Forecast record · what we said, and what happened
Our forecasts for C.J. Stroud
20 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 10.7% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Passing yards | 248.1 (range 140.0–401.5) | Actual 153 · missed by 95.1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rushing yards | 5.1 (range 0–29.1) | Actual 4 · missed by 1.1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rushing yards | 6 (range 0–29.9) | Actual 5 · missed by 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 12.5% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Passing yards | 240.2 (range 135.2–389.4) | Actual 312 · missed by 71.8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rushing yards | 4.3 (range 0–30.4) | Actual 5 · missed by 0.7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 8.0% chance | Happened |
Show 12 older forecasts
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Passing yards | 237.6 (range 132.7–387.3) | Actual 261 · missed by 23.4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Passing yards | 218.3 (range 121.8–355.9) | Actual 347 · missed by 128.7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 8.0% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rushing yards | 4.4 (range 0.0–37.2) | Actual 12 · missed by 7.6 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Passing yards | 223.7 (range 125.8–362.8) | Actual 167 · missed by 56.7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rushing yards | 5.2 (range 0.0–40.8) | Actual 10 · missed by 4.8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Passing yards | 215.9 (range 119.6–354.1) | Actual 353 · missed by 137.1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rushing yards | 2.4 (range 0–29.5) | Actual 29 · missed by 26.6 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 6.9% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Passing yards | 129 (range 26–252) | Actual 274 · missed by 145 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rushing yards | 3 (range 0–25) | Actual 15 · missed by 12 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 12.8% chance | Did not happen |
How each forecast type has done overall: Anytime touchdown · Passing yards · Rushing yards
2026 recorded snapshot
Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.
Recorded games
7
Completions
160
over 7 recorded games
Pass attempts
247
over 7 recorded games
Passing yards
1867
over 7 recorded games
Recent form and game log
Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.
Last 3 / 5 / 10 recorded games
| Stat | Last 3 · avg (n) | Last 5 · avg (n) | Last 10 · avg (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Completions | 22.3 (n=3) | 20.8 (n=5) | 21.5 (n=10) |
| Pass attempts | 32 (n=3) | 30.8 (n=5) | 34.9 (n=10) |
| Passing yards | 242 (n=3) | 248 (n=5) | 249.8 (n=10) |
| Passing TDs | 2 (n=3) | 1.8 (n=5) | 1.4 (n=10) |
| Interceptions thrown | 0.3 (n=3) | 0.2 (n=5) | 0.6 (n=10) |
Recorded 153, 312, 261 passing yards in the last 3 available games.
Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.
Passing yards, game by game
Game log
7 recorded games · 160 completions · 247 pass attempts · 1867 passing yards| Date | Team | Opponent | Team result | CMP | ATT | YDS | TD | INT | Game page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | HOU | vs NYG | L 21–27 | 17 | 28 | 153 | 2 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 18, 2026 | HOU | vs JAX | W 34–31 | 24 | 34 | 312 | 3 | 1 | Game → |
| Oct 11, 2026 | HOU | @ TEN | W 26–3 | 26 | 34 | 261 | 1 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 4, 2026 | HOU | vs DAL | L 30–34 | 21 | 31 | 347 | 2 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 27, 2026 | HOU | @ IND | L 17–19 | 16 | 27 | 167 | 1 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 20, 2026 | HOU | vs CIN | L 6–20 | 30 | 55 | 353 | 0 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 13, 2026 | HOU | vs BUF | L 31–36 | 26 | 38 | 274 | 2 | 0 | Game → |
