | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.99 | — | +0.9% | Low | Void |
| Brandon Nimmo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.16 | 0 | +5.5% | High | Loss |
| Corey Seager | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 1 | -3.0% | Low | Win |
| Ezequiel Duran | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.14 | 1 | +9.3% | High | Win |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.80 | 0 | -0.2% | Low | Loss |
| Jake Burger | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.82 | 1 | +3.7% | Medium | Win |
| Wyatt Langford | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 1 | +8.2% | High | Win |
| Cedric Mullins | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.65 | 0 | -2.8% | Low | Loss |
| Justin Foscue | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.65 | 1 | -0.4% | Low | Win |
| Cody Freeman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 0 | +14.1% | High | Loss |
| Richie Palacios | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.53 | 0 | -2.4% | Low | Win |
| Taylor Walls | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | — | +3.8% | Medium | Void |
| Danny Jansen | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.51 | — | +1.2% | Low | Void |
| Junior Caminero | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.41 | 0 | +5.5% | High | Loss |
| Jonathan Aranda | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.91 | 0 | +2.3% | Low | Loss |
| Chandler Simpson | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.08 | 0 | +11.7% | High | Loss |
| Corey Seager | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.03 | 4 | +7.1% | High | Win |
| Liam Hicks | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.79 | — | +3.2% | Medium | Void |
| Brandon Nimmo | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.29 | 0 | +13.6% | High | Loss |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.61 | 0 | +3.7% | Medium | Loss |
| Ezequiel Duran | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.52 | 3 | +21.4% | Low | Win |
| Jake Burger | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.72 | 2 | +8.7% | High | Win |
| Wyatt Langford | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.93 | 3 | +13.8% | High | Win |
| Cedric Mullins | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.45 | 0 | +3.9% | Medium | Loss |
| Taylor Walls | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.44 | — | +9.2% | High | Void |
| Justin Foscue | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.41 | 2 | +5.9% | High | Win |
| Cody Freeman | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.79 | 0 | +20.4% | Low | Loss |
| Richie Palacios | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.39 | 0 | +8.0% | High | Loss |
| Danny Jansen | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.32 | — | +13.5% | High | Void |
| Junior Caminero | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.96 | 0 | +6.5% | High | Loss |
| Corey Seager | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.40 | 4 | +2.2% | Low | Win |
| Jonathan Aranda | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.54 | 0 | +5.3% | High | Loss |
| Brandon Nimmo | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.77 | 0 | +14.0% | High | Loss |
| Liam Hicks | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.46 | — | +8.0% | High | Void |
| Chandler Simpson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.45 | 0 | +8.6% | High | Loss |
ATH @ SEA25–833 dec2 void75.8%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Perkins | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 | 4.28 | 7 | +12.9% | High | Loss |
| Josh Naylor | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | 0 | +4.0% | Medium | Loss |
| Dominic Canzone | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 1 | -2.1% | Low | Win |
| Henry Bolte | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.23 | 2 | +9.6% | High | Win |
| Randy Arozarena | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.96 | 1 | +2.5% | Medium | Win |
| Cole Young | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.65 | 2 | +2.2% | Low | Loss |
| Jeff McNeil | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.13 | 2 | +10.8% | High | Win |
| Zack Gelof | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 2 | +2.6% | Medium | Win |
| Cal Raleigh | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 1 | +4.0% | Medium | Win |
| Lawrence Butler | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 2 | +14.0% | High | Win |
| Jonah Heim | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.82 | 1 | +8.9% | High | Win |
| J.P. Crawford | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.79 | 1 | +9.0% | High | Win |
| Michael Stefanic | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.00 | 1 | +18.5% | High | Win |
| Brock Rodden | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.49 | 1 | -3.0% | Low | Loss |
| Alika Williams | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | 1 | +11.0% | High | Win |
| Denzel Clarke | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.42 | — | +0.4% | Low | Void |
| Dominic Canzone | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.90 | 1 | +3.7% | Medium | Loss |
| Randy Arozarena | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.29 | 3 | +9.6% | High | Win |
| Josh Naylor | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.70 | 0 | +1.2% | Low | Loss |
| Cal Raleigh | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.03 | 3 | +10.5% | High | Win |
| Cole Young | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.39 | 2 | -0.9% | Low | Win |
| Henry Bolte | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.20 | 3 | +17.6% | High | Win |
| Zack Gelof | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.87 | 5 | +13.6% | High | Win |
| Jeff McNeil | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 5 | +20.4% | Low | Win |
| J.P. Crawford | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.48 | 1 | +5.3% | High | Win |
| Lawrence Butler | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 2.04 | 4 | +19.1% | High | Win |
| Brock Rodden | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | 1 | +3.4% | Medium | Win |
| Jonah Heim | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.63 | 2 | +11.3% | High | Win |
| Michael Stefanic | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.67 | 1 | +20.1% | Low | Win |
| Alika Williams | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.44 | 1 | +20.9% | Low | Win |
| Denzel Clarke | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 0.81 | — | +9.2% | High | Void |
| Dominic Canzone | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 1 | +11.1% | High | Loss |
| Randy Arozarena | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 2 | +15.1% | High | Win |
| Henry Bolte | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.93 | 2 | +19.4% | High | Win |
| Josh Naylor | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.31 | 0 | +5.0% | High | Loss |
STL @ LAD12–1426 dec3 void46.2%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.08 | 0 | -0.5% | Low | Loss |
| Tommy Edman | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.92 | 4 | -1.3% | Low | Loss |
| Freddie Freeman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.22 | 0 | +8.0% | High | Loss |
| Shohei Ohtani | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.79 | — | +0.7% | Low | Void |
| Will Smith | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.81 | 0 | -3.0% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Tucker | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.70 | 0 | -1.8% | Low | Win |
| Alec Burleson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 0 | +4.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Jordan Walker | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.11 | 2 | +12.8% | High | Win |
| Miguel Rojas | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.5% | Low | Win |
| Nathan Church | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 1 | +15.2% | High | Win |
| Thomas Saggese | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 1 | +17.7% | High | Win |
| Mookie Betts | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 1 | +2.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Shohei Ohtani | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 1.5 | 1.69 | — | -2.4% | Low | Void |
| Tommy Edman | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.08 | 6 | +2.2% | Low | Win |
| Freddie Freeman | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.38 | 0 | +10.9% | High | Loss |
| Will Smith | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.87 | 0 | +1.3% | Low | Loss |
| Kyle Tucker | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.50 | 0 | -0.7% | Low | Loss |
| Jordan Walker | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.35 | 2 | +20.8% | Low | Win |
| Alec Burleson | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.13 | 0 | +17.4% | High | Loss |
| Miguel Rojas | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 0 | -1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Nathan Church | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.97 | 1 | +21.2% | Low | Win |
| Thomas Saggese | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 2.10 | 1 | +24.5% | Low | Win |
| Shohei Ohtani | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.42 | — | +1.1% | Low | Void |
| Mookie Betts | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 0 | +9.4% | High | Loss |
| Tommy Edman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.35 | 5 | +1.5% | Low | Win |
| Freddie Freeman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.78 | 0 | +12.4% | High | Loss |
| Will Smith | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.48 | 0 | +5.4% | High | Loss |
| Tarik Skubal | Strikeouts | Under 8.5 | 7.86 | 6 | +0.3% | Low | Win |
| Quinn Mathews | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 5.37 | 4 | +12.9% | High | Loss |