9 MLB games · 341 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Citizens Bank Park38 leansFinal · graded
SD@PHI

San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
first pitch1:05 PM ET
SD@PHI
San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 7 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.0 K across 3 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.39 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 60 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Fenway Park38 leansFinal · graded
BAL@BOS

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
first pitch1:35 PM ET
BAL@BOS
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 10 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 50 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Yankee Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
CLE@NYY

Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees
first pitch1:35 PM ET
CLE@NYY
Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 12 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.71 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 15 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
American Family Field38 leansFinal · graded
SF@MIL

San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers
first pitch2:10 PM ET
SF@MIL
San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.7 K across 3 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 55 games
Truist Park37 leansFinal · graded
TOR@ATL

Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves
first pitch7:15 PM ET
TOR@ATL
Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 7.3 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.53 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.15 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.15 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.36 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 46 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Target Field37 leansFinal · graded
KC@MIN

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
first pitch7:40 PM ET
KC@MIN
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 60 games
Wrigley Field39 leansFinal · graded
ATH@CHC

Athletics at Chicago Cubs
first pitch8:05 PM ET
ATH@CHC
Athletics at Chicago Cubs
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 12 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.40 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 48 games
Daikin Park37 leansFinal · graded
PIT@HOU

Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
first pitch8:10 PM ET
PIT@HOU
Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
Game details · probable pitchers
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.52 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.55 across 60 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 49 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Chase Field39 leansFinal · graded
LAD@AZ

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks
first pitch9:40 PM ET
LAD@AZ
Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 10 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.78
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.52 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.89
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 31 games
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
