10 MLB games · 378 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Citizens Bank Park38 leansFinal · graded
MIA@PHI

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
first pitch6:40 PM ET
MIA@PHI
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.9 K across 9 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.2 K across 4 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 71 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 64 games
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Nationals Park38 leansFinal · graded
KC@WSH

Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals
first pitch6:45 PM ET
KC@WSH
Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 7 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.62 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 61 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Great American Ball Park37 leansFinal · graded
NYM@CIN

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds
first pitch7:10 PM ET
NYM@CIN
New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.8 K across 13 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.67
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 54 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Busch Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
SD@STL

San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals
first pitch7:45 PM ET
SD@STL
San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 13 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 13 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.46 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.25
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.66 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 5 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.89
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 5 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.38
- SeasonSeason average 0.38 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.38
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.88
- SeasonSeason average 2.88 across 8 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.62
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.78
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 9 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Wrigley Field38 leansFinal · graded
COL@CHC

Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs
first pitch8:05 PM ET
COL@CHC
Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 15 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.50 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 67 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.41 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 68 games
Globe Life Field37 leansFinal · graded
MIN@TEX

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
first pitch8:05 PM ET
MIN@TEX
Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.48 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 66 games
Daikin Park38 leansFinal · graded
DET@HOU

Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros
first pitch8:10 PM ET
DET@HOU
Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 4 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.5 K across 20 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.61 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 70 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Chase Field38 leansFinal · graded
LAA@AZ

Los Angeles Angels at Arizona Diamondbacks
first pitch9:40 PM ET
LAA@AZ
Los Angeles Angels at Arizona Diamondbacks
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 14 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.25 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.14
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.71
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 68 games
Sutter Health Park38 leansFinal · graded
PIT@ATH

Pittsburgh Pirates at Athletics
first pitch9:40 PM ET
PIT@ATH
Pittsburgh Pirates at Athletics
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 3 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.11
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.89
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 66 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
TB@LAD

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Dodgers
first pitch10:10 PM ET
TB@LAD
Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Dodgers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 13 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.3 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.55 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 69 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
