NFL · Player research
Drake Maye
Current roster: New England Patriots · 3 recorded seasons (2024 to 2026)
Current GameTime forecast · model output, not history
Published pregame ranges
NE @ MIA · Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · Model status: published families, and estimates labelled as such
- Passing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met
- 244 (range 133–404)
- Rushing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met
- 18 (range 1–55)
- Anytime touchdown
- 18.2% chance to score, if he plays
Forecast record · what we said, and what happened
Our forecasts for Drake Maye
20 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Passing yards | 234.1 (range 127.1–389.3) | Actual 321 · missed by 86.9 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 14.4% chance | Happened |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Rushing yards | 16.3 (range 0.5–51.0) | Actual 26 · missed by 9.7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 17.6% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rushing yards | 20.4 (range 2.0–58.7) | Actual 24 · missed by 3.6 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Passing yards | 236.0 (range 128.5–391.7) | Actual 235 · missed by 1.0 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rushing yards | 21.3 (range 1.9–60.8) | Actual 25 · missed by 3.7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 12.6% chance | Happened |
Show 12 older forecasts
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Passing yards | 215.8 (range 116.1–361.1) | Actual 374 · missed by 158.2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Passing yards | 211.1 (range 112.8–355.0) | Actual 269 · missed by 57.9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 12.3% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rushing yards | 12.7 (range 0.9–57.0) | Actual 54 · missed by 41.3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Passing yards | 223.1 (range 121.4–370.3) | Actual 199 · missed by 24.1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rushing yards | 15.9 (range 1.3–67.1) | Actual 18 · missed by 2.1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Passing yards | 219.2 (range 120.9–360.4) | Actual 208 · missed by 11.2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rushing yards | 19.7 (range 2.1–75.8) | Actual 17 · missed by 2.7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 16.6% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Passing yards | 195 (range 70–323) | Actual 178 · missed by 17 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rushing yards | 15 (range 1–47) | Actual 47 · missed by 32 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 20.5% chance | Did not happen |
How each forecast type has done overall: Passing yards · Anytime touchdown · Rushing yards
2026 recorded snapshot
Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.
Recent form and game log
Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.
Last 3 / 5 / 10 recorded games
| Stat | Last 3 · avg (n) | Last 5 · avg (n) | Last 10 · avg (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Completions | 22.7 (n=3) | 20.8 (n=5) | 19.4 (n=10) |
| Pass attempts | 32.3 (n=3) | 31.8 (n=5) | 30.5 (n=10) |
| Passing yards | 310 (n=3) | 279.6 (n=5) | 234.4 (n=10) |
| Passing TDs | 3 (n=3) | 2.4 (n=5) | 1.8 (n=10) |
| Interceptions thrown | 0.3 (n=3) | 0.8 (n=5) | 1.1 (n=10) |
Recorded 321, 235, 374 passing yards in the last 3 available games.
Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.
Passing yards, game by game
Game log
7 recorded games · 141 completions · 214 pass attempts · 1784 passing yards| Date | Team | Opponent | Team result | CMP | ATT | YDS | TD | INT | Game page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | NE | @ CHI | L 24–30 | 24 | 31 | 321 | 2 | 1 | Game → |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NE | vs NYJ | W 26–19 | 18 | 32 | 235 | 3 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 11, 2026 | NE | vs LV | W 45–17 | 26 | 34 | 374 | 4 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 4, 2026 | NE | @ BUF | W 29–26 | 22 | 37 | 269 | 3 | 1 | Game → |
| Sep 27, 2026 | NE | @ JAX | L 6–35 | 14 | 25 | 199 | 0 | 2 | Game → |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NE | vs PIT | W 20–3 | 14 | 22 | 208 | 0 | 1 | Game → |
| Sep 9, 2026 | NE | @ SEA | L 10–13 | 23 | 33 | 178 | 1 | 3 | Game → |
