NBA Predicted Player Statistics · Mon, Oct 26
NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Past slate · Mon, Oct 26. Every Official Forecast figure here was frozen before that day’s tip-offs and is shown exactly as frozen, never updated after a game. Today’s board
Forecast vs. Actual
Forecast: the Official Forecast, frozen before tip-off and never changed. Actual: the final box score (ESPN), after the official final. A dash means did not play — never a zero.
Every rostered player without a projection is listed as “Projection unavailable” with the reason the Official Forecast recorded.
191 of 191 players · order: expected minutes
· 119 without a projection| Player | Team | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington | DAL | 43.1 | 41 | 18.9 | 20 | 12.5 | 9 | 0.5 | 2 | 2.5 | 4 |
| Max Christie | DAL | 39.8 | 26 | 13.9 | 11 | 3.6 | 5 | 2.3 | 3 | 2.9 | 3 |
| James Harden | CLE | 39.2 | 39 | 18.3 | 19 | 4.8 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 38.6 | 38 | 29.2 | 26 | 5.1 | 5 | 3.3 | 7 | 2.8 | 5 |
| Evan Mobley | CLE | 38.6 | 38 | 17.1 | 18 | 7.8 | 10 | 4.2 | 3 | 1.4 | 4 |
| Moussa Cisse | DAL | 38.2 | DNP | 15.3 | — | 17.7 | — | 0.3 | — | 0 | — |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | DAL | 37.4 | 17 | 16.4 | 15 | 3.1 | 4 | 7.6 | 4 | 2.4 | 2 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 34.9 | 30 | 24.5 | 26 | 2.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 3 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Brandon Miller | CHA | 33.9 | 36 | 19.3 | 39 | 4 | 6 | 2.9 | 1 | 3.3 | 5 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | 32.6 | 36 | 19.7 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 4.8 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| Jarrett Allen | CLE | 32.4 | 27 | 14.9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Amen Thompson | HOU | 32 | 28 | 16.4 | 15 | 5.5 | 5 | 4.4 | 2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Jayson Tatum | BOS | 30.8 | 28 | 19.3 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 5.7 | 6 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Peyton Watson | CLE | 30.7 | 37 | 14.1 | 15 | 4.7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | 30.7 | 35 | 20.7 | 19 | 10.6 | 7 | 7.2 | 11 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Paul George | BOS | 30.5 | 25 | 13.3 | 16 | 3.2 | 5 | 2.6 | 2 | 2.8 | 3 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | HOU | 30.4 | 39 | 13.3 | 16 | 5.6 | 12 | 1.2 | 5 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Naz Reid · Day-To-Day | CHA | 30.3 | 29 | 14.3 | 18 | 8.1 | 12 | 2.3 | 1 | 2.1 | 2 |
| Cody Williams | MIN | 30 | DNP | 14 | — | 3.3 | — | 4.1 | — | 0.3 | — |
| Chet Holmgren | OKC | 29.6 | — | 12.2 | — | 7.2 | — | 1.1 | — | 0.6 | — |
| Kevin Durant | HOU | 28.8 | 30 | 20.4 | 22 | 4.5 | 9 | 3.5 | 3 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 28.7 | 37 | 13.8 | 14 | 4.8 | 6 | 1.9 | 4 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Devin Booker | PHX | 28.7 | 34 | 18.1 | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | 4.4 | 7 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Moussa Diabate | CHA | 28.6 | 35 | 5.9 | 11 | 9.2 | 17 | 2.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Giddey | CHI | 28.6 | 24 | 8.4 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Derrick White | BOS | 28.4 | 18 | 8.4 | 5 | 2.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 4 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Daniel Gafford | DAL | 27.6 | 26 | 14.3 | 8 | 7.7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | ATL | 27.6 | 29 | 13.6 | 12 | 1.8 | 2 | 1.9 | 3 | 2.7 | 2 |
| Payton Pritchard | BOS | 27.5 | 22 | 13.3 | 28 | 2.9 | 1 | 4.7 | 4 | 2.3 | 7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | OKC | 27.5 | 25 | 13.4 | 30 | 2.9 | 2 | 4.3 | 5 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Andrew Nembhard | IND | 27.2 | DNP | 11.2 | — | 1.6 | — | 10.4 | — | 1.6 | — |
| Matas Buzelis | CHI | 27 | 22 | 14.4 | 11 | 7.1 | 1 | 2.1 | 2 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Jalen Johnson | ATL | 27 | 36 | 14.2 | 21 | 6.5 | 9 | 3.7 | 3 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Alperen Sengun | HOU | 26.8 | 37 | 13.3 | 29 | 7.6 | 9 | 3.7 | 9 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | 26.8 | 34 | 7.3 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Brandin Podziemski | GS | 26.8 | 33 | 16.7 | 18 | 3.6 | 7 | 1.9 | 5 | 2.1 | 3 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | IND | 26.7 | 23 | 9.2 | 9 | 4.5 | 3 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Cameron Johnson · Day-To-Day | DEN | 26.6 | — | 12.3 | — | 2.9 | — | 2.4 | — | 1.5 | — |
| Anthony Edwards | MIN | 26.3 | 41 | 16.7 | 47 | 3.8 | 4 | 1.8 | 4 | 1.5 | 5 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | 26.2 | 36 | 5.6 | 5 | 7.9 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Davion Mitchell | MIA | 26.2 | 33 | 10.5 | 21 | 2.4 | 0 | 4.7 | 2 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Bam Adebayo | MIA | 26.1 | 30 | 13.9 | 8 | 8.5 | 8 | 3.4 | 3 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Leonard Miller | CHI | 26 | 14 | 13.5 | 9 | 6.4 | 9 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Stephen Curry | GS | 26 | 27 | 18.9 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | 3.5 | 3 |
| LaMelo Ball | MIN | 25.9 | 31 | 19.7 | 11 | 3.9 | 0 | 6.3 | 6 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Marcus Smart · Day-To-Day | HOU | 25.8 | — | 9.6 | — | 2.6 | — | 3.8 | — | 1.3 | — |
| Ayo Dosunmu | MIN | 25.6 | 26 | 13 | 9 | 3.1 | 1 | 3.4 | 0 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Draymond Green | GS | 25.5 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | 5.9 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Cason Wallace · Day-To-Day | OKC | 25.3 | — | 9.5 | — | 3.5 | — | 2.2 | — | 2.3 | — |
| Onyeka Okongwu | ATL | 25.2 | 29 | 9.1 | 11 | 4.9 | 9 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 25.1 | 6 | 19.1 | 2 | 4.9 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Gui Santos · Day-To-Day | GS | 25.1 | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4.8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Royce O'Neale | CHA | 25 | 7 | 8.9 | 0 | 5.6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.2 | 0 |
| Dillon Brooks | PHX | 25 | 33 | 15.1 | 19 | 3.4 | 5 | 1.4 | 5 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Jalen Green | PHX | 24.7 | 31 | 15 | 20 | 3.2 | 4 | 1.8 | 4 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Isaac Okoro | CHI | 24.5 | 11 | 9.2 | 1 | 2.6 | 1 | 1.5 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Wiggins | MIA | 24.2 | 34 | 11.6 | 12 | 3.1 | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pelle Larsson | MIA | 24.2 | 34 | 10.9 | 12 | 3.3 | 0 | 2.9 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Luke Kennard | PHX | 24.2 | 16 | 8.1 | 9 | 2.5 | 1 | 1.7 | 2 | 1.3 | 3 |
| CJ McCollum | ATL | 24.2 | 30 | 14.5 | 20 | 2.4 | 1 | 2.2 | 3 | 1.6 | 4 |
| Keyonte George | UTAH | 24.2 | 33 | 16.9 | 26 | 2.6 | 3 | 4.4 | 6 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | 24 | 37 | 18 | 20 | 5.7 | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Will Riley | WSH | 23.9 | 4 | 13.1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2.4 | 0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Tre Jones | CHI | 23.9 | 15 | 17.7 | 8 | 3.6 | 1 | 4.5 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Aaron Gordon | DEN | 23.8 | 25 | 10.1 | 7 | 4.4 | 4 | 2.9 | 2 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Aaron Nesmith | IND | 23.7 | 21 | 10.8 | 13 | 3.3 | 0 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.8 | 3 |
| Alex Caruso | OKC | 23.7 | 9 | 11.1 | 9 | 2.5 | 2 | 2.3 | 3 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIA | 23.5 | 39 | 21.9 | 29 | 7.7 | 14 | 4.3 | 11 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Jahmai Mashack | MEM | 23.5 | — | 7.2 | — | 2.8 | — | 3.5 | — | 0.5 | — |
| DeMar DeRozan | DEN | 23.1 | 29 | 14.9 | 21 | 2.1 | 4 | 3.6 | 2 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Anthony Davis | WSH | 22.9 | 36 | 14.2 | 29 | 7.8 | 10 | 1.9 | 0 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Patrick Williams · Day-To-Day | CHI | 22.9 | — | 6.4 | — | 3.3 | — | 1.9 | — | 1.1 | — |
| Ace Bailey | UTAH | 22.9 | 34 | 12 | 17 | 3.5 | 10 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.2 | 3 |
| Dyson Daniels | ATL | 22.8 | 28 | 6.6 | 4 | 5.4 | 0 | 4.2 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Anthony Gill | WSH | 22.7 | DNP | 8.7 | — | 2.7 | — | 1.4 | — | 0.5 | — |
| Tari Eason | HOU | 22.5 | 33 | 9.2 | 13 | 4.5 | 8 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | OKC | 22.3 | 26 | 7.7 | 15 | 7.7 | 13 | 2.4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Micah Peavy | OKC | 22.2 | — | 3.4 | — | 1.6 | — | 1 | — | 0.6 | — |
| Sam Merrill | CLE | 21.8 | 31 | 8.7 | 9 | 0.9 | 4 | 1.1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | MIN | 21.8 | 36 | 11.4 | 10 | 3.3 | 10 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Sion James | CHA | 21.6 | 29 | 5.9 | 5 | 4.4 | 2 | 2.5 | 3 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Miles Bridges | PHX | 21.6 | 32 | 12.6 | 17 | 4.1 | 8 | 1.9 | 4 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Kobe Brown | IND | 21.4 | 0 | 7.9 | 0 | 3.9 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Jared McCain | OKC | 21.3 | 30 | 11.4 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.9 | 4 |
| Kyshawn George | WSH | 21.2 | 29 | 10.3 | 20 | 3.6 | 4 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 21.2 | 9 | 15.1 | 11 | 2.4 | 2 | 2.8 | 0 | 2.3 | 3 |
| Deandre Ayton | WSH | 20.9 | 12 | 7.1 | 0 | 6.9 | 4 | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| De'Anthony Melton | GS | 20.9 | 19 | 7.3 | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | 2.7 | 3 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Brandon Williams · Day-To-Day | GS | 20.9 | 15 | 12.8 | 6 | 2.1 | 3 | 4.2 | 3 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Grayson Allen | CHA | 20.8 | 28 | 9 | 15 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Sam Hauser | BOS | 20.7 | 20 | 7.6 | 11 | 3.4 | 4 | 1.2 | 1 | 2.3 | 3 |
| Reed Sheppard | HOU | 20.7 | 24 | 8.4 | 13 | 1.1 | 0 | 2.4 | 4 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Bub Carrington | WSH | 20.5 | 28 | 10.3 | 6 | 1.3 | 0 | 3.9 | 3 | 2.1 | 2 |
| Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 20.4 | 8 | 14.3 | 0 | 6.7 | 1 | 2.9 | 0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| AJ Green | MIL | 20.2 | 20 | 9.4 | 3 | 2.5 | 4 | 1.4 | 3 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Ryan Nembhard | DEN | 20.1 | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | 2.8 | 0 | 5.6 | 1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | CHA | 20 | 13 | 5.4 | 6 | 4.7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Sarr | WSH | 20 | 26 | 11.7 | 12 | 5.3 | 6 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Keshon Gilbert | ATL | 20 | — | 7.8 | — | 3 | — | 1.8 | — | 1 | — |
| Tyler Herro | MIL | 19.9 | 32 | 10.8 | 23 | 2.6 | 10 | 3.2 | 7 | 1.6 | 3 |
Showing the first 100 of 191 players; the full board loads in your browser.
Technical detailsFreeze times, receipts and method · 9 games
Model: nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1. Source: v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games. PRA, P+R and P+A: sum over the same simulated draws (v0 engine; components independent within a player) — the median of each simulated game’s sum, so it need not equal the sum of the separate medians. Players with at least 10 expected minutes who are not ruled out. The default order is expected minutes; a column sort is the reader’s own. Game status is read-only, from the schedule and finals record (Started: tipped off, no final recorded yet); it never changes a frozen figure. Forecast vs. Actual: PRA, P+R and P+A actuals add up the actual points, rebounds and assists; “awaiting final” means the game has no official final yet; “Played, no projection” and “Projection unavailable” mark players without an Official Forecast projection — their actuals are shown, no forecast is invented. Forecast and Actual are compared per player only.
- Washington Wizards at Charlotte Hornets: tip-off Oct 26, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 26, 11:26 AM ET · receipt 7b4c561ef6f7Elo-derived game-winner estimate: WSH 14% · CHA 86% · Final
- Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers: tip-off Oct 26, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 26, 11:26 AM ET · receipt b0efa37655edElo-derived game-winner estimate: MIN 40% · CLE 60% · Final
- Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics: tip-off Oct 26, 7:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 26, 12:05 PM ET · receipt 7b0a29a45f8cElo-derived game-winner estimate: CHI 17% · BOS 83% · Final
- Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat: tip-off Oct 26, 7:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 26, 12:05 PM ET · receipt 915a1e53d035Elo-derived game-winner estimate: DAL 27% · MIA 73% · Final
- Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks: tip-off Oct 26, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 26, 12:05 PM ET · receipt f32316cf6ea8Elo-derived game-winner estimate: IND 34% · MIL 66% · Final
- Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder: tip-off Oct 26, 8:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 26, 12:05 PM ET · receipt ca406fe6ffc4Elo-derived game-winner estimate: PHX 18% · OKC 82% · Final
- Atlanta Hawks at Houston Rockets: tip-off Oct 26, 8:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 26, 12:05 PM ET · receipt ea969cf39986Elo-derived game-winner estimate: ATL 37% · HOU 63% · Final
- Memphis Grizzlies at Utah Jazz: tip-off Oct 26, 9:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 26, 12:05 PM ET · receipt e9bbbe777376Elo-derived game-winner estimate: MEM 43% · UTAH 57% · Final
- Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets: tip-off Oct 26, 10:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 26, 12:05 PM ET · receipt 09a7f8f1534dElo-derived game-winner estimate: GS 23% · DEN 77% · Final
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
- Not shown: this model's team score is a sum of player simulations that ignores the opponent, can contradict the Elo side, and has not met its historical checks.
- Medians only: the model's ranges have not yet shown reliable coverage.
- No sportsbook prices, lines, edges, picks or rankings: there is no authorized NBA price, and these figures are not betting recommendations.