NBA Predicted Player Statistics · Fri, Oct 30
NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Every rostered player without a projection is listed as “Projection unavailable” with the reason the Official Forecast recorded.
197 of 197 players · order: expected minutes
· 151 without a projection| Player | Team | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura · Day-To-Day | LAC | 45.8 | 20.1 | 4.6 | 2 | 3.8 | 26.7 | 24.7 | 22 |
| Amen Thompson | HOU | 39.8 | 20.1 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 0.2 | 32.5 | 27.1 | 25.5 |
| Desmond Bane | ORL | 38.1 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 26.2 | 24.3 | 21.3 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | HOU | 37.7 | 16.5 | 7 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 24.9 | 23.5 | 18 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | 36.7 | 22.2 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 32 | 26.6 | 27.6 |
| Darius Garland | LAC | 36.5 | 21.3 | 2.8 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 31.3 | 24.3 | 28.3 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 35.9 | 11 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 21.6 | 18.9 | 13.6 |
| Kevin Durant | HOU | 35.8 | 25.3 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 35.3 | 30.9 | 29.7 |
| Cade Cunningham | DET | 35.6 | 23.5 | 4.1 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 34.2 | 27.7 | 30 |
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | 34.5 | 23.3 | 12 | 8.2 | 0.9 | 43.8 | 35.5 | 31.6 |
| Jalen Brunson | NY | 34.4 | 25.4 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 34.2 | 28.8 | 30.7 |
| RJ Barrett | TOR | 34.1 | 21.8 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 2 | 31 | 27.7 | 25.1 |
| Brandon Miller | CHA | 33.9 | 19.4 | 4 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 26.4 | 23.4 | 22.4 |
| Brook Lopez | LAC | 33.9 | 14.6 | 7.5 | 2 | 1.9 | 24.4 | 22.2 | 16.7 |
| Scottie Barnes | TOR | 33.3 | 19.3 | 5.6 | 7.1 | 0.9 | 32.1 | 25 | 26.3 |
| Alperen Sengun · Day-To-Day | HOU | 33.3 | 16.7 | 9.4 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 30.8 | 26 | 21.4 |
| Cody Williams | MIN | 32.5 | 15.1 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 23.2 | 18.8 | 19.5 |
| Cooper Flagg | DAL | 32.1 | 24.4 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 35.2 | 31.3 | 28.4 |
| Franz Wagner | ORL | 31.7 | 17.9 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 27.4 | 23.7 | 21.7 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 31.1 | 15 | 5.3 | 2 | 0.9 | 22.6 | 20.4 | 17.3 |
| Mikal Bridges | NY | 31 | 12.2 | 3.4 | 3 | 1.1 | 18.7 | 15.7 | 15.2 |
| Jayson Tatum | BOS | 30.8 | 19.3 | 9 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 34.2 | 28.4 | 25.1 |
| Paul George | BOS | 30.5 | 13.3 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 19.2 | 16.6 | 15.9 |
| OG Anunoby | NY | 30.5 | 16.9 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 23.4 | 21.6 | 18.8 |
| Naz Reid | CHA | 30.3 | 14.3 | 8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 24.8 | 22.4 | 16.6 |
| Kris Dunn | LAC | 30.2 | 6 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 14.2 | 9.7 | 10.6 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | 30.1 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 13.1 | 11.6 | 9.7 |
| P.J. Washington | DAL | 29.6 | 13 | 8.6 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 22.1 | 21.6 | 13.4 |
| Andrew Nembhard · Day-To-Day | IND | 29.5 | 12.2 | 1.8 | 11.2 | 1.7 | 25.1 | 13.9 | 23.3 |
| Immanuel Quickley | TOR | 29.2 | 14.9 | 3.6 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 23.9 | 18.6 | 20.2 |
| Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 29.1 | 17.2 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 24.3 | 20.3 | 21.3 |
| Anthony Black | ORL | 29 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 15.3 | 13.5 | 11.5 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | IND | 29 | 10 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 15.8 | 14.9 | 10.9 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 28.7 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 14.7 | 13.3 | 10 |
| Devin Booker | PHX | 28.7 | 17.9 | 3 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 25.5 | 21.1 | 22.4 |
| Moussa Diabate | CHA | 28.6 | 5.8 | 9.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 17.5 | 15.2 | 8.1 |
| Josh Giddey | CHI | 28.6 | 8.5 | 7.1 | 8 | 0.7 | 23.7 | 15.6 | 16.5 |
| Austin Reaves | LAL | 28.5 | 15.4 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 23 | 18.5 | 19.9 |
| Derrick White | BOS | 28.4 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 13.7 | 11 | 11.1 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | 28.4 | 6 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 17 | 14.6 | 8.2 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 28.2 | 12.4 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 25.4 | 21.7 | 16.2 |
| Elijah Harkless | DET | 28.1 | 6.9 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 13.9 | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| Naji Marshall · Day-To-Day | DAL | 28.1 | 13.5 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 20.5 | 17.4 | 16.6 |
| LaMelo Ball | MIN | 28.1 | 21.5 | 4.2 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 32.6 | 25.8 | 28.4 |
| Tari Eason | HOU | 28 | 11.5 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 19 | 17.4 | 13.1 |
| Luka Doncic | LAL | 27.8 | 25.5 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 3 | 37.7 | 31.4 | 31.8 |
| LeBron James | PHI | 27.7 | 16.8 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 26.8 | 21.5 | 22 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | TOR | 27.7 | 9.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 13.4 | 12.2 | 10.9 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | MIN | 27.7 | 14.1 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 21.8 | 17.8 | 18.2 |
| Payton Pritchard | BOS | 27.5 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 21 | 16.3 | 18.1 |
| Julius Randle | BKN | 27.4 | 12.3 | 6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 20.5 | 18.3 | 14.4 |
| Josh Hart | NY | 27.4 | 9.5 | 7.7 | 4 | 1.8 | 21.5 | 17.3 | 13.5 |
| Max Christie | DAL | 27.4 | 9.7 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 13.8 | 12.3 | 11.2 |
| Matas Buzelis | CHI | 27 | 14.4 | 7.1 | 2 | 1.3 | 23.7 | 21.5 | 16.6 |
| VJ Edgecombe | PHI | 27 | 10.1 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 17.1 | 14.7 | 12.5 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | BKN | 26.9 | 19.7 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 27.9 | 25.4 | 22.2 |
| Jamal Shead | TOR | 26.9 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 12.8 | 8.8 | 11.3 |
| Brandin Podziemski | GS | 26.8 | 16.7 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 22.6 | 20.5 | 18.8 |
| Aaron Gordon | DEN | 26.8 | 11.4 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 19.9 | 16.4 | 14.9 |
| Ausar Thompson | DET | 26.3 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 15.9 | 12.7 | 9.3 |
| Moussa Cisse | DAL | 26.3 | 10.7 | 12.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 23.6 | 23.4 | 10.9 |
| Davion Mitchell | MIA | 26.2 | 10.4 | 2.3 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 17.6 | 12.8 | 15.2 |
| Bam Adebayo | MIA | 26.1 | 13.9 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 26.1 | 22.4 | 17.5 |
| Leonard Miller | CHI | 26 | 13.3 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 21.2 | 19.7 | 14.7 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | 26 | 19.8 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 29 | 26 | 22.8 |
| Stephen Curry | GS | 26 | 18.9 | 3 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 25.2 | 22 | 22.1 |
| DeMar DeRozan | DEN | 26 | 16.7 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.5 | 23.8 | 19.5 | 21.1 |
| Will Riley | WSH | 25.9 | 14.4 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 20.3 | 17.7 | 16.9 |
| Duncan Robinson | DET | 25.7 | 10.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 15 | 13.1 | 12.7 |
| Aaron Nesmith · Day-To-Day | IND | 25.7 | 11.7 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 16.9 | 15.2 | 13.4 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | DAL | 25.7 | 11.3 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 18.7 | 13.5 | 16.5 |
| Rayan Rupert | PHI | 25.6 | 12.3 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 21.5 | 18.3 | 15.5 |
| Taurean Prince | DET | 25.5 | 12 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 18.8 | 15.9 | 14.8 |
| Draymond Green | GS | 25.5 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 6.1 | 1 | 16.2 | 10.1 | 12 |
| Jaylen Brown · Day-To-Day | PHI | 25.1 | 18.2 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 24.2 | 22.1 | 20.4 |
| Gui Santos · Day-To-Day | GS | 25.1 | 11 | 4.9 | 3 | 1 | 19.1 | 16 | 14.1 |
| Royce O'Neale | CHA | 25 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 16.6 | 14.5 | 11 |
| Dillon Brooks | PHX | 25 | 15.2 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 20.1 | 18.6 | 16.7 |
| Anthony Davis | WSH | 24.8 | 15.4 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 26.3 | 24.1 | 17.6 |
| Jalen Green | PHX | 24.7 | 14.9 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 20 | 18.1 | 16.8 |
| Anthony Gill | WSH | 24.6 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 14.2 | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| Malachi Smith | TOR | 24.6 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 3 | 1.3 | 14.5 | 11.3 | 10.8 |
| Isaac Okoro | CHI | 24.5 | 9.2 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1 | 13.5 | 11.9 | 10.8 |
| Joel Embiid | PHI | 24.3 | 17.2 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 26.4 | 22.4 | 21.1 |
| Andrew Wiggins | MIA | 24.2 | 11.4 | 3 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 16.4 | 14.5 | 13.3 |
| Pelle Larsson | MIA | 24.2 | 11.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 17.5 | 14.5 | 14.1 |
| Luke Kennard | PHX | 24.2 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 12.4 | 10.7 | 9.9 |
| Walker Kessler | LAL | 24 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 21.9 | 19.6 | 13.6 |
| Tre Jones | CHI | 23.9 | 17.8 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 26 | 21.5 | 22.4 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | MIN | 23.6 | 12.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 17.5 | 16.2 | 13.9 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIA | 23.5 | 21.7 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 33.9 | 29.5 | 26.1 |
| Drake Powell | BKN | 23.4 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 10.3 | 9.2 | 8.5 |
| Ben Saraf | BKN | 23.3 | 9.5 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 16.1 | 12.7 | 12.9 |
| Kobe Brown | IND | 23.2 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 16 | 13.1 | 11.6 |
| Kyshawn George | WSH | 23 | 11.1 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 18.7 | 15.3 | 14.7 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | TOR | 23 | 11.5 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 19.1 | 17.1 | 13.5 |
| Patrick Williams | CHI | 22.9 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 12.2 | 10.1 | 8.6 |
| Daniss Jenkins | DET | 22.7 | 8.9 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 14.4 | 11.4 | 11.9 |
| Deandre Ayton | WSH | 22.6 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 0.7 | 0 | 16 | 15.2 | 8.4 |
| Collin Sexton | LAL | 22.6 | 15.1 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 20.3 | 18.1 | 17.3 |
Showing the first 100 of 197 players; the full board loads in your browser.
Model vs. sportsbook line · NBA player props
794 of 1379 projections have a qualified sportsbook line. Direction not shown: 107.
CHA @ WSH: 72 lines · ▲ 21 ▼ 50 = 1 · View lines →
CHI @ BOS: 73 lines · ▲ 21 ▼ 52 · View lines →
DET @ BKN: 54 lines · ▲ 7 ▼ 46 = 1 · View lines →
NY @ PHI: 66 lines · ▲ 14 ▼ 52 · View lines →
ORL @ TOR: 78 lines · ▲ 17 ▼ 61 · View lines →
IND @ MIA: 76 lines · ▲ 10 ▼ 65 = 1 · View lines →
HOU @ DAL: 69 lines · ▲ 40 ▼ 27 = 2 · View lines →
LAC @ MIN: 63 lines · ▲ 12 ▼ 50 = 1 · View lines →
LAL @ GS: 73 lines · ▲ 15 ▼ 57 = 1 · View lines →
DEN @ PHX: 63 lines · ▲ 8 ▼ 54 = 1 · View lines →
- OVER means our model's projection is above the sportsbook's line.
- UNDER means our model's projection is below the sportsbook's line.
- NEUTRAL means our model's projection is the same as the sportsbook's line.
- Difference is our projection minus the line: 36.0 against 29.5 is +6.5. A gap smaller than 0.05 shows as +0.0 or −0.0 and keeps its direction.
- A line older than 6 hours, taken after the game started, not matched to the player and game, suspended, or for a statistic we do not project is shown with the reason and is not compared.
- Over and Under prices are the sportsbook's American odds. A dash means the sportsbook did not post that price; it is never a zero.
- Comparison not shown means the model and the sportsbook line are both shown without a direction, because that statistic's forecast has not yet met our calibration standard.
- It is a comparison, not a bet recommendation or a probability, and it guarantees nothing.
Sportsbook availability varies by state.
Technical detailsFreeze times, receipts and method · 10 games
Model: nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1. Source: v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games. PRA, P+R and P+A: sum over the same simulated draws (v0 engine; components independent within a player) — the median of each simulated game’s sum, so it need not equal the sum of the separate medians. Players with at least 10 expected minutes who are not ruled out. The default order is expected minutes; a column sort is the reader’s own. Game status is read-only, from the schedule and finals record (Started: tipped off, no final recorded yet); it never changes a frozen figure.
- Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards: tip-off Oct 30, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 30, 11:18 AM ET · receipt 32b4edce15aeElo-derived game-winner estimate: CHA 73% · WSH 27% · Upcoming · NBA hub card
- Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics: tip-off Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 30, 11:50 AM ET · receipt d7efb5dd8e27Elo-derived game-winner estimate: CHI 17% · BOS 83% · Upcoming · NBA hub card
- Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets: tip-off Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 30, 11:50 AM ET · receipt 82a2cf7bf201Elo-derived game-winner estimate: DET 75% · BKN 25% · Upcoming · NBA hub card
- New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers: tip-off Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 30, 11:50 AM ET · receipt 9e7158e3c8a6Elo-derived game-winner estimate: NY 61% · PHI 39% · Upcoming · NBA hub card
- Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors: tip-off Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 30, 11:50 AM ET · receipt e58f0ba1cfcbElo-derived game-winner estimate: ORL 42% · TOR 58% · Upcoming · NBA hub card
- Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat: tip-off Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 30, 11:50 AM ET · receipt e81d291481baElo-derived game-winner estimate: IND 25% · MIA 75% · Upcoming · NBA hub card
- Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks: tip-off Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 30, 11:50 AM ET · receipt 0acfc81e1fb8Elo-derived game-winner estimate: HOU 63% · DAL 37% · Upcoming · NBA hub card
- LA Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves: tip-off Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 30, 11:50 AM ET · receipt 40b9e5fe558eElo-derived game-winner estimate: LAC 33% · MIN 67% · Upcoming · NBA hub card
- Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors: tip-off Oct 30, 10:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 30, 11:50 AM ET · receipt 50316dcb4c35Elo-derived game-winner estimate: LAL 58% · GS 42% · Upcoming · NBA hub card
- Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns: tip-off Oct 30, 10:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 30, 11:50 AM ET · receipt 532efa7bb2a4Elo-derived game-winner estimate: DEN 53% · PHX 47% · Upcoming · NBA hub card
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
- Not shown: this model's team score is a sum of player simulations that ignores the opponent, can contradict the Elo side, and has not met its historical checks.
- Medians only: the model's ranges have not yet shown reliable coverage.
- No sportsbook prices, lines, edges, picks or rankings: there is no authorized NBA price, and these figures are not betting recommendations.