Overview MLB· live NBA· archive Parlays· pending snapshots

Settled projections · Tuesday, August 4

51.6%

292–274 on 566 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-08-04. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

292

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

274

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

51.6%

292–274 on 566

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBBlade TidwellUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+34.8pp edgeactual 3
MLBCeddanne RafaelaOver 1.5 Total Bases+27.4pp edgeactual 2
MLBJames McCannOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+24.0pp edgeactual 4
MLBSeiya SuzukiOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+23.9pp edgeactual 2
MLBJung Hoo LeeOver 1.5 Total Bases+23.4pp edgeactual 2

Biggest misses

MLBTrey YesavageOver 5.5 Strikeouts+15.8pp edgeactual 0
MLBDavis MartinOver 4.5 Strikeouts+7.8pp edgeactual 1
MLBJonathan ArandaUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+6.0pp edgeactual 5
MLBRoyce LewisUnder 0.5 Hits-2.5pp edgeactual 4
MLBJosh BellUnder 1.5 Total Bases+0.7pp edgeactual 5

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

LAA @ BAL

15–2540 dec37.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Grayson Rodriguez	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.82	6	+20.4%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	2	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+1.2%	Low	Win
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Zach Neto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Tyler O'Neill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	—	+8.9%	High	Void
Yohel Pozo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	—	+1.9%	Low	Void
Coby Mayo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Josh Lowe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.44	2	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Travis d'Arnaud	Hits	Under 0.5	0.48	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Jose Siri	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	3	+2.1%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.65	0	-2.7%	Low	Win
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	1	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.55	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Tyler O'Neill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.45	3	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	3	-2.9%	Low	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.53	0	+14.8%	High	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	2	+10.9%	High	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.18	—	-0.6%	Low	Void
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+10.9%	High	Loss
Coby Mayo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+7.9%	High	Loss
Yohel Pozo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.89	—	+9.9%	High	Void
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.39	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Travis d'Arnaud	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Josh Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.95	2	-0.8%	Low	Win
Jose Siri	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.87	1	+8.6%	High	Loss
Mike Trout	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	1	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	1	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Dylan Beavers	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.04	0	-1.2%	Low	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+17.6%	High	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+10.9%	High	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	4	+0.5%	Low	Win
Grayson Rodriguez	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.82	6	+19.7%	High	Loss

ATH @ CIN

17–2138 dec44.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jacob Wilson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.91	1	+6.0%	High	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
Tommy White	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-1.3%	Low	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	1	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	3	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Jonah Heim	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	2	+9.5%	High	Win
Noelvi Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	—	+0.0%	Low	Void
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	0	+6.6%	High	Win
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Dane Myers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Donovan Walton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.48	0	+0.7%	Low	Win
Matt McLain	Hits	Under 0.5	0.42	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.26	5	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.53	3	+8.6%	High	Win
Jacob Wilson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.63	3	-3.2%	Low	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	2	-0.9%	Low	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	0	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	3	+7.2%	High	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.17	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Noelvi Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.08	—	+1.0%	Low	Void
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	4	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Dane Myers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	0	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	1	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.98	2	-1.4%	Low	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	1	+8.2%	High	Loss
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	1	+11.4%	High	Loss
Jacob Wilson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	2	-2.4%	Low	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	2	+5.2%	High	Win
JJ Bleday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Brady Singer	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.70	6	-0.9%	Low	Win

NYM @ CLE

18–1533 dec54.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	2	-2.5%	Low	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	1.30	1	+10.8%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	1	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	2	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+6.0%	High	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Luis Robert Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Rhys Hoskins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	0	-1.0%	Low	Win
Austin Hedges	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Luis Torrens	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	3	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Eric Wagaman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	—	-2.5%	Low	Void
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+6.2%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	4	+1.5%	Low	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	0	+9.7%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	2	+5.2%	High	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.17	1	-2.3%	Low	Win
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	3	+6.0%	High	Win
Luis Robert Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	1	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Rhys Hoskins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.29	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	2	+5.8%	High	Win
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	2	+10.2%	High	Win
Austin Hedges	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.40	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Luis Torrens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.36	8	+7.6%	High	Win
Eric Wagaman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.75	—	-0.1%	Low	Void
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.27	5	+0.5%	Low	Win
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	1	+6.1%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	1	+11.1%	High	Loss
Joey Cantillo	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.91	5	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Sean Manaea	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.29	7	+0.5%	Low	Loss

WSH @ PHI

20–1838 dec52.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Trea Turner	Hits	Over 1.5	1.11	3	-0.8%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 1.5	0.91	0	+0.6%	Low	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	1	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	2	-2.7%	Low	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Dylan Crews	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	2	+0.1%	Low	Win
Brady House	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+1.6%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	2	+9.2%	High	Win
Andrés Chaparro	Hits	Under 0.5	0.41	0	+5.4%	High	Win
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Harry Ford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.50	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.75	0	+6.1%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.26	1	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.10	6	-2.7%	Low	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	2	-2.0%	Low	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.51	2	-0.9%	Low	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	2	+7.2%	High	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	3	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+13.5%	High	Loss
Brady House	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+15.9%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.43	2	+21.0%	Low	Win
Andrés Chaparro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.23	0	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.77	0	+14.3%	High	Loss
Harry Ford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.38	1	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.38	0	-0.2%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.00	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.87	3	+9.6%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.18	1	-2.3%	Low	Win
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.08	2	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	3	+5.1%	High	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Dylan Crews	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+15.4%	High	Loss

STL @ NYY

10–1626 dec38.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Hunter Dobbins	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.44	4	+10.3%	High	Win
Ryan Weathers	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.63	6	-0.7%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	-0.5%	Low	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	1	+6.7%	High	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	—	+7.3%	High	Void
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	0	-1.0%	Low	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Spencer Jones	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	0	+0.3%	Low	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+8.0%	High	Win
Blaze Jordan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	1	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.45	1	+1.0%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.30	3	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	—	+9.3%	High	Void
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.57	0	+17.4%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Jones	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.41	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.12	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+11.3%	High	Loss
Blaze Jordan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.56	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Austin Wells	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+8.9%	High	Loss
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	—	+6.0%	High	Void
Trent Grisham	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.12	1	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+21.7%	Low	Loss
Hunter Dobbins	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.44	4	+5.0%	High	Loss

CWS @ BOS

22–2042 dec52.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Patrick Sandoval	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.00	5	+10.8%	High	Win
Davis Martin	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.84	1	+7.8%	High	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 1.5	1.37	1	+9.0%	High	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.91	2	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	+2.2%	Low	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	2	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	2	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Anthony Seigler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	0	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	2	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	2	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	2	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	1	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Randal Grichuk	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+13.0%	High	Win
Connor Wong	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	0	-1.4%	Low	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.59	6	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.01	5	+19.1%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	1	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	6	-1.7%	Low	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	2	+5.6%	High	Win
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	8	-0.3%	Low	Win
Anthony Seigler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.31	0	+2.1%	Low	Win
Masataka Yoshida	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.43	4	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	5	+5.9%	High	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	5	+7.3%	High	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.76	1	+19.4%	High	Loss
Randal Grichuk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.08	1	+2.5%	Low	Win
Connor Wong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	2	-0.9%	Low	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.74	2	+27.4%	Low	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	8	+2.0%	Low	Win
Caleb Durbin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.27	5	+1.3%	Low	Win
Jarren Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	5	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Colson Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Anthony Seigler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.21	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	1	+8.2%	High	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.07	3	-2.8%	Low	Win

MIA @ ATL

16–1733 dec48.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Grant Holmes	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.88	5	+9.5%	High	Loss
Ryan Gusto	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.83	5	+13.4%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits	Under 1.5	1.09	2	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Under 1.5	1.03	0	-2.6%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits	Under 1.5	0.90	1	+0.6%	Low	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	—	+0.9%	Low	Void
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.94	1	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+0.9%	Low	Win
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	2	-3.0%	Low	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Joe Mack	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Owen Caissie	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Esteury Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	—	-3.1%	Low	Void
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.19	3	+1.0%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.75	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.62	2	+12.3%	High	Win
Kyle Stowers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	—	-2.2%	Low	Void
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	3	+6.7%	High	Win
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.47	5	-2.3%	Low	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.24	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
Joe Mack	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Owen Caissie	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.32	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Esteury Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.19	—	-1.9%	Low	Void
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.56	3	-0.1%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	2	+0.6%	Low	Win
Kyle Stowers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.11	1	+11.9%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.40	3	+19.0%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	4	+8.6%	High	Win
Xavier Edwards	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	—	+1.4%	Low	Void
Austin Riley	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	5	+1.1%	Low	Win

PIT @ MIL

18–1634 dec52.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	3	+6.4%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	1	+9.1%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	1	+11.2%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
William Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	2	+0.2%	Low	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+8.8%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	2	+20.9%	Low	Win
Luis Lara	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	1	-2.2%	Low	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	—	+18.7%	High	Void
Cooper Pratt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	2	+13.0%	High	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
Henry Davis	Hits	Over 0.5	0.56	—	+2.6%	Medium	Void
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	+14.0%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	6	+7.7%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.43	1	+15.3%	High	Loss
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	3	+1.0%	Low	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.62	2	+22.4%	Low	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	1	+14.7%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.55	—	+22.6%	Low	Void
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	0	+15.7%	High	Loss
Luis Lara	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	2	+10.5%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	0	+15.8%	High	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.31	0	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	0	+18.9%	High	Loss
Cooper Pratt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.04	3	+14.5%	High	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.81	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.26	3	+7.7%	High	Win
Henry Davis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	—	+11.9%	High	Void
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.21	1	+14.4%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	6	+8.9%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	1	+17.7%	High	Loss
Logan Henderson	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	6.37	8	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Jared Jones	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.86	4	+2.0%	Low	Loss

MIN @ KC

23–2346 dec50.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Randy Dobnak	Strikeouts	Over 2.5	3.09	1	+7.9%	High	Loss
Joe Ryan	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.14	3	+8.3%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Under 1.5	1.05	0	+0.7%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Under 1.5	0.80	2	+9.9%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits	Under 1.5	0.89	0	+5.5%	High	Win
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	0	+1.1%	Low	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	0	+5.5%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	4	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	2	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Alan Roden	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	0	+9.7%	High	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	0	-0.4%	Low	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Michael Massey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	-1.3%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	-1.1%	Low	Win
Isaac Collins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Kyle Isbel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	2	-0.1%	Low	Win
John Rave	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+11.0%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.93	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.69	4	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	4	+5.9%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.57	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	4	-2.0%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Alan Roden	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.24	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	2	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Ryan Kreidler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.31	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Michael Massey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	2	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	1	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Kyle Isbel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.95	4	-1.4%	Low	Win
John Rave	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.40	0	+11.8%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.20	5	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	2	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Trevor Larnach	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	5	+9.4%	High	Win
Carter Jensen	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	0	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	2	+12.5%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	1	+4.4%	Medium	Loss

LAD @ CHC

18–2038 dec47.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Javier Assad	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.22	3	-0.5%	Low	Win
Tarik Skubal	Strikeouts	Over 7.5	8.21	6	+11.1%	High	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Over 1.5	1.26	1	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 1.5	1.59	1	+17.4%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Hits	Over 1.5	1.18	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.90	0	+0.1%	Low	Win
Mookie Betts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	+1.7%	Low	Win
Max Muncy	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	0	+0.4%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	2	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 0.5	1.21	2	+11.1%	High	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	1	+11.6%	High	Win
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+11.0%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+11.9%	High	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	—	+0.2%	Low	Void
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	3	+7.5%	High	Win
Ian Happ	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.53	1	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.39	1	+8.7%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Max Muncy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.50	0	-0.7%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	4	+0.2%	Low	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.44	4	+17.5%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.67	2	+23.9%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	2	+17.8%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	5	+19.4%	High	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	—	+11.2%	High	Void
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	0	+18.8%	High	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.43	0	+7.9%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.82	6	+10.3%	High	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.29	1	+7.1%	High	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+11.1%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.84	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Max Muncy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Tommy Edman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	5	+1.6%	Low	Win
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.17	0	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.20	2	+19.5%	High	Win

SF @ TEX

26–1642 dec61.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
MacKenzie Gore	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	6.51	4	-2.6%	Low	Win
Blade Tidwell	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	1.30	3	+34.8%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	3	-2.1%	Low	Win
Corey Seager	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	3	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	3	+9.1%	High	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Willy Adames	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Evan Carter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Daniel Susac	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	+1.1%	Low	Win
Nicky Lopez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Christian Koss	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	0	-2.6%	Low	Win
Osleivis Basabe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	+8.8%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	1	+6.1%	High	Win
Grant McCray	Hits	Under 0.5	0.29	0	+6.0%	High	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	1	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	5	-1.7%	Low	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.56	4	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	1	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	1	+16.4%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	2	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	7	+19.2%	High	Win
Evan Carter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Willy Adames	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+7.0%	High	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	3	+7.3%	High	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	0	+15.3%	High	Loss
Daniel Susac	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.83	1	+10.4%	High	Win
Nicky Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Osleivis Basabe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.40	4	+16.8%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	3	+8.6%	High	Win
Grant McCray	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
Corey Seager	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	3	+2.3%	Low	Win
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	0	+8.9%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	4	+5.8%	High	Win
Joc Pederson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+12.2%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	2	+7.9%	High	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.25	2	+23.4%	Low	Win

TOR @ HOU

16–1733 dec48.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Trey Yesavage	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.44	0	+15.8%	High	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	0	+6.8%	High	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+8.8%	High	Win
Jose Altuve	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	3	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Yainer Diaz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	2	+11.1%	High	Win
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Brandon Valenzuela	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	—	+1.3%	Low	Void
Christian Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	+11.9%	High	Win
Cam Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+9.2%	High	Win
Myles Straw	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	2	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Taylor Trammell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	1	+9.4%	High	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.67	2	+6.0%	High	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.19	0	+5.0%	High	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.28	1	+17.3%	High	Loss
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	0	+16.9%	High	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Jose Altuve	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	7	+7.0%	High	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	0	+5.0%	High	Loss
Yainer Diaz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	3	+15.6%	High	Win
Christian Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	3	+15.6%	High	Win
Brandon Valenzuela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.42	—	+4.0%	Medium	Void
Cam Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	2	+15.4%	High	Win
Myles Straw	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.89	4	-1.9%	Low	Win
Taylor Trammell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.55	6	+18.1%	High	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.12	1	+7.8%	High	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.01	0	+1.5%	Low	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Ernie Clement	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	0	+7.8%	High	Loss

TB @ COL

30–1747 dec63.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Freddy Peralta	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.06	3	-1.4%	Low	Win
Gabriel Hughes	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.27	7	+19.1%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits	Under 1.5	0.99	2	+12.6%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Under 1.5	1.21	2	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Under 1.5	1.08	1	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Under 1.5	0.93	3	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Under 1.5	0.81	1	+6.8%	High	Win
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	0.62	0	+11.7%	High	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	-1.6%	Low	Win
Kyle Karros	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Richie Palacios	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	0	+11.2%	High	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	-0.5%	Low	Win
Taylor Walls	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	+5.1%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	1	+9.0%	High	Win
Troy Johnston	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	0	-2.0%	Low	Win
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+7.1%	High	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	2	-3.4%	Low	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.15	3	+6.4%	High	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.98	5	+6.0%	High	Loss
Cedric Mullins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.81	2	+6.0%	High	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.84	2	+5.5%	High	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	5	+0.3%	Low	Win
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.38	0	+7.2%	High	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	5	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Kyle Karros	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	1	+8.4%	High	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	1	+5.7%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.31	3	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	1	+11.5%	High	Loss
Richie Palacios	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.33	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	4	+10.6%	High	Win
Troy Johnston	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.29	0	-2.0%	Low	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	4	+1.9%	Low	Win
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Under 2.5	2.15	2	+0.5%	Low	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.46	1	+2.2%	Low	Win
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.38	2	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Cedric Mullins	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Mickey Moniak	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.18	4	+9.2%	High	Win
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	3	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Victor Mesa Jr.	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.23	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	1	+8.1%	High	Loss
Kyle Karros	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Richie Palacios	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.01	0	-0.1%	Low	Win
Cole Carrigg	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	1	+17.7%	High	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	2	+7.1%	High	Win
Taylor Walls	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.85	1	+7.5%	High	Win

SD @ AZ

29–1443 dec67.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Eduardo Rodriguez	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.45	4	+6.8%	High	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Under 1.5	0.81	0	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	1.00	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	0	+0.2%	Low	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	1	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	0	+7.5%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	3	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	3	-2.0%	Low	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Max Kepler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	0	+0.7%	Low	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	2	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Tim Tawa	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
James McCann	Hits	Over 0.5	1.42	1	+16.5%	High	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	3	+1.4%	Low	Win
Luis Campusano	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	—	+11.7%	High	Void
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	1	+19.8%	High	Win
Jase Bowen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.44	1	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	3	-2.3%	Low	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.77	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	3	-1.4%	Low	Win
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.47	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	8	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	7	+10.5%	High	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	2	+6.9%	High	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	4	-3.5%	Low	Win
Max Kepler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.43	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	3	-0.5%	Low	Win
Tim Tawa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	1	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
James McCann	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.94	4	+24.0%	Low	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	4	+7.8%	High	Win
Luis Campusano	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	—	+7.1%	High	Void
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.04	1	+19.4%	High	Win
Jase Bowen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.11	2	+6.7%	High	Win
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	2	-1.9%	Low	Win
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.93	3	+12.7%	High	Win
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	4	+5.5%	High	Win
Ty France	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Luis Rengifo	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.21	1	-2.5%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	4	+0.4%	Low	Win
Max Kepler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.07	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	2	+12.0%	High	Win

DET @ SEA

14–1933 dec42.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Emerson Hancock	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.13	6	+8.1%	High	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.39	0	+15.1%	High	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Riley Greene	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	3	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+7.4%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	+0.4%	Low	Win
Colt Keith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	3	+9.7%	High	Win
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+12.5%	High	Win
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Colt Emerson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	3	+11.1%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.56	1	+17.2%	High	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	0	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.31	0	+14.5%	High	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	1	+12.9%	High	Loss
Riley Greene	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	6	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	1	+10.1%	High	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	5	+12.4%	High	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	5	+15.3%	High	Win
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	1	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	1	+20.9%	Low	Loss
Colt Keith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.62	5	+8.9%	High	Win
Colt Emerson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.40	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Zach McKinstry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.62	4	+18.7%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+13.8%	High	Loss
Riley Greene	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	6	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Dillon Dingler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	5	+11.1%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	1	+15.8%	High	Loss
Josh Naylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Cole Young	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.07	0	+22.7%	Low	Loss

all settled dates