NBA Predicted Player Statistics · Sun, Oct 25
NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Past slate · Sun, Oct 25. Every Official Forecast figure here was frozen before that day’s tip-offs and is shown exactly as frozen, never updated after a game. Today’s board
Forecast vs. Actual
Forecast: the Official Forecast, frozen before tip-off and never changed. Actual: the final box score (ESPN), after the official final. A dash means did not play — never a zero. † stat corrected by ESPN after grading: the corrected figure is shown, and the graded one is listed in Technical details.
Every rostered player without a projection is listed as “Projection unavailable” with the reason the Official Forecast recorded.
139 of 139 players · order: expected minutes
· 104 without a projection| Player | Team | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura | LAC | 46.2 | 29 | 20.2 | 5 | 4.6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3.8 | 1 |
| Darius Garland | LAC | 36.8 | 36 | 21.4 | 16 | 2.8 | 4 | 6.9 | 11 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Cade Cunningham | DET | 35.6 | 33 | 23.6 | 26 | 4.1 | 8 | 6.4 | 8 | 2.7 | 3 |
| Brook Lopez | LAC | 34.2 | 23 | 14.8 | 15 | 7.7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Jalen Brunson | NY | 33.1 | 32 | 24.6 | 28 | 3.3 | 3 | 5.1 | 4 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Desmond Bane | ORL | 32.9 | 35 | 16.8 | 22 | 4.2 | 6 | 1.6 | 2 | 2.8 | 4 |
| Jalen Suggs | ORL | 32.6 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 4.2 | 6 | 3.9 | 6 | 2.2 | 0 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 32.6 | 36 | 22.9 | 34 | 2.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 5 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 32.4 | 34 | 19.1 | 29 | 3.4 | 5 | 4.5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Nique Clifford | SAC | 31.1 | DNP | 13.6 | — | 4.6 | — | 3.7 | — | 1.3 | — |
| Austin Reaves | LAL | 31 | 36 | 16.7 | 29 | 3.3 | 1 | 4.9 | 4 | 1.2 | 4 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 31 | 33 | 9.4 | 9 | 6.9 | 10 | 2.3 | 2 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Keegan Murray · Day-To-Day | SAC | 30.5 | — | 11.9 | — | 4.9 | — | 1.4 | — | 1.1 | — |
| Kris Dunn | LAC | 30.4 | 33 | 6 | 15 | 3.6 | 4 | 4.5 | 6 | 0.9 | 1 |
| RJ Barrett | TOR | 30.3 | 32 | 19.3 | 20 | 5.2 | 2 | 2.9 | 2 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Luka Doncic | LAL | 30.2 | 38 | 27.8 | 52 | 6.4 | 8 | 6.9 | 10 | 3.3 | 8 |
| Cody Williams | MIN | 30 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 3.3 | 0 | 4.1 | 0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| VJ Edgecombe | PHI | 30 | DNP | 11.2 | — | 5.1 | — | 2.6 | — | 1.6 | — |
| Mikal Bridges | NY | 29.9 | 35 | 11.6 | 6 | 3.3 | 5 | 2.9 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Scottie Barnes | TOR | 29.6 | 28 | 17.3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6.2 | 3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| OG Anunoby | NY | 29.4 | 35 | 16.3 | 22 | 4.5 | 3 | 1.7 | 2 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 29 | 30 | 8.5 | 11 | 4.7 | 6 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.8 | 3 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 28.7 | 31 | 13.7 | 14 | 4.8 | 6 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rayan Rupert | PHI | 28.4 | DNP | 13.8 | — | 6.6 | — | 3.4 | — | 1.1 | — |
| Elijah Harkless | DET | 28.1 | DNP | 6.9 | — | 3.3 | — | 3.6 | — | 0.8 | — |
| Jaylen Brown | PHI | 28 | 40 | 20.2 | 16 | 4.2 | 4 | 2.4 | 4 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Zach LaVine | SAC | 27.8 | 40 | 16.3 | 37 | 2.4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Chet Holmgren | OKC | 27.6 | 31 | 11.5 | 10 | 6.7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Franz Wagner | ORL | 27.4 | 37 | 15.5 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 3.2 | 9 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Andrew Nembhard | IND | 27.2 | 30 | 11.2 | 14 | 1.6 | 1 | 10.4 | 3 | 1.6 | 4 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 27.2 | 33 | 12 | 22 | 8.8 | 14 | 3.1 | 4 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Joel Embiid · Day-To-Day | PHI | 27 | — | 18.9 | — | 5.8 | — | 4.3 | — | 0.6 | — |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | IND | 26.7 | 20 | 9.3 | 14 | 4.5 | 2 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Kawhi Leonard | TOR | 26.5 | DNP | 19.6 | — | 5.6 | — | 2.8 | — | 1.9 | — |
| Josh Hart | NY | 26.4 | 35 | 9.3 | 13 | 7.5 | 8 | 3.9 | 2 | 1.8 | 3 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | SAC | 26.4 | 16 | 12.2 | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Anthony Edwards | MIN | 26.3 | 28 | 16.9 | 26 | 3.8 | 1 | 1.8 | 3 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Ausar Thompson · Day-To-Day | DET | 26.3 | — | 6 | — | 6.4 | — | 3.2 | — | 0.1 | — |
| Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 26.3 | 35 | 13.5 | 15 | 9.6 | 15 | 3.5 | 3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | 26.2 | 31 | 5.5 | 8 | 7.8 | 13 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Walker Kessler | LAL | 26.1 | 28 | 12.3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Immanuel Quickley | TOR | 26 | 28 | 13.1 | 19 | 3.2 | 3 | 4.7 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Precious Achiuwa | SAC | 26 | 39 | 13 | 12 | 7.3 | 10 | 1.9 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| LaMelo Ball | MIN | 25.9 | 17 | 19.8 | 15 | 3.8 | 1 | 6.3 | 8 | 3.5 | 4 |
| Ajay Mitchell | OKC | 25.7 | 28 | 12.6 | 18 | 2.7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Duncan Robinson | DET | 25.7 | 32 | 10.8 | 21 | 2.2 | 3 | 1.8 | 3 | 2.9 | 5 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | MIN | 25.6 | 23 | 13.1 | 9 | 3.1 | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Jahmai Mashack | MEM | 25.6 | DNP | 7.8 | — | 2.9 | — | 3.8 | — | 0.5 | — |
| Taurean Prince | DET | 25.5 | DNP | 11.9 | — | 3.8 | — | 2.7 | — | 3.1 | — |
| Julius Randle | BKN | 25.2 | 24 | 11.3 | 10 | 5.5 | 7 | 1.9 | 7 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 25.1 | 38 | 19 | 28 | 4.9 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Anthony Black · Day-To-Day | ORL | 25 | 26 | 8.4 | 18 | 3.2 | 3 | 1.5 | 5 | 0.8 | 5 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | BKN | 24.7 | 21 | 18.2 | 10 | 5.3 | 0 | 2.3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | TOR | 24.7 | 31 | 8.7 | 22 | 2.1 | 4 | 1.1 | 2 | 2.1 | 5 |
| Collin Sexton | LAL | 24.6 | 20 | 16.4 | 13 | 3.2 | 2 | 2.4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Keyonte George | UTAH | 24.2 | 33 | 16.8 | 24 | 2.6 | 9 | 4.4 | 10 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | 24 | 26 | 18.2 | 21 | 5.6 | 7 | 2.7 | 6 | 1.1 | 3 |
| Jamal Shead | TOR | 23.9 | 21 | 6.4 | 4 | 1.2 | 1 | 3.5 | 0 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Leaky Black | SAC | 23.8 | 0 | 3.8 | 0 | 3.6 | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Aaron Nesmith · Day-To-Day | IND | 23.7 | 19 | 10.8 | 13 | 3.2 | 1 | 1.5 | 2 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Cason Wallace | OKC | 23.6 | 6 | 8.9 | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | 2.2 | 0 |
| Ace Bailey | UTAH | 22.9 | 29 | 11.9 | 17 | 3.5 | 12 | 1.5 | 4 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Anfernee Simons | PHI | 22.9 | 27 | 11.6 | 5 | 2.1 | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Daniss Jenkins | DET | 22.7 | 38 | 8.9 | 18 | 2.3 | 8 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.1 | 3 |
| De'Andre Hunter | SAC | 22.5 | 29 | 10.3 | 7 | 4.1 | 5 (stat corrected after grading; graded on 6) | 2.1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Alex Caruso | OKC | 22.1 | 22 | 10.2 | 12 | 2.3 | 7 | 2.1 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Malachi Smith | TOR | 21.9 | — | 6.9 | — | 3.2 | — | 2.7 | — | 1.1 | — |
| Jonathan Kuminga | MIN | 21.8 | 26 | 11.6 | 13 | 3.3 | 4 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.6 | 3 |
| Drake Powell | BKN | 21.6 | 12 | 6.8 | 0 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.9 | 3 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Ben Saraf | BKN | 21.5 | 4 | 8.9 | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Kobe Brown | IND | 21.4 | — | 8.1 | — | 3.8 | — | 2.5 | — | 1.1 | — |
| Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 21.2 | 17 | 15.1 | 7 | 2.4 | 6 | 2.8 | 1 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Jaylen Wells | MEM | 21.2 | 33 | 9.8 | 16 | 2.5 | 7 (stat corrected after grading; graded on 5) | 1.3 | 3 | 1.5 | 2 |
| John Collins | DET | 21.1 | 34 | 11.2 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | OKC | 20.8 | 27 | 7.2 | 12 | 7.2 | 12 | 2.3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Micah Peavy | OKC | 20.7 | — | 3.1 | — | 1.4 | — | 0.9 | — | 0.6 | — |
| Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 20.4 | DNP | 14.3 | — | 6.8 | — | 2.9 | — | 1.1 | — |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | TOR | 20.4 | 19 | 10.3 | 3 | 4.8 | 7 | 1.7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared McCain | OKC | 19.9 | 21 | 10.7 | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Ziaire Williams | LAL | 19.8 | 30 | 11.1 | 11 | 1.3 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.9 | 3 |
| Jarace Walker | IND | 19.3 | 19 | 8.6 | 6 | 3.9 | 7 | 2.9 | 1 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Malik Monk | SAC | 19.3 | 12 | 7.9 | 6 | 1.4 | 2 (stat corrected after grading; graded on 1) | 3.6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Cedric Coward · Day-To-Day | MEM | 19.3 | 32 | 12.4 | 17 (stat corrected after grading; graded on 15) | 3.3 | 11 | 1.7 | 1 (stat corrected after grading; graded on 2) | 1.2 | 3 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | MIN | 19.2 | 23 | 9 | 15 | 1.9 | 4 | 0.9 | 3 | 0.6 | 3 |
| Egor Demin | BKN | 19.1 | 19 | 7.7 | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | 2.4 | 1 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Ivica Zubac | IND | 18.9 | 7 | 8.9 | 2 | 5.6 | 1 | 1.4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Javon Small | MEM | 18.9 | — | 10.2 | — | 2.2 | — | 2.8 | — | 1.6 | — |
| GG Jackson | MEM | 18.9 | 10 | 12.7 | 1 | 3.2 | 3 | 1.6 | 0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 18.8 | 13 | 8.1 | 6 | 1.7 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Isaiah Jackson | LAC | 18.8 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 5.1 | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikola Vucevic | ORL | 18.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Quentin Grimes | LAL | 18.4 | 20 | 5.5 | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | 1.9 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Landry Shamet | NY | 18.3 | 22 | 6.7 | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.8 | 1 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Jalen Slawson | IND | 18.2 | 8 | 4.8 | 1 | 2.9 | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Ty Jerome | MEM | 18.2 | 32 | 15.7 | 31 | 2.3 | 4 | 4.5 | 7 (stat corrected after grading; graded on 6) | 2.2 | 1 |
| Jay Huff | IND | 18.1 | 21 | 8.3 | 14 | 3.8 | 2 | 1.9 | 3 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Kobe Sanders | LAC | 18.1 | 20 | 7.8 | 12 | 1.2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Cam Spencer | MEM | 17.9 | 16 | 8.9 | 13 | 1.5 | 2 | 6.3 | 1 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | UTAH | 17.5 | 33 | 16.3 | 20 | 3.2 | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Quenton Jackson | IND | 17.5 | 18 | 8.5 | 5 | 1.9 | 1 | 3.3 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 |
Showing the first 100 of 139 players; the full board loads in your browser.
Technical detailsFreeze times, receipts and method · 7 games
Model: nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1. Source: v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games. PRA, P+R and P+A: sum over the same simulated draws (v0 engine; components independent within a player) — the median of each simulated game’s sum, so it need not equal the sum of the separate medians. Players with at least 10 expected minutes who are not ruled out. The default order is expected minutes; a column sort is the reader’s own. Game status is read-only, from the schedule and finals record (Started: tipped off, no final recorded yet); it never changes a frozen figure. Forecast vs. Actual: PRA, P+R and P+A actuals add up the actual points, rebounds and assists; “awaiting final” means the game has no official final yet; “Played, no projection” and “Projection unavailable” mark players without an Official Forecast projection — their actuals are shown, no forecast is invented. Forecast and Actual are compared per player only.
- Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz: tip-off Oct 25, 5:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 25, 9:25 AM ET · receipt 8ecf3b74b06bElo-derived game-winner estimate: LAL 73% · UTAH 27% · Final
- Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets: tip-off Oct 25, 6:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 25, 9:41 AM ET · receipt 39c2f94e0556Elo-derived game-winner estimate: IND 45% · BKN 55% · Final
- Orlando Magic at New York Knicks: tip-off Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 25, 9:41 AM ET · receipt db77a415e4dbElo-derived game-winner estimate: ORL 23% · NY 77% · Final
- Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves: tip-off Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 25, 9:41 AM ET · receipt 9d14c27d0749Elo-derived game-winner estimate: TOR 33% · MIN 67% · Final
- LA Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder: tip-off Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 25, 9:41 AM ET · receipt a68ea3ce37eaElo-derived game-winner estimate: LAC 20% · OKC 80% · Final
- Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers: tip-off Oct 25, 7:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 25, 9:41 AM ET · receipt b034f5b526c2Elo-derived game-winner estimate: DET 50.5% · PHI 49.5% · Final
- Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings: tip-off Oct 25, 9:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 25, 9:41 AM ET · receipt 2d83d742906bElo-derived game-winner estimate: MEM 36% · SAC 64% · Final
- MEM @ SAC: ESPN corrected the final box score (captured Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET) after grading on the first final box score (captured Oct 26, 12:05 PM ET). Graded → corrected: Jaylen Wells REB 5 → 7, PRA 24 → 26, P+R 21 → 23; Cedric Coward PTS 15 → 17, AST 2 → 1, PRA 28 → 29, P+R 26 → 28, P+A 17 → 18; Ty Jerome AST 6 → 7, PRA 41 → 42, P+A 37 → 38; Jerami Grant REB 5 → 6, PRA 13 → 14, P+R 10 → 11; Scotty Pippen Jr. REB 2 → 1, PRA 10 → 9, P+R 8 → 7; Cameron Boozer PTS 16 → 14, PRA 31 → 29, P+R 27 → 25, P+A 20 → 18; De'Andre Hunter REB 6 → 5, PRA 14 → 13, P+R 13 → 12; Malik Monk REB 1 → 2, PRA 9 → 10, P+R 7 → 8.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
- Not shown: this model's team score is a sum of player simulations that ignores the opponent, can contradict the Elo side, and has not met its historical checks.
- Medians only: the model's ranges have not yet shown reliable coverage.
- No sportsbook prices, lines, edges, picks or rankings: there is no authorized NBA price, and these figures are not betting recommendations.