50.1%

195–194 on 389 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-08-10. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

195

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

194

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

50.1%

195–194 on 389

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBLogan HendersonOver 5.5 Strikeouts+33.2pp edgeactual 7
MLBHunter DobbinsOver 3.5 Strikeouts+29.1pp edgeactual 6
MLBJackson MerrillOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+25.5pp edgeactual 4
MLBCésar PrietoUnder 0.5 Hits+22.2pp edgeactual 0
MLBCésar PrietoUnder 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.7pp edgeactual 0

Biggest misses

MLBBlade TidwellUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+32.7pp edgeactual 6
MLBNoah CameronOver 4.5 Strikeouts+20.4pp edgeactual 2
MLBDean KremerUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+15.6pp edgeactual 7
MLBAustin MartinUnder 0.5 Hits+14.1pp edgeactual 4
MLBAustin MartinUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+12.8pp edgeactual 8

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

BOS @ TOR

10–2737 dec27.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 1.5	1.32	2	+1.4%	Low	Win
Nick Sogard	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	-1.2%	Low	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	1	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Willson Contreras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Masataka Yoshida	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+5.0%	High	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-1.3%	Low	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	—	+5.5%	High	Void
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+9.8%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	—	+0.2%	Low	Void
Connor Wong	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.86	3	+12.6%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.69	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Nick Sogard	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	1	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.43	0	+14.3%	High	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	1	+6.1%	High	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+9.8%	High	Loss
Alejandro Kirk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	—	+7.2%	High	Void
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	2	+9.6%	High	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	0	+17.6%	High	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	—	+6.0%	High	Void
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Connor Wong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.24	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.37	2	+15.8%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.23	0	+13.0%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Nick Sogard	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.27	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	2	+9.4%	High	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.37	1	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	0	+10.1%	High	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.13	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Sonny Gray	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.20	4	+6.8%	High	Loss
Jameson Taillon	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.41	3	+0.0%	Low	Loss

NYM @ ATL

23–1639 dec59.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	2	-1.8%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	2	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+4.8%	Medium	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.27	0	+8.4%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+7.3%	High	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	3	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	+0.2%	Low	Win
Austin Riley	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+8.3%	High	Win
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+8.9%	High	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	2	+2.1%	Low	Win
Brett Baty	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Jorge Polanco	Hits	Under 0.5	0.35	1	+6.0%	High	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	4	-2.6%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	3	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.52	2	+14.8%	High	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	2	-2.9%	Low	Win
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	1	+14.0%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	3	+10.8%	High	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	7	+10.3%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+6.6%	High	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	1	+10.1%	High	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	2	+12.6%	High	Win
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	5	+10.8%	High	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.47	2	+10.0%	High	Win
Brett Baty	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.10	6	+2.4%	Low	Win
Jorge Polanco	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.74	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.47	0	+11.9%	High	Loss
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.84	3	+8.9%	High	Win
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.23	3	-2.4%	Low	Win
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.67	1	+25.1%	Low	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	7	+10.1%	High	Win
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+13.1%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.27	2	+1.6%	Low	Win
Carson Benge	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.99	0	+17.4%	High	Loss
Christian Scott	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.25	6	+16.1%	High	Win
Bryce Elder	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.69	4	+3.9%	Medium	Loss

BAL @ MIN

29–1039 dec74.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	-2.2%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	0	+11.0%	High	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	2	+7.6%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	2	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	0	+9.7%	High	Win
Austin Martin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	4	+14.1%	High	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	2	+5.6%	High	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	2	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	+6.0%	High	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	—	-1.7%	Low	Void
Victor Caratini	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	0	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Tyler O'Neill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	0	-0.6%	Low	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits	Over 0.5	0.56	1	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	2	+5.3%	High	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.52	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	4	+14.0%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	7	+2.1%	Low	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.20	1	-0.0%	Low	Win
Austin Martin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.83	8	+12.8%	High	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	6	+12.8%	High	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	3	+0.0%	Low	Win
Tyler O'Neill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	0	-0.0%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	2	+9.3%	High	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	—	+5.8%	High	Void
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.44	2	+1.1%	Low	Win
Victor Caratini	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.06	0	-0.2%	Low	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.20	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
Ryan Kreidler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+0.6%	Low	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.17	1	+9.0%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	1	+7.9%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.08	0	+0.8%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.17	2	+18.8%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	3	+1.9%	Low	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.99	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	5	+12.3%	High	Win
Jackson Holliday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.15	2	+0.4%	Low	Win
Dean Kremer	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.27	7	+15.6%	High	Loss
Trevor Rogers	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.95	4	+16.2%	High	Loss

PHI @ STL

22–1537 dec59.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Andrew Painter	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.16	6	+16.1%	High	Win
Hunter Dobbins	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.41	6	+29.1%	Low	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.24	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits	Over 1.5	1.16	—	-3.4%	Low	Void
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 1.5	1.04	2	-1.9%	Low	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 1.5	1.21	1	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 0.5	0.95	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	0	-1.3%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	2	+2.4%	Low	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	—	+0.1%	Low	Void
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	—	-2.8%	Low	Void
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-1.0%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	2	+6.4%	High	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+6.7%	High	Win
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+7.4%	High	Win
Jimmy Crooks	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	0	+2.9%	Medium	Win
César Prieto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.00	0	+22.2%	Low	Win
Bryan Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.31	0	+5.0%	High	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.31	—	+3.4%	Medium	Void
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.91	4	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	2	+5.8%	High	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	6	+5.9%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.26	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	—	+2.4%	Low	Void
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	—	-0.3%	Low	Void
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	3	+5.6%	High	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	2	+9.6%	High	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	2	+13.3%	High	Win
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	1	+12.2%	High	Loss
Jimmy Crooks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.07	0	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Bryan Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
César Prieto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.00	0	+21.7%	Low	Win
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	—	+7.1%	High	Void
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	3	+2.3%	Low	Win
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.76	1	+7.5%	High	Loss
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.11	3	+15.4%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+12.5%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.17	—	+0.0%	Low	Void
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	1	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	—	+2.9%	Medium	Void

TEX @ LAA

18–1937 dec48.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	-0.9%	Low	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	2	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	0	-1.4%	Low	Win
Zach Neto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	-2.2%	Low	Win
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	2	-2.6%	Low	Win
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Wade Meckler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+13.6%	High	Win
Justin Foscue	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	1	+6.3%	High	Loss
Travis d'Arnaud	Hits	Over 0.5	0.56	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Jose Siri	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	0	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	3	+7.7%	High	Win
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	2	+2.5%	Low	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	1	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	2	+9.1%	High	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	3	-0.5%	Low	Win
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	3	-0.0%	Low	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	2	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.24	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Wade Meckler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.73	1	+9.3%	High	Win
Justin Foscue	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.83	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Travis d'Arnaud	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+8.4%	High	Loss
Jose Siri	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	0	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+14.7%	High	Win
Zach Neto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	1	+8.6%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	1	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Reid Detmers	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	6.60	6	+2.3%	Low	Win
MacKenzie Gore	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.93	9	+6.2%	High	Loss

COL @ AZ

16–3046 dec34.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Under 1.5	1.03	2	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Over 1.5	1.42	1	+12.2%	High	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Under 1.5	0.75	1	+7.1%	High	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	2	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	0	+7.6%	High	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	1	+5.3%	High	Win
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	2	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Tim Tawa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Max Kepler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	-2.3%	Low	Win
Kyle Karros	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+8.7%	High	Loss
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+13.1%	High	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+12.7%	High	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	—	+4.9%	Medium	Void
Jordan Beck	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.90	3	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	4	+5.4%	High	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.59	4	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.30	1	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.99	1	+17.9%	High	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	7	+0.1%	Low	Win
Tim Tawa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	0	+5.4%	High	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	1	+10.8%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
Max Kepler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.27	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	0	+10.0%	High	Loss
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	4	+10.8%	High	Win
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.28	1	+21.9%	Low	Loss
Kyle Karros	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+19.3%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.51	—	+8.9%	High	Void
Jordan Beck	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.21	0	+12.8%	High	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	2	-2.7%	Low	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	5	+2.4%	Low	Win
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	3	-1.2%	Low	Win
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.46	1	+21.3%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.87	0	+13.9%	High	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.97	0	+1.3%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	1	+8.1%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+12.0%	High	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	5	+8.5%	High	Win
Tim Tawa	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Michael Soroka	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.75	4	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Hughes	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.67	3	+14.0%	High	Loss

TB @ ATH

25–1641 dec61.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Freddy Peralta	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.47	5	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Jacob Lopez	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.60	5	+19.9%	High	Win
Jacob Wilson	Hits	Under 1.5	1.05	1	+1.5%	Low	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits	Under 1.5	0.93	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 1.5	1.38	2	+8.1%	High	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 1.5	1.19	2	+2.5%	Low	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	-2.4%	Low	Win
Tommy White	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	—	+1.7%	Low	Void
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	2	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Nick Fortes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Ryan Vilade	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	0	+7.0%	High	Win
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	2	-0.1%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Carson Williams	Hits	Under 0.5	0.24	0	+17.8%	High	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	+8.7%	High	Win
Taylor Walls	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	1	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.41	0	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.13	5	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	4	+6.1%	High	Win
Jacob Wilson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	2	-1.4%	Low	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	4	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	3	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.49	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Ryan Vilade	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.31	1	+1.8%	Low	Win
Nick Fortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.41	4	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.21	—	+0.8%	Low	Void
Carson Williams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.85	0	+9.8%	High	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	0	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.25	4	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	3	+11.1%	High	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.31	1	+5.2%	High	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.91	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.03	4	+2.3%	Low	Win
Jacob Wilson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	2	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	2	+7.8%	High	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Ryan Vilade	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.17	0	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	2	+6.2%	High	Win
Lawrence Butler	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.07	2	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Nick Fortes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.01	2	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Tommy White	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.90	—	+0.8%	Low	Void

MIL @ SD

15–2237 dec40.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Logan Henderson	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	7.19	7	+33.2%	Low	Win
Casey Mize	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.93	6	+13.0%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	3	+3.2%	Medium	Win
William Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+8.2%	High	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	1	+12.2%	High	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	1	+14.6%	High	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	0	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Luis Campusano	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	—	+12.4%	High	Void
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	—	+4.9%	Medium	Void
Luis Lara	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	1	-2.5%	Low	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.31	0	+12.5%	High	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	3	+10.1%	High	Win
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	1	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	0	+16.7%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.60	1	+22.0%	Low	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	5	+12.4%	High	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+7.0%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.65	4	+25.5%	Low	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	1	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.33	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	4	+8.1%	High	Win
Luis Lara	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.37	1	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Luis Campusano	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.53	—	+10.7%	High	Void
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.37	—	+8.2%	High	Void
Luis Rengifo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.58	0	+13.3%	High	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.27	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.21	0	+11.8%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	0	+16.1%	High	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.14	3	+18.1%	High	Win
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	0	+8.7%	High	Loss

HOU @ SF

21–1940 dec52.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Blade Tidwell	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	1.93	6	+32.7%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.14	2	-0.0%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Over 1.5	1.06	2	-0.1%	Low	Win
Jose Altuve	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Yainer Diaz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	—	+4.9%	Medium	Void
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	2	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	+0.1%	Low	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-0.6%	Low	Win
Christian Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Osleivis Basabe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Cam Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	3	+9.0%	High	Win
Willy Adames	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Taylor Trammell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Christian Koss	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	1	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Grant McCray	Hits	Under 0.5	0.20	0	+10.3%	High	Win
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.53	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.39	3	+0.1%	Low	Win
Jose Altuve	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	4	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Yainer Diaz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	—	+8.0%	High	Void
Isaac Paredes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	4	-3.1%	Low	Win
Daulton Varsho	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.37	0	-0.7%	Low	Win
Christian Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	0	+9.9%	High	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	2	-0.2%	Low	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Cam Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	7	+14.3%	High	Win
Willy Adames	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	0	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Osleivis Basabe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	1	+14.2%	High	Loss
Taylor Trammell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Drew Gilbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	4	+8.0%	High	Win
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.80	1	-1.4%	Low	Win
Grant McCray	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.53	0	+1.6%	Low	Win
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	3	+1.8%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	5	+11.0%	High	Win
Jose Altuve	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Rafael Devers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Isaac Paredes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	3	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Yainer Diaz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	—	+13.7%	High	Void
Bryce Eldridge	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.15	2	-0.3%	Low	Win
Daulton Varsho	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss

KC @ LAD

16–2036 dec44.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Andy Pages	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	0	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Over 0.5	1.21	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	3	+5.3%	High	Win
Tommy Edman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	+6.0%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	2	+20.6%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.56	2	+0.5%	Low	Win
Starling Marte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.54	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Tyler Tolbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	—	+8.0%	High	Void
Isaac Collins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Kyle Isbel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	1	+10.8%	High	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.53	5	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.19	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	5	+1.9%	Low	Win
Tommy Edman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.49	2	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.54	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	1	+11.8%	High	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	1	+11.9%	High	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.48	6	+20.8%	Low	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.68	0	+12.7%	High	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.75	0	+16.4%	High	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.02	3	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Starling Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+12.5%	High	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.25	0	+15.4%	High	Loss
Tyler Tolbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.40	—	+10.7%	High	Void
Kyle Isbel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.08	4	+14.6%	High	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.24	3	+11.2%	High	Win
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	3	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	0	+8.7%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Tommy Edman	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.06	1	-1.7%	Low	Win
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	2	+1.3%	Low	Win
Tarik Skubal	Strikeouts	Under 7.5	7.63	6	-0.6%	Low	Win
Noah Cameron	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	6.77	2	+20.4%	Low	Loss

all settled dates