9 MLB games · 338 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Great American Ball Park38 leansFinal · graded
STL@CIN

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
first pitch12:40 PM ET
STL@CIN
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.75
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.38
- SeasonSeason average 0.38 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 45 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Progressive Field34 leansFinal · graded
SF@CLE

San Francisco Giants at Cleveland Guardians
first pitch1:10 PM ET
SF@CLE
San Francisco Giants at Cleveland Guardians
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 7.6 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 12 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Tropicana Field38 leansFinal · graded
TOR@TB

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays
first pitch1:10 PM ET
TOR@TB
Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 10 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.0 K across 39 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 52 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.49 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 105 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
Kauffman Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
ATH@KC

Athletics at Kansas City Royals
first pitch2:10 PM ET
ATH@KC
Athletics at Kansas City Royals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 15 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 8 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 68 games
Rate Field38 leansFinal · graded
ATL@CWS

Atlanta Braves at Chicago White Sox
first pitch2:10 PM ET
ATL@CWS
Atlanta Braves at Chicago White Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 126 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
American Family Field38 leansFinal · graded
SEA@MIL

Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers
first pitch2:10 PM ET
SEA@MIL
Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 23 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 5 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 5 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 43 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Oriole Park at Camden Yards38 leansFinal · graded
NYY@BAL

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
first pitch6:35 PM ET
NYY@BAL
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.1 K across 15 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 24 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 127 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 13 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 106 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.49 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 121 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Globe Life Field38 leansFinal · graded
WSH@TEX

Washington Nationals at Texas Rangers
first pitch8:05 PM ET
WSH@TEX
Washington Nationals at Texas Rangers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 18 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.41 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 66 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Daikin Park38 leansFinal · graded
LAA@HOU

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros
first pitch8:10 PM ET
LAA@HOU
Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 13 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 21 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.48 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.52 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 125 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
