49.7%

190–192 on 382 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-08-17. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

190

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

192

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

49.7%

190–192 on 382

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBPete AlonsoOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+26.1pp edgeactual 4
MLBAlex BregmanOver 1.5 Total Bases+22.1pp edgeactual 4
MLBBrett SullivanOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.3pp edgeactual 2
MLBShane McClanahanUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+19.4pp edgeactual 3
MLBAlex BregmanOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.4pp edgeactual 3

Biggest misses

MLBFreddie FreemanUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.8pp edgeactual 6
MLBShohei OhtaniUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+10.2pp edgeactual 11
MLBShohei OhtaniUnder 2.5 Total Bases+6.3pp edgeactual 10
MLBMax MuncyUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+5.5pp edgeactual 7
MLBBobby Witt Jr.Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-3.1pp edgeactual 10

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

STL @ CIN

17–1431 dec54.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Alec Burleson	Hits	Under 1.5	1.10	2	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	0	+6.4%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	2	+3.3%	Medium	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	0	-0.6%	Low	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	0	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	—	+1.0%	Low	Void
Dane Myers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	2	+7.0%	High	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Noelvi Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	-1.5%	Low	Win
Bryan Torres	Hits	Under 0.5	0.48	—	+2.9%	Medium	Void
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.42	0	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Matt McLain	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.90	4	+9.7%	High	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.71	0	-1.8%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	1	+5.5%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	2	+8.5%	High	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.22	0	+2.2%	Low	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	—	+6.4%	High	Void
Dane Myers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.86	4	+10.5%	High	Loss
Noelvi Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.15	0	+0.1%	Low	Win
Bryan Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.92	—	+4.1%	Medium	Void
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.84	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.45	0	+6.6%	High	Loss
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.14	3	+9.3%	High	Win
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	3	+10.2%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	2	+7.2%	High	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.24	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
JJ Bleday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Masyn Winn	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.07	1	-2.6%	Low	Win

BAL @ TB

21–1536 dec58.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 1.5	1.49	1	+13.5%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	2	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Liam Hicks	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	1.35	2	+18.3%	High	Win
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	—	-2.8%	Low	Void
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	2	+2.4%	Low	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	3	+0.7%	Low	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Tyler O'Neill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	2	+1.1%	Low	Win
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Coby Mayo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	2	+5.8%	High	Win
Richie Palacios	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+6.5%	High	Win
Christian Franklin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.22	2	+11.2%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	1	+5.0%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	1	+7.9%	High	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	4	+6.4%	High	Win
Liam Hicks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	—	+1.6%	Low	Void
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.83	4	+26.1%	Low	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	1	+10.8%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	3	+17.1%	High	Win
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	2	+10.0%	High	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	8	+11.1%	High	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	2	+12.6%	High	Win
Tyler O'Neill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	2	+7.9%	High	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.91	0	+16.4%	High	Loss
Richie Palacios	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.64	2	+12.4%	High	Win
Coby Mayo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.69	5	+11.5%	High	Win
Christian Franklin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.33	2	+9.8%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+6.7%	High	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	3	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+11.0%	High	Loss
Liam Hicks	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+14.0%	High	Loss
Shane McClanahan	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.70	3	+19.4%	High	Win
Brandon Young	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.48	3	+15.7%	High	Loss

MIA @ PHI

24–1842 dec57.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.14	1	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	1.01	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.02	2	-2.3%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 1.5	1.06	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 0.5	0.95	3	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	1	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+8.4%	High	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	-2.7%	Low	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	1	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Agustín Ramírez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	2	-0.6%	Low	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+14.4%	High	Loss
Esteury Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	2	+0.3%	Low	Win
Brian Navarreto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.19	2	+10.8%	High	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.46	2	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	3	-0.0%	Low	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	2	+1.1%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	4	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	2	+6.3%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	3	+11.8%	High	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	4	+2.9%	Medium	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.44	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+6.6%	High	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	4	+11.1%	High	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	4	+8.6%	High	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	2	-2.5%	Low	Win
Agustín Ramírez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	3	+6.7%	High	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.74	0	+16.8%	High	Loss
Esteury Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.28	2	+9.1%	High	Win
Brian Navarreto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.43	4	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.35	1	+8.8%	High	Loss
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	3	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	1	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Bryson Stott	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	1	+10.1%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	2	+1.5%	Low	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.93	1	+2.2%	Low	Win
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+15.5%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Janson Junk	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.98	2	+2.4%	Low	Win

STL @ CIN

0–22 dec0.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Rhett Lowder	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.85	5	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Andre Pallante	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.45	5	+16.9%	High	Loss

DET @ PIT

16–2137 dec43.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Carmen Mlodzinski	Strikeouts	Under 2.5	2.40	3	+5.9%	High	Loss
Framber Valdez	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.55	5	+6.4%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 1.5	1.08	1	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	2	+2.5%	Low	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	+6.3%	High	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Gleyber Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	1	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Max Clark	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	2	+1.0%	Low	Win
Colt Keith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	-0.0%	Low	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	-2.6%	Low	Win
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	3	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	2	+9.9%	High	Win
Henry Davis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	6	+9.7%	High	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	1	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	2	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	3	+5.2%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	2	+11.1%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	0	+8.4%	High	Loss
Colt Keith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.31	3	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Max Clark	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	3	+6.5%	High	Win
Zach McKinstry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.17	5	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	2	+17.5%	High	Win
Henry Davis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.22	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Dillon Dingler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	1	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	5	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	2	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Gleyber Torres	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	1	+10.6%	High	Loss
Max Clark	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	2	+7.2%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+16.7%	High	Loss

AZ @ BOS

18–1634 dec52.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Mitch Bratt	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.36	0	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	3	+5.0%	High	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	1.40	1	+11.9%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	2	-1.2%	Low	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Willson Contreras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.83	2	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	3	-3.0%	Low	Win
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	2	+8.3%	High	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	-2.2%	Low	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	—	-3.4%	Low	Void
Jahmai Jones	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	—	+1.1%	Low	Void
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Max Kepler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	—	+1.5%	Low	Void
Nick Sogard	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Tim Tawa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	6	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	5	+7.2%	High	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	5	+0.4%	Low	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.62	1	+18.4%	High	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.17	4	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	6	+8.1%	High	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	1	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Jahmai Jones	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.27	—	+2.4%	Low	Void
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	—	+3.0%	Medium	Void
Andruw Monasterio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+7.3%	High	Loss
Nick Sogard	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.43	4	+0.3%	Low	Win
Max Kepler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.01	—	+0.2%	Low	Void
Tim Tawa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	2	+5.1%	High	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.51	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	6	+0.4%	Low	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+10.1%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	6	+8.0%	High	Win
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.27	0	+17.4%	High	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.28	1	+26.4%	Low	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	0.95	3	-2.6%	Low	Win
Caleb Durbin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	3	+6.1%	High	Win

SD @ NYM

12–3143 dec27.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Walker Buehler	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.53	4	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Nolan McLean	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.10	3	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 0.5	1.28	1	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+5.2%	High	Win
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	1	+10.9%	High	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+1.3%	Low	Win
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	1	-2.6%	Low	Win
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	0	+15.9%	High	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Luis Campusano	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Jorge Polanco	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+12.4%	High	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	1	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.54	—	-3.1%	Low	Void
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	1	+11.1%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	2	+11.2%	High	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.51	1	+14.6%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.45	1	+14.7%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.40	2	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	1	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.39	1	+16.7%	High	Loss
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	2	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.39	0	+24.4%	Low	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Jorge Polanco	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.89	1	+8.5%	High	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.43	0	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Luis Campusano	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+18.7%	High	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Luis Rengifo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.76	1	+12.6%	High	Win
Gavin Sheets	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.15	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Brett Baty	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.37	—	+8.2%	High	Void
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+15.7%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	1	+16.1%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.92	1	+15.1%	High	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+15.3%	High	Loss
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	1	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Ty France	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	1	+13.3%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.03	1	-0.8%	Low	Loss

ATH @ KC

19–2039 dec48.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Michael Wacha	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.58	3	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Mason Barnett	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.34	2	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 1.5	1.34	3	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Jacob Wilson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.88	—	+7.7%	High	Void
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.10	3	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	1	+14.1%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	1	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	-0.2%	Low	Win
Zack Gelof	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+0.6%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	—	+10.1%	High	Void
Michael Massey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+1.5%	Low	Win
Tommy White	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	-2.8%	Low	Win
Kyle Isbel	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	0	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+9.3%	High	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Jonah Heim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
John Rave	Hits	Under 0.5	0.30	—	+12.8%	High	Void
Donovan Walton	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	1	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.93	6	+10.2%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.20	10	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.37	2	+8.2%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.52	3	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Jacob Wilson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	—	-0.0%	Low	Void
Michael Massey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	2	+0.3%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.05	—	+6.6%	High	Void
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	3	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	1	+11.4%	High	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.96	0	+8.6%	High	Win
Kyle Isbel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.20	3	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	1	+5.2%	High	Loss
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	3	+1.0%	Low	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	1	+14.3%	High	Loss
John Rave	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.63	—	+13.0%	High	Void
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.34	2	-0.7%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	0	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.23	2	+0.1%	Low	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	7	-0.2%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.48	3	+13.3%	High	Win
Carter Jensen	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.01	2	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.10	1	+0.6%	Low	Win
Jacob Wilson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	—	-2.5%	Low	Void
Zack Gelof	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+12.6%	High	Loss
Nick Loftin	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.87	—	+2.4%	Low	Void
Michael Massey	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	1	+10.5%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	4	+4.5%	Medium	Win

ATL @ MIN

22–1436 dec61.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bailey Ober	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.96	4	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Over 1.5	1.13	2	-1.4%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits	Under 1.5	1.05	1	-3.1%	Low	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	1	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	2	+9.0%	High	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+8.4%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Austin Riley	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	-0.7%	Low	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	0	+1.5%	Low	Win
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	+8.4%	High	Win
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	—	-1.1%	Low	Void
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.98	1	-2.0%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	3	+0.0%	Low	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.37	2	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.53	1	+13.0%	High	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	2	+14.3%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	1	+6.9%	High	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	5	+13.3%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.28	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	2	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	3	+5.9%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	0	+14.4%	High	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.10	0	-2.2%	Low	Win
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.43	1	+14.3%	High	Win
Ryan Kreidler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.02	—	+0.7%	Low	Void
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	3	-1.8%	Low	Win
Byron Buxton	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.37	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.37	2	+15.7%	High	Win
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+12.6%	High	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	1	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	0	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Austin Riley	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	1	+5.9%	High	Loss
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	3	+12.0%	High	Win

CWS @ CHC

22–1638 dec57.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Luis Castillo	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.18	1	+10.8%	High	Loss
Shota Imanaga	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.55	10	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	4	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	4	+2.5%	Low	Win
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	3	+6.3%	High	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+10.2%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+7.4%	High	Win
Ian Happ	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	-0.0%	Low	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+8.7%	High	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+9.5%	High	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	—	+5.0%	Medium	Void
Randal Grichuk	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	1	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Brenton Doyle	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	+5.4%	High	Loss
Michael Conforto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	0	-0.5%	Low	Win
Jake Rogers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.43	0	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	9	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.53	4	+15.4%	High	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.73	3	+18.4%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	6	+6.4%	High	Win
Ian Happ	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	2	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.47	0	+21.3%	Low	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	2	+15.4%	High	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	2	+14.0%	High	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	—	+14.9%	High	Void
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	1	+21.9%	Low	Loss
Randal Grichuk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.56	5	+11.7%	High	Win
Michael Conforto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.15	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Brenton Doyle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+7.9%	High	Loss
Jake Rogers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.76	11	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.22	1	+18.4%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.03	4	+17.2%	High	Win
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.15	4	+22.1%	Low	Win
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	4	+8.8%	High	Win

LAD @ COL

19–2544 dec43.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Tomoyuki Sugano	Strikeouts	Over 2.5	3.25	3	+7.1%	High	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Under 1.5	0.96	4	+10.3%	High	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Under 1.5	0.86	3	+13.6%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Hits	Under 1.5	1.07	3	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits	Under 1.5	0.90	1	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Tommy Edman	Hits	Under 1.5	0.75	1	+9.4%	High	Win
Max Muncy	Hits	Under 1.5	0.71	2	+9.1%	High	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Over 1.5	1.20	0	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Under 1.5	0.61	0	+11.7%	High	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+1.6%	Low	Win
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	—	-1.9%	Low	Void
Hunter Feduccia	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	0	-1.6%	Low	Win
Connor Norby	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	1	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Jordan Beck	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Brett Sullivan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+9.1%	High	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.07	11	+10.2%	High	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.59	6	+15.8%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.07	7	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Max Muncy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.76	7	+5.5%	High	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.80	3	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.48	2	+6.7%	High	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.47	0	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	1	+6.1%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	2	+0.4%	Low	Win
Hunter Feduccia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.07	0	+8.2%	High	Win
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	2	+6.2%	High	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	—	+0.4%	Low	Void
Connor Norby	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.87	2	+5.1%	High	Loss
Brett Sullivan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	2	+21.3%	Low	Win
Jordan Beck	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.22	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.35	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Under 2.5	1.79	10	+6.3%	High	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.17	5	+10.6%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	4	+1.5%	Low	Win
Max Muncy	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.52	5	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	2	-1.3%	Low	Win
Tommy Edman	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.13	1	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Kyle Tucker	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.10	0	+1.8%	Low	Win
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	0	+12.6%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Tomoyuki Sugano	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.25	3	+1.2%	Low	Loss

all settled dates