48.1%

186–201 on 387 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-06-04. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

186

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

201

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

48.1%

186–201 on 387

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBOneil CruzOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+25.0pp edgeactual 2
MLBYordan AlvarezOver 1.5 Total Bases+22.5pp edgeactual 2
MLBColeman CrowUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+22.4pp edgeactual 2
MLBTrevor RogersUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+20.4pp edgeactual 3
MLBNick GonzalesOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.2pp edgeactual 2

Biggest misses

MLBLucas GiolitoUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+35.6pp edgeactual 5
MLBBen RiceOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.6pp edgeactual 0
MLBFreddie FreemanOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.1pp edgeactual 0
MLBAndy PagesOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+7.4pp edgeactual 0
MLBShea LangeliersUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-2.3pp edgeactual 7

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

SD @ PHI

15–2843 dec34.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Zack Wheeler	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.87	8	+8.2%	High	Loss
Lucas Giolito	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.00	5	+35.6%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	0.87	1	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	2	+6.2%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.37	0	+13.9%	High	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	-0.2%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	2	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	-0.5%	Low	Win
Miguel Andujar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	0	-2.0%	Low	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Justin Crawford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+5.7%	High	Win
Bryce Johnson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	2	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Freddy Fermin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.20	0	+10.5%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.62	3	-0.0%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	3	+1.7%	Low	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.24	3	+5.2%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	2	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	0	+13.5%	High	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.26	3	+1.2%	Low	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.20	0	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Gavin Sheets	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+7.2%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	4	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.90	3	+7.1%	High	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	4	+2.5%	Low	Win
Miguel Andujar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.24	0	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Bryce Johnson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.73	2	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Freddy Fermin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.47	0	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	1	+12.6%	High	Loss
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+11.9%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.05	2	-3.4%	Low	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	0	+13.9%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss

BAL @ BOS

23–2649 dec46.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Brayan Bello	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.65	4	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Trevor Rogers	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.18	3	+20.4%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.82	0	+8.9%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits	Under 1.5	1.11	2	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Under 1.5	1.00	1	-0.6%	Low	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 1.5	1.18	1	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 1.5	1.20	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Under 1.5	0.83	1	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	2	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits	Under 0.5	0.91	3	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	-2.9%	Low	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	1	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+5.1%	High	Win
Coby Mayo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	0	-1.3%	Low	Win
Connor Wong	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.88	1	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.30	3	-0.9%	Low	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.14	5	-2.2%	Low	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.58	0	+8.9%	High	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	2	-1.6%	Low	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.70	5	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.86	2	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	4	+0.0%	Low	Win
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Andruw Monasterio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.15	1	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Coby Mayo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	5	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	3	+8.2%	High	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Connor Wong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+7.7%	High	Loss
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	3	+7.0%	High	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	2	+5.5%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	1	+6.6%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	5	+8.3%	High	Win
Jarren Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.29	0	+14.5%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	1	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	2	+2.1%	Low	Win
Adley Rutschman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	1	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Taylor Ward	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.08	4	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Andruw Monasterio	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.97	2	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Coby Mayo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.56	2	+10.1%	High	Win
Caleb Durbin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	1	+4.4%	Medium	Loss

CLE @ NYY

10–2535 dec28.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Slade Cecconi	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.08	4	+1.3%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Over 0.5	1.30	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+6.7%	High	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	2	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Rhys Hoskins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
David Fry	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
J.C. Escarra	Hits	Over 0.5	0.53	0	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Austin Hedges	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.16	0	+16.6%	High	Loss
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	2	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Cody Bellinger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	1	+9.6%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	2	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	2	+15.7%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	0	+12.9%	High	Loss
Rhys Hoskins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	2	+8.1%	High	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.58	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.39	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
David Fry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
J.C. Escarra	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Austin Hedges	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+8.0%	High	Loss
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.53	0	+17.2%	High	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+7.8%	High	Loss
Trent Grisham	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	3	+5.2%	High	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	0	+12.8%	High	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	1	+17.4%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.27	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss

SF @ MIL

32–1749 dec65.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Adrian Houser	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.63	5	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Coleman Crow	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.67	2	+22.4%	Low	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Under 1.5	1.15	3	-2.9%	Low	Loss
William Contreras	Hits	Over 1.5	1.07	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 1.5	1.18	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Brice Turang	Hits	Under 1.5	0.80	2	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	2	+2.4%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.53	4	+12.9%	High	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Casey Schmitt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	2	+5.0%	High	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+5.1%	High	Win
Willy Adames	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+5.4%	High	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Matt Chapman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	3	+1.2%	Low	Win
David Hamilton	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	3	+13.5%	High	Win
Eric Haase	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+11.2%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	2	+7.2%	High	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.73	4	+8.8%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.49	11	+4.9%	Medium	Win
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	2	-1.7%	Low	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	4	+13.0%	High	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.46	2	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Luis Rengifo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.14	2	+5.4%	High	Loss
Casey Schmitt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	5	+10.7%	High	Win
Willy Adames	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	4	+12.4%	High	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	8	+18.8%	High	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	2	+12.8%	High	Win
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	3	-1.1%	Low	Win
Matt Chapman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	6	+7.1%	High	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.89	6	+12.5%	High	Win
Eric Haase	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.68	6	+16.8%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.27	3	+12.4%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	9	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.28	3	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	3	+6.1%	High	Win
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Rafael Devers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.85	2	+13.0%	High	Win
Casey Schmitt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.06	5	+15.6%	High	Win
Willy Adames	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.11	3	+18.3%	High	Win
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	3	+9.3%	High	Win
Jake Bauers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+11.3%	High	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	5	+18.9%	High	Win
Sal Frelick	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.02	1	-1.5%	Low	Win

TOR @ ATL

17–1936 dec47.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Chris Sale	Strikeouts	Over 7.5	7.67	6	+7.9%	High	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	3	+6.8%	High	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	3	+1.5%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Dominic Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	-1.3%	Low	Win
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+1.8%	Low	Win
Austin Riley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	0	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	2	+6.1%	High	Win
Jorge Mateo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+5.8%	High	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Myles Straw	Hits	Under 0.5	0.28	2	+5.9%	High	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.23	2	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Sandy León	Hits	Under 0.5	0.08	0	+6.7%	High	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.45	1	+8.8%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.47	1	+12.9%	High	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	0	+12.3%	High	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	5	+8.1%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	4	+12.8%	High	Win
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.28	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Dominic Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	1	+7.0%	High	Loss
Jorge Mateo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	0	+18.3%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	3	+16.4%	High	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+12.1%	High	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.39	0	+8.4%	High	Loss
Myles Straw	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.52	6	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Sandy León	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.08	0	+9.3%	High	Win
Tyler Heineman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.61	4	+2.2%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	2	+11.9%	High	Win
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.30	0	+21.4%	Low	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	4	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.03	0	+17.1%	High	Loss
Ernie Clement	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	3	+17.7%	High	Win

KC @ MIN

18–2846 dec39.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Seth Lugo	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.82	4	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	0.96	1	+7.2%	High	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits	Under 1.5	0.93	2	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	0	+0.9%	Low	Win
Vinnie Pasquantino	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	2	-2.6%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Austin Martin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	0	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Isaac Collins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Victor Caratini	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	3	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+11.6%	High	Loss
Michael Massey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	2	+6.8%	High	Win
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	1	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Kyle Isbel	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	2	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Tristan Gray	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	+5.0%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.87	2	+5.1%	High	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.86	4	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Vinnie Pasquantino	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	0	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.60	2	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	4	-2.9%	Low	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	6	+2.3%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.35	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.31	2	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Austin Martin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	0	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	1	+15.3%	High	Loss
Victor Caratini	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	6	-1.7%	Low	Win
Michael Massey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	4	+12.1%	High	Win
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	2	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	2	+1.5%	Low	Win
Tristan Gray	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	0	+15.6%	High	Loss
Kyle Isbel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.85	3	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Byron Buxton	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	5	-2.1%	Low	Win
Vinnie Pasquantino	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	0	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	8	+8.1%	High	Win
Carter Jensen	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	2	-3.0%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.21	1	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.23	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss

ATH @ CHC

32–1446 dec69.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Shota Imanaga	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	4.42	5	+18.1%	High	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Under 1.5	1.04	2	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Under 1.5	1.01	1	+1.7%	Low	Win
Shea Langeliers	Hits	Under 1.5	0.83	2	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+5.8%	High	Win
Brent Rooker	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	+1.8%	Low	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	1	+7.7%	High	Win
Colby Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	0	+8.4%	High	Win
Ian Happ	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Nick Kurtz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	0	+0.4%	Low	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	2	+1.2%	Low	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	-1.3%	Low	Win
Moisés Ballesteros	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	2	+6.6%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+15.2%	High	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.19	5	-2.4%	Low	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.79	1	-2.3%	Low	Win
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	2	+7.2%	High	Win
Shea Langeliers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.75	7	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	7	+9.8%	High	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Nick Kurtz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Brent Rooker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.51	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	3	+6.5%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	2	+0.3%	Low	Win
Colby Thomas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.23	0	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.32	4	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.98	0	+7.0%	High	Win
Moisés Ballesteros	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.86	3	+5.8%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	2	-3.5%	Low	Win
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+10.3%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	5	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Shea Langeliers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	8	+1.7%	Low	Win
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.76	2	+7.4%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.27	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Brent Rooker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.24	0	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Nick Kurtz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+14.3%	High	Loss
Tyler Soderstrom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	4	+12.6%	High	Win
Colby Thomas	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.03	0	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Ian Happ	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.30	6	+19.1%	High	Win
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	2	+8.0%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Henry Bolte	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.00	3	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.84	0	+4.2%	Medium	Win

PIT @ HOU

19–1433 dec57.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.27	1	+7.7%	High	Win
Christian Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	-3.1%	Low	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	1	+5.3%	High	Win
Spencer Horwitz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+10.2%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+2.3%	Low	Win
Jake Meyers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	2	+7.1%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	1	+10.5%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+6.2%	High	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-0.6%	Low	Win
Cam Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Oneil Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	2	+14.7%	High	Win
Taylor Trammell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	2	+14.0%	High	Win
Jared Triolo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.16	1	+18.6%	High	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	0	+11.5%	High	Loss
Christian Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.72	1	+15.7%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.44	4	+12.5%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.62	2	+19.2%	High	Win
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	6	+13.5%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	3	+18.4%	High	Win
Jake Meyers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Isaac Paredes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	3	+6.6%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	1	+10.8%	High	Loss
Oneil Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.88	2	+25.0%	Low	Win
Cam Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	0	+16.5%	High	Loss
Taylor Trammell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.61	2	+12.8%	High	Win
Jared Triolo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.83	2	+22.5%	Low	Win
Christian Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	1	+15.9%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	4	+11.3%	High	Win
Spencer Horwitz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+19.6%	High	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	1	+16.6%	High	Loss

LAD @ AZ

20–3050 dec40.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Justin Wrobleski	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	5.10	4	+18.9%	High	Win
Ryne Nelson	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.60	3	+6.1%	High	Win
Andy Pages	Hits	Over 1.5	1.25	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits	Over 1.5	1.22	1	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 1.5	1.18	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits	Under 1.5	0.82	0	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Will Smith	Hits	Under 1.5	0.82	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	0	+1.0%	Low	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	3	+1.2%	Low	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	2	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	0	+2.4%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	-1.4%	Low	Win
Max Muncy	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	1	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Dalton Rushing	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Jose Fernandez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Tommy Troy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Alex Freeland	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.00	3	+11.8%	High	Win
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.76	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Will Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.73	0	+15.1%	High	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	5	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Max Muncy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	1	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	3	+2.1%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	1	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Dalton Rushing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.27	2	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	2	-1.7%	Low	Win
Tommy Troy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+9.2%	High	Loss
Jose Fernandez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.11	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Alex Freeland	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.55	0	+15.1%	High	Loss
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.21	4	+12.3%	High	Win
Will Smith	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	2	-3.1%	Low	Win
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+11.8%	High	Loss
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	7	+12.1%	High	Win
Kyle Tucker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	1	+6.8%	High	Loss
Max Muncy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	1	+6.5%	High	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.37	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Ildemaro Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.17	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Dalton Rushing	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.07	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	2	-0.3%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	1	+6.5%	High	Loss
Ryne Nelson	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.60	3	+3.9%	Medium	Win

← 2026-06-03 all settled dates 2026-06-05 →