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NBA · 2026-10-30 · player props

Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors: model vs. sportsbook line

Model vs. sportsbook line · NBA player props

85 of 168 projections have a qualified sportsbook line. Direction not shown: 12.

Player
Market
Model
Book line
Direction
Difference
Sportsbook
Over price
Under price
Quoted at (ET)
Austin Reaves · LAL
Points
15.4
23.5
UNDER
−8.1
DraftKings
−113
−113
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Austin Reaves · LAL
Rebounds
3.1
4.5
UNDER
−1.4
DraftKings
+124
−163
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Austin Reaves · LAL
Assists
4.5
5.5
UNDER
−1.0
DraftKings
−139
+105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Austin Reaves · LAL
3-pointers made
1.2
2.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+144
−191
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Austin Reaves · LAL
Points + rebounds + assists
23.0
33.5
UNDER
−10.5
DraftKings
−123
−107
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Austin Reaves · LAL
Points + rebounds
18.5
27.5
UNDER
−9.0
DraftKings
−122
−108
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Austin Reaves · LAL
Points + assists
19.9
29.5
UNDER
−9.6
DraftKings
−119
−111
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Luka Doncic · LAL
Points
25.5
34.5
UNDER
−9.0
DraftKings
−119
−107
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Luka Doncic · LAL
Rebounds
5.9
7.5
UNDER
−1.6
DraftKings
+101
−133
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Luka Doncic · LAL
Assists
6.3
7.5
UNDER
−1.2
DraftKings
−134
+101
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Luka Doncic · LAL
3-pointers made
3.0
4.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+115
−152
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Luka Doncic · LAL
Points + rebounds + assists
37.7
50.5
UNDER
−12.8
DraftKings
−119
−111
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Luka Doncic · LAL
Points + rebounds
31.4
42.5
UNDER
−11.1
DraftKings
−112
−117
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Luka Doncic · LAL
Points + assists
31.8
43.5
UNDER
−11.7
DraftKings
−110
−119
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Walker Kessler · LAL
Points
11.2
14.5
UNDER
−3.3
DraftKings
−105
−121
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Walker Kessler · LAL
Rebounds
8.3
9.5
UNDER
−1.2
DraftKings
−135
+103
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Walker Kessler · LAL
Assists
2.3
1.5
OVER
+0.8
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Walker Kessler · LAL
Points + rebounds + assists
21.9
26.5
UNDER
−4.6
DraftKings
−116
−113
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Walker Kessler · LAL
Points + rebounds
19.6
24.5
UNDER
−4.9
DraftKings
−118
−112
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Walker Kessler · LAL
Points + assists
13.6
16.5
UNDER
−2.9
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Collin Sexton · LAL
Points
15.1
12.5
OVER
+2.6
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Collin Sexton · LAL
Assists
2.2
2.5
UNDER
−0.3
ESPN BET
+105
−140
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Collin Sexton · LAL
3-pointers made
1.8
1.5
Comparison not shown
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Collin Sexton · LAL
Points + rebounds + assists
20.3
16.5
OVER
+3.8
ESPN BET
−115
−115
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Collin Sexton · LAL
Points + assists
17.3
14.5
OVER
+2.8
ESPN BET
−120
−110
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Ziaire Williams · LAL
Points
10.2
8.5
OVER
+1.7
DraftKings
−117
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Ziaire Williams · LAL
Rebounds
1.1
2.5
UNDER
−1.4
DraftKings
−121
−109
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Ziaire Williams · LAL
Assists
1.3
1.5
UNDER
−0.2
ESPN BET
+140
−190
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Ziaire Williams · LAL
3-pointers made
0.8
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+163
−217
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Ziaire Williams · LAL
Points + rebounds + assists
12.8
12.5
OVER
+0.3
ESPN BET
−125
−105
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Ziaire Williams · LAL
Points + rebounds
11.4
11.5
UNDER
−0.1
DraftKings
−115
−114
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Ziaire Williams · LAL
Points + assists
11.6
10.5
OVER
+1.1
ESPN BET
+100
−130
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Quentin Grimes · LAL
Points
5.1
7.5
UNDER
−2.4
DraftKings
−120
−107
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Quentin Grimes · LAL
Rebounds
2.0
2.5
UNDER
−0.5
DraftKings
−162
+123
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Quentin Grimes · LAL
Assists
1.7
2.5
UNDER
−0.8
DraftKings
+134
−177
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Quentin Grimes · LAL
3-pointers made
1.0
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+175
−235
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Quentin Grimes · LAL
Points + rebounds + assists
8.9
13.5
UNDER
−4.6
DraftKings
−104
−127
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Quentin Grimes · LAL
Points + rebounds
7.1
10.5
UNDER
−3.4
DraftKings
−125
−105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Quentin Grimes · LAL
Points + assists
6.9
9.5
UNDER
−2.6
DraftKings
−131
+100
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Sandro Mamukelashvili · LAL
Points
4.7
8.5
UNDER
−3.8
DraftKings
−119
−107
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Sandro Mamukelashvili · LAL
Rebounds
3.6
3.5
OVER
+0.1
DraftKings
−146
+111
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Sandro Mamukelashvili · LAL
Assists
1.0
1.5
UNDER
−0.5
ESPN BET
−115
−115
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Sandro Mamukelashvili · LAL
3-pointers made
0.6
0.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−220
+165
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Sandro Mamukelashvili · LAL
Points + rebounds + assists
9.5
14.5
UNDER
−5.0
DraftKings
−118
−112
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Sandro Mamukelashvili · LAL
Points + rebounds
8.4
12.5
UNDER
−4.1
DraftKings
−125
−105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Sandro Mamukelashvili · LAL
Points + assists
5.8
10.5
UNDER
−4.7
ESPN BET
−115
−115
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Matisse Thybulle · LAL
Points
2.4
6.5
UNDER
−4.1
DraftKings
−114
−112
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Matisse Thybulle · LAL
Rebounds
0.8
2.5
UNDER
−1.7
DraftKings
+115
−152
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Matisse Thybulle · LAL
3-pointers made
0.5
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+136
−180
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Matisse Thybulle · LAL
Points + rebounds
3.6
9.5
UNDER
−5.9
DraftKings
+103
−135
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Brandin Podziemski · GS
Points
16.7
15.5
OVER
+1.2
DraftKings
−115
−111
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Brandin Podziemski · GS
Rebounds
3.6
5.5
UNDER
−1.9
DraftKings
+111
−147
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Brandin Podziemski · GS
Assists
1.9
3.5
UNDER
−1.6
DraftKings
+100
−132
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Brandin Podziemski · GS
3-pointers made
2.1
2.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+130
−172
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Brandin Podziemski · GS
Points + rebounds + assists
22.6
24.5
UNDER
−1.9
DraftKings
−114
−115
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Brandin Podziemski · GS
Points + rebounds
20.5
20.5
NEUTRAL
0.0
DraftKings
−128
−103
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Brandin Podziemski · GS
Points + assists
18.8
19.5
UNDER
−0.7
DraftKings
−108
−122
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Stephen Curry · GS
Points
18.9
25.5
UNDER
−6.6
DraftKings
−108
−118
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Stephen Curry · GS
Rebounds
3.0
3.5
UNDER
−0.5
DraftKings
+125
−165
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Stephen Curry · GS
Assists
3.1
4.5
UNDER
−1.4
DraftKings
+100
−132
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Stephen Curry · GS
3-pointers made
3.6
3.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−125
−105
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Stephen Curry · GS
Points + rebounds + assists
25.2
33.5
UNDER
−8.3
DraftKings
−109
−120
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Stephen Curry · GS
Points + rebounds
22.0
28.5
UNDER
−6.5
DraftKings
−119
−111
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Stephen Curry · GS
Points + assists
22.1
29.5
UNDER
−7.4
DraftKings
−123
−107
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Draymond Green · GS
Points
5.9
6.5
UNDER
−0.6
DraftKings
+104
−133
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Draymond Green · GS
Rebounds
4.1
5.5
UNDER
−1.4
DraftKings
−121
−108
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Draymond Green · GS
Assists
6.1
5.5
OVER
+0.6
DraftKings
−150
+114
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Draymond Green · GS
3-pointers made
1.0
0.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−213
+160
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Draymond Green · GS
Points + rebounds + assists
16.2
18.5
UNDER
−2.3
DraftKings
−112
−118
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Draymond Green · GS
Points + rebounds
10.1
12.5
UNDER
−2.4
DraftKings
+100
−132
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Draymond Green · GS
Points + assists
12.0
12.5
UNDER
−0.5
DraftKings
−113
−117
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
De'Anthony Melton · GS
Points
7.3
9.5
UNDER
−2.2
DraftKings
−113
−113
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
De'Anthony Melton · GS
Rebounds
3.3
3.5
UNDER
−0.2
DraftKings
+129
−171
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
De'Anthony Melton · GS
Assists
2.7
2.5
OVER
+0.2
DraftKings
+132
−175
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
De'Anthony Melton · GS
3-pointers made
1.1
1.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
+146
−193
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
De'Anthony Melton · GS
Points + rebounds + assists
13.3
15.5
UNDER
−2.2
DraftKings
−104
−126
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
De'Anthony Melton · GS
Points + rebounds
10.6
12.5
UNDER
−1.9
DraftKings
−123
−107
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
De'Anthony Melton · GS
Points + assists
10.0
11.5
UNDER
−1.5
DraftKings
−126
−104
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Al Horford · GS
Points
8.0
5.5
OVER
+2.5
DraftKings
−103
−124
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Al Horford · GS
Rebounds
2.5
3.5
UNDER
−1.0
DraftKings
−116
−113
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Al Horford · GS
Assists
1.3
1.5
UNDER
−0.2
ESPN BET
−130
+100
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
Al Horford · GS
3-pointers made
1.7
0.5
Comparison not shown
DraftKings
−230
+172
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Al Horford · GS
Points + rebounds + assists
12.0
10.5
OVER
+1.5
DraftKings
−131
−101
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Al Horford · GS
Points + rebounds
10.6
9.5
OVER
+1.1
DraftKings
+100
−132
Oct 30, 12:00 PM ET
Al Horford · GS
Points + assists
9.3
7.5
OVER
+1.8
ESPN BET
−105
−125
Oct 30, 11:59 AM ET
  • Comparison not shownModel and sportsbook line shown; a direction is not shown for this statistic yet because its forecast has not met our calibration standard.
  • OVER means our model's projection is above the sportsbook's line.
  • UNDER means our model's projection is below the sportsbook's line.
  • NEUTRAL means our model's projection is the same as the sportsbook's line.
  • Difference is our projection minus the line: 36.0 against 29.5 is +6.5. A gap smaller than 0.05 shows as +0.0 or −0.0 and keeps its direction.
  • A line older than 6 hours, taken after the game started, not matched to the player and game, suspended, or for a statistic we do not project is shown with the reason and is not compared.
  • Over and Under prices are the sportsbook's American odds. A dash means the sportsbook did not post that price; it is never a zero.
  • Comparison not shown means the model and the sportsbook line are both shown without a direction, because that statistic's forecast has not yet met our calibration standard.
  • It is a comparison, not a bet recommendation or a probability, and it guarantees nothing.

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