NBA Predicted Player Statistics · Tue, Oct 27
NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Past slate · Tue, Oct 27. Every Official Forecast figure here was frozen before that day’s tip-offs and is shown exactly as frozen, never updated after a game. Today’s board
Forecast vs. Actual
Forecast: the Official Forecast, frozen before tip-off and never changed. Actual: the final box score (ESPN), after the official final. A dash means did not play — never a zero.
Every rostered player without a projection is listed as “Projection unavailable” with the reason the Official Forecast recorded.
75 of 75 players · order: expected minutes
· 64 without a projection| Player | Team | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | SA | 36.7 | 27 | 24.8 | 29 | 8.7 | 10 | 2.5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Nique Clifford | SAC | 35.7 | 5 | 15.6 | 2 | 5.2 | 0 | 4.2 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Cade Cunningham | DET | 35.6 | 36 | 23.8 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6.4 | 8 | 2.6 | 2 |
| Devin Vassell | SA | 34.5 | 24 | 12.1 | 14 | 5.6 | 4 | 2.7 | 8 | 2.5 | 4 |
| Jalen Brunson | NY | 34.4 | 36 | 25.4 | 23 | 3.4 | 1 | 5.3 | 7 | 2.1 | 0 |
| De'Aaron Fox | SA | 33.1 | 26 | 11.6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5.9 | 6 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Jrue Holiday | POR | 33 | 30 | 14.8 | 22 | 5.1 | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | 2.1 | 2 |
| Deni Avdija | POR | 32.4 | 33 | 23.9 | 23 | 5.1 | 4 | 5.6 | 9 | 1.6 | 4 |
| Zach LaVine | SAC | 31.8 | 31 | 18.8 | 22 | 2.7 | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Stephon Castle | SA | 31.5 | 27 | 15.2 | 15 | 4.9 | 5 | 5.3 | 5 | 1.1 | 3 |
| Mikal Bridges | NY | 31 | 32 | 12.1 | 12 | 3.4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Austin Reaves | LAL | 31 | 39 | 16.6 | 26 | 3.4 | 4 | 4.9 | 7 | 1.3 | 4 |
| Toumani Camara | POR | 30.9 | 24 | 10.1 | 12 | 4.1 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.2 | 4 |
| Jayson Tatum | BOS | 30.8 | 42 | 19.2 | 40 | 9 | 5 | 5.7 | 8 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Julian Champagnie | SA | 30.6 | 25 | 11.4 | 26 | 5.4 | 3 | 1.6 | 3 | 2.8 | 8 |
| Paul George | BOS | 30.5 | 36 | 13.3 | 20 | 3.2 | 7 | 2.6 | 7 | 2.8 | 1 |
| OG Anunoby | NY | 30.5 | 36 | 16.9 | 13 | 4.6 | 7 | 1.8 | 2 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | SAC | 30.2 | 17 | 14.1 | 0 | 2.8 | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | 2.8 | 0 |
| Luka Doncic | LAL | 30.2 | 37 | 27.8 | 41 | 6.4 | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | 3.3 | 6 |
| Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 30.1 | 37 | 15.4 | 20 | 11.1 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Precious Achiuwa | SAC | 29.8 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 8.3 | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Derrick White | BOS | 28.4 | 33 | 8.3 | 16 | 2.5 | 5 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 28.2 | 33 | 12.4 | 27 | 9.1 | 20 | 3.2 | 3 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Elijah Harkless | DET | 28.1 | 3 | 6.9 | 0 | 3.3 | 0 | 3.6 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Payton Pritchard | BOS | 27.5 | 24 | 13.3 | 4 | 2.9 | 2 | 4.8 | 6 | 2.3 | 0 |
| Josh Hart | NY | 27.4 | 27 | 9.8 | 6 | 7.7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Leaky Black | SAC | 27.3 | 8 | 4.4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Scoot Henderson · Day-To-Day | POR | 26.5 | 17 | 12.3 | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | 1.7 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Ausar Thompson · Day-To-Day | DET | 26.3 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 6.5 | 6 | 3.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Walker Kessler | LAL | 26.1 | 33 | 12.1 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dylan Harper | SA | 26 | 30 | 13.1 | 13 | 5.6 | 6 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 | 0 |
| De'Andre Hunter | SAC | 25.8 | 33 | 12 | 24 | 4.7 | 6 | 2.6 | 2 | 1.2 | 5 |
| Duncan Robinson | DET | 25.7 | 33 | 10.8 | 12 | 2.2 | 0 | 1.8 | 2 | 2.9 | 2 |
| Ja Morant | POR | 25.6 | 31 | 16.8 | 23 | 2.8 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Taurean Prince | DET | 25.5 | 7 | 11.9 | 3 | 3.9 | 0 | 2.7 | 0 | 3.1 | 1 |
| Julius Randle | BKN | 25.2 | 44 | 11.4 | 24 | 5.6 | 9 | 1.9 | 4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | BKN | 24.7 | 40 | 18.2 | 27 | 5.3 | 12 | 2.3 | 2 | 2.5 | 6 |
| Collin Sexton | LAL | 24.6 | 14 | 16.4 | 9 | 3.2 | 1 | 2.3 | 4 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Daniss Jenkins | DET | 22.7 | 24 | 9.1 | 11 | 2.3 | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Donovan Clingan | POR | 22.2 | 26 | 8.4 | 9 | 8.5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Malik Monk | SAC | 22.1 | 13 | 8.8 | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 4.1 | 6 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Drake Powell | BKN | 21.6 | — | 6.8 | — | 1.6 | — | 0.9 | — | 0.9 | — |
| Ben Saraf | BKN | 21.5 | — | 8.8 | — | 2.8 | — | 3 | — | 0.5 | — |
| John Collins | DET | 21.1 | 27 | 11.2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Sam Hauser | BOS | 20.7 | 25 | 7.5 | 11 | 3.4 | 4 | 1.2 | 0 | 2.4 | 3 |
| Ziaire Williams | LAL | 19.8 | 29 | 11.1 | 11 | 1.3 | 2 | 1.5 | 4 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Micah Potter | POR | 19.4 | DNP | 11 | — | 6 | — | 1.1 | — | 1.7 | — |
| Egor Demin | BKN | 19.1 | 10 | 7.6 | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Landry Shamet | NY | 18.9 | 28 | 6.9 | 13 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.8 | 3 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Quentin Grimes | LAL | 18.4 | 19 | 5.5 | 2 | 2.1 | 4 | 1.9 | 0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Robert Williams III | POR | 18.1 | 21 | 6.8 | 14 | 6.7 | 10 | 1.7 | 1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Neemias Queta | BOS | 17.5 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 6.9 | 3 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Nolan Traore | BKN | 17.5 | 24 | 9.3 | 15 | 1.8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Terance Mann | BKN | 17.1 | DNP | 4.8 | — | 2.5 | — | 1.3 | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Minott | BKN | 16.9 | 0 | 9.7 | 0 | 2.1 | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Kevon Looney | LAL | 16.3 | 5 | 1.4 | 0 | 4.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Noah Clowney | BKN | 16.2 | 24 | 6.7 | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Baylor Scheierman | BOS | 16 | 21 | 6.5 | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.9 | 1 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Kevin Huerter | DET | 16 | 16 | 5.4 | 7 | 1.9 | 1 | 1.7 | 0 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Jaden Hardy | LAL | 16 | DNP | 8.5 | — | 1 | — | 1.7 | — | 2 | — |
| Danny Wolf | BKN | 15.9 | DNP | 6.3 | — | 3.5 | — | 1.6 | — | 0.8 | — |
| Keldon Johnson | SA | 15.5 | 22 | 6.3 | 14 | 2.8 | 4 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Chaney Johnson | BKN | 14.8 | 29 | 6.1 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | BKN | 14.2 | 17 | 6.2 | 4 | 4.8 | 6 | 1.7 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Miles McBride | NY | 14.2 | 17 | 4.5 | 5 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Matisse Thybulle | LAL | 13.8 | 22 | 2.6 | 5 | 0.9 | 2 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | LAL | 13.8 | 24 | 5.1 | 17 | 3.9 | 4 | 1.1 | 2 | 0.7 | 3 |
| Jordan Walsh | BOS | 13.4 | 24 | 2.4 | 15 | 2.2 | 6 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 |
| James Wiseman | NY | 13.3 | 1 | 2.7 | 0 | 1.7 | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Conley | BOS | 12.9 | DNP | 3.5 | — | 0.8 | — | 2.1 | — | 0.8 | — |
| Jake LaRavia | LAL | 12 | 19 | 2.6 | 5 | 1.7 | 1 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Mitchell Robinson | BOS | 11.4 | 25 | 3.2 | 7 | 4.6 | 5 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre Drummond | NY | 10.8 | 14 | 2.8 | 10 | 3.1 | 8 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Luka Garza | BOS | 10.6 | 13 | 5.7 | 2 | 1.3 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Branden Carlson · Day-To-Day | POR | 10.6 | DNP | 3.9 | — | 1.9 | — | 0.3 | — | 0.4 | — |
Technical detailsFreeze times, receipts and method · 4 games
Model: nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1. Source: v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games. PRA, P+R and P+A: sum over the same simulated draws (v0 engine; components independent within a player) — the median of each simulated game’s sum, so it need not equal the sum of the separate medians. Players with at least 10 expected minutes who are not ruled out. The default order is expected minutes; a column sort is the reader’s own. Game status is read-only, from the schedule and finals record (Started: tipped off, no final recorded yet); it never changes a frozen figure. Forecast vs. Actual: PRA, P+R and P+A actuals add up the actual points, rebounds and assists; “awaiting final” means the game has no official final yet; “Played, no projection” and “Projection unavailable” mark players without an Official Forecast projection — their actuals are shown, no forecast is invented. Forecast and Actual are compared per player only.
- Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics: tip-off Oct 27, 7:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 27, 11:18 AM ET · receipt 465ade7dcf0aElo-derived game-winner estimate: BKN 13% · BOS 87% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks: tip-off Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 27, 11:18 AM ET · receipt e44c6c1b9132Elo-derived game-winner estimate: DET 30% · NY 70% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs: tip-off Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 27, 11:18 AM ET · receipt 0212e8794225Elo-derived game-winner estimate: SAC 13% · SA 87% · Final · NBA hub schedule
- Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers: tip-off Oct 27, 11:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 27, 11:18 AM ET · receipt 50d0e328cbc1Elo-derived game-winner estimate: POR 32% · LAL 68% · Final · NBA hub schedule
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
- Not shown: this model's team score is a sum of player simulations that ignores the opponent, can contradict the Elo side, and has not met its historical checks.
- Medians only: the model's ranges have not yet shown reliable coverage.
- No sportsbook prices, lines, edges, picks or rankings: there is no authorized NBA price, and these figures are not betting recommendations.