11 MLB games · 394 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards38 leansFinal · graded
LAA@BAL

Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles
first pitch12:35 PM ET
LAA@BAL
Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 18 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.49 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 70 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Great American Ball Park38 leansFinal · graded
ATH@CIN

Athletics at Cincinnati Reds
first pitch12:40 PM ET
ATH@CIN
Athletics at Cincinnati Reds
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 1.9 K across 15 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 5 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 5 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 70 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
Progressive Field36 leansFinal · graded
NYM@CLE

New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians
first pitch1:10 PM ET
NYM@CLE
New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.7 K across 22 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.35 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 57 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
American Family Field38 leansFinal · graded
PIT@MIL

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
first pitch2:10 PM ET
PIT@MIL
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 21 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 102 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 86 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Wrigley Field16 leansFinal · graded
TOR@CHC

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs
first pitch2:20 PM ET
TOR@CHC
Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 8.7 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 98 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 113 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 112 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 110 games
T-Mobile Park38 leansFinal · graded
DET@SEA

Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners
first pitch4:10 PM ET
DET@SEA
Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 13 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.80 across 5 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 113 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 5 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 57 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Citizens Bank Park38 leansFinal · graded
WSH@PHI

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies
first pitch6:05 PM ET
WSH@PHI
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.4 K across 23 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 93 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Fenway Park38 leansFinal · graded
CWS@BOS

Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox
first pitch7:10 PM ET
CWS@BOS
Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 19 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 78 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 79 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded
MIA@ATL

Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves
first pitch7:15 PM ET
MIA@ATL
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 15 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 114 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Kauffman Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
MIN@KC

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals
first pitch7:40 PM ET
MIN@KC
Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 77 games
Chase Field38 leansFinal · graded
SD@AZ

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
first pitch9:40 PM ET
SD@AZ
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 3 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 48 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.38 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 108 games
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
