9 MLB games · 343 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Citizens Bank Park38 leansFinal · graded
PIT@PHI

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
first pitch12:35 PM ET
PIT@PHI
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 6 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 3 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 82 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 80 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
American Family Field38 leansFinal · graded
CIN@MIL

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
first pitch2:10 PM ET
CIN@MIL
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 7.0 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 10.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 9.1 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.62 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 64 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 51 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Coors Field38 leansFinal · graded
MIA@COL

Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies
first pitch3:10 PM ET
MIA@COL
Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.9 K across 7 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 18 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 75 games
Progressive Field38 leansFinal · graded
CWS@CLE

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
first pitch6:40 PM ET
CWS@CLE
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.29
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.86
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 76 games
- Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded
STL@ATL

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves
first pitch7:15 PM ET
STL@ATL
St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 15 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.22 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.42 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 23 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.43 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 70 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Kauffman Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
TB@KC

Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals
first pitch7:40 PM ET
TB@KC
Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 1.7 K across 30 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 9 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.41 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.41 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 71 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Globe Life Field38 leansFinal · graded
DET@TEX

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers
first pitch8:05 PM ET
DET@TEX
Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 86 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 38 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
T-Mobile Park38 leansFinal · graded
LAA@SEA

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
first pitch9:40 PM ET
LAA@SEA
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.8 K across 8 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 25 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 25 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 47 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 84 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 65 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 75 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium39 leansFinal · graded
SD@LAD

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
first pitch10:10 PM ET
SD@LAD
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 14 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 51 games
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
