NFL · Player research
Caleb Williams
Current roster: Chicago Bears · 3 recorded seasons (2024 to 2026)
Current GameTime forecast · model output, not history
Published pregame ranges
CHI @ SEA · Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET · Model status: published families, and estimates labelled as such
- Passing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met
- 235 (range 131–383)
- Rushing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met
- 8 (range 0–35)
- Anytime touchdown
- 23.6% chance to score, if he plays
Forecast record · what we said, and what happened
Our forecasts for Caleb Williams
11 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Rushing yards | 10.0 (range 0–41.2) | Actual 18 · missed by 8.0 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 25.0% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Passing yards | 222.3 (range 123.7–363.3) | Actual 308 · missed by 85.7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rushing yards | 12.3 (range 0–46.2) | Actual 3 · missed by 9.3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Passing yards | 205.3 (range 111.5–341.4) | Actual 305 · missed by 99.7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 25.8% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Passing yards | 230.9 (range 127.0–380.6) | Actual 138 · missed by 92.9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rushing yards | 16.0 (range 1.2–68.2) | Actual 42 · missed by 26.0 |
Show 3 older forecasts
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 29.7% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Passing yards | 166 (range 60–282) | Actual 269 · missed by 103 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rushing yards | 7 (range 0–34) | Actual 65 · missed by 58 |
How each forecast type has done overall: Rushing yards · Anytime touchdown · Passing yards
2026 recorded snapshot
Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.
Recent form and game log
Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.
Last 3 / 5 / 10 recorded games
| Stat | Last 3 · avg (n) | Last 5 · avg (n) | Last 10 · avg (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing attempts | 4.7 (n=3) | 5.8 (n=5) | 4.5 (n=10) |
| Rushing yards | 21 (n=3) | 33.6 (n=5) | 25 (n=10) |
| Rushing TDs | 0 (n=3) | 0.4 (n=5) | 0.2 (n=10) |
Recorded 18, 3, 42 rushing yards in the last 3 available games.
Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.