Skip to main content
Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks
Today · Nov 1 · 17 eventsGames under wayLatest results· Oct 31
Settled · graded against final box scores
146–158 on 304 decisive picks · 48.0%2026-06-08
View audit →
Slate · pick a date
Mon, Oct 26SettledTue, Oct 27SettledWed, Oct 28SettledTodayUpcomingTomorrowUpcomingTue, Nov 3UpcomingWed, Nov 4UpcomingThu, Nov 5UpcomingFri, Nov 6UpcomingSat, Nov 7Upcoming
MLB model board · 2026-06-08

8 MLB games · 302 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDJun 8, 5:16 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
108
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
43
model vs market · context
Small gap
107
7 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
37
no projection emitted
Strikeouts9 gap ≥ 5 pp·16 totalHits38 gap ≥ 5 pp·143 totalHits + Runs + RBIs61 gap ≥ 5 pp·143 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Brandon Marsh
Brandon MarshPHI vs TOR
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+14.9%
proj 1.35-197 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben RiceNYY vs CLE
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+12.8%
proj 1.34-214 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.SD vs CIN
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+9.8%
proj 1.27-243 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne RafaelaBOS vs TB
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+8.5%
proj 1.23-247 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan LukesTOR vs PHI
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+13.6%
proj 2-190 · draftkings
Blake Dunn
Blake DunnCIN vs SD
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+12.4%
proj 1.26-198 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson ContrerasBOS vs TB
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+8.1%
proj 1.23-231 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtNYY vs CLE
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+11.9%
proj 1.16-187 · draftkings
Filters · 302 of 302 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Oriole Park at Camden Yards38 leansFinal · graded

SEA@BAL

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles

first pitch
6:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Emerson Hancock
probable · awayEmerson Hancock
SEA
Trey Gibson
probable · homeTrey Gibson
BAL
Strikeouts
Trey Gibson
Trey GibsonModel anomaly
BALvsSEAPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER3.5
Projection1.67
Edge+35.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 1.7 K across 3 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-108 · draftkings
Emerson Hancock
Emerson Hancock
SEAvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER5.5
Projection5.19
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 12 starts
+121 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+19.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 46 games
+116 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+17.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 49 games
+125 · draftkings
Jhonny Pereda
Jhonny Pereda
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+14.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 15 games
-140 · draftkings
Jhonny Pereda
Jhonny Pereda
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+13.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 15 games
+131 · draftkings
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 46 games
-169 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 53 games
+100 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 66 games
-136 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 65 games
-114 · draftkings
Colt Emerson
Colt Emerson
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 19 games
-101 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 57 games
-108 · draftkings
Patrick Wisdom
Patrick Wisdom
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 10 games
+106 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 49 games
-135 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 57 games
-187 · draftkings
Patrick Wisdom
Patrick Wisdom
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 10 games
-149 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 66 games
-267 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 66 games
-140 · draftkings
Luke Raley
Luke Raley
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.37
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 59 games
-121 · draftkings
Colt Emerson
Colt Emerson
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 19 games
-192 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 66 games
-260 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 66 games
-250 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 53 games
-174 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 65 games
-206 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.54
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 53 games
+102 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 65 games
-138 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 61 games
-145 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.11
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 61 games
+184 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 53 games
-165 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 65 games
+190 · draftkings
Luke Raley
Luke Raley
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 59 games
+138 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 66 games
-139 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 17 games
+137 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 17 games
+103 · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
SEA @ BALBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Sam Huff
Sam Huff
BALvsSEABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
SEA @ BALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line2.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Sam Huff
Sam Huff
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Tropicana Field35 leansFinal · graded

BOS@TB

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Connelly Early
probable · awayConnelly Early
BOS
Ian Seymour
probable · homeIan Seymour
TB
Strikeouts
Connelly Early
Connelly Early
BOSvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.66
Edge+16.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 12 starts
-153 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 62 games
+129 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 58 games
-117 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.1
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 62 games
-111 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.3
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 62 games
-124 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.3
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 60 games
-124 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 21 games
+104 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 58 games
-247 · draftkings
Ryan Vilade
Ryan Vilade
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 36 games
+126 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 60 games
-231 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 58 games
-122 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 62 games
-144 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 55 games
+102 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 54 games
-160 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 62 games
-245 · draftkings
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 33 games
+104 · draftkings
Nick Fortes
Nick Fortes
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 48 games
-176 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 58 games
-215 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 21 games
-190 · draftkings
Ben Williamson
Ben Williamson
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 44 games
+117 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 44 games
-132 · draftkings
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 33 games
-204 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 54 games
-108 · draftkings
Marcelo Mayer
Marcelo Mayer
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 55 games
+117 · draftkings
Nick Fortes
Nick Fortes
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 48 games
+105 · draftkings
Ben Williamson
Ben Williamson
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 44 games
+134 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 62 games
-217 · draftkings
Ryan Vilade
Ryan Vilade
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 36 games
-150 · draftkings
Marcelo Mayer
Marcelo Mayer
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 55 games
+124 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 44 games
-181 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 55 games
-196 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
BOS @ TBBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
BOS @ TBBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
BOS @ TBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
BOS @ TBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Progressive Field38 leansFinal · graded

NYY@CLE

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Will Warren
probable · awayWill Warren
NYY
Gavin Williams
probable · homeGavin Williams
CLE
Strikeouts
Will Warren
Will Warren
NYYvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.64
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 12 starts
+117 · draftkings
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLEvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER6.5
Projection7.1
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 7.2 K across 13 starts
-144 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 61 games
-101 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 61 games
+117 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.34
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 59 games
-214 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.27
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 63 games
-105 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 39 games
-187 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 59 games
+120 · draftkings
Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 61 games
-176 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 59 games
-165 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.49
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 54 games
-169 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 54 games
-126 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 58 games
+112 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 63 games
-203 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 64 games
+123 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 61 games
-157 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 58 games
-155 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 36 games
-121 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben RiceModel anomaly
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection3.27
Edge+23.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.64 across 59 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-114 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtModel anomaly
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.6
Edge+22.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 39 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+108 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 62 games
-109 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 42 games
-171 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 42 games
+101 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 12 games
-152 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 36 games
-234 · draftkings
J.C. Escarra
J.C. Escarra
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 21 games
-112 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 64 games
-155 · draftkings
Daniel Schneemann
Daniel Schneemann
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 51 games
-137 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 62 games
-210 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 12 games
-125 · draftkings
Daniel Schneemann
Daniel Schneemann
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 51 games
+135 · draftkings
J.C. Escarra
J.C. Escarra
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 21 games
-152 · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
NYY @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Martinez
NYY @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Caballero
NYY @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
NYY @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Martinez
NYY @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Caballero
NYY @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rogers Centre39 leansFinal · graded

PHI@TOR

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays

first pitch
7:07 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Cristopher Sánchez
probable · awayCristopher Sánchez
PHI
Patrick Corbin
probable · homePatrick Corbin
TOR
Strikeouts
Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin
TORvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.71
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 11 starts
-169 · draftkings
Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin
TORvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.71
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 11 starts
+136 · fanduel
Cristopher Sanchez
PHI @ TORPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line6.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.28
Edge+18.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 63 games
+112 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.42
Edge+15.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 65 games
-114 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.35
Edge+14.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 60 games
-197 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.42
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 60 games
-117 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+13.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 31 games
-148 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 31 games
-190 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 63 games
-169 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 65 games
+201 · draftkings
Edmundo Sosa
Edmundo Sosa
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.37
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 35 games
+112 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 42 games
+155 · draftkings
Tyler Heineman
Tyler Heineman
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.36
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.41 across 29 games
+103 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 64 games
-111 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 42 games
-127 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.38
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 49 games
-112 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 64 games
-127 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.97
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 64 games
-230 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 49 games
+126 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.25
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 59 games
-144 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 59 games
+136 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 61 games
-264 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 64 games
-242 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 61 games
-129 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 62 games
-132 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 45 games
-207 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 64 games
-158 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 64 games
+178 · draftkings
Tyler Heineman
Tyler Heineman
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 29 games
-158 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 62 games
-209 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 45 games
+106 · draftkings
Edmundo Sosa
Edmundo Sosa
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 35 games
+125 · draftkings
Adolis Garcia
PHI @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
PHI @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yohendrick Pinango
PHI @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Adolis Garcia
PHI @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
PHI @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yohendrick Pinango
PHI @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

HOU@LAA

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels

first pitch
9:38 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Spencer Arrighetti
probable · awaySpencer Arrighetti
HOU
Grayson Rodriguez
probable · homeGrayson Rodriguez
LAA
Strikeouts
Grayson Rodriguez
Grayson Rodriguez
LAAvsHOUPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.3
Edge+18.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 4 starts
-144 · draftkings
Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
HOUvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.32
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 9 starts
-137 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 14 games
+110 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 61 games
-119 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 66 games
-104 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 12 games
+127 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+11.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 12 games
-155 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.3
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 63 games
-121 · draftkings
Nolan Schanuel
Nolan Schanuel
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 51 games
+104 · draftkings
Nolan Schanuel
Nolan Schanuel
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 51 games
-172 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 66 games
-122 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 58 games
-179 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 14 games
-181 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 40 games
+124 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 58 games
+103 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.77
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.55 across 66 games
-104 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 66 games
-194 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 64 games
+101 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 63 games
-208 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 40 games
+107 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 45 games
-226 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 66 games
+162 · draftkings
Jake Meyers
Jake Meyers
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 26 games
-190 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 65 games
-121 · draftkings
Jake Meyers
Jake Meyers
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 26 games
-101 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 45 games
-123 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 65 games
+151 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.17
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 66 games
+163 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 64 games
-185 · draftkings
Nick Madrigal
Nick Madrigal
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.89
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 9 games
+159 · draftkings
Nick Madrigal
Nick Madrigal
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.44
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 9 games
+103 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 61 games
-206 · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Christian Vazquez
HOU @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
LaMonte Wade Jr.
LaMonte Wade Jr.
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line2.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Christian Vazquez
HOU @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
LaMonte Wade Jr.
LaMonte Wade Jr.
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Petco Park38 leansFinal · graded

CIN@SD

Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Andrew Abbott
probable · awayAndrew Abbott
CIN
Walker Buehler
probable · homeWalker Buehler
SD
Strikeouts
Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
SDvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection4.04
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 12 starts
+109 · draftkings
Andrew Abbott
Andrew Abbott
CINvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.83
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 13 starts
-130 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.57
Edge+13.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 50 games
-166 · draftkings
Blake Dunn
Blake Dunn
CINvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 22 games
-198 · draftkings
Blake Dunn
Blake Dunn
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+12.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 22 games
+104 · draftkings
Spencer Steer
Spencer Steer
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 62 games
+106 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.17
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 36 games
-103 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 63 games
-243 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 50 games
-124 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.72
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 58 games
-182 · draftkings
Miguel Andujar
Miguel Andujar
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 52 games
-111 · draftkings
Edwin Arroyo
Edwin Arroyo
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.8
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 5 games
-184 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 62 games
+162 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 36 games
-185 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 62 games
+151 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 63 games
-141 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 60 games
+105 · draftkings
Miguel Andujar
Miguel Andujar
SDvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 52 games
+175 · draftkings
Spencer Steer
Spencer Steer
CINvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 62 games
-189 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 64 games
-104 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 46 games
+105 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 39 games
-112 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 62 games
-118 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 57 games
+101 · draftkings
Edwin Arroyo
Edwin Arroyo
CINvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 5 games
+109 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 60 games
-163 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CINvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 46 games
+137 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 57 games
-174 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 58 games
-130 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 39 games
+168 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 64 games
-212 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 62 games
-121 · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ SDBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jase Bowen
Jase Bowen
SDvsCINBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Rodolfo Duran
CIN @ SDBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jase Bowen
Jase Bowen
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ SDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rodolfo Duran
CIN @ SDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oracle Park38 leansFinal · graded

WSH@SF

Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants

first pitch
9:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Miles Mikolas
probable · awayMiles Mikolas
WSH
Logan Webb
probable · homeLogan Webb
SF
Strikeouts
Logan Webb
Logan Webb
SFvsWSHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.68
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 10 starts
-146 · draftkings
Miles Mikolas
Miles Mikolas
WSHvsSFPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection2.71
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.8 K across 13 starts
-172 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.96
Edge+18.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 58 games
-138 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+15.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 25 games
+101 · draftkings
Willy Adames
Willy Adames
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.32
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 65 games
-113 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 25 games
-181 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.37
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 45 games
-171 · draftkings
Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 51 games
-113 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.43 across 65 games
-118 · draftkings
Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 65 games
-177 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 63 games
-156 · draftkings
Drew Millas
Drew Millas
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 33 games
+136 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 66 games
-114 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 66 games
-125 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 65 games
-106 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 59 games
+124 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 15 games
-104 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 66 games
-212 · draftkings
Daniel Susac
Daniel Susac
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 23 games
+112 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 65 games
-226 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo LeeModel anomaly
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge+23.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 58 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+187 · draftkings
Matt Chapman
Matt ChapmanModel anomaly
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.69
Edge+21.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 65 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+104 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 66 games
-205 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 59 games
-167 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 15 games
-203 · draftkings
Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 51 games
+178 · draftkings
Drew Millas
Drew Millas
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 33 games
-139 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 63 games
+158 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 65 games
-231 · draftkings
Casey Schmitt
Casey Schmitt
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.36
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 58 games
-165 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 45 games
-135 · draftkings
Daniel Susac
Daniel Susac
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 23 games
-168 · draftkings
Casey Schmitt
Casey Schmitt
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 58 games
+171 · draftkings
Willy Adames
Willy Adames
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 65 games
-201 · draftkings
Luis Garcia Jr.
WSH @ SFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
WSH @ SFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Luis Garcia Jr.
WSH @ SFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
WSH @ SFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Las Vegas Ballpark38 leansFinal · graded

MIL@ATH

Milwaukee Brewers at Athletics

first pitch
10:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Kyle Harrison
probable · awayKyle Harrison
MIL
Jeffrey Springs
probable · homeJeffrey Springs
ATH
Strikeouts
Jeffrey Springs
Jeffrey Springs
ATHvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.46
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 13 starts
+128 · draftkings
Kyle Harrison
Kyle Harrison
MILvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER6.5
Projection7.57
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.6 K across 11 starts
-154 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+18.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 45 games
-139 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 45 games
+119 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 54 games
+106 · draftkings
Colby Thomas
Colby Thomas
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.39
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 21 games
+120 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 64 games
-136 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
MILvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 52 games
+195 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.61
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.52 across 60 games
+122 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 46 games
+138 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.57
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 34 games
-156 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.78
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 61 games
-165 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 46 games
-120 · draftkings
Colby Thomas
Colby Thomas
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.97
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 21 games
-147 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.92
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 59 games
-205 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 54 games
-145 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.92
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 29 games
-112 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 22 games
-187 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.47
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 52 games
+112 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.54
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 25 games
+111 · draftkings
Darell Hernaiz
Darell Hernaiz
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.92
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 41 games
-174 · draftkings
Brent Rooker
Brent Rooker
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 47 games
-117 · draftkings
Blake Perkins
Blake PerkinsModel anomaly
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER1.5
Projection0.54
Edge+22.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 32 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-131 · draftkings
Blake Perkins
Blake PerkinsModel anomaly
MILvsATHBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER0.5
Projection0.16
Edge+21.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.22 across 32 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+128 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 60 games
-245 · draftkings
Darell Hernaiz
Darell Hernaiz
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 41 games
-144 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 61 games
+117 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 64 games
-208 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.05
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.41 across 59 games
-151 · draftkings
Andrew Vaughn
Andrew Vaughn
MILvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.09
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 26 games
-216 · draftkings
Andrew Vaughn
Andrew Vaughn
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.04
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 26 games
-136 · draftkings
Brent Rooker
Brent Rooker
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 47 games
-195 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 29 games
+149 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 34 games
-274 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 25 games
+124 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.04
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 59 games
-136 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.93
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 59 games
-270 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 22 games
-120 · draftkings
Open MLB model audit · partial →
Home runs live on the Power Board

Open the MLB Power Board →

HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.

← back to MLB overview