44.8%

145–179 on 324 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-08-20. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

145

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

179

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

44.8%

145–179 on 324

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBBrock RoddenOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+31.3pp edgeactual 2
MLBPete AlonsoOver 1.5 Total Bases+29.2pp edgeactual 2
MLBPete AlonsoOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+25.7pp edgeactual 2
MLBKyle BradishUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+25.0pp edgeactual 5
MLBGeorge KirbyUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+20.9pp edgeactual 3

Biggest misses

MLBLanden RouppOver 4.5 Strikeouts+12.4pp edgeactual 2
MLBMiguel VargasOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+12.2pp edgeactual 0
MLBIsaac CollinsUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+10.7pp edgeactual 4
MLBGage JumpOver 4.5 Strikeouts+5.8pp edgeactual 3
MLBJacob deGromUnder 6.5 Strikeouts+5.4pp edgeactual 10

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

STL @ CIN

18–2038 dec47.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Brady Singer	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.33	3	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Michael McGreevy	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.46	4	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 1.5	1.25	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+6.2%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+4.8%	Medium	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.83	1	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	-1.0%	Low	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	0	+2.5%	Low	Win
Blaze Jordan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	1	-2.7%	Low	Win
Dane Myers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Michael Toglia	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	0	+8.2%	High	Win
Bryan Torres	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	1	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Jimmy Crooks	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	0	-2.3%	Low	Win
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	1	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.05	3	+14.0%	High	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	4	-0.8%	Low	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	2	-2.5%	Low	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.58	7	+13.0%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	4	+8.2%	High	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.15	3	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	1	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	7	+0.3%	Low	Win
Blaze Jordan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Michael Toglia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.75	0	+12.0%	High	Win
Jimmy Crooks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.22	0	-3.2%	Low	Win
Dane Myers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.24	1	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Bryan Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.04	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+0.8%	Low	Win
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.19	1	+12.7%	High	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	4	+16.8%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+12.7%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.18	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
JJ Bleday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.06	1	-3.1%	Low	Loss

SF @ CLE

15–1934 dec44.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Gavin Williams	Strikeouts	Under 7.5	7.45	11	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Landen Roupp	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.97	2	+12.4%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Angel Genao	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+1.6%	Low	Win
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	2	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Willy Adames	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+10.3%	High	Win
Osleivis Basabe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	1	+5.6%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+9.0%	High	Win
Victor Bericoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+8.4%	High	Loss
Christian Koss	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	3	+1.3%	Low	Win
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	1	+5.5%	High	Loss
Angel Genao	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.02	2	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+5.8%	High	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	2	+11.3%	High	Win
Patrick Bailey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.01	4	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.33	2	+1.1%	Low	Win
Willy Adames	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.55	4	+6.3%	High	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.79	1	+12.7%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.70	0	+14.5%	High	Loss
Osleivis Basabe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.26	1	+5.7%	High	Win
Victor Bericoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.48	0	+12.2%	High	Loss
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+8.0%	High	Loss
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+11.3%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.12	1	-1.2%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	1	+7.7%	High	Loss

TOR @ TB

17–1431 dec54.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ian Seymour	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.91	8	+2.4%	Low	Win
Shane Bieber	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.42	7	+13.4%	High	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 1.5	1.55	1	+13.1%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	-1.2%	Low	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	1	+10.6%	High	Win
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	2	-3.2%	Low	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Nick Fortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	0	-2.6%	Low	Win
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	2	+7.0%	High	Win
Josh Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	—	+1.2%	Low	Void
Richie Palacios	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+10.0%	High	Loss
Jorge Mateo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Charles McAdoo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+14.1%	High	Win
Myles Straw	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	0	-2.6%	Low	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	2	+6.9%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.45	2	+7.0%	High	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	1	+7.2%	High	Loss
Alejandro Kirk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	1	+20.7%	Low	Loss
Cedric Mullins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	4	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	1	+14.7%	High	Loss
Nick Fortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.04	0	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Richie Palacios	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.92	0	+16.6%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.84	4	+11.2%	High	Win
Charles McAdoo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.74	2	+12.8%	High	Win
Josh Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.40	—	+12.0%	High	Void
Jorge Mateo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Myles Straw	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+6.1%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+11.7%	High	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss

ATL @ CWS

9–3241 dec22.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	0	-0.6%	Low	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	2	-0.5%	Low	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+13.3%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Lane Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	0	-3.2%	Low	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Sean Murphy	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Drew Romo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.47	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.49	0	+12.2%	High	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.42	1	-0.8%	Low	Win
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	0	+11.5%	High	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	2	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	4	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+11.5%	High	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	0	+17.9%	High	Loss
Lane Thomas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.30	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Tristan Peters	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.78	0	+12.5%	High	Loss
Sean Murphy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.50	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Drew Romo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+11.3%	High	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.37	0	+17.9%	High	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	0	+12.6%	High	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.26	1	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+16.0%	High	Loss
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	2	+8.8%	High	Win
Sam Antonacci	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.24	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Anthony Kay	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.78	6	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Grant Holmes	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.65	3	+8.2%	High	Win

ATH @ KC

17–2138 dec44.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Gage Jump	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.67	3	+5.8%	High	Loss
Randy Dobnak	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.42	4	+1.5%	Low	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.06	2	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Under 1.5	1.06	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 1.5	1.21	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Tommy White	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	—	+1.6%	Low	Void
Maikel Garcia	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+5.1%	High	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	3	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	1	+8.5%	High	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	2	-0.6%	Low	Win
Zack Gelof	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Michael Massey	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	3	+9.0%	High	Win
Isaac Collins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	1	+10.6%	High	Loss
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	2	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Brian Serven	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	1	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Donovan Walton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	—	-1.4%	Low	Void
Kyle Isbel	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	—	-2.1%	Low	Void
Alika Williams	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	—	-2.6%	Low	Void
John Rave	Hits	Under 0.5	0.36	0	+5.1%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.38	6	+2.3%	Low	Win
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	1	+9.2%	High	Loss
Maikel Garcia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	1	+10.7%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	5	-2.7%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.03	2	+6.6%	High	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	0	+15.2%	High	Loss
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	—	-0.3%	Low	Void
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.84	4	+10.7%	High	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	3	+5.7%	High	Win
Michael Massey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	5	+10.5%	High	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.32	2	-2.3%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.31	—	+0.3%	Low	Void
Brian Serven	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	2	+9.0%	High	Win
Kyle Isbel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	—	-0.1%	Low	Void
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	2	+6.8%	High	Win
Alika Williams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.03	—	+1.9%	Low	Void
John Rave	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.97	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	5	+1.9%	Low	Win
Jeff McNeil	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+8.0%	High	Loss
Henry Bolte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	1	+7.8%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.10	3	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Maikel Garcia	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	2	+7.5%	High	Win
Isaac Collins	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.70	1	+7.2%	High	Win
Nick Loftin	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.86	3	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Zack Gelof	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	0	+16.6%	High	Loss
Tommy White	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	—	+5.3%	High	Void

SEA @ MIL

20–1535 dec57.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
George Kirby	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.51	3	+20.9%	Low	Win
Robert Gasser	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.12	4	-1.2%	Low	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+6.5%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Hits	Under 0.5	0.91	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
William Contreras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	—	+2.8%	Medium	Void
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	-2.8%	Low	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+7.6%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.28	0	+16.1%	High	Loss
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+11.6%	High	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	—	+2.9%	Medium	Void
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	3	+1.4%	Low	Win
Cooper Pratt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	—	+1.0%	Low	Void
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	0	+2.8%	Medium	Win
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	2	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Weston Wilson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	0	+0.7%	Low	Win
Brock Rodden	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+19.8%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	1	+8.6%	High	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	2	+6.2%	High	Win
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	—	+1.3%	Low	Void
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+7.0%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	2	+13.6%	High	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	2	+10.3%	High	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+9.7%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	1	+7.3%	High	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.47	8	+1.3%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	0	+17.4%	High	Loss
Andrew Vaughn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	—	+3.5%	Medium	Void
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.91	0	+1.3%	Low	Win
Cooper Pratt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.44	—	+6.2%	High	Void
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.53	3	+10.3%	High	Win
Weston Wilson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Brock Rodden	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.00	2	+31.3%	Low	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.87	1	+11.3%	High	Loss
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+12.4%	High	Loss
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.18	—	-0.9%	Low	Void
Jake Bauers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	1	+16.3%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.07	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss

NYY @ BAL

14–2236 dec38.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kyle Bradish	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.16	5	+25.0%	Low	Win
Gerrit Cole	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	6.24	8	+5.5%	High	Loss
Heliot Ramos	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	+9.9%	High	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	1.45	2	+16.6%	High	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	1	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Trent Grisham	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+7.5%	High	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Tyler O'Neill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	—	-0.9%	Low	Void
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Jones	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	3	-0.4%	Low	Win
Samuel Basallo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+11.0%	High	Loss
George Lombard Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+18.0%	High	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits	Over 0.5	0.54	1	+1.1%	Low	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	1	+7.0%	High	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	0	+13.6%	High	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	3	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.54	1	+14.2%	High	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.13	2	+25.7%	Low	Win
Heliot Ramos	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.02	2	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	1	+15.1%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.38	2	+0.7%	Low	Win
Tyler O'Neill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.39	—	+1.9%	Low	Void
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+11.0%	High	Loss
Spencer Jones	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	6	+7.0%	High	Win
George Lombard Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	0	+22.1%	Low	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.15	0	+11.0%	High	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.46	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.76	0	+15.6%	High	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.93	2	+5.5%	High	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.51	3	+17.4%	High	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.37	0	+20.1%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.83	2	+29.2%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+9.7%	High	Loss
Heliot Ramos	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.89	2	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Trent Grisham	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.40	1	+23.8%	Low	Loss

WSH @ TEX

12–2436 dec33.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Andrew Alvarez	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.74	5	+12.8%	High	Loss
Jacob deGrom	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.63	10	+5.4%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	0	-1.2%	Low	Win
Corey Seager	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+0.0%	Low	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	—	-1.0%	Low	Void
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	2	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Abimelec Ortiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Dylan Crews	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+17.3%	High	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	—	+11.1%	High	Void
Cody Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Brady House	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+9.9%	High	Win
Evan Carter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	0	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Justin Foscue	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	2	-2.0%	Low	Win
Danny Jansen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.41	0	+1.8%	Low	Win
Jorbit Vivas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	0	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	4	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	—	+5.0%	Medium	Void
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.42	3	-0.6%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	0	+10.1%	High	Loss
Abimelec Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	0	+17.1%	High	Loss
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Evan Carter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.01	0	-1.1%	Low	Win
Cody Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.81	0	+7.3%	High	Win
Keibert Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.16	0	+13.6%	High	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.69	—	+13.2%	High	Void
Justin Foscue	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.17	2	+1.1%	Low	Win
Danny Jansen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Brady House	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.81	1	+13.2%	High	Win
Jorbit Vivas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.22	0	+9.9%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	—	+5.9%	High	Void
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Corey Seager	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	6	+9.5%	High	Win
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Jake Burger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+9.8%	High	Loss

LAA @ HOU

23–1235 dec65.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Peter Lambert	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.62	3	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Grayson Rodriguez	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.39	6	+10.1%	High	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.93	1	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Jose Altuve	Hits	Under 0.5	0.93	0	-0.7%	Low	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Yainer Diaz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.83	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Wade Meckler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	-2.6%	Low	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	2	+9.6%	High	Win
Daulton Varsho	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Cam Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	3	-2.4%	Low	Win
Christian Walker	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	—	-1.5%	Low	Void
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+8.4%	High	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	5	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	+5.1%	High	Win
Josh Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Tyler Heineman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.49	1	-3.5%	Low	Win
Taylor Trammell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.91	2	-0.2%	Low	Win
Jose Altuve	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.64	0	-1.2%	Low	Win
Yainer Diaz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.40	1	-2.6%	Low	Win
Daulton Varsho	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.19	2	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Isaac Paredes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	2	+9.8%	High	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	2	+13.4%	High	Win
Cam Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	1	+13.2%	High	Loss
Wade Meckler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.34	3	-2.3%	Low	Win
Christian Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	—	+4.0%	Medium	Void
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	2	+9.2%	High	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	14	+6.0%	High	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	7	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.62	4	+9.8%	High	Win
Taylor Trammell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Josh Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.31	4	+10.9%	High	Win
Tyler Heineman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.78	3	+0.9%	Low	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	2	-0.6%	Low	Win
Jose Altuve	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	0	+5.4%	High	Loss

all settled dates