NBA Predicted Player Statistics · Wed, Oct 28
NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Past slate · Wed, Oct 28. Every Official Forecast figure here was frozen before that day’s tip-offs and is shown exactly as frozen, never updated after a game. Today’s board
Forecast vs. Actual
Forecast: the Official Forecast, frozen before tip-off and never changed. Actual: the final box score (ESPN), after the official final. A dash means did not play — never a zero.
Every rostered player without a projection is listed as “Projection unavailable” with the reason the Official Forecast recorded.
237 of 237 players · order: expected minutes
· 178 without a projection| Player | Team | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 48 | 28 | 31.6 | 21 | 3.2 | 6 | 9.7 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Darius Garland | LAC | 45.6 | 26 | 25.8 | 14 | 3.4 | 1 | 8.4 | 5 | 3.4 | 1 |
| Brook Lopez | LAC | 42.4 | 22 | 17.8 | 2 | 9.3 | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | 2.3 | 0 |
| Ajay Mitchell · Day-To-Day | OKC | 40.9 | 28 | 19.9 | 29 | 4.3 | 4 | 6.2 | 3 | 0.7 | 2 |
| James Harden | CLE | 39.2 | 34 | 18.3 | 16 | 4.8 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 38.6 | 31 | 29.2 | 19 | 5.1 | 5 | 3.4 | 7 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Evan Mobley | CLE | 38.6 | 32 | 17 | 24 | 7.8 | 12 | 4.3 | 2 | 1.4 | 5 |
| Desmond Bane | ORL | 38.1 | 34 | 19.6 | 13 | 4.8 | 5 | 1.8 | 4 | 3.2 | 2 |
| Kris Dunn | LAC | 37.7 | 27 | 7.4 | 5 | 4.4 | 3 | 5.6 | 3 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Victor Wembanyama | SA | 36.7 | 39 | 24.8 | 36 | 8.7 | 14 | 2.5 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Amen Thompson | HOU | 36.1 | 33 | 18.4 | 23 | 6.2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 35.9 | 26 | 10.9 | 3 | 8.1 | 10 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 35.9 | 28 | 10.6 | 15 | 5.8 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Cade Cunningham | DET | 35.6 | 39 | 23.6 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 6.4 | 7 | 2.7 | 4 |
| Devin Vassell | SA | 34.5 | 38 | 12.1 | 21 | 5.5 | 5 | 2.7 | 2 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | HOU | 34.2 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 6.3 | 2 | 1.3 | 2 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Cooper Flagg | DAL | 34.2 | 33 | 26.3 | 26 | 7.1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 1.3 | 2 |
| RJ Barrett | TOR | 34.1 | 32 | 21.7 | 25 | 5.8 | 9 | 3.3 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| Brandon Miller | CHA | 33.9 | 38 | 19.4 | 31 | 3.9 | 12 | 2.9 | 3 | 3.3 | 3 |
| Scottie Barnes | TOR | 33.3 | 31 | 19.3 | 28 | 5.6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Jalen Brunson | NY | 33.1 | 35 | 24.5 | 38 | 3.3 | 1 | 5.1 | 7 | 2.1 | 6 |
| De'Aaron Fox | SA | 33.1 | 39 | 11.5 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5.9 | 4 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | OKC | 33.1 | 26 | 11.3 | 10 | 11.4 | 14 | 3.6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Micah Peavy | OKC | 33 | 5 | 5.3 | 0 | 2.3 | 0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | 32.6 | 38 | 19.7 | 23 | 3.9 | 1 | 4.8 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
| Kevin Durant | HOU | 32.5 | 31 | 23 | 18 | 5.1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Cody Williams | MIN | 32.5 | DNP | 15.2 | — | 3.6 | — | 4.4 | — | 0.3 | — |
| Jarrett Allen | CLE | 32.4 | 30 | 15.1 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Franz Wagner | ORL | 31.7 | 34 | 18.1 | 15 | 5.7 | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Jared McCain | OKC | 31.7 | 29 | 17.1 | 10 | 2.9 | 4 | 1.6 | 4 | 2.8 | 0 |
| P.J. Washington | DAL | 31.6 | 27 | 14 | 18 | 9.3 | 9 | 0.3 | 0 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Stephon Castle | SA | 31.5 | 38 | 15.1 | 14 | 4.9 | 6 | 5.3 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 31.1 | 35 | 15 | 19 | 5.2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Austin Reaves | LAL | 31 | 31 | 16.7 | 16 | 3.3 | 6 | 4.9 | 1 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Peyton Watson | CLE | 30.7 | 28 | 14.2 | 22 | 4.8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | 30.7 | 34 | 20.6 | 21 | 10.6 | 13 | 7.2 | 10 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Julian Champagnie | SA | 30.6 | 31 | 11.4 | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 1.6 | 0 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Naz Reid | CHA | 30.3 | 13 | 14.3 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 2.3 | 0 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Luka Doncic | LAL | 30.2 | — | 27.9 | — | 6.4 | — | 6.9 | — | 3.3 | — |
| Mikal Bridges | NY | 29.9 | 13 | 11.5 | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | 2.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Naji Marshall · Day-To-Day | DAL | 29.9 | — | 14.6 | — | 4 | — | 3.1 | — | 0.4 | — |
| Andrew Nembhard · Day-To-Day | IND | 29.5 | 35 | 12.2 | 18 | 1.7 | 3 | 11.2 | 14 | 1.7 | 1 |
| OG Anunoby | NY | 29.4 | 31 | 16.3 | 23 | 4.5 | 6 | 1.7 | 1 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Immanuel Quickley | TOR | 29.2 | 29 | 14.7 | 16 | 3.6 | 3 | 5.4 | 7 | 2.3 | 4 |
| Max Christie | DAL | 29.2 | 22 | 10.3 | 11 | 2.7 | 5 | 1.7 | 2 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 29.1 | 36 | 17.3 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 4.1 | 4 | 1.8 | 3 |
| Marcus Smart · Day-To-Day | HOU | 29.1 | DNP | 10.8 | — | 2.9 | — | 4.3 | — | 1.4 | — |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | IND | 29 | 30 | 10.1 | 15 | 4.9 | 3 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Anthony Black · Day-To-Day | ORL | 29 | 22 | 9.6 | 8 | 3.7 | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Moussa Diabate | CHA | 28.6 | 35 | 5.8 | 9 | 9.2 | 9 | 2.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Giddey | CHI | 28.6 | 31 | 8.5 | 10 | 7.1 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | 28.4 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 8.6 | 4 | 2.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Harkless | DET | 28.1 | DNP | 6.9 | — | 3.3 | — | 3.6 | — | 0.8 | — |
| LaMelo Ball | MIN | 28.1 | 28 | 21.4 | 8 | 4.1 | 3 | 6.8 | 8 | 3.8 | 2 |
| Moussa Cisse | DAL | 28 | 3 | 11.3 | 0 | 13.1 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LeBron James | PHI | 27.7 | 33 | 16.7 | 13 | 4.8 | 5 | 5.3 | 10 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | TOR | 27.7 | 28 | 9.9 | 14 | 2.4 | 5 | 1.2 | 2 | 2.3 | 3 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | MIN | 27.7 | 32 | 14.2 | 17 | 3.4 | 3 | 3.7 | 4 | 1.4 | 3 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | ATL | 27.6 | 32 | 13.7 | 23 | 1.8 | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | 2.7 | 5 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | DAL | 27.4 | 15 | 12.1 | 0 | 2.3 | 2 | 5.7 | 5 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Davion Mitchell | MIA | 27.3 | 34 | 10.8 | 10 | 2.4 | 1 | 4.9 | 10 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Bam Adebayo | MIA | 27.2 | 33 | 14.3 | 24 | 8.8 | 9 | 3.5 | 3 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 27.2 | 28 | 12.1 | 19 | 8.8 | 13 | 3.1 | 5 | 1.2 | 3 |
| Lauri Markkanen · Day-To-Day | UTAH | 27.1 | — | 20.7 | — | 5.3 | — | 1.7 | — | 2.1 | — |
| Jalen Johnson | ATL | 27 | 36 | 14.2 | 12 | 6.5 | 9 | 3.7 | 11 | 1.2 | 2 |
| VJ Edgecombe | PHI | 27 | 29 | 10.1 | 8 | 4.6 | 7 | 2.4 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Matas Buzelis | CHI | 27 | 33 | 14.5 | 17 | 7.1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.3 | 3 |
| Jamal Shead | TOR | 26.9 | 23 | 7.2 | 13 | 1.4 | 4 | 3.9 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Brandin Podziemski | GS | 26.8 | 32 | 16.5 | 8 | 3.5 | 5 | 1.9 | 6 | 2.1 | 0 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | 26.8 | 36 | 7.4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.6 | 3 |
| Cameron Johnson · Day-To-Day | DEN | 26.6 | — | 12.4 | — | 2.8 | — | 2.4 | — | 1.4 | — |
| Josh Hart | NY | 26.4 | 36 | 9.4 | 2 | 7.5 | 8 | 3.8 | 3 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Ausar Thompson | DET | 26.3 | 29 | 6.1 | 7 | 6.5 | 9 | 3.2 | 8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Keyonte George | UTAH | 26.1 | 37 | 18 | 31 | 2.8 | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | 1.9 | 5 |
| Walker Kessler | LAL | 26.1 | 26 | 11.9 | 11 | 9.1 | 9 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | 26 | 34 | 19.6 | 26 | 6.2 | 11 | 2.9 | 3 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Leonard Miller | CHI | 26 | 17 | 13.5 | 10 | 6.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Stephen Curry | GS | 26 | 32 | 18.8 | 44 | 3 | 8 | 3.1 | 6 | 3.5 | 6 |
| Dylan Harper | SA | 26 | 37 | 13 | 13 | 5.6 | 5 | 2.7 | 8 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Will Riley | WSH | 25.9 | DNP | 14.3 | — | 3.2 | — | 2.6 | — | 1.2 | — |
| Duncan Robinson | DET | 25.7 | 32 | 10.8 | 13 | 2.2 | 2 | 1.8 | 2 | 2.9 | 3 |
| Aaron Nesmith · Day-To-Day | IND | 25.7 | 27 | 11.6 | 18 | 3.5 | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Rayan Rupert | PHI | 25.6 | DNP | 12.2 | — | 5.9 | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Taurean Prince | DET | 25.5 | 6 | 12.1 | 1 | 3.9 | 2 | 2.8 | 0 | 3.1 | 0 |
| Draymond Green | GS | 25.5 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 4.1 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Tari Eason | HOU | 25.4 | 31 | 10.4 | 5 | 5.2 | 9 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Andrew Wiggins | MIA | 25.2 | 29 | 11.9 | 18 | 3.2 | 2 | 1.8 | 2 | 2.1 | 4 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | ATL | 25.2 | 31 | 9 | 11 | 4.9 | 4 | 1.4 | 4 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Pelle Larsson · Day-To-Day | MIA | 25.2 | 31 | 11.4 | 17 | 3.5 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Jaylen Brown | PHI | 25.1 | 34 | 18 | 20 | 3.8 | 10 | 2.1 | 2 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Gui Santos | GS | 25.1 | DNP | 11 | — | 4.8 | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Royce O'Neale | CHA | 25 | 34 | 8.9 | 9 | 5.5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Anthony Davis | WSH | 24.8 | 34 | 15.3 | 18 | 8.5 | 5 | 2.1 | 3 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Ace Bailey | UTAH | 24.7 | 40 | 12.9 | 19 | 3.8 | 6 | 1.6 | 0 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Anthony Gill | WSH | 24.6 | DNP | 9.4 | — | 2.8 | — | 1.5 | — | 0.5 | — |
| Malachi Smith | TOR | 24.6 | — | 7.6 | — | 3.6 | — | 3 | — | 1.3 | — |
| Collin Sexton | LAL | 24.6 | 21 | 16.5 | 21 | 3.2 | 4 | 2.4 | 2 | 1.9 | 4 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIA | 24.5 | 31 | 22.8 | 24 | 7.9 | 18 | 4.5 | 3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Isaac Okoro | CHI | 24.5 | 18 | 9.3 | 7 | 2.6 | 0 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaylin Williams | OKC | 24.4 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 5.9 | 5 | 1.7 | 1 | 1.6 | 0 |
Showing the first 100 of 237 players; the full board loads in your browser.
Technical detailsFreeze times, receipts and method · 12 games
Model: nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1. Source: v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games. PRA, P+R and P+A: sum over the same simulated draws (v0 engine; components independent within a player) — the median of each simulated game’s sum, so it need not equal the sum of the separate medians. Players with at least 10 expected minutes who are not ruled out. The default order is expected minutes; a column sort is the reader’s own. Game status is read-only, from the schedule and finals record (Started: tipped off, no final recorded yet); it never changes a frozen figure. Forecast vs. Actual: PRA, P+R and P+A actuals add up the actual points, rebounds and assists; “awaiting final” means the game has no official final yet; “Played, no projection” and “Projection unavailable” mark players without an Official Forecast projection — their actuals are shown, no forecast is invented. Forecast and Actual are compared per player only.
- Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks: tip-off Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:23 AM ET · receipt 97f9e0ad2ee1Elo-derived game-winner estimate: MIA 34% · ATL 66% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers: tip-off Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:23 AM ET · receipt cf3743b3d5b1Elo-derived game-winner estimate: WSH 12% · CLE 88% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons: tip-off Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:23 AM ET · receipt 21d158707ed0Elo-derived game-winner estimate: CHA 33% · DET 67% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers: tip-off Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:23 AM ET · receipt e08a4b63897cElo-derived game-winner estimate: PHI 61% · IND 39% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors: tip-off Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET · receipt 6ded90e3141bElo-derived game-winner estimate: ORL 42% · TOR 58% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls: tip-off Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET · receipt 33b5abb664bdElo-derived game-winner estimate: NY 76% · CHI 24% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks: tip-off Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET · receipt cef64c6cd516Elo-derived game-winner estimate: HOU 59% · MIL 41% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves: tip-off Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET · receipt 5c9071a592f2Elo-derived game-winner estimate: GS 25% · MIN 75% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans: tip-off Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET · receipt 16db95f7ba49Elo-derived game-winner estimate: DEN 65% · NO 35% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz: tip-off Oct 28, 9:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET · receipt caa001f8a08eElo-derived game-winner estimate: SA 80% · UTAH 20% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks: tip-off Oct 28, 9:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET · receipt 3719eb2cc18aElo-derived game-winner estimate: OKC 78% · DAL 22% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Los Angeles Lakers at LA Clippers: tip-off Oct 28, 10:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET · receipt a4f22475bd10Elo-derived game-winner estimate: LAL 48% · LAC 52% · Final · NBA hub schedule
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
- Not shown: this model's team score is a sum of player simulations that ignores the opponent, can contradict the Elo side, and has not met its historical checks.
- Medians only: the model's ranges have not yet shown reliable coverage.
- No sportsbook prices, lines, edges, picks or rankings: there is no authorized NBA price, and these figures are not betting recommendations.