45.6%

183–218 on 401 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-06-15. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

183

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

218

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

45.6%

183–218 on 401

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBAlec BurlesonOver 1.5 Total Bases+25.7pp edgeactual 2
MLBDustin MayOver 5.5 Strikeouts+24.9pp edgeactual 9
MLBRyan GustoUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+22.8pp edgeactual 1
MLBByron BuxtonOver 1.5 Total Bases+22.3pp edgeactual 4
MLBJordan WalkerOver 1.5 Total Bases+21.7pp edgeactual 2

Biggest misses

MLBKai-Wei TengUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+21.9pp edgeactual 9
MLBPavin SmithUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.4pp edgeactual 4
MLBMacKenzie GoreUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+10.8pp edgeactual 10
MLBMike TroutUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+3.5pp edgeactual 5
MLBLawrence ButlerUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-3.3pp edgeactual 5

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

MIA @ PHI

18–2341 dec43.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Zack Wheeler	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.77	9	+8.0%	High	Loss
Ryan Gusto	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.48	1	+22.8%	Low	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	0	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	0	+1.8%	Low	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.48	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+7.8%	High	Win
Liam Hicks	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	2	+6.3%	High	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Justin Crawford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	3	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Joe Mack	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+13.5%	High	Win
Owen Caissie	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	0	-2.9%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	1	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	1	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.64	0	-2.2%	Low	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	1	+5.1%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	3	+11.1%	High	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.76	0	+24.0%	Low	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.42	4	-0.6%	Low	Win
Liam Hicks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	2	+16.3%	High	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.09	5	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+11.6%	High	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.49	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.34	1	+8.3%	High	Win
Joe Mack	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.94	1	+19.1%	High	Win
Owen Caissie	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.24	0	+11.0%	High	Loss
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	1	+8.0%	High	Loss
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.13	0	-1.1%	Low	Win
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.93	3	+16.0%	High	Win
Bryson Stott	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+21.1%	Low	Loss

KC @ WSH

22–2042 dec52.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Andrew Alvarez	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.50	5	+11.1%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.22	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 1.5	1.12	1	-1.6%	Low	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits	Over 1.5	1.09	0	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Maikel Garcia	Hits	Under 1.5	0.97	1	-0.5%	Low	Win
James Wood	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	+6.5%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	0	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Curtis Mead	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	+6.1%	High	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+0.2%	Low	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	1	+5.3%	High	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	2	+13.5%	High	Win
Starling Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	1	+6.0%	High	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	2	-3.1%	Low	Win
Isaac Collins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+6.0%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.01	1	+2.9%	Medium	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.54	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
James Wood	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.01	3	+11.1%	High	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.43	1	+7.0%	High	Loss
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	5	+1.7%	Low	Win
Maikel Garcia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	3	+5.8%	High	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.38	0	+0.7%	Low	Win
Curtis Mead	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	3	-2.9%	Low	Win
Keibert Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	2	+5.1%	High	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.15	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.26	3	+17.7%	High	Win
Starling Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.00	2	+6.4%	High	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.23	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+11.1%	High	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	2	+18.1%	High	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	2	+6.4%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Daylen Lile	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.85	1	+6.8%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
James Wood	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.41	2	+18.3%	High	Win
Dylan Crews	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	4	-0.6%	Low	Win
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.99	0	-0.3%	Low	Win
Maikel Garcia	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Curtis Mead	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	1	+9.1%	High	Loss

NYM @ CIN

14–2539 dec35.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Chase Burns	Strikeouts	Over 7.5	7.45	7	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 1.5	1.28	3	+5.8%	High	Win
Noelvi Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	0	-0.5%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Juan Soto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Spencer Steer	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	0	+4.2%	Medium	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+6.9%	High	Win
Matt McLain	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	2	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Edwin Arroyo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	1	-2.7%	Low	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+13.7%	High	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+7.6%	High	Win
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+9.7%	High	Loss
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
MJ Melendez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.48	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.81	3	+15.4%	High	Win
Juan Soto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	4	+0.2%	Low	Win
Spencer Steer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	8	+5.7%	High	Win
Noelvi Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	1	+10.0%	High	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	2	+9.3%	High	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.11	4	-0.0%	Low	Loss
Edwin Arroyo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.00	2	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.47	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+14.1%	High	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.52	1	+10.8%	High	Win
Brett Baty	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.40	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.64	0	+16.0%	High	Loss
MJ Melendez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+14.4%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.23	5	+18.8%	High	Win
Juan Soto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.93	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
JJ Bleday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.87	5	+13.2%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	1	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Steer	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Noelvi Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	0	+8.8%	High	Loss

SD @ STL

18–1735 dec51.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Dustin May	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	6.68	9	+20.4%	Low	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 1.5	1.24	0	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	1	+6.1%	High	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.38	2	+10.6%	High	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	0	+11.5%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	0	+8.2%	High	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Masyn Winn	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	2	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	2	-0.2%	Low	Win
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	-2.0%	Low	Win
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+13.0%	High	Loss
Jimmy Crooks	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Will Wagner	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.13	2	+18.3%	High	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	0	+7.0%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.08	2	+15.8%	High	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.59	0	+14.0%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.28	0	-0.3%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	1	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	3	+8.6%	High	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	3	+5.1%	High	Win
Gavin Sheets	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
Jimmy Crooks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.38	3	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.58	0	+8.4%	High	Loss
Will Wagner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.68	2	+25.7%	Low	Win
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.60	2	+21.7%	Low	Win
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.56	1	+9.1%	High	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.86	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Dustin May	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.68	9	+24.9%	Low	Win

COL @ CHC

25–2247 dec53.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Michael Lorenzen	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.22	5	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Shota Imanaga	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.17	3	+9.2%	High	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Over 1.5	1.35	4	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	0	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.90	2	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Tyler Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Ian Happ	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	+1.7%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	2	+9.4%	High	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Moisés Ballesteros	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	+0.8%	Low	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+7.0%	High	Win
Kyle Karros	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Troy Johnston	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+15.2%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	0	+2.4%	Low	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Braxton Fulford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	0	-2.3%	Low	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.52	7	-0.6%	Low	Win
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.69	2	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	1	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.31	0	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.28	1	+7.8%	High	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.54	3	+12.0%	High	Win
Tyler Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	3	+15.2%	High	Win
Moisés Ballesteros	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.15	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.55	2	+17.5%	High	Win
Dansby Swanson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.29	0	-2.9%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	0	+12.9%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	6	+19.1%	High	Win
Kyle Karros	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
Troy Johnston	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	0	+24.7%	Low	Loss
Braxton Fulford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+8.0%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.57	10	+12.5%	High	Win
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.42	2	+16.3%	High	Win
Ian Happ	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	0	+9.7%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+13.1%	High	Loss
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Tyler Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	1	+9.7%	High	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.07	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Moisés Ballesteros	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.93	0	-0.7%	Low	Win
Willi Castro	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	2	+18.7%	High	Win
TJ Rumfield	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	0	+19.6%	High	Loss

MIN @ TEX

11–2435 dec31.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
MacKenzie Gore	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.01	10	+10.8%	High	Loss
Josh Jung	Hits	Over 1.5	1.19	0	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Byron Buxton	Hits	Over 0.5	1.27	1	+8.7%	High	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Austin Martin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	1	+5.3%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+7.3%	High	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	2	+6.5%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Nicky Lopez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+8.9%	High	Win
Joc Pederson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	2	+0.6%	Low	Win
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.49	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Alex Jackson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+18.2%	High	Loss
Josh Jung	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.63	0	-2.7%	Low	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.69	3	+14.9%	High	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+7.3%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	0	+15.1%	High	Loss
Austin Martin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.14	2	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	1	+9.1%	High	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.39	5	+1.6%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	6	+15.0%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.54	0	+11.5%	High	Loss
Nicky Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.43	1	+11.2%	High	Win
Ryan Kreidler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.15	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Alex Jackson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	0	+19.8%	High	Loss
Byron Buxton	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.83	4	+22.3%	Low	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Josh Jung	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	0	+14.4%	High	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+11.9%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.25	0	+23.9%	Low	Loss

DET @ HOU

17–1936 dec47.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kai-Wei Teng	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.49	9	+21.9%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.29	2	+6.8%	High	Win
Christian Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	+1.0%	Low	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	2	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Jose Altuve	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Riley Greene	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+1.7%	Low	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	1	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Jake Meyers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Cam Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	-0.0%	Low	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	0	+13.0%	High	Loss
Kerry Carpenter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Colt Keith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	3	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.91	2	+9.6%	High	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	5	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Christian Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	1	+5.0%	High	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.67	5	+12.5%	High	Win
Riley Greene	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Jose Altuve	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	3	-0.1%	Low	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	4	+7.4%	High	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	0	+18.2%	High	Loss
Kerry Carpenter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Cam Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	1	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Jake Meyers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.25	1	-2.6%	Low	Win
Spencer Torkelson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	3	+11.7%	High	Win
Colt Keith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.14	12	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Zach McKinstry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+7.6%	High	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.38	3	+11.8%	High	Win
Christian Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.99	0	+11.3%	High	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.27	4	+16.8%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	5	+5.8%	High	Win
Riley Greene	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	1	+9.8%	High	Loss
Jose Altuve	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	4	+8.3%	High	Win
Isaac Paredes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	4	+11.4%	High	Win

LAA @ AZ

18–2240 dec45.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ryne Nelson	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.30	5	+28.6%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Under 1.5	0.65	2	+11.2%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	2	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.97	1	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	0	-2.7%	Low	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	-0.5%	Low	Win
Zach Neto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	-1.4%	Low	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Oswald Peraza	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	2	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+10.7%	High	Win
Tommy Troy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Pavin Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.23	2	+11.0%	High	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.54	5	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	2	-2.8%	Low	Win
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.66	3	+11.6%	High	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	2	+1.8%	Low	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	2	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.22	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	1	+6.0%	High	Loss
Oswald Peraza	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.43	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	1	+5.0%	High	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	3	+5.8%	High	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	4	+6.3%	High	Win
Tommy Troy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.22	0	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Pavin Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.58	4	+15.4%	High	Loss
Mike Trout	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.25	5	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Jo Adell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	3	+6.3%	High	Win
Zach Neto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.11	1	+13.6%	High	Loss
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	1	+7.1%	High	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Wade Meckler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+6.9%	High	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+15.9%	High	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.93	1	-2.6%	Low	Win

PIT @ ATH

22–2042 dec52.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jared Jones	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.67	4	-1.0%	Low	Win
Jacob Wilson	Hits	Under 1.5	1.09	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Shea Langeliers	Hits	Over 1.5	1.19	1	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits	Over 1.5	1.15	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 1.5	1.01	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	1	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	-1.0%	Low	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	0	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Nick Kurtz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	3	+5.0%	High	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	2	+10.7%	High	Win
Zack Gelof	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	1	+13.9%	High	Win
Tyler Callihan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	2	-3.2%	Low	Win
Nick Kurtz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.64	10	+5.5%	High	Win
Shea Langeliers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.58	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	3	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Spencer Horwitz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Jacob Wilson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	1	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	1	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	2	-1.6%	Low	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.37	0	+1.4%	Low	Win
Tyler Callihan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	4	+7.2%	High	Win
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	3	+18.9%	High	Win
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.28	5	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Shea Langeliers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.48	1	+13.4%	High	Loss
Nick Kurtz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.26	9	+16.5%	High	Win
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+6.8%	High	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	2	+5.8%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+9.9%	High	Loss
Tyler Soderstrom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.23	2	+17.2%	High	Win
Jacob Wilson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	2	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Carlos Cortes	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.09	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	0	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Ryan O'Hearn	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	1	+6.2%	High	Loss
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss

TB @ LAD

18–2644 dec40.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Eric Lauer	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.31	4	+0.9%	Low	Win
Nick Martinez	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.99	6	+5.6%	High	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Over 1.5	1.28	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits	Under 1.5	0.96	2	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Under 1.5	1.02	1	+0.0%	Low	Win
Andy Pages	Hits	Under 1.5	0.93	0	+0.1%	Low	Win
Mookie Betts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	1	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	2	-1.9%	Low	Win
Max Muncy	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+0.5%	Low	Win
Ben Williamson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Ryan Ward	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Nick Fortes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Ryan Vilade	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	2	+1.4%	Low	Win
Dalton Rushing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Austin Slater	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	1	-0.9%	Low	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	+10.1%	High	Loss
Alex Freeland	Hits	Over 0.5	0.48	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	3.08	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.86	3	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	2	-2.2%	Low	Win
Max Muncy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	2	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	2	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	6	+11.6%	High	Win
Ryan Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	1	+13.7%	High	Loss
Dalton Rushing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+11.8%	High	Loss
Ben Williamson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	1	+5.9%	High	Loss
Ryan Vilade	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	5	+7.5%	High	Win
Nick Fortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Austin Slater	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.12	2	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Cedric Mullins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.67	0	+12.5%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.43	1	+12.6%	High	Win
Alex Freeland	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.55	0	+14.6%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	3	+1.1%	Low	Win
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+6.8%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	2	+1.4%	Low	Win
Max Muncy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+9.8%	High	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.26	2	+0.8%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	5	+5.6%	High	Win

← 2026-06-14 all settled dates 2026-06-16 →