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NBA · 2026-10-30 · player props

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat: model vs. sportsbook line

Model vs. sportsbook line · NBA player props

90 of 154 projections have a qualified sportsbook line. Direction not shown: 14.

Player
Market
Model
Book line
Direction
Difference
Sportsbook
Over price
Under price
Quoted at (ET)
Andrew Nembhard · IND
Points
12.2
16.5
UNDER
−4.3
DraftKings
−117
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Nembhard · IND
Rebounds
1.8
3.5
UNDER
−1.7
DraftKings
+134
−177
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Nembhard · IND
Assists
11.2
8.5
OVER
+2.7
DraftKings
−138
+105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Nembhard · IND
3-pointers made
1.7
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−143
+109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Nembhard · IND
Points + rebounds + assists
25.1
29.5
UNDER
−4.4
DraftKings
−109
−121
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Nembhard · IND
Points + rebounds
13.9
19.5
UNDER
−5.6
DraftKings
−123
−107
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Nembhard · IND
Points + assists
23.3
25.5
UNDER
−2.2
DraftKings
−125
−105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kelly Oubre Jr. · IND
Points
10.0
10.5
UNDER
−0.5
DraftKings
−128
+101
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kelly Oubre Jr. · IND
Rebounds
4.9
3.5
OVER
+1.4
DraftKings
−156
+118
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kelly Oubre Jr. · IND
Assists
0.9
1.5
UNDER
−0.6
ESPN BET
−150
+115
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Kelly Oubre Jr. · IND
3-pointers made
0.9
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+117
−154
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kelly Oubre Jr. · IND
Points + rebounds + assists
15.8
17.5
UNDER
−1.7
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Kelly Oubre Jr. · IND
Points + rebounds
14.9
15.5
UNDER
−0.6
DraftKings
−105
−126
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kelly Oubre Jr. · IND
Points + assists
10.9
12.5
UNDER
−1.6
ESPN BET
−125
−105
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Pascal Siakam · IND
Points
19.8
23.5
UNDER
−3.7
DraftKings
−117
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Pascal Siakam · IND
Rebounds
6.1
7.5
UNDER
−1.4
DraftKings
−114
−115
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Pascal Siakam · IND
Assists
2.8
4.5
UNDER
−1.7
DraftKings
+119
−157
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Pascal Siakam · IND
3-pointers made
1.2
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+100
−131
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Pascal Siakam · IND
Points + rebounds + assists
29.0
35.5
UNDER
−6.5
DraftKings
−119
−111
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Pascal Siakam · IND
Points + rebounds
26.0
31.5
UNDER
−5.5
DraftKings
−115
−115
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Pascal Siakam · IND
Points + assists
22.8
28.5
UNDER
−5.7
DraftKings
−107
−123
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Aaron Nesmith · IND
Points
11.7
13.5
UNDER
−1.8
DraftKings
−104
−122
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Aaron Nesmith · IND
Rebounds
3.5
3.5
NEUTRAL
0.0
DraftKings
+104
−137
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Aaron Nesmith · IND
Assists
1.6
1.5
OVER
+0.1
ESPN BET
−145
+110
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Aaron Nesmith · IND
3-pointers made
2.0
2.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+131
−173
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Aaron Nesmith · IND
Points + rebounds + assists
16.9
18.5
UNDER
−1.6
FanDuel
−125
−106
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Aaron Nesmith · IND
Points + rebounds
15.2
16.5
UNDER
−1.3
DraftKings
−119
−111
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Aaron Nesmith · IND
Points + assists
13.4
15.5
UNDER
−2.1
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Jay Huff · IND
Points
9.2
7.5
OVER
+1.7
DraftKings
−122
−104
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Jay Huff · IND
Rebounds
4.2
4.5
UNDER
−0.3
DraftKings
−102
−129
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Jay Huff · IND
Assists
2.1
1.5
OVER
+0.6
ESPN BET
+130
−170
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Jay Huff · IND
3-pointers made
1.3
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+133
−176
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Jay Huff · IND
Points + rebounds + assists
15.6
13.5
OVER
+2.1
ESPN BET
−120
−110
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Jay Huff · IND
Points + rebounds
13.4
12.5
OVER
+0.9
DraftKings
−109
−121
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Jay Huff · IND
Points + assists
11.3
9.5
OVER
+1.8
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Obi Toppin · IND
Points
12.9
13.5
UNDER
−0.6
DraftKings
−105
−122
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Obi Toppin · IND
Rebounds
4.1
5.5
UNDER
−1.4
DraftKings
+104
−137
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Obi Toppin · IND
Assists
2.2
1.5
OVER
+0.7
ESPN BET
−145
+110
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Obi Toppin · IND
3-pointers made
1.8
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−156
+118
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Obi Toppin · IND
Points + rebounds + assists
19.3
21.5
UNDER
−2.2
FanDuel
−114
−114
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Obi Toppin · IND
Points + rebounds
17.1
18.5
UNDER
−1.4
DraftKings
−121
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Obi Toppin · IND
Points + assists
15.0
15.5
UNDER
−0.5
ESPN BET
−110
−120
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Davion Mitchell · MIA
Points
10.4
12.5
UNDER
−2.1
DraftKings
−113
−113
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Davion Mitchell · MIA
Rebounds
2.3
2.5
UNDER
−0.2
FanDuel
+154
−210
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Davion Mitchell · MIA
Assists
4.6
6.5
UNDER
−1.9
DraftKings
−148
+112
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Davion Mitchell · MIA
3-pointers made
1.3
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+101
−133
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Davion Mitchell · MIA
Points + rebounds + assists
17.6
22.5
UNDER
−4.9
DraftKings
−104
−126
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Davion Mitchell · MIA
Points + rebounds
12.8
14.5
UNDER
−1.7
DraftKings
−120
−110
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Davion Mitchell · MIA
Points + assists
15.2
19.5
UNDER
−4.3
DraftKings
−126
−104
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bam Adebayo · MIA
Points
13.9
18.5
UNDER
−4.6
DraftKings
−117
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bam Adebayo · MIA
Rebounds
8.4
9.5
UNDER
−1.1
DraftKings
−122
−108
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bam Adebayo · MIA
Assists
3.4
3.5
UNDER
−0.1
DraftKings
−132
+100
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bam Adebayo · MIA
3-pointers made
1.2
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+113
−149
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bam Adebayo · MIA
Points + rebounds + assists
26.1
32.5
UNDER
−6.4
DraftKings
−114
−115
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bam Adebayo · MIA
Points + rebounds
22.4
28.5
UNDER
−6.1
DraftKings
−114
−115
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bam Adebayo · MIA
Points + assists
17.5
22.5
UNDER
−5.0
DraftKings
−116
−113
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Wiggins · MIA
Points
11.4
13.5
UNDER
−2.1
DraftKings
−108
−118
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Wiggins · MIA
Rebounds
3.0
4.5
UNDER
−1.5
DraftKings
+114
−151
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Wiggins · MIA
Assists
1.8
1.5
OVER
+0.3
DraftKings
−160
+121
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Wiggins · MIA
3-pointers made
2.1
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−154
+117
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Wiggins · MIA
Points + rebounds + assists
16.4
19.5
UNDER
−3.1
DraftKings
−121
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Wiggins · MIA
Points + rebounds
14.5
17.5
UNDER
−3.0
DraftKings
−121
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Andrew Wiggins · MIA
Points + assists
13.3
15.5
UNDER
−2.2
DraftKings
−110
−119
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Pelle Larsson · MIA
Points
11.1
12.5
UNDER
−1.4
DraftKings
−103
−124
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Pelle Larsson · MIA
Rebounds
3.3
3.5
UNDER
−0.2
ESPN BET
−140
+105
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Pelle Larsson · MIA
Assists
2.9
3.5
UNDER
−0.6
ESPN BET
−130
+100
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Pelle Larsson · MIA
3-pointers made
0.5
1.5
Comparison not shown
ESPN BET
+175
−240
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Pelle Larsson · MIA
Points + rebounds + assists
17.5
20.5
UNDER
−3.0
ESPN BET
−110
−120
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Pelle Larsson · MIA
Points + rebounds
14.5
16.5
UNDER
−2.0
ESPN BET
−110
−120
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Pelle Larsson · MIA
Points + assists
14.1
16.5
UNDER
−2.4
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Giannis Antetokounmpo · MIA
Points
21.7
31.5
UNDER
−9.8
DraftKings
−119
−107
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Giannis Antetokounmpo · MIA
Rebounds
7.7
11.5
UNDER
−3.8
DraftKings
−130
−101
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Giannis Antetokounmpo · MIA
Assists
4.2
6.5
UNDER
−2.3
DraftKings
+109
−144
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Giannis Antetokounmpo · MIA
3-pointers made
0.3
0.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−115
−114
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Giannis Antetokounmpo · MIA
Points + rebounds + assists
33.9
50.5
UNDER
−16.6
DraftKings
−119
−111
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Giannis Antetokounmpo · MIA
Points + rebounds
29.5
44.5
UNDER
−15.0
DraftKings
−112
−117
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Giannis Antetokounmpo · MIA
Points + assists
26.1
38.5
UNDER
−12.4
DraftKings
−115
−114
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bobby Portis · MIA
Points
10.7
11.5
UNDER
−0.8
DraftKings
−116
−110
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bobby Portis · MIA
Rebounds
5.0
7.5
UNDER
−2.5
DraftKings
+107
−141
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bobby Portis · MIA
Assists
1.2
1.5
UNDER
−0.3
ESPN BET
−120
−110
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Bobby Portis · MIA
3-pointers made
1.6
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−146
+111
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bobby Portis · MIA
Points + rebounds + assists
17.2
20.5
UNDER
−3.3
ESPN BET
−120
−110
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Bobby Portis · MIA
Points + rebounds
15.8
19.5
UNDER
−3.7
DraftKings
−103
−127
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Bobby Portis · MIA
Points + assists
12.0
13.5
UNDER
−1.5
ESPN BET
−115
−115
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Tim Hardaway Jr. · MIA
Points
8.2
8.5
UNDER
−0.3
DraftKings
−124
−103
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Tim Hardaway Jr. · MIA
3-pointers made
1.3
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−146
+110
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Klay Thompson · MIA
Points
7.7
8.5
UNDER
−0.8
DraftKings
−109
−117
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Klay Thompson · MIA
Assists
1.3
1.5
UNDER
−0.2
Betrivers
+110
−150
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Klay Thompson · MIA
3-pointers made
1.8
2.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+132
−175
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Klay Thompson · MIA
Points + assists
9.1
9.5
UNDER
−0.4
Betparx
−107
−127
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
  • Comparison not shownModel and sportsbook line shown; a direction is not shown for this statistic yet because its forecast has not met our calibration standard.
  • OVER means our model's projection is above the sportsbook's line.
  • UNDER means our model's projection is below the sportsbook's line.
  • NEUTRAL means our model's projection is the same as the sportsbook's line.
  • Difference is our projection minus the line: 36.0 against 29.5 is +6.5. A gap smaller than 0.05 shows as +0.0 or −0.0 and keeps its direction.
  • A line older than 6 hours, taken after the game started, not matched to the player and game, suspended, or for a statistic we do not project is shown with the reason and is not compared.
  • Over and Under prices are the sportsbook's American odds. A dash means the sportsbook did not post that price; it is never a zero.
  • Comparison not shown means the model and the sportsbook line are both shown without a direction, because that statistic's forecast has not yet met our calibration standard.
  • It is a comparison, not a bet recommendation or a probability, and it guarantees nothing.

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