Forecast record · what we said, and what happened
Our forecasts for Geno Smith
17 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 6.2% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rushing yards | 2.7 (range 0–20.3) | Actual 0 · missed by 2.7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Passing yards | 215.5 (range 117.2–358.0) | Actual 287 · missed by 71.5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Passing yards | 211.5 (range 115.3–350.7) | Actual 252 · missed by 40.5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 7.4% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rushing yards | 2.8 (range 0–21) | Actual -1 · missed by 3.8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Passing yards | 218.7 (range 120.2–360.6) | Actual 182 · missed by 36.7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 6.5% chance | Did not happen |
Show 9 older forecasts
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rushing yards | 3.8 (range 0–24.4) | Actual 7 · missed by 3.2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rushing yards | 6.9 (range 0.2–39.2) | No official line — not measured |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Passing yards | 229.0 (range 129.3–370.5) | Actual 119 · missed by 110.0 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 9.9% chance | No official line — not measured |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rushing yards | 9.2 (range 0.5–43.6) | Actual 12 · missed by 2.8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Passing yards | 214.7 (range 119.5–350.9) | Actual 321 · missed by 106.3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 11.6% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Passing yards | 219.7 (range 121.3–361.1) | Actual 247 · missed by 27.3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rushing yards | 7.7 (range 0.3–40.0) | Actual 17 · missed by 9.3 |
How each forecast type has done overall: Anytime touchdown · Rushing yards · Passing yards
2026 recorded snapshot
Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.
Recorded games
7
Completions
145
over 7 recorded games
Pass attempts
207
over 7 recorded games
Passing yards
1623
over 7 recorded games
Recent form and game log
Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.
Last 3 / 5 / 10 recorded games
| Stat | Last 3 · avg (n) | Last 5 · avg (n) | Last 10 · avg (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Completions | 20 (n=3) | 19.8 (n=5) | 19.4 (n=10) |
| Pass attempts | 30 (n=3) | 28.4 (n=5) | 27.9 (n=10) |
| Passing yards | 240.3 (n=3) | 232.2 (n=5) | 211.6 (n=10) |
| Passing TDs | 1.7 (n=3) | 1.8 (n=5) | 1.4 (n=10) |
| Interceptions thrown | 0.7 (n=3) | 0.4 (n=5) | 0.5 (n=10) |
Recorded 287, 252, 182 passing yards in the last 3 available games.
Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.
Passing yards, game by game
Game log
7 recorded games · 145 completions · 207 pass attempts · 1623 passing yards| Date | Team | Opponent | Team result | CMP | ATT | YDS | TD | INT | Game page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | NYJ | vs MIA | L 25–28 | 23 | 30 | 287 | 3 | 1 | Game → |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NYJ | @ NE | L 19–26 | 20 | 30 | 252 | 1 | 1 | Game → |
| Oct 11, 2026 | NYJ | vs CLE | W 17–12 | 17 | 30 | 182 | 1 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 4, 2026 | NYJ | @ CHI | L 12–23 | 8 | 15 | 119 | 1 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 27, 2026 | NYJ | @ DET | L 24–31 | 31 | 37 | 321 | 3 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NYJ | vs GB | L 17–20 | 27 | 41 | 247 | 1 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 13, 2026 | NYJ | @ TEN | W 23–10 | 19 | 24 | 215 | 0 | 0 | Game → |
