48.0%

146–158 on 304 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-06-08. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

146

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

158

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

48.0%

146–158 on 304

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBTrey GibsonUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+35.4pp edgeactual 0
MLBBen RiceOver 1.5 Total Bases+24.2pp edgeactual 2
MLBJung Hoo LeeOver 1.5 Hits+23.7pp edgeactual 4
MLBBen RiceOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+23.6pp edgeactual 4
MLBPaul GoldschmidtOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+22.4pp edgeactual 5

Biggest misses

MLBSpencer ArrighettiUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+12.0pp edgeactual 7
MLBAndrew VaughnUnder 1.5 Total Bases-2.8pp edgeactual 9
MLBShea LangeliersUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-1.9pp edgeactual 7
MLBAndrew VaughnUnder 1.5 Hits-1.8pp edgeactual 4
MLBAndrew VaughnUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+1.2pp edgeactual 9

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

SEA @ BAL

25–1439 dec64.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Emerson Hancock	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.19	3	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Trey Gibson	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	1.67	0	+35.4%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 1.5	1.11	2	-1.1%	Low	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.92	1	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	3	-2.1%	Low	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	2	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Luke Raley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	-0.1%	Low	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Blaze Alexander	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	2	+11.4%	High	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Patrick Wisdom	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	0	+6.1%	High	Win
Jhonny Pereda	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+14.6%	High	Win
Coby Mayo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	8	-1.4%	Low	Win
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	2	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	4	+0.6%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	1	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	1	+9.2%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	2	+8.7%	High	Win
Luke Raley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.37	0	-2.6%	Low	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	3	+7.2%	High	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	2	+1.5%	Low	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Patrick Wisdom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.00	0	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Blaze Alexander	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	4	+19.4%	High	Win
Coby Mayo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	1	+17.6%	High	Loss
Jhonny Pereda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	2	+13.2%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.90	0	+10.0%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	1	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Josh Naylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.56	5	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Cole Young	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	3	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Luke Raley	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	2	+7.0%	High	Win

BOS @ TB

13–2336 dec36.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Connelly Early	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.66	6	+16.1%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+8.5%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+5.7%	High	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Mickey Gasper	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Ben Williamson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	0	-1.6%	Low	Win
Marcelo Mayer	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Ryan Vilade	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+6.5%	High	Win
Nick Fortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	1	+10.6%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	1	+7.0%	High	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	0	+12.4%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	1	+10.6%	High	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Mickey Gasper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+9.4%	High	Loss
Ben Williamson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Marcelo Mayer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.29	3	-0.9%	Low	Win
Ryan Vilade	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	1	+8.5%	High	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	2	+14.8%	High	Win
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+0.7%	Low	Win
Nick Fortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+5.8%	High	Win
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.12	0	+14.9%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	1	+13.1%	High	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	1	+11.8%	High	Loss
Jarren Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+13.9%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	1	+6.4%	High	Loss

NYY @ CLE

20–1636 dec55.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Will Warren	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.64	5	+6.3%	High	Win
Gavin Williams	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.10	5	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits	Over 0.5	1.34	2	+12.8%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	2	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+11.9%	High	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	2	+9.8%	High	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+9.7%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	2	-0.9%	Low	Win
Kyle Manzardo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Daniel Schneemann	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	2	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Spencer Jones	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
J.C. Escarra	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.27	4	+23.6%	Low	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	1	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	4	+12.6%	High	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	4	+14.8%	High	Win
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.60	5	+22.4%	Low	Win
Kyle Manzardo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	1	+9.9%	High	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	3	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Daniel Schneemann	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.22	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.97	3	+2.1%	Low	Win
Ryan McMahon	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.49	3	+8.5%	High	Win
J.C. Escarra	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Spencer Jones	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+2.0%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.71	2	+24.2%	Low	Win
Travis Bazzana	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+12.0%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.24	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	2	+11.2%	High	Win

PHI @ TOR

14–2539 dec35.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Patrick Corbin	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.71	3	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	0.97	0	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 1.5	1.34	2	+10.2%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	0	+1.2%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+0.4%	Low	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	1	+8.4%	High	Loss
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	1.35	0	+14.9%	High	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	1	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+10.9%	High	Loss
Edmundo Sosa	Hits	Under 0.5	0.37	1	+8.9%	High	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	1	+13.9%	High	Win
Tyler Heineman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.36	0	+7.3%	High	Win
Myles Straw	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	1	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	1	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	1	+14.8%	High	Loss
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	4	+15.1%	High	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.13	2	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.44	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.25	3	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.28	0	+18.7%	High	Loss
Edmundo Sosa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	1	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.00	1	+13.6%	High	Win
Myles Straw	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.85	2	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	0	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.90	1	+8.6%	High	Loss
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	1	+7.9%	High	Loss
Ernie Clement	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.99	5	+18.4%	High	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.37	0	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.00	1	-2.2%	Low	Win
Patrick Corbin	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.71	3	+3.5%	Medium	Win

HOU @ LAA

14–2337 dec37.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Grayson Rodriguez	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.30	6	+18.3%	High	Loss
Spencer Arrighetti	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.32	7	+12.0%	High	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.17	0	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Jose Altuve	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Christian Walker	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	2	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Nick Madrigal	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	1	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Mike Trout	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	-1.4%	Low	Win
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Jake Meyers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Cam Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	2	-0.6%	Low	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+5.0%	High	Win
Oswald Peraza	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Donovan Walton	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+11.6%	High	Loss
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.77	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Jose Altuve	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Christian Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	4	+6.2%	High	Win
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	3	+11.3%	High	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	2	+12.2%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	1	+12.1%	High	Loss
Jake Meyers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.43	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Cam Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	3	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Nick Madrigal	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.44	2	-0.4%	Low	Win
Oswald Peraza	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Wade Meckler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	1	+15.3%	High	Loss
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	3	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+11.9%	High	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Mike Trout	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Zach Neto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	4	+11.7%	High	Win
Christian Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	3	+7.3%	High	Win
Jose Altuve	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	0	+10.1%	High	Loss
Isaac Paredes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+18.5%	High	Win

CIN @ SD

14–2135 dec40.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Walker Buehler	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.04	4	+13.4%	High	Win
Andrew Abbott	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.83	6	+9.7%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.27	0	+9.8%	High	Loss
Ty France	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	1	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	2	+7.2%	High	Loss
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	-1.0%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	0	+5.0%	High	Win
Blake Dunn	Hits	Over 0.5	1.26	1	+12.4%	High	Win
Spencer Steer	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Edwin Arroyo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	2	+1.4%	Low	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+9.3%	High	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.45	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.32	4	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	2	+3.3%	Medium	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	2	+10.2%	High	Win
Blake Dunn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	1	+12.3%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.28	1	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Spencer Steer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	0	+11.3%	High	Loss
Edwin Arroyo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.80	2	+7.2%	High	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.72	2	+8.5%	High	Win
Gavin Sheets	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.29	3	+1.5%	Low	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.57	1	+13.2%	High	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+10.1%	High	Loss
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.27	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Ty France	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.37	1	+6.7%	High	Loss
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+9.7%	High	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	0.97	3	-3.3%	Low	Win

WSH @ SF

24–1337 dec64.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Miles Mikolas	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.71	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Logan Webb	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.68	7	+10.2%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.28	2	+2.4%	Low	Win
Casey Schmitt	Hits	Over 1.5	1.16	2	+0.6%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Over 1.5	1.76	4	+23.7%	Low	Win
Curtis Mead	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	0	-2.6%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	-1.7%	Low	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
James Wood	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Willy Adames	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.21	2	+11.3%	High	Win
Matt Chapman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	2	+8.6%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	1	+0.9%	Low	Win
Casey Schmitt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	2	+1.0%	Low	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	2	+8.0%	High	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.96	6	+18.4%	High	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	5	+8.7%	High	Win
James Wood	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	2	+6.9%	High	Win
Curtis Mead	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Willy Adames	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	4	+15.4%	High	Win
Matt Chapman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.69	3	+21.8%	Low	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.37	1	+9.8%	High	Win
Casey Schmitt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.22	2	+9.1%	High	Win
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	2	+7.1%	High	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.29	4	+18.9%	High	Win
Rafael Devers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+11.6%	High	Loss
Willy Adames	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.99	0	+15.0%	High	Loss
Curtis Mead	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
Daylen Lile	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.37	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
CJ Abrams	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	2	+14.2%	High	Win
James Wood	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	1	+11.9%	High	Loss

MIL @ ATH

22–2345 dec48.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jeffrey Springs	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.46	3	+5.2%	High	Loss
Kyle Harrison	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.57	4	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 1.5	1.27	3	+0.8%	Low	Win
William Contreras	Hits	Under 1.5	0.92	3	+5.5%	High	Loss
Andrew Vaughn	Hits	Under 1.5	1.09	4	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits	Under 1.5	1.07	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Shea Langeliers	Hits	Under 1.5	0.93	3	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	2	-0.8%	Low	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	0	+7.3%	High	Win
Nick Kurtz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	3	+2.0%	Low	Win
Brent Rooker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Joey Ortiz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	2	+7.0%	High	Loss
Blake Perkins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.16	1	+21.7%	Low	Loss
Jonah Heim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Colby Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.39	1	+9.7%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	0	+2.0%	Low	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	2	+18.6%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.92	7	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.04	9	+1.2%	Low	Loss
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.04	9	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Shea Langeliers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.05	7	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.61	6	+7.1%	High	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.57	4	+6.8%	High	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.47	1	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Nick Kurtz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	9	+8.1%	High	Win
Brent Rooker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	1	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.35	2	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Joey Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.10	2	+6.6%	High	Loss
Blake Perkins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.54	2	+22.1%	Low	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	0	+10.2%	High	Loss
Colby Thomas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.97	2	+6.5%	High	Loss
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	3	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	5	+12.7%	High	Win
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.78	0	+6.8%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.32	3	+8.0%	High	Win
Shea Langeliers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	6	+3.6%	Medium	Win
William Contreras	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.33	6	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Andrew Vaughn	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.47	9	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Nick Kurtz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	9	+12.0%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.93	4	+9.9%	High	Win
Brent Rooker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Luis Rengifo	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.82	0	+12.6%	High	Win
Christian Yelich	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	2	+5.5%	High	Win

← 2026-06-07 all settled dates 2026-06-09 →