9 MLB games · 322 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Fenway Park38 leansFinal · graded
TOR@BOS

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
first pitch1:35 PM ET
TOR@BOS
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 9 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 41 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
American Family Field36 leansFinal · graded
CLE@MIL

Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers
first pitch2:10 PM ET
CLE@MIL
Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.9 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 14 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.29 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.88
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.46 across 67 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 32 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 32 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.86 across 37 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.38
- SeasonSeason average 0.38 across 8 games
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
Globe Life Field38 leansFinal · graded
MIN@TEX

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
first pitch2:35 PM ET
MIN@TEX
Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.1 K across 15 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 36 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 69 games
T-Mobile Park38 leansFinal · graded
BAL@SEA

Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
first pitch4:10 PM ET
BAL@SEA
Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 14 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 61 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Citizens Bank Park39 leansFinal · graded
NYM@PHI

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
first pitch6:40 PM ET
NYM@PHI
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 15 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 15 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.42 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 74 games
Yankee Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
CWS@NYY

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees
first pitch7:05 PM ET
CWS@NYY
Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 13 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.86
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.60 across 67 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded
SF@ATL

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves
first pitch7:15 PM ET
SF@ATL
San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.9 K across 14 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.78 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.28 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 33 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 74 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Kauffman Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
STL@KC

St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals
first pitch7:40 PM ET
STL@KC
St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 13 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.33
- SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.58 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 67 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 75 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Sutter Health Park19 leansFinal · graded
LAA@ATH

Los Angeles Angels at Athletics
first pitch9:40 PM ET
LAA@ATH
Los Angeles Angels at Athletics
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 4 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.12
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.12
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 74 games
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
