10 MLB games · 380 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Rogers Centre38 leansFinal · graded
BOS@TOR

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
first pitch7:07 PM ET
BOS@TOR
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 21 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 21 games
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded
NYM@ATL

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
first pitch7:15 PM ET
NYM@ATL
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 100 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Target Field38 leansFinal · graded
BAL@MIN

Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins
first pitch7:40 PM ET
BAL@MIN
Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 21 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 8 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 66 games
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Busch Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
PHI@STL

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals
first pitch7:45 PM ET
PHI@STL
Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 8 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.00 across 9 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.00 across 9 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 86 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
TEX@LAA

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels
first pitch9:38 PM ET
TEX@LAA
Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 99 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Chase Field38 leansFinal · graded
COL@AZ

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks
first pitch9:40 PM ET
COL@AZ
Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 6 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 15 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 99 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 112 games
Sutter Health Park38 leansFinal · graded
TB@ATH

Tampa Bay Rays at Athletics
first pitch9:40 PM ET
TB@ATH
Tampa Bay Rays at Athletics
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 18 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.27 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 103 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Petco Park38 leansFinal · graded
MIL@SD

Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
first pitch9:40 PM ET
MIL@SD
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 10 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 115 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 105 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 117 games
Oracle Park38 leansFinal · graded
HOU@SF

Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants
first pitch9:45 PM ET
HOU@SF
Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 1.4 K across 9 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.20 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.39 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.58 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 117 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
KC@LAD

Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Dodgers
first pitch10:10 PM ET
KC@LAD
Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Dodgers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 22 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 7.2 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 110 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 110 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 53 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
