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GameTime Picks
Settled · graded against final box scores
142–164 on 306 decisive picks · 46.4%2026-06-18
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MLB model board · 2026-06-18

9 MLB games · 322 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDJun 18, 12:48 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
121
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
46
model vs market · context
Small gap
120
10 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
25
no projection emitted
Strikeouts6 gap ≥ 5 pp·18 totalHits40 gap ≥ 5 pp·152 totalHits + Runs + RBIs75 gap ≥ 5 pp·152 total
Filters · 322 of 322 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Fenway Park38 leansFinal · graded

TOR@BOS

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox

first pitch
1:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Trey Yesavage
probable · awayTrey Yesavage
TOR
Sonny Gray
probable · homeSonny Gray
BOS
Strikeouts
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
BOSvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.03
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 12 starts
+103 · draftkings
Trey Yesavage
Trey Yesavage
TORvsBOSPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER4.5
Projection4.55
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 9 starts
+112 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela
TORvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 44 games
+116 · draftkings
Connor Wong
Connor Wong
BOSvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 26 games
+112 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 71 games
-102 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.8
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 52 games
-250 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 68 games
-135 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.21
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 28 games
-106 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 62 games
+163 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 73 games
-140 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.91
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 70 games
-197 · draftkings
Connor Wong
Connor Wong
BOSvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 26 games
-157 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 28 games
+158 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 70 games
-133 · draftkings
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela
TORvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 44 games
-158 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.25
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 66 games
-160 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 68 games
-233 · draftkings
Andruw Monasterio
Andruw Monasterio
BOSvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.03
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 38 games
-169 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 39 games
-226 · draftkings
Andruw Monasterio
Andruw Monasterio
BOSvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 38 games
-130 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 66 games
-115 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 66 games
-203 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.14
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 66 games
+175 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 70 games
-231 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 52 games
+119 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 73 games
+189 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 70 games
+126 · draftkings
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
BOSvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 41 games
+183 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 39 games
-112 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 62 games
-118 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 71 games
-180 · draftkings
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
BOSvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 41 games
-108 · draftkings
Yohendrick Pinango
TOR @ BOSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jesus Sanchez
TOR @ BOSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
TOR @ BOSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yohendrick Pinango
TOR @ BOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jesus Sanchez
TOR @ BOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
TOR @ BOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
American Family Field36 leansFinal · graded

CLE@MIL

Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers

first pitch
2:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Parker Messick
probable · awayParker Messick
CLE
Shane Drohan
probable · homeShane Drohan
MIL
Strikeouts
Parker Messick
Parker Messick
CLEvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.84
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.9 K across 14 starts
-146 · draftkings
Shane Drohan
Shane DrohanModel anomaly
MILvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER5.5
Projection4.35
Edge+22.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 14 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-105 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.52
Edge+19.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 62 games
+107 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.61
Edge+15.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 41 games
-116 · draftkings
Gabriel Arias
Gabriel Arias
CLEvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.38
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 11 games
-152 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.53
Edge+11.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 37 games
-253 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 51 games
-162 · draftkings
Andrew Vaughn
Andrew Vaughn
MILvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.1
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 34 games
-109 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 67 games
-166 · draftkings
David Fry
David Fry
CLEvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.79
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 44 games
-170 · draftkings
Blake Perkins
Blake Perkins
MILvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.35
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.29 across 34 games
-105 · draftkings
Stuart Fairchild
Stuart Fairchild
CLEvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.88
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 8 games
-135 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 41 games
-219 · draftkings
David Fry
David Fry
CLEvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.45
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 44 games
+111 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 62 games
-162 · draftkings
Gabriel Arias
Gabriel Arias
CLEvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 11 games
-123 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 51 games
-127 · draftkings
Andrew Vaughn
Andrew Vaughn
MILvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 34 games
-205 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice TurangModel anomaly
MILvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.53
Edge+23.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.46 across 67 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+119 · draftkings
Austin Hedges
Austin HedgesModel anomaly
CLEvsMILBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+21.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 32 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+113 · draftkings
Austin Hedges
Austin HedgesModel anomaly
CLEvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.53
Edge+21.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 32 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-114 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson ChourioModel anomaly
MILvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection3.33
Edge+20.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.86 across 37 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-123 · draftkings
Rhys Hoskins
Rhys Hoskins
CLEvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.17
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 58 games
+125 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 43 games
+140 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 64 games
-149 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 71 games
+116 · draftkings
Blake Perkins
Blake Perkins
MILvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 34 games
-174 · draftkings
Rhys Hoskins
Rhys Hoskins
CLEvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 58 games
-104 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 64 games
+125 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 43 games
+108 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 71 games
+137 · draftkings
Stuart Fairchild
Stuart Fairchild
CLEvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.38
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.38
  • SeasonSeason average 0.38 across 8 games
-124 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsCLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Gary Sanchez
CLE @ MILBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Gary Sanchez
CLE @ MILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Globe Life Field38 leansFinal · graded

MIN@TEX

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers

first pitch
2:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Joe Ryan
probable · awayJoe Ryan
MIN
Jack Leiter
probable · homeJack Leiter
TEX
Strikeouts
Jack Leiter
Jack Leiter
TEXvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER5.5
Projection5.29
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 14 starts
+107 · draftkings
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MINvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER6.5
Projection6.79
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.1 K across 15 starts
-118 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Kyle Higashioka
Kyle Higashioka
TEXvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+19.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 36 games
+109 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+19.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 72 games
+104 · draftkings
Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MINvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection3
Edge+16%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 63 games
-141 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+15.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 71 games
-137 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 41 games
+101 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 62 games
+133 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.93
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 71 games
-169 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+11.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 61 games
-111 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 31 games
+116 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 69 games
+132 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 72 games
-175 · draftkings
Victor Caratini
Victor Caratini
MINvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 53 games
+124 · draftkings
Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MINvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.31
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 63 games
-256 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 68 games
+106 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 69 games
+105 · draftkings
Alejandro Osuna
Alejandro Osuna
TEXvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 40 games
-168 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 62 games
-152 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 41 games
-181 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 69 games
-146 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 71 games
-197 · draftkings
Victor Caratini
Victor Caratini
MINvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 53 games
-153 · draftkings
Tristan Gray
Tristan Gray
MINvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 45 games
-139 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 31 games
-169 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 61 games
-213 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 71 games
+100 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 68 games
-207 · draftkings
Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEXvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 68 games
-175 · draftkings
Josh Smith
Josh Smith
TEXvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.97
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 32 games
-180 · draftkings
Kyle Higashioka
Kyle HigashiokaModel anomaly
TEXvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.83
Edge+23.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 36 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-114 · draftkings
Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEXvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 68 games
-142 · draftkings
Alejandro Osuna
Alejandro Osuna
TEXvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 40 games
-133 · draftkings
Tristan Gray
Tristan Gray
MINvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 45 games
-110 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 60 games
-176 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 60 games
+102 · draftkings
Josh Smith
Josh Smith
TEXvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 32 games
-152 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 69 games
-191 · draftkings
T-Mobile Park38 leansFinal · graded

BAL@SEA

Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners

first pitch
4:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Shane Baz
probable · awayShane Baz
BAL
Bryan Woo
probable · homeBryan Woo
SEA
Strikeouts
Shane Baz
Shane BazModel anomaly
BALvsSEAPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER5.5
Projection3.99
Edge+21.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 14 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-142 · draftkings
Bryan Woo
Bryan Woo
SEAvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER6.5
Projection6.21
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 14 starts
-133 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+18.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 53 games
-127 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+16.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 75 games
+125 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+16%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 75 games
-102 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+15.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 75 games
-157 · draftkings
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.98
Edge+15.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 53 games
-159 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.45
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 53 games
+103 · draftkings
Colt Emerson
Colt Emerson
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.82
Edge+13.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 25 games
-172 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 61 games
-130 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.6
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 61 games
-180 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 74 games
+108 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 57 games
-104 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.57
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 26 games
-164 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 57 games
-187 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 68 games
-123 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 43 games
+134 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 66 games
-109 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
BALvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 74 games
-170 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 74 games
-107 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 75 games
-195 · draftkings
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 62 games
+122 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BALvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 53 games
-201 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 61 games
-142 · draftkings
Luke Raley
Luke Raley
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 65 games
-123 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 74 games
+160 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 66 games
-197 · draftkings
Luke Raley
Luke Raley
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 65 games
+125 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 68 games
-245 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.19
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 43 games
-126 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 26 games
+102 · draftkings
Colt Emerson
Colt Emerson
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 25 games
-131 · draftkings
Victor Robles
Victor Robles
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 17 games
-159 · draftkings
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 62 games
-155 · draftkings
Victor Robles
Victor Robles
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.11
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 17 games
-169 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 61 games
-104 · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
BAL @ SEABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
BAL @ SEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Citizens Bank Park39 leansFinal · graded

NYM@PHI

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Sean Manaea
probable · awaySean Manaea
NYM
Aaron Nola
probable · homeAaron Nola
PHI
Strikeouts
Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
NYMvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.91
Edge+19.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 15 starts
+127 · draftkings
Sean Manaea
Sean ManaeaModel anomaly
NYMvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER5.5
Projection3.91
Edge+21.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 15 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-158 · fanduel
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHIvsNYMPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER5.5
Projection5.03
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 14 starts
-140 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+14.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 69 games
-111 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.07
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 68 games
+100 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.91
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 74 games
+126 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.46
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 57 games
-147 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 43 games
-155 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 57 games
-252 · draftkings
MJ Melendez
MJ Melendez
NYMvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 48 games
-142 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 49 games
+159 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 68 games
-193 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 69 games
-207 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 43 games
+115 · draftkings
Edmundo Sosa
Edmundo Sosa
PHIvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 41 games
+112 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.1
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 70 games
-140 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsNYMBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 73 games
+177 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsPHIBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 74 games
+146 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 73 games
-129 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsNYMBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.91
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 72 games
-241 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 72 games
+118 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 49 games
-111 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 68 games
-168 · draftkings
MJ Melendez
MJ Melendez
NYMvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.47
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 48 games
-118 · draftkings
Derek Hill
Derek Hill
PHIvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.41
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.42 across 45 games
-108 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 70 games
-247 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 34 games
-201 · draftkings
Derek Hill
Derek Hill
PHIvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 45 games
-150 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 70 games
+198 · draftkings
Edmundo Sosa
Edmundo Sosa
PHIvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 41 games
-163 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 74 games
-185 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 71 games
-206 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.33
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 68 games
+112 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 29 games
+123 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 29 games
-127 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.59
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 34 games
-106 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 70 games
-133 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 71 games
-137 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 74 games
-101 · draftkings
Yankee Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

CWS@NYY

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees

first pitch
7:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Sean Burke
probable · awaySean Burke
CWS
Ryan Weathers
probable · homeRyan Weathers
NYY
Strikeouts
Sean Burke
Sean Burke
CWSvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.83
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 14 starts
+114 · draftkings
Ryan Weathers
Ryan Weathers
NYYvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER5.5
Projection5.74
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 13 starts
-129 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+18.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 53 games
+119 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.84
Edge+16.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 47 games
-139 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.33
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 47 games
-235 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 53 games
-158 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 7 games
+102 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 69 games
-104 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.68
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 71 games
-150 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 70 games
-131 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 69 games
-119 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 71 games
-242 · draftkings
Randal Grichuk
Randal Grichuk
CWSvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 41 games
+161 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 18 games
+122 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 70 games
-266 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.04
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 67 games
+190 · draftkings
Jasson Domínguez
Jasson Domínguez
NYYvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 11 games
+158 · draftkings
Everson Pereira
Everson Pereira
CWSvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 21 games
+113 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 71 games
-264 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 69 games
-182 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 18 games
-132 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 61 games
-133 · draftkings
Randal Grichuk
Randal Grichuk
CWSvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 41 games
-110 · draftkings
J.C. Escarra
J.C. Escarra
NYYvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 26 games
-169 · draftkings
Edgar Quero
Edgar Quero
CWSvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 48 games
+152 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 61 games
-154 · draftkings
J.C. Escarra
J.C. Escarra
NYYvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 26 games
-123 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 71 games
-138 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.86
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 7 games
-188 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 69 games
+142 · draftkings
Jasson Domínguez
Jasson Domínguez
NYYvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 11 games
-126 · draftkings
Edgar Quero
Edgar Quero
CWSvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 48 games
-139 · draftkings
Everson Pereira
Everson Pereira
CWSvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.01
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 21 games
-161 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.4
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.60 across 67 games
+107 · draftkings
Jose Caballero
CWS @ NYYBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Luisangel Acuna
CWS @ NYYBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Caballero
CWS @ NYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Luisangel Acuna
CWS @ NYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded

SF@ATL

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves

first pitch
7:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Landen Roupp
probable · awayLanden Roupp
SF
Martín Pérez
probable · homeMartín Pérez
ATL
Strikeouts
Landen Roupp
Landen Roupp
SFvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER5.5
Projection5.2
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.9 K across 14 starts
+122 · draftkings
Martin Perez
SF @ ATLPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.45
Edge+17.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 73 games
-103 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.69
Edge+16.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.78 across 50 games
-127 · draftkings
Ha-Seong Kim
Ha-Seong Kim
ATLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.58
Edge+14.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 18 games
-171 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 73 games
-191 · draftkings
Ha-Seong Kim
Ha-Seong Kim
ATLvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.24
Edge+13.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.28 across 18 games
+105 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.39
Edge+12.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 66 games
-117 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.25
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 33 games
-185 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SFvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+12.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 71 games
-135 · draftkings
Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SFvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 73 games
-112 · draftkings
Daniel Susac
Daniel Susac
SFvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.59
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 28 games
+135 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 50 games
-225 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 73 games
-110 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SFvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 71 games
+162 · draftkings
Daniel Susac
Daniel Susac
SFvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 28 games
-152 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 74 games
-104 · draftkings
Willy Adames
Willy Adames
SFvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 72 games
+101 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 53 games
-145 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 68 games
-136 · draftkings
Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SFvsATLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 73 games
-207 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsSFBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 73 games
-214 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsSFBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 60 games
+137 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce EldridgeModel anomaly
SFvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.58
Edge+20.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 33 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+107 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 67 games
-117 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 66 games
-266 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 68 games
+201 · draftkings
Casey Schmitt
Casey Schmitt
SFvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 66 games
-122 · draftkings
Willy Adames
Willy Adames
SFvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 72 games
+135 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 73 games
+106 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 53 games
-126 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.54
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 60 games
+100 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 73 games
-177 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 67 games
-166 · draftkings
Casey Schmitt
Casey Schmitt
SFvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 66 games
-235 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 74 games
-197 · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
SF @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
SF @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Kauffman Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

STL@KC

St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Matthew Liberatore
probable · awayMatthew Liberatore
STL
Noah Cameron
probable · homeNoah Cameron
KC
Strikeouts
Noah Cameron
Noah Cameron
KCvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.15
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 13 starts
+101 · draftkings
Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
STLvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.29
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 14 starts
+129 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.66
Edge+15.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 71 games
-127 · draftkings
Blaze Jordan
Blaze Jordan
STLvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+15.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.33
  • SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 6 games
+109 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+14.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 67 games
-149 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.1
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 69 games
-115 · draftkings
Blaze Jordan
Blaze Jordan
STLvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 6 games
-176 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 52 games
-156 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 67 games
-154 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 65 games
+102 · draftkings
Maikel Garcia
Maikel Garcia
KCvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 67 games
-134 · draftkings
Starling Marte
Starling Marte
KCvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 30 games
-135 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 52 games
+121 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 69 games
-214 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 39 games
+127 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.58 across 71 games
-152 · draftkings
Starling Marte
Starling Marte
KCvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 30 games
+135 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 71 games
-275 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenModel anomaly
KCvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+21.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 67 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+120 · draftkings
Lane Thomas
Lane Thomas
KCvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 57 games
-116 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 75 games
-196 · draftkings
Maikel Garcia
Maikel Garcia
KCvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 67 games
-265 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 69 games
-130 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 64 games
-144 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 71 games
+184 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 39 games
-151 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 69 games
+143 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 64 games
+124 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 65 games
-198 · draftkings
Lane Thomas
Lane Thomas
KCvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 57 games
+146 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.21
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 67 games
+174 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.08
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 75 games
-152 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ KCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nelson Velazquez
STL @ KCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Pedro Pages
STL @ KCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ KCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nelson Velazquez
STL @ KCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Pedro Pages
STL @ KCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Sutter Health Park19 leansFinal · graded

LAA@ATH

Los Angeles Angels at Athletics

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
LAA
Gage Jump
probable · homeGage Jump
ATH
Strikeouts
Gage Jump
Gage Jump
ATHvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.7
Edge+15.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 4 starts
-116 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.12
Edge+15.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.12
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 8 games
+110 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.75
Edge+14.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 75 games
-134 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.55
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 41 games
-120 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.12
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 8 games
-180 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.61
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 22 games
-155 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 75 games
-261 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 74 games
-128 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 47 games
-186 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 72 games
-137 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 47 games
-103 · draftkings
Nick Madrigal
Nick Madrigal
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 14 games
-103 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 72 games
-246 · draftkings
Nick Madrigal
Nick Madrigal
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 14 games
+166 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 22 games
-132 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 41 games
-240 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 66 games
+159 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 66 games
-118 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 74 games
-221 · draftkings
Open MLB model audit · partial →
Home runs live on the Power Board

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HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.

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