Skip to main content
Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks
Settled · graded against final box scores
162–127 on 289 decisive picks · 56.1%2026-09-03
View audit →
Slate · pick a date
MLB model board · 2026-09-03

9 MLB games · 305 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDSep 3, 1:09 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
123
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
36
model vs market · context
Small gap
96
12 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
38
no projection emitted
Strikeouts8 gap ≥ 5 pp·17 totalHits40 gap ≥ 5 pp·144 totalHits + Runs + RBIs75 gap ≥ 5 pp·144 total
Filters · 305 of 305 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
PNC Park0 leans

SF@PIT

San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates

first pitch
12:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Blade Tidwell
probable · awayBlade Tidwell
SF
Lake Bachar
probable · homeLake Bachar
PIT
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Progressive Field39 leansFinal · graded

TOR@CLE

Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Guardians

first pitch
1:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
José Soriano
probable · awayJosé Soriano
TOR
Tanner Bibee
probable · homeTanner Bibee
CLE
Strikeouts
Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee
CLEvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.62
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 28 starts
+127 · draftkings
Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee
CLEvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.62
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 28 starts
-178 · fanduel
Jose Soriano
TOR @ CLEPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.42
Edge+19.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 21 games
-116 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 103 games
+125 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 128 games
-120 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.17
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 136 games
-103 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.34
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 21 games
-246 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 101 games
-110 · draftkings
Josh Smith
Josh Smith
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 57 games
+128 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 117 games
-125 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 128 games
-248 · draftkings
Austin Hedges
Austin Hedges
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 63 games
-148 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 132 games
+124 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 103 games
-150 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 136 games
-183 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 117 games
-246 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 136 games
+183 · draftkings
Angel Genao
Angel Genao
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 23 games
+151 · draftkings
Austin Hedges
Austin Hedges
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 63 games
-114 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 125 games
-133 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 104 games
+107 · draftkings
Sean Keys
Sean Keys
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 13 games
+112 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 104 games
+135 · draftkings
Angel Genao
Angel Genao
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.26
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 23 games
-137 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.99
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 125 games
-262 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 136 games
-126 · draftkings
Sean Keys
Sean Keys
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 13 games
+117 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 132 games
-156 · draftkings
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 70 games
-111 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 101 games
-233 · draftkings
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 70 games
-150 · draftkings
Josh Smith
Josh Smith
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 57 games
-152 · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
TOR @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jesus Sanchez
TOR @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
TOR @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
TOR @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jesus Sanchez
TOR @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
TOR @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Daikin Park38 leansFinal · graded

CWS@HOU

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros

first pitch
2:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Luis Castillo
probable · awayLuis Castillo
CWS
Hunter Brown
probable · homeHunter Brown
HOU
Strikeouts
Hunter Brown
Hunter Brown
HOUvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER6.5
Projection6.06
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 15 starts
-112 · draftkings
Luis Castillo
Luis CastilloModel anomaly
CWSvsHOUPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection2.82
Edge+25%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 25 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-128 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.22
Edge+18.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 129 games
-162 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+17.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 129 games
-126 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 133 games
+138 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 133 games
-150 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+13.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 122 games
+124 · draftkings
Jake Rogers
Jake Rogers
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 48 games
-128 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.9
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 131 games
-165 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 70 games
+115 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 71 games
+103 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 137 games
-103 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 137 games
-187 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 133 games
-111 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 131 games
-124 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 118 games
+101 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.78
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 77 games
-165 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 122 games
-154 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 113 games
-112 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 71 games
-199 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 104 games
+114 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 104 games
+102 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 133 games
+163 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 70 games
-165 · draftkings
LaMonte Wade Jr.
LaMonte Wade Jr.
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 42 games
-145 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.24
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.48 across 138 games
-130 · draftkings
Jake Rogers
Jake Rogers
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 48 games
+103 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 113 games
+172 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 134 games
+109 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 118 games
-114 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 77 games
+104 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 134 games
+128 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 138 games
-212 · draftkings
LaMonte Wade Jr.
LaMonte Wade Jr.
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 42 games
-126 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 118 games
-202 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 118 games
-187 · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
CWS @ HOUBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
CWS @ HOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oriole Park at Camden Yards38 leansFinal · graded

BOS@BAL

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles

first pitch
7:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jake Bennett
probable · awayJake Bennett
BOS
Brandon Young
probable · homeBrandon Young
BAL
Strikeouts
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
BOSvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.56
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 16 starts
-147 · draftkings
Brandon Young
Brandon Young
BALvsBOSPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.85
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 23 starts
-157 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+15.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 106 games
+107 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 87 games
+130 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 48 games
-111 · draftkings
Connor Wong
Connor Wong
BOSvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.5
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 65 games
-165 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 118 games
+124 · draftkings
Luis Robert Jr.
Luis Robert Jr.
BALvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 58 games
+110 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.07
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 38 games
+104 · draftkings
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOSvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 45 games
-101 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 87 games
-154 · draftkings
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOSvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 45 games
-193 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 140 games
-119 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 138 games
+102 · draftkings
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 77 games
-104 · draftkings
Roman Anthony
Roman Anthony
BOSvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.25
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 34 games
-248 · draftkings
Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard
BOSvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 44 games
+103 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 48 games
-195 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 106 games
-160 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 137 games
-234 · draftkings
Connor Wong
Connor Wong
BOSvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 65 games
-129 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 38 games
-183 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.63
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 131 games
+100 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 140 games
-235 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.68
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 133 games
-131 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 138 games
+155 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 131 games
+168 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 133 games
-268 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 131 games
-126 · draftkings
Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard
BOSvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 44 games
-191 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 137 games
-132 · draftkings
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 77 games
-218 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 118 games
+130 · draftkings
Roman Anthony
Roman Anthony
BOSvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 34 games
-152 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 131 games
+141 · draftkings
Luis Robert Jr.
Luis Robert Jr.
BALvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 58 games
-188 · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
BOS @ BALBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
BOS @ BALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Wrigley Field38 leansFinal · graded

MIL@CHC

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

first pitch
7:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Logan Henderson
probable · awayLogan Henderson
MIL
Kevin Gausman
probable · homeKevin Gausman
CHC
Strikeouts
Logan Henderson
Logan Henderson
MILvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.88
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.1 K across 14 starts
-117 · draftkings
Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman
CHCvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.81
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 28 starts
-110 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.98
Edge+19.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.46 across 140 games
-114 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+19.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 134 games
+128 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.31
Edge+16.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 98 games
-179 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.68
Edge+16.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 129 games
-116 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+14.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 53 games
+118 · draftkings
David Hamilton
David Hamilton
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 99 games
+134 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.92
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 105 games
-145 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+13.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 98 games
-130 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.17
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 98 games
-101 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.52
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 93 games
-135 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.22
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 122 games
-195 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 123 games
+119 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 105 games
+183 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.33
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 129 games
-220 · draftkings
David Hamilton
David Hamilton
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 99 games
-136 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 140 games
-194 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 134 games
-131 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 137 games
-190 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 138 games
+113 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 98 games
-187 · draftkings
Matt Shaw
Matt Shaw
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.42
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 56 games
-162 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 137 games
+109 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 129 games
-112 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 123 games
-147 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 53 games
-165 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 93 games
-105 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 95 games
+110 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya SuzukiModel anomaly
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.9
Edge+23.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.40 across 122 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-102 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex BregmanModel anomaly
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.91
Edge+23.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 137 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+101 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 129 games
+149 · draftkings
Matt Shaw
Matt Shaw
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 56 games
-126 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 125 games
+142 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 95 games
+140 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 137 games
-209 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 138 games
-162 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 125 games
-117 · draftkings
Kauffman Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

MIA@KC

Miami Marlins at Kansas City Royals

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Sandy Alcantara
probable · awaySandy Alcantara
MIA
Michael Wacha
probable · homeMichael Wacha
KC
Strikeouts
Michael Wacha
Michael Wacha
KCvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.75
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 27 starts
+130 · draftkings
Sandy Alcantara
Sandy Alcantara
MIAvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER3.5
Projection4.01
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 29 starts
-145 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.27
Edge+18.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 108 games
+109 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 108 games
-179 · draftkings
Graham Pauley
Graham Pauley
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.52
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 42 games
-143 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 136 games
-126 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 100 games
+103 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 78 games
+122 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.38
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 128 games
-134 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 130 games
-114 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 129 games
-128 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 114 games
-111 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 114 games
-232 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 103 games
-142 · draftkings
Graham Pauley
Graham Pauley
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 42 games
-116 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 136 games
-256 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 71 games
+140 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 123 games
-163 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 93 games
-219 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 128 games
-258 · draftkings
Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 99 games
+116 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 93 games
-114 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 123 games
+115 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 100 games
-198 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 131 games
+148 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 84 games
-143 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 103 games
-254 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 131 games
-109 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 71 games
-122 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.01
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 121 games
-228 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 78 games
-152 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection1.99
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 121 games
-159 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 130 games
-217 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 84 games
+125 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 129 games
-212 · draftkings
Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 99 games
+112 · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ KCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ KCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Globe Life Field38 leansFinal · graded

TB@TEX

Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers

first pitch
8:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Shane McClanahan
probable · awayShane McClanahan
TB
Cal Quantrill
probable · homeCal Quantrill
TEX
Strikeouts
Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan
TBvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection4.22
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 23 starts
+100 · draftkings
Cal Quantrill
Cal QuantrillModel anomaly
TEXvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER3.5
Projection4.58
Edge+20.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.4 K across 28 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+109 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Cody Freeman
Cody Freeman
TEXvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 24 games
-132 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+13.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 88 games
+122 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 134 games
-106 · draftkings
Danny Jansen
Danny Jansen
TEXvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 48 games
-127 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 128 games
-116 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 129 games
-186 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.44
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 109 games
-182 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 133 games
+119 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 88 games
-155 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.39
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 101 games
-165 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 128 games
-257 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 79 games
-115 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.41
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 80 games
-173 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.41
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 139 games
-157 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 134 games
-223 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 117 games
+123 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 109 games
-125 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 133 games
-156 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 53 games
+105 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 124 games
-110 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel DuranModel anomaly
TEXvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.52
Edge+21.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 129 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+108 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
Cody FreemanModel anomaly
TEXvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.79
Edge+20.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 24 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-168 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 135 games
+181 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 79 games
-216 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 117 games
-149 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 101 games
-104 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 135 games
-130 · draftkings
Danny Jansen
Danny Jansen
TEXvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 48 games
+103 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 124 games
-225 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.19
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 139 games
+175 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 80 games
-135 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 53 games
-178 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
TB @ TEXBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Elias Diaz
TB @ TEXBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
TB @ TEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Elias Diaz
TB @ TEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
T-Mobile Park38 leansFinal · graded

ATH@SEA

Athletics at Seattle Mariners

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jack Perkins
probable · awayJack Perkins
ATH
Kade Anderson
probable · homeKade Anderson
SEA
Strikeouts
Jack Perkins
Jack Perkins
ATHvsSEAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.28
Edge+12.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 32 starts
-128 · draftkings
Kade Anderson
Kade Anderson
SEAvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line5.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.04
Edge+19.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 127 games
-170 · draftkings
Michael Stefanic
Michael Stefanic
ATHvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+18.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 6 games
-116 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+17.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 95 games
+113 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 127 games
-128 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 85 games
+125 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.63
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 89 games
-160 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 62 games
+107 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 123 games
-180 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 105 games
-103 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 132 games
-116 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 95 games
-211 · draftkings
Denzel Clarke
Denzel Clarke
ATHvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 23 games
-104 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 94 games
-119 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 89 games
-126 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.48
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 94 games
-187 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 105 games
-163 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 130 games
-230 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 124 games
-119 · draftkings
Brock Rodden
Brock Rodden
SEAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 14 games
-161 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 85 games
-176 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 132 games
-193 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika WilliamsModel anomaly
ATHvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.44
Edge+20.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 62 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-112 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeilModel anomaly
ATHvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+20.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 123 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+134 · draftkings
Michael Stefanic
Michael StefanicModel anomaly
ATHvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.67
Edge+20.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.67
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 6 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-140 · draftkings
Brock Rodden
Brock Rodden
SEAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 14 games
-115 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 139 games
+143 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 124 games
-213 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 130 games
-113 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.39
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 139 games
+106 · draftkings
Denzel Clarke
Denzel Clarke
ATHvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.42
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 23 games
+118 · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
ATH @ SEABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Lazaro Montes
Lazaro Montes
SEAvsATHBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
ATH @ SEABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
ATH @ SEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Lazaro Montes
Lazaro Montes
SEAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
ATH @ SEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

STL@LAD

St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers

first pitch
10:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Quinn Mathews
probable · awayQuinn Mathews
STL
Tarik Skubal
probable · homeTarik Skubal
LAD
Strikeouts
Quinn Mathews
Quinn Mathews
STLvsLADPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.37
Edge+12.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 4 starts
-117 · draftkings
Tarik Skubal
Tarik Skubal
LADvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER8.5
Projection7.86
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 7.3 K across 21 starts
-157 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Thomas Saggese
Thomas Saggese
STLvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+17.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 30 games
-101 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+17.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 139 games
+129 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+15.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 110 games
-122 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 136 games
-164 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.38
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 135 games
-136 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.22
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 135 games
-237 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsLADBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 139 games
-178 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 102 games
-142 · draftkings
Thomas Saggese
Thomas SaggeseModel anomaly
STLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection2.1
Edge+24.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 30 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-114 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan ChurchModel anomaly
STLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.97
Edge+21.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 110 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-138 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan WalkerModel anomaly
STLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+20.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 136 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+127 · draftkings
Will Smith
Will Smith
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 54 games
+158 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 129 games
+104 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 61 games
-138 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 130 games
+135 · draftkings
Will Smith
Will Smith
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 54 games
-131 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 61 games
+187 · draftkings
Miguel Rojas
Miguel Rojas
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 83 games
-173 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 130 games
-103 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 129 games
+168 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 102 games
-262 · draftkings
Miguel Rojas
Miguel Rojas
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 83 games
+100 · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Enrique Hernandez
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ramon Urias
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Enrique Hernandez
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ramon Urias
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Open MLB model audit · partial →
Home runs live on the Power Board

Open the MLB Power Board →

HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.

← back to MLB overview