46.4%

142–164 on 306 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-06-18. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

142

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

164

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

46.4%

142–164 on 306

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBKyle HigashiokaOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+23.9pp edgeactual 1
MLBShane DrohanUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+22.5pp edgeactual 3
MLBCarter JensenOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.9pp edgeactual 5
MLBSean ManaeaUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+21.3pp edgeactual 5
MLBKyle HigashiokaOver 0.5 Hits+19.4pp edgeactual 1

Biggest misses

MLBShane BazUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+21.5pp edgeactual 9
MLBJackson ChourioOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.5pp edgeactual 0
MLBStarling MarteUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+6.3pp edgeactual 6
MLBParker MessickUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+6.3pp edgeactual 9
MLBLane ThomasUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-3.5pp edgeactual 5

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

TOR @ BOS

14–2943 dec32.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Trey Yesavage	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.55	6	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Sonny Gray	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.03	4	+9.4%	High	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	0.91	1	+5.5%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 1.5	1.14	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
George Springer	Hits	Under 1.5	0.80	2	+8.1%	High	Loss
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 1.5	1.08	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	1	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Willson Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+2.3%	Low	Win
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	+6.8%	High	Loss
Mickey Gasper	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	2	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+0.4%	Low	Win
Brandon Valenzuela	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	2	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Connor Wong	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	0	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.84	3	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	2	+3.2%	Medium	Win
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.75	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	2	+6.1%	High	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	1	+7.7%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Mickey Gasper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.21	2	+7.4%	High	Loss
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.41	3	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.34	3	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	3	-1.0%	Low	Win
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	2	+8.2%	High	Win
Connor Wong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Brandon Valenzuela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	3	+9.5%	High	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.03	0	-2.9%	Low	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.16	4	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
George Springer	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	3	-0.8%	Low	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	2	+9.7%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.29	0	+17.9%	High	Loss
Ernie Clement	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+12.1%	High	Loss
Jarren Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	0	+5.8%	High	Loss
Mickey Gasper	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.92	3	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.23	4	+0.1%	Low	Win
Caleb Durbin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.11	4	-0.8%	Low	Win
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.93	4	+3.4%	Medium	Loss

CLE @ MIL

13–2235 dec37.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Parker Messick	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.84	9	+6.3%	High	Loss
Shane Drohan	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.35	3	+22.5%	Low	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.53	0	+11.5%	High	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	1	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	2	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Kyle Manzardo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	1	-2.4%	Low	Win
David Fry	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	1	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Rhys Hoskins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	0	-1.4%	Low	Win
Blake Perkins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.35	1	+5.8%	High	Loss
Joey Ortiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Arias	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	1	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Stuart Fairchild	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	0	+0.3%	Low	Win
Austin Hedges	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+21.6%	Low	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.33	0	+20.5%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.61	1	+15.1%	High	Loss
Andrew Vaughn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	1	+8.1%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.52	1	+19.3%	High	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	3	+0.7%	Low	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.41	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.53	0	+23.3%	Low	Loss
Kyle Manzardo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.22	3	-1.3%	Low	Win
Rhys Hoskins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.17	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
David Fry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.79	3	+6.3%	High	Loss
Blake Perkins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+1.6%	Low	Win
Joey Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	0	+9.9%	High	Loss
Gabriel Arias	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.38	1	+11.9%	High	Win
Stuart Fairchild	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Austin Hedges	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.53	0	+21.6%	Low	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	3.08	0	+28.9%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	2	+12.7%	High	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+14.6%	High	Loss

MIN @ TEX

27–1542 dec64.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jack Leiter	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.29	4	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Joe Ryan	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	6.79	7	+1.1%	Low	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits	Over 0.5	1.31	0	+7.9%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Josh Jung	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+5.6%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+5.8%	High	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	3	-1.1%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	2	+10.1%	High	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Victor Caratini	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	3	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+7.0%	High	Win
Josh Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	2	+5.8%	High	Win
Joc Pederson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+15.1%	High	Win
Alejandro Osuna	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Tristan Gray	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Kyle Higashioka	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+19.4%	High	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.00	0	+16.0%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	8	-0.4%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.44	4	+19.2%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	5	+7.5%	High	Win
Josh Jung	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	2	+7.5%	High	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	4	+11.4%	High	Win
Victor Caratini	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	5	+8.3%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	3	+11.0%	High	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	3	+13.7%	High	Win
Josh Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.97	1	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Joc Pederson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.26	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.93	1	+12.0%	High	Win
Alejandro Osuna	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+7.0%	High	Loss
Tristan Gray	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Kyle Higashioka	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.83	1	+23.9%	Low	Win
Byron Buxton	Total Bases	Over 1.5	3.03	0	+21.8%	Low	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+14.3%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	1	+11.3%	High	Loss
Josh Jung	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	2	+9.0%	High	Win

BAL @ SEA

17–2340 dec42.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bryan Woo	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	6.21	9	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Shane Baz	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.99	9	+21.5%	Low	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+1.5%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+6.6%	High	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	0	+5.9%	High	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Victor Robles	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+15.6%	High	Win
Samuel Basallo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	1	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Colt Emerson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	1	+1.1%	Low	Win
Blaze Alexander	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+18.4%	High	Loss
Luke Raley	Hits	Over 0.5	0.55	—	-3.1%	Low	Void
Colton Cowser	Hits	Over 0.5	0.52	1	-0.0%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	2	+6.2%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	1	+5.8%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.19	0	+1.4%	Low	Win
J.P. Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	0	+16.0%	High	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.45	0	+14.4%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	0	+10.7%	High	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	0	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	3	+16.2%	High	Win
Luke Raley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.31	—	+2.3%	Low	Void
Victor Robles	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.11	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.60	1	+12.0%	High	Win
Colt Emerson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.82	3	+13.2%	High	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.57	1	+9.1%	High	Win
Blaze Alexander	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.98	0	+15.4%	High	Loss
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	1	+12.5%	High	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Josh Naylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	1	+11.9%	High	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.82	0	+2.2%	Low	Win
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+14.9%	High	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+15.0%	High	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+15.4%	High	Loss

NYM @ PHI

29–2049 dec59.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Aaron Nola	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.03	6	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Sean Manaea	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.91	5	+21.3%	Low	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 1.5	1.36	0	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	0.91	0	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Under 0.5	0.91	2	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Juan Soto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	2	+7.6%	High	Win
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	3	-2.2%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	0	+4.0%	Medium	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	0	+6.8%	High	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	2	-2.2%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	2	-1.7%	Low	Win
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Jared Young	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	0	+0.9%	Low	Win
Edmundo Sosa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+7.7%	High	Win
Derek Hill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.41	1	+2.3%	Low	Loss
MJ Melendez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	0	-2.7%	Low	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.91	0	+12.8%	High	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.55	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Juan Soto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.46	6	+8.4%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	4	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	2	+0.4%	Low	Win
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	4	+0.5%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	0	+14.9%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	1	-3.1%	Low	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	3	+0.6%	Low	Win
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.24	1	+0.7%	Low	Win
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	4	+0.4%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	2	+13.4%	High	Win
Brett Baty	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.33	0	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Edmundo Sosa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	1	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	1	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Derek Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.87	2	+2.1%	Low	Win
MJ Melendez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.26	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.29	0	-1.5%	Low	Win
Juan Soto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.12	8	+12.9%	High	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.87	1	+7.1%	High	Loss
Carson Benge	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	3	+6.2%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	3	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	0	+2.2%	Low	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.09	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	0	+15.9%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.37	3	+5.8%	High	Win
Sean Manaea	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.91	5	+19.5%	High	Loss

CWS @ NYY

17–2441 dec41.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ryan Weathers	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.74	8	-2.5%	Low	Win
Sean Burke	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.83	8	+10.5%	High	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Over 1.5	1.04	1	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.33	1	+11.8%	High	Win
Randal Grichuk	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Jasson Domínguez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Edgar Quero	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	+1.9%	Low	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	0	-1.1%	Low	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	2	-2.5%	Low	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+10.8%	High	Win
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	1	-2.4%	Low	Win
Spencer Jones	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
J.C. Escarra	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.40	1	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.68	0	+10.0%	High	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.84	1	+16.2%	High	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	1	+9.1%	High	Loss
Jasson Domínguez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Randal Grichuk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.48	0	-2.0%	Low	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	4	+10.3%	High	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	0	+10.7%	High	Loss
Edgar Quero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.16	0	-0.4%	Low	Win
Ryan McMahon	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.12	3	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	2	+18.6%	High	Win
Spencer Jones	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	1	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
J.C. Escarra	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.13	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.08	1	+7.6%	High	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.09	0	+13.1%	High	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.39	1	+19.5%	High	Loss
Randal Grichuk	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	1	+7.3%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	5	+15.8%	High	Win
Jasson Domínguez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.76	0	+12.3%	High	Loss

SF @ ATL

0–00 dec—

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.40	—	+7.7%	High	Void
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 1.5	1.10	—	+1.9%	Low	Void
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.32	—	+2.3%	Low	Void
Casey Schmitt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	—	+0.7%	Low	Void
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	—	+8.2%	High	Void
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	—	+2.8%	Medium	Void
Matt Chapman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	—	+3.0%	Medium	Void
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	—	+0.5%	Low	Void
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	—	+13.5%	High	Void
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	—	+12.4%	High	Void
Dominic Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	—	+2.6%	Medium	Void
Willy Adames	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	—	-1.3%	Low	Void
Austin Riley	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	—	+0.7%	Low	Void
Daniel Susac	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	—	+6.9%	High	Void
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.24	—	+13.2%	High	Void
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Over 0.5	0.51	—	-3.5%	Low	Void
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	—	-1.1%	Low	Void
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	—	+4.2%	Medium	Void
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.44	—	+12.3%	High	Void
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.69	—	+16.8%	High	Void
Casey Schmitt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	—	-1.5%	Low	Void
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.39	—	+12.9%	High	Void
Matt Chapman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	—	+10.5%	High	Void
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	—	+8.1%	High	Void
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	—	+5.7%	High	Void
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.45	—	+17.9%	High	Void
Dominic Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	—	+0.8%	Low	Void
Willy Adames	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	—	+5.2%	High	Void
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	—	+1.3%	Low	Void
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.58	—	+20.4%	Low	Void
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.58	—	+14.7%	High	Void
Daniel Susac	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	—	+9.6%	High	Void
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.94	—	-0.7%	Low	Void
Drew Gilbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.00	—	+5.2%	High	Void
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	—	+7.6%	High	Void
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.11	—	+18.3%	High	Void
Casey Schmitt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	—	+6.2%	High	Void
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.42	—	+25.9%	Low	Void
Matt Chapman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	—	+13.9%	High	Void
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.76	—	+13.9%	High	Void
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	—	+9.6%	High	Void

STL @ KC

20–1434 dec58.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Noah Cameron	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.15	6	+13.6%	High	Win
Matthew Liberatore	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.29	2	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.22	2	-3.3%	Low	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Over 1.5	1.21	3	+0.5%	Low	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 1.5	1.07	2	-2.3%	Low	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Maikel Garcia	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	—	-3.1%	Low	Void
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+6.1%	High	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	3	+0.8%	Low	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	2	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	3	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Starling Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	3	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Blaze Jordan	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	2	+8.4%	High	Win
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	—	+7.4%	High	Void
Nick Loftin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	2	+2.3%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	2	+14.3%	High	Win
Isaac Collins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	2	-2.5%	Low	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.08	6	+0.2%	Low	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	4	+7.0%	High	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.44	3	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Maikel Garcia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	—	+6.6%	High	Void
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.66	1	+15.7%	High	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	4	+9.6%	High	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.49	5	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.31	6	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Masyn Winn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	5	+7.0%	High	Win
Starling Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.07	6	+6.3%	High	Loss
Blaze Jordan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	4	+15.5%	High	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	5	+21.9%	Low	Win
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	—	+6.3%	High	Void
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	5	+1.7%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	4	+5.5%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.64	5	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	2	+7.4%	High	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	4	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Maikel Garcia	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	—	-0.7%	Low	Void
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.41	0	+24.1%	Low	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	4	+13.5%	High	Win
Masyn Winn	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.08	4	-1.9%	Low	Loss

LAA @ ATH

5–1722 dec22.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Gage Jump	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.70	7	+15.4%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.29	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Nick Madrigal	Hits	Under 0.5	0.93	0	-2.5%	Low	Win
Oswald Peraza	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	1	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+12.4%	High	Loss
Jose Siri	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.19	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.75	0	+14.7%	High	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.55	1	+14.1%	High	Loss
Oswald Peraza	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.28	1	+1.0%	Low	Win
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Nick Madrigal	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	0	+15.6%	High	Loss
Jose Siri	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.61	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.92	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Zach Neto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	0	+12.3%	High	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	1	+13.7%	High	Loss
Oswald Peraza	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.12	2	-1.7%	Low	Win
Nick Madrigal	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.01	0	-0.1%	Low	Win

← 2026-06-17 all settled dates 2026-06-19 →