NBA Predicted Player Statistics · Thu, Oct 22
NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Past slate · Thu, Oct 22. Every Official Forecast figure here was frozen before that day’s tip-offs and is shown exactly as frozen, never updated after a game. Today’s board
Forecast vs. Actual
Forecast: the Official Forecast, frozen before tip-off and never changed. Actual: the final box score (ESPN), after the official final. A dash means did not play — never a zero.
Coverage list not recorded for this slate. Players who played without a projection are listed from the final box score.
37 of 37 players · order: expected minutes
· 13 without a projection| Player | Team | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | CLE | 39.2 | 33 | 18.4 | 16 | 4.9 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 38.6 | 35 | 29.3 | 32 | 5.1 | 10 | 3.3 | 3 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Evan Mobley | CLE | 38.6 | 34 | 17.1 | 18 | 7.9 | 8 | 4.3 | 2 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 35.7 | 35 | 25 | 17 | 2.5 | 2 | 7.7 | 3 | 1.2 | 3 |
| Jarrett Allen · Day-To-Day | CLE | 32.4 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 6.9 | 7 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Peyton Watson | CLE | 30.7 | 30 | 14.4 | 8 | 4.8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Chet Holmgren | OKC | 30.2 | 28 | 12.5 | 12 | 7.4 | 17 | 1.1 | 2 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | 30.1 | 37 | 18.1 | 6 | 3.6 | 10 | 4.4 | 3 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 28.7 | 42 | 16.9 | 32 | 2.9 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | 28.3 | 35 | 18.9 | 13 | 9.8 | 7 | 6.6 | 5 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Ajay Mitchell | OKC | 28.1 | 23 | 13.8 | 12 | 2.9 | 0 | 4.4 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| LeBron James | PHI | 27.3 | 33 | 16.6 | 17 | 4.8 | 10 | 5.2 | 5 | 1.2 | 1 |
| VJ Edgecombe | PHI | 26.6 | 33 | 9.9 | 11 | 4.5 | 7 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Cason Wallace | OKC | 25.9 | 24 | 9.7 | 9 | 3.6 | 1 | 2.3 | 1 | 2.4 | 3 |
| Rayan Rupert | PHI | 25.2 | DNP | 12.1 | — | 5.8 | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Jaylen Brown | PHI | 24.8 | 38 | 17.9 | 21 | 3.8 | 8 | 2.1 | 4 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | 24.7 | 33 | 6.8 | 7 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Cameron Johnson | DEN | 24.6 | 11 | 11.3 | 5 | 2.6 | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Alex Caruso | OKC | 24.2 | 20 | 11.3 | 7 | 2.5 | 4 | 2.2 | 5 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Joel Embiid | PHI | 23.9 | 34 | 16.8 | 24 | 5.1 | 7 | 3.8 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | OKC | 22.7 | 23 | 7.8 | 6 | 7.9 | 6 | 2.4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Gordon | DEN | 22 | 29 | 9.2 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 2.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Sam Merrill | CLE | 21.8 | 24 | 8.9 | 5 | 0.9 | 5 | 1.1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Jared McCain | OKC | 21.8 | 18 | 11.5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | 0 |
| DeMar DeRozan | DEN | 21.3 | 28 | 13.8 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3.3 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Anfernee Simons | PHI | 20.3 | 17 | 10.4 | 2 | 1.9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Spencer Jones · Day-To-Day | DEN | 18.6 | — | 4 | — | 1.3 | — | 0.2 | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Nembhard | DEN | 18.5 | 2 | 5.8 | 5 | 2.6 | 1 | 5.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Jalen Williams | OKC | 17.6 | 33 | 8 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Jaylin Williams | OKC | 16.8 | 15 | 4.7 | 3 | 3.9 | 7 | 1.2 | 3 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Marvin Bagley III | DEN | 16.1 | 11 | 10.2 | 2 | 4.1 | 3 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | PHI | 15.2 | 25 | 5.8 | 3 | 1.7 | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Dean Wade · Day-To-Day | PHI | 14.9 | DNP | 2.2 | — | 2.6 | — | 0.6 | — | 0.6 | — |
| Caleb Love | PHI | 14.8 | DNP | 6.3 | — | 1.4 | — | 1.5 | — | 1.2 | — |
| Cam Whitmore | DEN | 13.1 | — | 6.6 | — | 1.9 | — | 0.5 | — | 0.5 | — |
| Tyus Jones | DEN | 11.5 | 10 | 3.3 | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Jaylon Tyson | CLE | 10.1 | 24 | 1.8 | 3 | 1.7 | 6 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.1 | 0 |
Technical detailsFreeze times, receipts and method · 2 games
Model: nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1. Source: v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games. PRA, P+R and P+A: sum over the same simulated draws (v0 engine; components independent within a player) — the median of each simulated game’s sum, so it need not equal the sum of the separate medians. Players with at least 10 expected minutes who are not ruled out. The default order is expected minutes; a column sort is the reader’s own. Game status is read-only, from the schedule and finals record (Started: tipped off, no final recorded yet); it never changes a frozen figure. Forecast vs. Actual: PRA, P+R and P+A actuals add up the actual points, rebounds and assists; “awaiting final” means the game has no official final yet; “Played, no projection” and “Projection unavailable” mark players without an Official Forecast projection — their actuals are shown, no forecast is invented. Forecast and Actual are compared per player only.
- Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers: tip-off Oct 22, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 22, 10:29 AM ET · receipt 3ae85d157799 · Final
- Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder: tip-off Oct 22, 9:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 22, 10:29 AM ET · receipt 6f2a2135226c · Final
- Not shown: no NBA game-outcome chance has been validated (0 graded regular-season games).
- Not shown: this model's team score is a sum of player simulations that ignores the opponent, can contradict the Elo side, and has not met its historical checks.
- Medians only: the model's ranges have not yet shown reliable coverage.
- No sportsbook prices, lines, edges, picks or rankings: there is no authorized NBA price, and these figures are not betting recommendations.