NBA · 2026-10-30 · player props
Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks: model vs. sportsbook line
Model vs. sportsbook line · NBA player props
80 of 126 projections have a qualified sportsbook line. Direction not shown: 11.
Player
Market
Model
Book line
Direction
Difference
Sportsbook
Over price
Under price
Quoted at (ET)
Amen Thompson · HOU
Points
20.1
17.5
OVER
+2.6
DraftKings
−102
−125
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Amen Thompson · HOU
Rebounds
6.9
7.5
UNDER
−0.6
DraftKings
−126
−104
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Amen Thompson · HOU
Assists
5.4
4.5
OVER
+0.9
DraftKings
−139
+105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Amen Thompson · HOU
3-pointers made
0.2
0.5
Comparison not shown
ESPN BET
+200
−275
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Amen Thompson · HOU
Points + rebounds + assists
32.5
29.5
OVER
+3.0
DraftKings
−125
−105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Amen Thompson · HOU
Points + rebounds
27.1
24.5
OVER
+2.6
DraftKings
−126
−104
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Amen Thompson · HOU
Points + assists
25.5
22.5
OVER
+3.0
DraftKings
−106
−124
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Jabari Smith Jr. · HOU
Points
16.5
15.5
OVER
+1.0
DraftKings
−113
−113
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Jabari Smith Jr. · HOU
Rebounds
7.0
6.5
OVER
+0.5
DraftKings
+109
−144
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Jabari Smith Jr. · HOU
Assists
1.4
1.5
UNDER
−0.1
ESPN BET
−145
+110
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Jabari Smith Jr. · HOU
3-pointers made
2.8
2.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+125
−165
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Jabari Smith Jr. · HOU
Points + rebounds + assists
24.9
23.5
OVER
+1.4
DraftKings
−125
−105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Jabari Smith Jr. · HOU
Points + rebounds
23.5
22.5
OVER
+1.0
DraftKings
−104
−126
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Jabari Smith Jr. · HOU
Points + assists
18.0
17.5
OVER
+0.5
ESPN BET
−120
−110
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Kevin Durant · HOU
Points
25.3
23.5
OVER
+1.8
DraftKings
−109
−117
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kevin Durant · HOU
Rebounds
5.6
5.5
OVER
+0.1
DraftKings
−112
−117
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kevin Durant · HOU
Assists
4.4
3.5
OVER
+0.9
DraftKings
−155
+117
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kevin Durant · HOU
3-pointers made
2.1
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−173
+131
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kevin Durant · HOU
Points + rebounds + assists
35.3
33.5
OVER
+1.8
DraftKings
−108
−122
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kevin Durant · HOU
Points + rebounds
30.9
29.5
OVER
+1.4
DraftKings
−106
−125
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Kevin Durant · HOU
Points + assists
29.7
27.5
OVER
+2.2
DraftKings
−114
−115
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Alperen Sengun · HOU
Points
16.7
20.5
UNDER
−3.8
DraftKings
−116
−110
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Alperen Sengun · HOU
Rebounds
9.4
8.5
OVER
+0.9
DraftKings
−125
−105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Alperen Sengun · HOU
Assists
4.6
5.5
UNDER
−0.9
DraftKings
−106
−124
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Alperen Sengun · HOU
3-pointers made
0.1
0.5
Comparison not shown
ESPN BET
−125
−105
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Alperen Sengun · HOU
Points + rebounds + assists
30.8
35.5
UNDER
−4.7
DraftKings
−115
−114
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Alperen Sengun · HOU
Points + rebounds
26.0
29.5
UNDER
−3.5
DraftKings
−120
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Alperen Sengun · HOU
Points + assists
21.4
26.5
UNDER
−5.1
DraftKings
−113
−116
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Tari Eason · HOU
Points
11.5
10.5
OVER
+1.0
DraftKings
−104
−123
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Tari Eason · HOU
Rebounds
5.7
5.5
OVER
+0.2
DraftKings
−102
−129
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Tari Eason · HOU
Assists
1.5
1.5
NEUTRAL
0.0
DraftKings
+116
−153
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Tari Eason · HOU
3-pointers made
1.3
0.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−231
+173
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Tari Eason · HOU
Points + rebounds + assists
19.0
17.5
OVER
+1.5
DraftKings
−110
−120
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Tari Eason · HOU
Points + rebounds
17.4
15.5
OVER
+1.9
DraftKings
−121
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Tari Eason · HOU
Points + assists
13.1
11.5
OVER
+1.6
DraftKings
−125
−105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Cooper Flagg · DAL
Points
24.4
23.5
OVER
+0.9
DraftKings
−109
−117
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Cooper Flagg · DAL
Rebounds
6.6
6.5
OVER
+0.1
DraftKings
−107
−123
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Cooper Flagg · DAL
Assists
3.7
5.5
UNDER
−1.8
DraftKings
−107
−122
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Cooper Flagg · DAL
3-pointers made
1.2
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+118
−156
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Cooper Flagg · DAL
Points + rebounds + assists
35.2
35.5
UNDER
−0.3
DraftKings
−121
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Cooper Flagg · DAL
Points + rebounds
31.3
30.5
OVER
+0.8
DraftKings
−108
−122
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Cooper Flagg · DAL
Points + assists
28.4
29.5
UNDER
−1.1
DraftKings
−109
−120
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
P.J. Washington · DAL
Points
13.0
12.5
OVER
+0.5
DraftKings
−116
−110
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
P.J. Washington · DAL
Rebounds
8.6
6.5
OVER
+2.1
DraftKings
−107
−123
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
P.J. Washington · DAL
Assists
0.3
1.5
UNDER
−1.2
ESPN BET
+100
−130
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
P.J. Washington · DAL
3-pointers made
1.7
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−116
−114
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
P.J. Washington · DAL
Points + rebounds + assists
22.1
20.5
OVER
+1.6
DraftKings
−124
−106
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
P.J. Washington · DAL
Points + rebounds
21.6
19.5
OVER
+2.1
DraftKings
−109
−121
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
P.J. Washington · DAL
Points + assists
13.4
14.5
UNDER
−1.1
ESPN BET
−110
−120
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Naji Marshall · DAL
Points
13.5
11.5
OVER
+2.0
DraftKings
−114
−112
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Naji Marshall · DAL
Rebounds
3.8
3.5
OVER
+0.3
DraftKings
−116
−113
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Naji Marshall · DAL
Assists
2.9
3.5
UNDER
−0.6
DraftKings
+110
−145
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Naji Marshall · DAL
3-pointers made
0.4
0.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−203
+153
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Naji Marshall · DAL
Points + rebounds + assists
20.5
18.5
OVER
+2.0
DraftKings
−123
−107
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Naji Marshall · DAL
Points + rebounds
17.4
15.5
OVER
+1.9
DraftKings
−110
−120
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Naji Marshall · DAL
Points + assists
16.6
15.5
OVER
+1.1
DraftKings
−103
−128
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Max Christie · DAL
Points
9.7
8.5
OVER
+1.2
DraftKings
−130
+102
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Max Christie · DAL
Rebounds
2.5
3.5
UNDER
−1.0
DraftKings
+124
−163
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Max Christie · DAL
Assists
1.5
1.5
NEUTRAL
0.0
ESPN BET
−120
−110
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Max Christie · DAL
3-pointers made
2.0
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−143
+109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Max Christie · DAL
Points + rebounds + assists
13.8
13.5
OVER
+0.3
DraftKings
−129
−102
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Max Christie · DAL
Points + rebounds
12.3
12.5
UNDER
−0.2
DraftKings
−105
−125
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Max Christie · DAL
Points + assists
11.2
11.5
UNDER
−0.3
Betparx
−104
−132
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Daniel Gafford · DAL
Points
10.0
7.5
OVER
+2.5
DraftKings
−108
−118
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Daniel Gafford · DAL
Rebounds
5.3
6.5
UNDER
−1.2
DraftKings
−120
−110
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Daniel Gafford · DAL
Assists
0.7
1.5
UNDER
−0.8
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Daniel Gafford · DAL
Points + rebounds + assists
16.3
15.5
OVER
+0.8
DraftKings
−123
−107
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Daniel Gafford · DAL
Points + rebounds
15.5
14.5
OVER
+1.0
DraftKings
−102
−130
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Daniel Gafford · DAL
Points + assists
10.8
8.5
OVER
+2.3
ESPN BET
−125
−105
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Marcus Sasser · DAL
Points
2.5
5.5
UNDER
−3.0
ESPN BET
−125
−105
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Marcus Sasser · DAL
Rebounds
0.8
1.5
UNDER
−0.7
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Marcus Sasser · DAL
Assists
0.0
2.5
UNDER
−2.5
ESPN BET
+100
−130
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Marcus Sasser · DAL
3-pointers made
0.5
1.5
Comparison not shown
ESPN BET
+160
−215
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Marcus Sasser · DAL
Points + rebounds + assists
6.7
10.5
UNDER
−3.8
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Marcus Sasser · DAL
Points + rebounds
3.6
7.5
UNDER
−3.9
ESPN BET
−115
−115
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Marcus Sasser · DAL
Points + assists
5.7
8.5
UNDER
−2.8
ESPN BET
−110
−120
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Zaccharie Risacher · DAL
Points
3.9
8.5
UNDER
−4.6
ESPN BET
−110
−120
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Zaccharie Risacher · DAL
Rebounds
1.9
4.5
UNDER
−2.6
ESPN BET
+110
−145
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Zaccharie Risacher · DAL
3-pointers made
0.1
0.5
Comparison not shown
ESPN BET
−240
+175
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Zaccharie Risacher · DAL
Points + rebounds
7.8
12.5
UNDER
−4.7
ESPN BET
−125
−105
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
- Comparison not shownModel and sportsbook line shown; a direction is not shown for this statistic yet because its forecast has not met our calibration standard.
- OVER means our model's projection is above the sportsbook's line.
- UNDER means our model's projection is below the sportsbook's line.
- NEUTRAL means our model's projection is the same as the sportsbook's line.
- Difference is our projection minus the line: 36.0 against 29.5 is +6.5. A gap smaller than 0.05 shows as +0.0 or −0.0 and keeps its direction.
- A line older than 6 hours, taken after the game started, not matched to the player and game, suspended, or for a statistic we do not project is shown with the reason and is not compared.
- Over and Under prices are the sportsbook's American odds. A dash means the sportsbook did not post that price; it is never a zero.
- Comparison not shown means the model and the sportsbook line are both shown without a direction, because that statistic's forecast has not yet met our calibration standard.
- It is a comparison, not a bet recommendation or a probability, and it guarantees nothing.
Sportsbook availability varies by state.
