Bout 4 of 12
Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf
Sat, Sep 19, 9:00 PM ET · Heavyweight · 3 rounds · UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · crypto.com Arena
Fight history: Gable Steveson · Sean Sharaf
No simulation story for this event: Neither fighter has enough UFC history in our corpus to build a read from.
No model read for this bout. Neither fighter has enough UFC history in our corpus to build a read from.
Who the model expects to win
Probabilities over the two fighters, from the head that was evaluated on its own preregistered bar.
Gable Steveson4-0-0
Sean Sharaf4-2-0What the corpus knows about each of them
Tracked bouts only — a fight outside the corpus is not counted, and a thin record says so.
1-0 in the last 1. 100% of wins come by finish; 0% of fights reach the judges.
0-2 in the last 2. 0% of wins come by finish; 0% of fights reach the judges.
Where these numbers come from
Three separate heads — winner, method and round — each fitted on a corpus of tracked UFC fights and each published only on its own PASS verdict against a bar frozen before it was fitted. This is the one model on the site that beat its baseline on every head it was tested on.
Educational and paper-only — not betting advice.
Other bouts on this card
- Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua VanFlyweight · Joshua Van 73.7%
- Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio RuffyLightweight · Arman Tsarukyan 56.5%
- Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho ChoiFeatherweight · Dooho Choi 76.9%
- Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo BaraniewskiLight Heavyweight · Iwo Baraniewski 74.5%
- Marlon Vera vs Charles JourdainBantamweight · Marlon Vera 55.5%
- Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis DespaigneHeavyweight · Tai Tuivasa 55.8%
- Michael Aswell vs JooSang YooFeatherweight · no model read
- Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan GandraMiddleweight · Ryan Gandra 75.8%
- Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno FerreiraMiddleweight · Edmen Shahbazyan 67.2%
- Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda MouraW Flyweight · Casey O'Neill 65.4%
- Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson BritoFeatherweight · Joanderson Brito 65.8%