Today· Jul 7Pregame slatePaper bankroll$19,065.40· 18–14 Peak$20,465.40· 5–0 Settled· Jun 18Paper-only · educational

Overview NBA· live MLB· live NHL· pending IPL· pending Parlays· pending snapshots

Settled projections · Friday, May 22

56.6%

176–135 on 311 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-05-22. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

176

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

135

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

NBA

59.0%

49–34 on 83

Full NBA audit →

MLB

55.7%

127–101 on 228

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBDavis MartinOver 4.5 Strikeouts+33.6pp edgeactual 7
NBAVictor WembanyamaOver 25.5 PTS+23.9pp edgeactual 26
NBAAjay MitchellUnder 14.5 PTS+23.3pp edgeactual 2
NBAAjay MitchellUnder 13.5 PTS+23.3pp edgeactual 2
NBADe'Aaron FoxOver 13.5 PTS+22.6pp edgeactual 15

Biggest misses

MLBKevin GausmanUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+17.2pp edgeactual 8
MLBKevin GausmanUnder 6.5 Strikeouts+13.9pp edgeactual 8
MLBConnor PrielippOver 5.5 Strikeouts+10.4pp edgeactual 1
MLBBubba ChandlerUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+6.4pp edgeactual 11
MLBNoah CameronUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+3.0pp edgeactual 8

NBA · per-player results · 15 players

Ajay Mitchell

OKCOKC @ SA

2–1

on 3

PTSLine14.5Proj.10.2Actual2.0Hit

REBLine3.5Proj.2.6Actual5.0Miss

ASTLine3.5Proj.3.2Actual1.0Hit

Alex Caruso

OKCOKC @ SA

2–1

on 3

PTSLine10.5Proj.4.4Actual15.0Miss

REBLine3.5Proj.2.8Actual3.0Hit

ASTLine2.5Proj.1.8Actual1.0Hit

Cason Wallace

OKCOKC @ SA

2–1

on 3

PTSLine7.5Proj.7.4Actual11.0Miss

REBLine2.5Proj.2.6Actual5.0Hit

ASTLine1.5Proj.1.8Actual4.0Hit

Chet Holmgren

OKCOKC @ SA

2–1

on 3

PTSLine13.5Proj.16.8Actual14.0Hit

REBLine8.5Proj.8.5Actual3.0Miss

ASTLine1.5Proj.1.4Actual1.0Hit

De'Aaron Fox

—

3–0

on 3

PTSLine13.5Proj.17.4Actual15.0Hit

REBLine2.5Proj.3.4Actual7.0Hit

ASTLine4.5Proj.5.9Actual6.0Hit

Devin Vassell

—

2–1

on 3

PTSLine14.5Proj.12.2Actual20.0Miss

REBLine4.5Proj.4.8Actual7.0Hit

ASTLine2.5Proj.2.4Actual2.0Hit

Dylan Harper

—

1–2

on 3

PTSLine11.5Proj.13.8Actual6.0Miss

REBLine4.5Proj.3.9Actual3.0Hit

ASTLine3.5Proj.3.7Actual2.0Miss

Isaiah Hartenstein

OKCOKC @ SA

2–1

on 3

PTSLine7.5Proj.5.9Actual5.0Hit

REBLine8.5Proj.8.8Actual8.0Miss

ASTLine2.5Proj.3.3Actual4.0Hit

Julian Champagnie

—

2–1

on 3

PTSLine10.5Proj.9.9Actual10.0Hit

REBLine5.5Proj.6.1Actual5.0Miss

ASTLine1.5Proj.1.9Actual2.0Hit

Luguentz Dort

OKCOKC @ SA

1–2

on 3

PTSLine5.5Proj.7.5Actual0.0Miss

REBLine2.5Proj.2.3Actual5.0Miss

ASTLine0.5Proj.1.0Actual3.0Hit

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCOKC @ SA

2–1

on 3

PTSLine30.5Proj.28.6Actual26.0Hit

REBLine3.5Proj.3.3Actual2.0Hit

ASTLine7.5Proj.6.7Actual12.0Miss

Stephon Castle

—

1–2

on 3

PTSLine18.5Proj.16.5Actual14.0Hit

REBLine5.5Proj.7.6Actual5.0Miss

ASTLine7.5Proj.9.7Actual7.0Miss

Victor Wembanyama

—

2–1

on 3

PTSLine25.5Proj.31.1Actual26.0Hit

REBLine14.5Proj.12.8Actual4.0Hit

ASTLine3.5Proj.3.8Actual3.0Miss

Keldon Johnson

—

0–2

on 2

PTSLine10.5Proj.16.1Actual5.0Miss

REBLine4.5Proj.5.6Actual2.0Miss

ASTNo line on this market

Jared McCain

OKCOKC @ SA

1–0

on 1

PTSLine7.5Proj.9.2Actual24.0Hit

REBNo line on this market

ASTNo line on this market

One card per player. The per-game breakdown below carries every bookmaker row (DraftKings + FanDuel) for full audit detail; this view de-duplicates by player+market to make scanning easier.

NBA settled games · projection vs actual

Settled NBA game

49–3483 dec59.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
De'Aaron Fox	AST	Over 4.5	5.87	6	+12.9%	High	Win-162 · fanduel
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	AST	Under 7.5	6.73	12	+16.3%	High	Loss+104 · fanduel
Victor Wembanyama	AST	Over 3.5	3.79	3	+7.8%	High	Loss+100 · fanduel
Isaiah Hartenstein	AST	Over 2.5	3.25	4	+16.9%	High	Win+116 · fanduel
Julian Champagnie	AST	Over 1.5	1.91	2	+9.8%	High	Win+100 · fanduel
Cason Wallace	AST	Over 1.5	1.77	4	+4.1%	Medium	Win-166 · fanduel
Stephon Castle	AST	Over 7.5	9.72	7	+30.7%	High	Loss-118 · fanduel
Dylan Harper	AST	Over 3.5	3.70	2	+8.7%	High	Loss+110 · fanduel
Alex Caruso	AST	Under 2.5	1.81	1	+0.1%	Low	Win-188 · fanduel
Ajay Mitchell	AST	Under 3.5	3.17	1	+5.2%	High	Win-114 · fanduel
Devin Vassell	AST	Under 2.5	2.37	2	+0.7%	Low	Win-130 · fanduel
Chet Holmgren	AST	Under 1.5	1.45	1	+10.0%	High	Win-186 · fanduel
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	PTS	Under 30.5	28.58	26	+6.6%	High	Win-128 · fanduel
Dylan Harper	PTS	Over 11.5	13.82	6	+16.4%	High	Loss-108 · fanduel
Devin Vassell	PTS	Under 14.5	12.18	20	+11.8%	High	Loss-132 · fanduel
De'Aaron Fox	PTS	Over 13.5	17.45	15	+22.6%	High	Win-125 · fanduel
Julian Champagnie	PTS	Under 10.5	9.91	10	+2.5%	Low	Win-122 · fanduel
Victor Wembanyama	PTS	Over 25.5	31.14	26	+23.9%	High	Win-112 · fanduel
Ajay Mitchell	PTS	Under 14.5	10.16	2	+23.3%	High	Win-132 · fanduel
Stephon Castle	PTS	Under 18.5	16.54	14	+10.9%	High	Win-125 · fanduel
Alex Caruso	PTS	Under 10.5	4.39	15	+31.8%	High	Loss-130 · fanduel
Jared McCain	PTS	Over 8.5	9.23	24	+6.8%	High	Win-106 · fanduel
Keldon Johnson	PTS	Over 10.5	16.14	5	+36.8%	High	Loss+104 · fanduel
Luguentz Dort	PTS	Over 5.5	7.48	0	+10.1%	High	Loss-130 · fanduel
Isaiah Hartenstein	PTS	Under 7.5	5.89	5	+6.8%	High	Win-136 · fanduel
Cason Wallace	PTS	Under 7.5	7.43	11	+1.5%	Low	Loss-110 · fanduel
Chet Holmgren	PTS	Over 13.5	16.80	14	+19.4%	High	Win-120 · fanduel
Isaiah Hartenstein	REB	Over 8.5	8.85	8	+9.6%	High	Loss+116 · fanduel
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	REB	Under 4.5	3.28	2	+6.8%	High	Win-172 · fanduel
Keldon Johnson	REB	Over 4.5	5.59	2	+22.1%	High	Loss+122 · fanduel
Cason Wallace	REB	Over 2.5	2.60	5	+9.0%	High	Win-182 · fanduel
Luguentz Dort	REB	Under 2.5	2.32	5	+1.4%	Low	Loss-136 · fanduel
Julian Champagnie	REB	Over 5.5	6.09	5	+11.6%	High	Loss+102 · fanduel
De'Aaron Fox	REB	Over 2.5	3.42	7	+4.2%	Medium	Win-162 · fanduel
Victor Wembanyama	REB	Under 13.5	12.78	4	+12.3%	High	Win+108 · fanduel
Stephon Castle	REB	Over 5.5	7.58	5	+28.4%	High	Loss+102 · fanduel
Devin Vassell	REB	Over 4.5	4.76	7	+10.4%	High	Win+116 · fanduel
Ajay Mitchell	REB	Under 3.5	2.57	5	+8.9%	High	Loss-132 · fanduel
Chet Holmgren	REB	Over 8.5	8.53	3	+6.2%	High	Loss+112 · fanduel
Alex Caruso	REB	Under 3.5	2.76	3	+9.8%	High	Win-114 · fanduel
Dylan Harper	REB	Under 4.5	3.86	3	+3.4%	Medium	Win-144 · fanduel
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	AST	Under 7.5	6.73	12	+15.8%	High	Loss+102 · draftkings
Stephon Castle	AST	Over 7.5	9.72	7	+32.3%	High	Loss-110 · draftkings
De'Aaron Fox	AST	Over 4.5	5.87	6	+13.6%	High	Win-157 · draftkings
Ajay Mitchell	AST	Under 3.5	3.17	1	+6.4%	High	Win-109 · draftkings
Dylan Harper	AST	Over 3.5	3.70	2	+7.6%	High	Loss+105 · draftkings
Victor Wembanyama	AST	Over 3.5	3.79	3	+10.3%	High	Loss+112 · draftkings
Isaiah Hartenstein	AST	Over 2.5	3.25	4	+15.3%	High	Win+109 · draftkings
Devin Vassell	AST	Under 2.5	2.37	2	+3.5%	Medium	Win-146 · draftkings
Alex Caruso	AST	Under 2.5	1.81	1	+1.1%	Low	Win-176 · draftkings
Cason Wallace	AST	Over 1.5	1.77	4	+6.5%	High	Win-184 · draftkings
Julian Champagnie	AST	Over 1.5	1.91	2	+13.7%	High	Win+119 · draftkings
Chet Holmgren	AST	Under 1.5	1.45	1	+10.4%	High	Win-188 · draftkings
Luguentz Dort	AST	Over 0.5	0.99	3	+3.1%	Medium	Win-140 · draftkings
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	PTS	Under 30.5	28.58	26	+9.7%	High	Win-110 · draftkings
Victor Wembanyama	PTS	Over 25.5	31.14	26	+23.5%	High	Win-112 · draftkings
Stephon Castle	PTS	Under 18.5	16.54	14	+13.4%	High	Win-110 · draftkings
De'Aaron Fox	PTS	Over 14.5	17.45	15	+21.7%	High	Win+100 · draftkings
Chet Holmgren	PTS	Over 13.5	16.80	14	+17.8%	High	Win-126 · draftkings
Ajay Mitchell	PTS	Under 13.5	10.16	2	+23.3%	High	Win-103 · draftkings
Devin Vassell	PTS	Under 13.5	12.18	20	+10.4%	High	Loss-105 · draftkings
Dylan Harper	PTS	Over 11.5	13.82	6	+13.8%	High	Loss-119 · draftkings
Julian Champagnie	PTS	Under 10.5	9.91	10	+4.0%	Medium	Win-112 · draftkings
Alex Caruso	PTS	Under 10.5	4.39	15	+33.3%	High	Loss-119 · draftkings
Keldon Johnson	PTS	Over 9.5	16.14	5	+34.6%	High	Loss-123 · draftkings
Jared McCain	PTS	Over 7.5	9.23	24	+8.1%	High	Win-130 · draftkings
Cason Wallace	PTS	Under 7.5	7.43	11	+1.7%	Low	Loss-107 · draftkings
Isaiah Hartenstein	PTS	Under 7.5	5.89	5	+8.3%	High	Win-124 · draftkings
Luguentz Dort	PTS	Over 5.5	7.48	0	+9.0%	High	Loss-133 · draftkings
Victor Wembanyama	REB	Under 14.5	12.78	4	+13.8%	High	Win-130 · draftkings
Isaiah Hartenstein	REB	Over 8.5	8.85	8	+8.1%	High	Loss+109 · draftkings
Chet Holmgren	REB	Over 8.5	8.53	3	+6.2%	High	Loss+112 · draftkings
Julian Champagnie	REB	Over 5.5	6.09	5	+8.8%	High	Loss-110 · draftkings
Stephon Castle	REB	Over 5.5	7.58	5	+26.9%	High	Loss-104 · draftkings
Dylan Harper	REB	Under 4.5	3.86	3	+4.2%	Medium	Win-138 · draftkings
Devin Vassell	REB	Over 4.5	4.76	7	+8.9%	High	Win+110 · draftkings
Keldon Johnson	REB	Over 4.5	5.59	2	+20.2%	High	Loss+113 · draftkings
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	REB	Under 3.5	3.28	2	+10.0%	High	Win+118 · draftkings
Alex Caruso	REB	Under 3.5	2.76	3	+10.8%	High	Win-110 · draftkings
Ajay Mitchell	REB	Under 3.5	2.57	5	+12.3%	High	Loss-114 · draftkings
Cason Wallace	REB	Over 2.5	2.60	5	+7.6%	High	Win-170 · draftkings
De'Aaron Fox	REB	Over 2.5	3.42	7	+3.3%	Medium	Win-168 · draftkings
Luguentz Dort	REB	Under 2.5	2.32	5	+0.1%	Low	Loss-127 · draftkings

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

HOU @ CHC

6–1117 dec35.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Spencer Arrighetti	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.19	5	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Jameson Taillon	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.12	5	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	-0.7%	Low	Win
Jake Meyers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+11.7%	High	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+2.2%	Low	Win
Christian Walker	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	1	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Braden Shewmake	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+12.5%	High	Loss
Carson Kelly	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+8.8%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Cam Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	1	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Michael Conforto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	1	+1.3%	Low	Win

CLE @ PHI

10–616 dec62.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Gavin Williams	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	6.95	11	+6.0%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	0.89	0	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+8.7%	High	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	-1.2%	Low	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	1	+10.9%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+5.3%	High	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	0	+0.6%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+14.0%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Justin Crawford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+11.0%	High	Win
David Fry	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	2	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Rhys Hoskins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	0	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	0	+23.0%	Low	Loss
Austin Hedges	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	1	+5.4%	High	Win

TB @ NYY

10–515 dec66.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Nick Martinez	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.77	1	+9.1%	High	Win
Aaron Judge	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	0	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	-0.7%	Low	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+8.1%	High	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	2	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	2	+11.8%	High	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	3	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Richie Palacios	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+11.0%	High	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	2	+9.2%	High	Win
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Under 0.5	0.48	0	-0.0%	Low	Win
Austin Wells	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	1	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	+11.9%	High	Loss

PIT @ TOR

6–915 dec40.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kevin Gausman	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.77	8	+17.2%	High	Loss
Bubba Chandler	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.45	11	+6.4%	High	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	0.81	1	+5.4%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 1.5	1.23	2	+6.1%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	0	+9.7%	High	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+8.9%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	2	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Konnor Griffin	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	0	+13.6%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	0	+0.0%	Low	Win
Oneil Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+12.2%	High	Loss
Brandon Valenzuela	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	+8.0%	High	Loss
Kevin Gausman	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	4.77	8	+13.9%	High	Loss

MIN @ BOS

8–614 dec57.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Payton Tolle	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.45	9	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Connor Prielipp	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.91	1	+10.4%	High	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	+1.9%	Low	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+7.0%	High	Loss
Austin Martin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	2	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Willson Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+0.9%	Low	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	2	+5.8%	High	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	2	+6.7%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	2	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+5.4%	High	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.42	0	+7.9%	High	Win
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	2	+11.2%	High	Win

NYM @ MIA

9–1019 dec47.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Tobias Myers	Strikeouts	Under 2.5	1.20	0	+16.8%	High	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.33	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits	Under 1.5	0.96	0	+1.4%	Low	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Liam Hicks	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	0	+0.2%	Low	Win
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.42	0	+14.6%	High	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	-0.5%	Low	Win
Juan Soto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	2	+13.6%	High	Win
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Mark Vientos	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+8.0%	High	Loss
Connor Norby	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+15.0%	High	Loss
Luis Torrens	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	+7.8%	High	Win
Owen Caissie	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Joe Mack	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
MJ Melendez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.29	0	+2.7%	Medium	Win

WSH @ ATL

10–313 dec76.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Michael Harris II	Hits	Under 1.5	1.02	1	+5.1%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Under 1.5	0.78	0	+6.2%	High	Win
Matt Olson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	0	-0.6%	Low	Win
Dominic Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	-2.8%	Low	Win
Austin Riley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	3	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
James Wood	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	1	+12.0%	High	Win
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	1	+16.9%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	2	+9.7%	High	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	-1.4%	Low	Win
Sandy León	Hits	Under 0.5	0.33	0	+7.4%	High	Win
Miles Mikolas	Strikeouts	Over 2.5	2.91	3	+1.6%	Low	Win

DET @ BAL

12–517 dec70.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jack Flaherty	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.09	7	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Chris Bassitt	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.88	4	+16.7%	High	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.93	0	-1.0%	Low	Win
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	2	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	3	+1.9%	Low	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+0.9%	Low	Win
Riley Greene	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+9.9%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+2.1%	Low	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	-3.0%	Low	Win
Colt Keith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	+1.1%	Low	Win
Gage Workman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	1	+10.9%	High	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	-1.4%	Low	Win
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	1	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	2	-1.6%	Low	Win
Tyler O'Neill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.37	0	+6.3%	High	Win
Coby Mayo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win

SEA @ KC

7–916 dec43.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Noah Cameron	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.41	8	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Logan Gilbert	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.87	6	+8.0%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Over 1.5	1.19	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Maikel Garcia	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	-1.7%	Low	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	-1.2%	Low	Win
Vinnie Pasquantino	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Cole Young	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Mitch Garver	Hits	Under 0.5	0.30	2	+12.6%	High	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	0	-0.4%	Low	Win
Kyle Isbel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Michael Massey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Rob Refsnyder	Hits	Under 0.5	0.16	0	+12.5%	High	Win

LAD @ MIL

10–919 dec52.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Justin Wrobleski	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.72	4	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Logan Henderson	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.25	7	+18.9%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 1.5	1.14	1	+2.1%	Low	Loss
William Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	3	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Mookie Betts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	0	+0.2%	Low	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	+1.3%	Low	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	1	+10.0%	High	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	-0.1%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.32	1	+20.4%	Low	Win
Joey Ortiz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	0	+1.3%	Low	Win
Andy Pages	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Sal Frelick	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Max Muncy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Hyeseong Kim	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
Justin Wrobleski	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.72	4	+1.4%	Low	Win

TEX @ LAA

9–716 dec56.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jacob deGrom	Strikeouts	Under 7.5	6.90	3	+5.6%	High	Win
Josh Jung	Hits	Over 1.5	1.14	1	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	2	-1.7%	Low	Win
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+9.3%	High	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	2	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	2	-1.2%	Low	Win
Evan Carter	Hits	Under 0.5	0.44	1	+8.8%	High	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+7.1%	High	Win
Alejandro Osuna	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	2	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Justin Foscue	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	2	+8.0%	High	Win
Jorge Soler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	1	-0.8%	Low	Win
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Danny Jansen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	1	+1.6%	Low	Win
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	1	+1.4%	Low	Win

COL @ AZ

10–818 dec55.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Tomoyuki Sugano	Strikeouts	Under 2.5	1.98	3	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Michael Soroka	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.23	2	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits	Over 1.5	1.18	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Over 1.5	1.10	2	-1.6%	Low	Win
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	1	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	0	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Under 0.5	0.92	0	-3.2%	Low	Win
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Under 0.5	0.93	0	-2.5%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	-2.6%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	2	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Troy Johnston	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Adrian Del Castillo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	0	+10.6%	High	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Willi Castro	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	2	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Kyle Karros	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	0	-1.8%	Low	Win

ATH @ SD

12–517 dec70.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Walker Buehler	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.23	4	-0.4%	Low	Win
Jeffrey Springs	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.32	3	+5.5%	High	Win
Miguel Andujar	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	0	+0.3%	Low	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Shea Langeliers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+5.4%	High	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	1	+10.4%	High	Loss
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Nick Kurtz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+11.3%	High	Win
Brent Rooker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+6.4%	High	Win
Nick Castellanos	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	-2.7%	Low	Win
Darell Hernaiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Zack Gelof	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+6.0%	High	Win
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.41	0	+3.0%	Medium	Win

CWS @ SF

8–816 dec50.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Trevor McDonald	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.67	4	+15.4%	High	Loss
Davis Martin	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	7.72	7	+33.6%	Low	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.33	2	+5.4%	High	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Casey Schmitt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+2.3%	Low	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+0.7%	Low	Win
Harrison Bader	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Willy Adames	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+13.5%	High	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Matt Chapman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	+5.3%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss

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