54.7%

227–188 on 415 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-08-06. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

227

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

188

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

54.7%

227–188 on 415

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBMax ClarkOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+27.8pp edgeactual 2
MLBCeddanne RafaelaOver 1.5 Total Bases+25.5pp edgeactual 2
MLBAlex BregmanOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+24.5pp edgeactual 5
MLBSpencer TorkelsonOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+22.1pp edgeactual 2
MLBMax ClarkOver 0.5 Hits+20.5pp edgeactual 1

Biggest misses

MLBMason BarnettUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+35.7pp edgeactual 7
MLBJanson JunkOver 3.5 Strikeouts+16.9pp edgeactual 1
MLBMichael WachaOver 4.5 Strikeouts+9.5pp edgeactual 1
MLBBailey OberOver 3.5 Strikeouts-2.0pp edgeactual 0
MLBLuis Robert Jr.Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-2.0pp edgeactual 5

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

LAA @ BAL

29–1948 dec60.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ryan Johnson	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.59	1	+5.6%	High	Win
Brandon Young	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.43	4	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits	Under 1.5	0.91	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.75	0	+6.1%	High	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Jeremiah Jackson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	0	+12.4%	High	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	0	+13.8%	High	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	-0.9%	Low	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	2	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	2	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Yohel Pozo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	1	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Oswald Peraza	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	0	-2.7%	Low	Win
Jose Siri	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	2	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Josh Lowe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	0	+1.9%	Low	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	0	+2.3%	Low	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.02	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.64	0	+1.1%	Low	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Dylan Beavers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.20	1	+8.1%	High	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.39	0	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Jeremiah Jackson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.44	0	+0.5%	Low	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	2	-0.9%	Low	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	2	+7.0%	High	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.44	6	-3.0%	Low	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.42	4	-3.1%	Low	Win
Yohel Pozo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.89	3	+11.6%	High	Loss
Oswald Peraza	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.12	0	-3.4%	Low	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.85	0	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Jose Siri	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.18	2	-0.8%	Low	Win
Josh Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.85	0	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Leody Taveras	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.00	0	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Jeremiah Jackson	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.85	0	+2.2%	Low	Win
Dylan Beavers	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.87	1	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Zach Neto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.08	5	-2.5%	Low	Win
Mike Trout	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	3	+7.0%	High	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	0	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Wade Meckler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.21	2	+1.9%	Low	Win

ATH @ CIN

25–1338 dec65.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Mason Barnett	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	2.34	7	+35.7%	Low	Loss
Andrew Abbott	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.88	4	+19.8%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Under 1.5	0.98	2	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Tommy White	Hits	Under 0.5	1.03	2	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	-2.8%	Low	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	-0.3%	Low	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-2.5%	Low	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	2	+6.3%	High	Loss
Jonah Heim	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-0.2%	Low	Win
Noelvi Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Dane Myers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	0	+0.5%	Low	Win
Brian Serven	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	1	-2.8%	Low	Win
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Alika Williams	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.41	3	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.53	5	+6.3%	High	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.48	4	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	3	+1.1%	Low	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	3	-2.7%	Low	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	2	-2.1%	Low	Win
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	3	-3.3%	Low	Win
Noelvi Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.24	1	+1.0%	Low	Win
Dane Myers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.29	1	-0.3%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	2	+2.3%	Low	Win
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.24	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.70	2	+12.5%	High	Win
Alika Williams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.86	0	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Brian Serven	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	4	+5.8%	High	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.93	4	+8.3%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.85	5	+7.6%	High	Win
JJ Bleday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	5	-1.2%	Low	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.56	4	+6.7%	High	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	1	+7.4%	High	Loss
Henry Bolte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	1	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Tommy White	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.09	2	-3.2%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	1	+11.3%	High	Loss

NYM @ CLE

19–1433 dec57.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Foster Griffin	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.66	6	+18.5%	High	Loss
Nolan McLean	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	7.24	8	+20.4%	Low	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 1.5	1.06	2	-2.6%	Low	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	2	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	2	-0.3%	Low	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	3	+6.3%	High	Win
Luis Robert Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	3	+7.6%	High	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	3	-3.1%	Low	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	2	+15.6%	High	Win
Luis Torrens	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Petey Halpin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	2	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Eric Wagaman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	1	+7.1%	High	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	5	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	3	+2.3%	Low	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	6	+9.5%	High	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	6	+10.7%	High	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.29	4	-2.4%	Low	Win
Luis Robert Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.18	5	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	6	+14.9%	High	Win
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	7	+9.1%	High	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.12	1	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Petey Halpin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.02	2	-2.7%	Low	Win
Luis Torrens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.66	7	+11.2%	High	Win
Eric Wagaman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.75	2	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.70	0	+16.7%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	3	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Francisco Lindor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	5	+14.1%	High	Win

PIT @ MIL

24–1034 dec70.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Dustin May	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.39	5	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Braxton Ashcraft	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.06	5	+7.8%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	1	+5.6%	High	Win
William Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	—	-0.9%	Low	Void
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	2	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+13.0%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+6.8%	High	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Spencer Horwitz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Cooper Pratt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+6.6%	High	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	—	+2.6%	Medium	Void
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	—	+16.6%	High	Void
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	0	-2.2%	Low	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	0	-1.6%	Low	Loss
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	3	+9.9%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	1	+5.3%	High	Loss
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	—	+4.8%	Medium	Void
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.46	3	+16.0%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	2	+11.9%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	2	+8.7%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	1	+12.0%	High	Loss
Andrew Vaughn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	2	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Spencer Horwitz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	2	+12.0%	High	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.41	—	+2.0%	Low	Void
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.55	—	+22.4%	Low	Void
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.29	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Cooper Pratt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	3	+12.7%	High	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.21	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.85	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+10.1%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	4	+11.7%	High	Win
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.10	4	+17.6%	High	Win
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	—	+10.7%	High	Void
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	2	+5.6%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	2	+5.6%	High	Win

TOR @ CHC

6–1218 dec33.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
David Peterson	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.49	3	+14.6%	High	Loss
Dylan Cease	Strikeouts	Over 7.5	8.68	10	+18.0%	High	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	2	+7.0%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 0.5	1.32	0	+18.6%	High	Loss
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	2	+19.8%	High	Win
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+18.2%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+10.2%	High	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.53	4	+17.9%	High	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	5	+24.5%	Low	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.57	0	+25.8%	Low	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.66	0	+27.1%	Low	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+15.2%	High	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.36	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.95	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	—	-2.5%	Low	Void
Ernie Clement	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	2	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Kazuma Okamoto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	1	+9.8%	High	Loss

DET @ SEA

24–933 dec72.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bryce Miller	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.21	5	+14.3%	High	Win
Framber Valdez	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.02	5	+9.9%	High	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	1	+7.5%	High	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	3	+5.5%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	2	+8.8%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	0	+11.5%	High	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	-0.6%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	—	+6.2%	High	Void
Taylor Ward	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Gleyber Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Riley Greene	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	-0.7%	Low	Win
Brendan Donovan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	—	-2.7%	Low	Void
Max Clark	Hits	Over 0.5	1.40	1	+20.5%	Low	Win
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	—	+0.9%	Low	Void
Colt Keith	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	3	+14.6%	High	Win
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+15.7%	High	Win
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Colt Emerson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	7	+17.1%	High	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.39	1	+12.3%	High	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.62	8	+15.2%	High	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.37	1	-2.4%	Low	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+9.1%	High	Loss
Riley Greene	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	2	+8.3%	High	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.47	2	+17.7%	High	Win
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.47	—	+0.5%	Low	Void
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	0	+14.9%	High	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	—	+5.0%	High	Void
Brendan Donovan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.21	—	-2.8%	Low	Void
Colt Keith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	6	+12.0%	High	Win
Max Clark	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.80	2	+27.8%	Low	Win
Spencer Torkelson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	2	+22.1%	Low	Win
Colt Emerson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.35	1	+7.4%	High	Win
Zach McKinstry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.68	1	+18.2%	High	Win
Dillon Dingler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.10	6	+16.3%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	5	+11.6%	High	Win
Riley Greene	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	2	+6.3%	High	Win
Randy Arozarena	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.09	1	+21.2%	Low	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+15.9%	High	Loss

WSH @ PHI

21–2243 dec48.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Miles Mikolas	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	1.99	1	+18.4%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	1.21	2	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.35	2	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 1.5	0.90	2	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits	Under 1.5	0.97	1	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Under 1.5	0.86	2	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	2	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	2	+6.8%	High	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	-3.0%	Low	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	-1.6%	Low	Win
Brady House	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	2	-0.0%	Low	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Andrés Chaparro	Hits	Under 0.5	0.42	1	+6.6%	High	Loss
Jorbit Vivas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	—	+3.3%	Medium	Void
Harry Ford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	1	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.36	3	-2.9%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.25	4	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.63	3	+6.1%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.07	2	-2.7%	Low	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.71	4	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.57	3	+7.5%	High	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.60	5	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	4	+8.6%	High	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	1	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Brady House	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+8.6%	High	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	4	+12.0%	High	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	0	+18.8%	High	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.81	0	+9.9%	High	Loss
Andrés Chaparro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.33	1	-1.2%	Low	Win
Jorbit Vivas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.70	—	+0.5%	Low	Void
Harry Ford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	2	+1.6%	Low	Win
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	3	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	3	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.31	2	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.27	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.23	3	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.85	3	+8.7%	High	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	3	-3.0%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	4	+9.9%	High	Win
Dylan Crews	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	1	+5.3%	High	Loss
Justin Crawford	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.07	1	-3.3%	Low	Win

CWS @ BOS

22–2042 dec52.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Luis Castillo	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.58	5	+13.9%	High	Loss
Ranger Suarez	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.87	3	+13.4%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 1.5	1.32	2	+7.2%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Under 1.5	0.99	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Masataka Yoshida	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	2	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	3	+2.5%	Low	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	—	+2.0%	Low	Void
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	3	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Nick Sogard	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	1	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Randal Grichuk	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	2	-2.9%	Low	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	2	+9.7%	High	Win
Brenton Doyle	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Joey Bart	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	0	+2.3%	Low	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+12.4%	High	Loss
Connor Wong	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	2	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.37	4	+1.4%	Low	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.01	2	+17.7%	High	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	—	-2.5%	Low	Void
Masataka Yoshida	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.58	4	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	1	+6.4%	High	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.26	6	+8.1%	High	Win
Nick Sogard	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.36	3	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	9	+8.1%	High	Win
Randal Grichuk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.97	2	+5.4%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	5	+6.7%	High	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	5	+15.7%	High	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.63	0	+20.7%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.28	4	-0.8%	Low	Win
Joey Bart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.96	0	-1.2%	Low	Win
Brenton Doyle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	2	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Connor Wong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.01	5	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.18	1	+9.7%	High	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.23	3	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	—	+0.4%	Low	Void
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.58	2	+25.5%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	4	+7.8%	High	Win
Nick Sogard	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.01	1	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Chase Meidroth	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	9	+8.6%	High	Win

MIA @ ATL

15–2035 dec42.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Janson Junk	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.21	1	+16.9%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits	Under 1.5	1.09	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits	Under 1.5	0.90	3	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Under 1.5	1.03	1	-1.6%	Low	Win
Matt Olson	Hits	Under 1.5	1.02	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	-1.7%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	2	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	-2.4%	Low	Win
Agustín Ramírez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	-2.4%	Low	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	—	-1.0%	Low	Void
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	0	+0.5%	Low	Win
Esteury Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.99	2	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	1	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	6	+5.9%	High	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.75	8	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	2	-3.5%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+5.8%	High	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.34	4	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	2	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Agustín Ramírez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	1	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.26	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	—	+4.9%	Medium	Void
Esteury Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.30	6	+13.6%	High	Win
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	6	-0.2%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	1	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.18	2	-2.1%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	2	+16.6%	High	Win
Austin Riley	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.24	3	+1.9%	Low	Win
Agustín Ramírez	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.04	1	-2.3%	Low	Win

MIN @ KC

18–3048 dec37.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bailey Ober	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.97	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Michael Wacha	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.02	1	+9.5%	High	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Under 1.5	1.04	0	-1.6%	Low	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	0.95	3	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Under 0.5	0.90	1	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+6.7%	High	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	+5.9%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	1	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	+0.7%	Low	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	1	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Michael Massey	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	0	-2.8%	Low	Win
Alan Roden	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Kyle Isbel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	—	-0.9%	Low	Void
John Rave	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.79	5	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.49	2	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	3	-0.8%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.19	3	+11.3%	High	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	2	-0.3%	Low	Win
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.47	1	-2.9%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	2	+2.1%	Low	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	2	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Michael Massey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.25	0	-1.3%	Low	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	3	+2.0%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Kyle Isbel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.17	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Ryan Kreidler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.29	—	+1.3%	Low	Void
Alan Roden	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.28	1	-0.8%	Low	Loss
John Rave	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	4	-2.3%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	1	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Carter Jensen	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.29	1	-3.1%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.00	4	+14.8%	High	Win
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	1	+9.2%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	1	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Michael Massey	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.26	1	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Isaac Collins	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	1	+5.0%	High	Loss

SD @ AZ

24–1943 dec55.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kohl Drake	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.00	1	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Walker Buehler	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.90	3	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.05	1	-2.9%	Low	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Under 1.5	0.79	3	+6.7%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	2	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	2	+2.2%	Low	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	1	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	3	-2.5%	Low	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	2	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+10.0%	High	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Luis Campusano	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	—	+10.3%	High	Void
Tim Tawa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Max Kepler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	1	-1.6%	Low	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	0	+24.2%	Low	Loss
Jase Bowen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.39	—	+1.2%	Low	Void
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	3	-0.6%	Low	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.58	3	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	2	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	3	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.61	1	-2.6%	Low	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.46	4	+11.4%	High	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	4	+14.1%	High	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	2	-0.6%	Low	Win
Lars Nootbaar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.38	1	-2.8%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Luis Campusano	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	—	+5.2%	High	Void
Tim Tawa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+9.1%	High	Loss
Max Kepler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.95	0	+19.2%	High	Loss
Jase Bowen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.91	—	+2.0%	Low	Void
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	2	+1.4%	Low	Win
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	2	+2.0%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Luis Rengifo	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.00	3	+6.9%	High	Loss
Ty France	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	4	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	2	+11.3%	High	Win
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	4	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.11	2	-3.3%	Low	Win

all settled dates