58.5%

214–152 on 366 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-07-02. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

214

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

152

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

58.5%

214–152 on 366

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBEsmerlyn ValdezOver 1.5 Total Bases+25.1pp edgeactual 4
MLBSpencer TorkelsonOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+22.3pp edgeactual 1
MLBJorge SolerOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.4pp edgeactual 1
MLBNolan SchanuelOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.7pp edgeactual 2
MLBTristan PetersOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.2pp edgeactual 2

Biggest misses

MLBIan SeymourUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+16.9pp edgeactual 8
MLBDustin MayOver 4.5 Strikeouts+14.5pp edgeactual 1
MLBChase BurnsOver 7.5 Strikeouts+6.0pp edgeactual 4
MLBMickey MoniakUnder 1.5 Total Bases-2.4pp edgeactual 7
MLBTroy JohnstonUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+2.4pp edgeactual 5

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

PIT @ PHI

24–1741 dec58.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jared Jones	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.89	6	+19.0%	High	Loss
Alan Rangel	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.33	4	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits	Over 1.5	1.24	1	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Konnor Griffin	Hits	Over 1.5	1.12	—	-1.6%	Low	Void
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 1.5	1.21	3	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	-1.4%	Low	Win
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	-1.5%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	1	+5.6%	High	Loss
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	1.39	0	+10.7%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	—	+3.7%	Medium	Void
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	3	+7.2%	High	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	2	+11.2%	High	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Tyler Callihan	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	—	+1.0%	Low	Void
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	0	-2.8%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.14	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.29	3	-0.1%	Low	Win
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.77	1	+11.2%	High	Loss
Konnor Griffin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	—	+1.7%	Low	Void
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.64	2	+9.3%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	1	+5.5%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.60	1	-1.4%	Low	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	6	+6.9%	High	Win
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.72	1	+11.2%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.03	0	+21.0%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	1	+6.0%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	—	-0.3%	Low	Void
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.58	6	+16.4%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	5	+6.8%	High	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Tyler Callihan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	—	+4.8%	Medium	Void
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.04	0	-1.6%	Low	Win
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	2	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Konnor Griffin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	—	+5.7%	High	Void
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.10	2	+10.5%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.11	1	+15.8%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.78	0	+28.6%	Low	Loss
Ryan O'Hearn	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	2	+14.1%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	6	+5.3%	High	Win
Bryson Stott	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	2	-1.4%	Low	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.14	—	-2.7%	Low	Void
Esmerlyn Valdez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.56	4	+25.1%	Low	Win

CIN @ MIL

21–1536 dec58.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jacob Misiorowski	Strikeouts	Over 9.5	9.61	10	+1.9%	Low	Win
Chase Burns	Strikeouts	Over 7.5	7.55	4	+6.0%	High	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	1	+5.5%	High	Win
William Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+11.7%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+11.6%	High	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+10.0%	High	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+14.3%	High	Win
Noelvi Marte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Cooper Pratt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Edwin Arroyo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	+16.4%	High	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	+11.9%	High	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	—	+19.3%	High	Void
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	1	+7.5%	High	Win
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	1	+9.0%	High	Win
TJ Friedl	Hits	Over 0.5	0.39	2	-1.2%	Low	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	2	+8.5%	High	Win
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	0	+11.3%	High	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	2	+14.1%	High	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	0	+16.9%	High	Loss
Sal Frelick	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	3	+18.3%	High	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	1	+19.2%	High	Loss
Noelvi Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.49	3	+16.1%	High	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.87	3	+13.8%	High	Win
Cooper Pratt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.85	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	2	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Edwin Arroyo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.68	0	+18.8%	High	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.85	—	+22.9%	Low	Void
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+8.5%	High	Win
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.18	1	+11.6%	High	Win
TJ Friedl	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.72	5	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.08	1	+14.1%	High	Loss
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	0	+16.9%	High	Loss

MIA @ COL

27–2451 dec52.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ryan Gusto	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.30	2	+9.2%	High	Win
Michael Lorenzen	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.67	1	+0.6%	Low	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits	Under 1.5	1.31	3	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 1.5	1.36	0	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Liam Hicks	Hits	Over 1.5	1.29	1	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Under 1.5	1.16	2	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Over 1.5	1.19	2	-1.1%	Low	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Under 1.5	0.76	3	+10.1%	High	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Under 1.5	0.98	1	+1.8%	Low	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Under 1.5	0.91	—	+1.7%	Low	Void
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 1.5	1.22	2	+2.2%	Low	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	0	+14.8%	High	Win
Troy Johnston	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	2	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Griffin Conine	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	0	+5.9%	High	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Joe Mack	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Owen Caissie	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	0	-2.3%	Low	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	0	+6.1%	High	Win
Kyle Karros	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Edouard Julien	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.49	5	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.19	1	-0.2%	Low	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.50	—	-1.0%	Low	Void
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.26	2	-0.5%	Low	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.89	8	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Liam Hicks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.52	3	+1.1%	Low	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.72	0	+1.9%	Low	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.36	9	+1.4%	Low	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.46	2	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	5	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.16	1	+13.4%	High	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	4	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Troy Johnston	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.44	5	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Joe Mack	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Owen Caissie	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.25	0	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Kyle Karros	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Edouard Julien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.19	3	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.16	6	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Mickey Moniak	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.77	7	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.44	—	+5.9%	High	Void
Kyle Stowers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	1	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.99	5	+7.0%	High	Win
Liam Hicks	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	1	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Griffin Conine	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.33	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	3	+7.8%	High	Win
Javier Sanoja	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.90	2	+8.6%	High	Win
Jakob Marsee	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.81	0	+12.1%	High	Win
Cole Carrigg	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	1	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Troy Johnston	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.11	3	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Owen Caissie	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Joe Mack	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.03	0	-1.6%	Low	Win

CWS @ CLE

31–1142 dec73.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Davis Martin	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.55	0	+1.4%	Low	Win
Slade Cecconi	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.50	3	+13.6%	High	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	2	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	1.31	1	+9.5%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	2	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Andrew Benintendi	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-3.1%	Low	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Kyle Teel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
Kyle Manzardo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	-0.2%	Low	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+5.6%	High	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	1	-0.2%	Low	Win
Kahlil Watson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+13.3%	High	Loss
Gabriel Arias	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+8.2%	High	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+8.1%	High	Win
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	2	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	4	+11.6%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	2	+7.6%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	2	+11.7%	High	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	4	+5.9%	High	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	1	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Kyle Teel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	3	+13.6%	High	Win
Kyle Manzardo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.33	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	4	+10.0%	High	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	5	+5.2%	High	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+12.4%	High	Win
Kahlil Watson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	0	+17.2%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.22	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Gabriel Arias	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	2	-1.7%	Low	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.44	1	+19.8%	High	Loss
Tristan Peters	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	2	+19.2%	High	Win
Patrick Bailey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.98	3	+1.2%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	2	+12.2%	High	Win
Colson Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	3	+10.9%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+12.4%	High	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	3	+6.3%	High	Win
Andrew Benintendi	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss

STL @ ATL

16–2238 dec42.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Dustin May	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.43	1	+14.5%	High	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	1	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Under 0.5	0.93	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	+9.5%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	2	+4.4%	Medium	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	+1.5%	Low	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	3	+7.2%	High	Win
Austin Riley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Blaze Jordan	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	-1.5%	Low	Win
Dominic Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	2	+11.0%	High	Win
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.16	—	+19.3%	High	Void
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	1	-0.8%	Low	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	1	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Jimmy Crooks	Hits	Under 0.5	0.31	1	+8.1%	High	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.43	2	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	4	-2.0%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	1	+11.6%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	8	+2.1%	Low	Win
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	5	+0.9%	Low	Win
Lars Nootbaar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	3	+9.1%	High	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	5	+15.4%	High	Win
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Dominic Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.18	5	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Blaze Jordan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	4	+5.7%	High	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.91	2	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.36	—	+20.6%	Low	Void
Jimmy Crooks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.60	1	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.99	1	+0.9%	Low	Win
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	4	+2.1%	Low	Win
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	1	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	5	+6.3%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.90	0	+14.8%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	2	+8.8%	High	Win

TB @ KC

22–2042 dec52.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Stephen Kolek	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	2.98	0	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Ian Seymour	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.35	8	+16.9%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits	Under 1.5	1.25	0	-1.1%	Low	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.22	0	-1.0%	Low	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Under 1.5	1.17	3	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 1.5	1.28	1	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	0.65	0	+11.2%	High	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	2	-2.6%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-2.7%	Low	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	1	+11.2%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	—	+3.0%	Medium	Void
Starling Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Richie Palacios	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+8.0%	High	Win
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	0	+0.1%	Low	Win
Isaac Collins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+5.2%	High	Win
Hunter Feduccia	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	3	+9.0%	High	Loss
Tyler Tolbert	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	—	-0.1%	Low	Void
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	3.40	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.57	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.60	1	+5.4%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.63	5	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.60	0	+0.3%	Low	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	5	-0.1%	Low	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.05	1	+11.3%	High	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	1	+6.2%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.31	—	+2.5%	Low	Void
Richie Palacios	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.20	3	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Starling Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.46	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	3	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	4	+16.0%	High	Win
Hunter Feduccia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.93	4	+9.6%	High	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	3	+7.2%	High	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+5.0%	High	Loss
Tyler Tolbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.96	—	+4.1%	Medium	Void
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	3.11	0	+19.1%	High	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.90	1	+7.1%	High	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.17	1	+12.9%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	3	-0.0%	Low	Win
Victor Mesa Jr.	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.22	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Cedric Mullins	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	5	+5.2%	High	Win
Lane Thomas	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.81	2	+7.0%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.04	—	-1.5%	Low	Void
Starling Marte	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.96	0	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Richie Palacios	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.80	1	+6.5%	High	Win

DET @ TEX

29–1241 dec70.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Nathan Eovaldi	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.24	9	+9.1%	High	Win
Framber Valdez	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.97	1	+2.2%	Low	Win
Josh Jung	Hits	Under 1.5	1.02	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Riley Greene	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	2	+6.1%	High	Win
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Justin Foscue	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	0	+1.5%	Low	Win
Kerry Carpenter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Colt Keith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	1	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Kyle Higashioka	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	-2.7%	Low	Win
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Alejandro Osuna	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	3	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Nicky Lopez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	3	+14.2%	High	Win
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+9.9%	High	Win
Evan Carter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.56	2	-1.1%	Low	Win
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+15.9%	High	Win
James Outman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.50	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Josh Jung	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	5	-0.5%	Low	Win
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.19	2	+13.7%	High	Win
Riley Greene	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	1	+10.1%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	4	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Justin Foscue	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.43	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	2	+11.9%	High	Win
Kerry Carpenter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	0	+11.6%	High	Loss
Kyle Higashioka	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Colt Keith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.29	3	+2.3%	Low	Win
Alejandro Osuna	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	6	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Nicky Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.58	6	+16.7%	High	Win
Zach McKinstry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.61	4	+16.4%	High	Win
Evan Carter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.27	5	+7.1%	High	Win
Spencer Torkelson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.98	1	+22.3%	Low	Win
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.46	4	+16.7%	High	Win
James Outman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.39	0	+17.3%	High	Loss
Josh Jung	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	3	+6.0%	High	Win
Riley Greene	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	2	+11.7%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+8.3%	High	Win
Jake Burger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	2	+8.5%	High	Win

LAA @ SEA

14–2034 dec41.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bryce Miller	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.62	8	+7.8%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+12.3%	High	Win
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+7.0%	High	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	0	-1.0%	Low	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+9.7%	High	Loss
Victor Robles	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Colt Emerson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Jorge Soler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+11.8%	High	Win
Josh Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+16.0%	High	Loss
Donovan Walton	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	—	+25.9%	Low	Void
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.36	1	-3.4%	Low	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	1	+8.4%	High	Loss
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	0	+16.1%	High	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	2	+0.5%	Low	Win
Victor Robles	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.97	0	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	2	+19.7%	High	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	0	+20.9%	Low	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.18	1	+15.5%	High	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.84	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Colt Emerson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.36	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.82	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Jorge Soler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.92	1	+20.4%	Low	Win
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.55	0	+16.0%	High	Loss
Josh Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.79	0	+21.3%	Low	Loss
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.32	—	+30.9%	Low	Void
Josh Naylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	0	+5.2%	High	Loss

SD @ LAD

30–1141 dec73.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Roki Sasaki	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.51	3	+5.6%	High	Win
Andy Pages	Hits	Over 1.5	1.13	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Over 1.5	1.11	1	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+1.6%	Low	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.40	1	+12.6%	High	Win
Mookie Betts	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	2	+7.6%	High	Win
Max Muncy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	4	-0.1%	Low	Win
Tommy Edman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.43	2	+13.6%	High	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Samad Taylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+14.3%	High	Win
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	1	+1.5%	Low	Win
Freddy Fermin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.42	1	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	1	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Dalton Rushing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	4	-0.0%	Low	Win
Alex Freeland	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	—	+1.3%	Low	Void
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.55	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	4	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.73	1	+15.4%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	3	+8.9%	High	Win
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.52	5	+12.6%	High	Win
Max Muncy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	5	+7.0%	High	Win
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	4	+9.7%	High	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	8	+6.1%	High	Win
Tommy Edman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	5	+15.3%	High	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.32	3	+1.2%	Low	Win
Dalton Rushing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	11	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	1	+12.4%	High	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	1	+8.3%	High	Loss
Samad Taylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	2	+16.0%	High	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.75	5	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Freddy Fermin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.90	1	-0.7%	Low	Win
Alex Freeland	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.13	—	+4.5%	Medium	Void
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.87	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.84	2	+5.8%	High	Win
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.35	1	+19.2%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.84	2	+11.3%	High	Win
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.19	3	+17.6%	High	Win
Roki Sasaki	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.51	3	+6.7%	High	Win

← 2026-07-01 all settled dates 2026-07-03 →