Overview MLB· live NBA· archive Parlays· pending snapshots

Settled projections · Tuesday, September 1

54.5%

311–260 on 571 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-09-01. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

311

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

260

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

54.5%

311–260 on 571

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBZach NetoOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+27.1pp edgeactual 3
MLBRobert GasserOver 3.5 Strikeouts+26.2pp edgeactual 4
MLBBryce HarperOver 1.5 Total Bases+21.2pp edgeactual 4
MLBKaelen CulpepperOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.4pp edgeactual 6
MLBRafael DeversOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.4pp edgeactual 5

Biggest misses

MLBJackson HollidayUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+10.9pp edgeactual 5
MLBSpencer HorwitzUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+6.8pp edgeactual 5
MLBJackson HollidayUnder 1.5 Total Bases+6.4pp edgeactual 6
MLBHenry DavisUnder 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-3.0pp edgeactual 4
MLBJacob GonzalezUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+2.5pp edgeactual 4

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

SD @ CIN

24–1337 dec64.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Nick Lodolo	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.45	5	+19.3%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.20	2	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 1.5	0.96	0	+1.5%	Low	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Over 1.5	1.33	1	+10.1%	High	Loss
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 1.5	1.26	2	+6.2%	High	Win
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	+8.4%	High	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.97	2	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Samad Taylor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Austin Hays	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	0	+5.2%	High	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	—	+8.0%	High	Void
JJ Bleday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	1	-2.7%	Low	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	0	+1.2%	Low	Win
TJ Friedl	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	0	+0.7%	Low	Win
Edwin Arroyo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	1	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.33	6	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.94	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.58	2	+9.1%	High	Win
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	2	+5.1%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.83	3	+14.0%	High	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.46	0	+1.3%	Low	Win
Samad Taylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	3	+0.9%	Low	Win
Austin Hays	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.31	0	-0.5%	Low	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	—	+13.6%	High	Void
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	0	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.21	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
TJ Friedl	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.77	0	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Edwin Arroyo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	8	+1.2%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.36	0	-0.6%	Low	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.14	1	+12.7%	High	Loss
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.34	2	+17.6%	High	Win
Ty France	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.92	3	+12.0%	High	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.95	0	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Austin Hays	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.75	0	+9.9%	High	Win

TOR @ CLE

9–2635 dec25.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Gavin Williams	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	6.88	13	+9.7%	High	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 1.5	1.29	1	+7.1%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	1	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	2	+1.3%	Low	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Angel Genao	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	-2.7%	Low	Loss
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	1.28	0	+16.1%	High	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Brett Bateman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.43	0	+22.3%	Low	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+9.1%	High	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	1	+11.0%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	2	+6.7%	High	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	0	+20.1%	Low	Loss
Angel Genao	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.19	4	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Alejandro Kirk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	1	+12.5%	High	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+11.0%	High	Loss
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.19	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Brett Bateman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.43	0	+30.1%	Low	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	4	+6.0%	High	Win
Nathan Lukes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	0	+19.2%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.94	2	+13.9%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	3	+7.2%	High	Win
Steven Kwan	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	1	+6.1%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.15	1	-2.7%	Low	Loss

NYM @ TB

13–2033 dec39.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Sean Manaea	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.50	2	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Freddy Peralta	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.42	7	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	1	+5.6%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	2	+9.4%	High	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	1	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	1	+10.1%	High	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	—	+0.7%	Low	Void
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Juan Soto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Ryan Vilade	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	2	+1.1%	Low	Win
Nick Fortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	2	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Jorge Mateo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Luis Torrens	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	—	+5.4%	High	Void
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	1	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	+12.6%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.51	3	+11.3%	High	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	2	+9.7%	High	Win
Juan Soto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	4	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	—	+7.9%	High	Void
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	1	+12.3%	High	Loss
Ryan Vilade	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	4	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	0	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Nick Fortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.96	4	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	1	+14.1%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.25	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Luis Torrens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.72	—	+12.8%	High	Void
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.39	2	+10.9%	High	Win
Jorge Mateo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.38	0	+7.9%	High	Loss
Brett Baty	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.25	0	+11.8%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.07	2	+11.9%	High	Win
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	1	+9.3%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	1	+7.0%	High	Loss

SF @ PIT

31–1344 dec70.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Logan Webb	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.96	1	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Paul Skenes	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.30	4	+8.4%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 1.5	1.13	3	+1.0%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	0	+1.0%	Low	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Spencer Horwitz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	2	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Oneil Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	4	+0.0%	Low	Win
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	4	-3.0%	Low	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	1	-2.7%	Low	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+12.4%	High	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.39	2	+11.5%	High	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	1	+16.2%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	—	-0.9%	Low	Void
Turner Hill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	4	+1.0%	Low	Win
Shay Whitcomb	Hits	Under 0.5	0.26	1	+9.7%	High	Loss
Christian Koss	Hits	Over 0.5	0.53	2	-3.5%	Low	Win
Henry Davis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.34	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.49	3	-2.1%	Low	Win
Nate Furman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.29	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	5	+0.5%	Low	Win
Oneil Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	9	+6.7%	High	Win
Spencer Horwitz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.17	5	+6.8%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	8	+5.3%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	4	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.22	0	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	2	+0.5%	Low	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	2	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.70	5	+20.4%	Low	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	2	+19.0%	High	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.80	4	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Drew Gilbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	—	+7.2%	High	Void
Turner Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.61	7	+13.7%	High	Win
Henry Davis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.83	4	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Shay Whitcomb	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.87	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.07	5	+6.5%	High	Win
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.74	6	+0.2%	Low	Win
Nate Furman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.38	3	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	7	+8.6%	High	Win
Oneil Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.85	4	+12.8%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	3	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.14	0	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.95	2	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.95	0	-3.2%	Low	Win
Logan Webb	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.96	1	+1.8%	Low	Win

ATL @ WSH

23–1336 dec63.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
AJ Smith-Shawver	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.33	5	+16.0%	High	Loss
Jake Irvin	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.10	5	+15.7%	High	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Over 1.5	1.25	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 1.5	1.26	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.90	1	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Brady House	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	-1.3%	Low	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	2	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+7.5%	High	Loss
Abimelec Ortiz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	+0.4%	Low	Win
Sean Murphy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	—	+3.8%	Medium	Void
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	—	+2.4%	Low	Void
Harry Ford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	2	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	2	+1.1%	Low	Win
Jorbit Vivas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	1	+2.5%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.36	2	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.87	2	+5.3%	High	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.51	4	+2.3%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.04	1	+18.4%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	5	-3.3%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	3	-1.0%	Low	Win
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.42	0	-0.5%	Low	Win
Brady House	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	4	+6.4%	High	Win
Sean Murphy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	—	+2.7%	Medium	Void
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	1	+12.9%	High	Loss
Abimelec Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.86	—	+6.2%	High	Void
Harry Ford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.17	3	-0.3%	Low	Win
Jacob Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.42	4	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Jorbit Vivas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.22	2	+5.3%	High	Win
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.30	4	+9.9%	High	Win
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	2	-2.9%	Low	Win
CJ Abrams	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	2	-0.9%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.59	0	+21.8%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	4	+0.3%	Low	Win
Austin Riley	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.15	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Brady House	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	2	+5.7%	High	Win

SEA @ BOS

25–1136 dec69.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bryan Woo	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.31	7	+8.2%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Roman Anthony	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	2	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	2	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Mickey Gasper	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	-0.6%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	—	-2.1%	Low	Void
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+7.2%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	2	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	1	-1.4%	Low	Win
Nick Sogard	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+11.7%	High	Win
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+6.6%	High	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	—	+0.6%	Low	Void
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	2	-0.5%	Low	Win
Brock Rodden	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	2	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Trevor Story	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+15.6%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	3	-0.2%	Low	Win
Roman Anthony	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	3	-2.6%	Low	Win
Mickey Gasper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	4	+11.9%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+9.7%	High	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	3	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Adley Rutschman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	—	+6.5%	High	Void
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	4	+1.5%	Low	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	5	+18.2%	High	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	1	+7.8%	High	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	2	+18.4%	High	Win
Nick Sogard	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	1	+20.2%	Low	Loss
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.34	3	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.43	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.22	—	+2.6%	Medium	Void
J.P. Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	3	+2.2%	Low	Win
Brock Rodden	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.75	4	-3.3%	Low	Win
Trevor Story	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.90	2	+18.2%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	3	+6.6%	High	Win
Roman Anthony	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	2	+7.1%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	4	+7.0%	High	Win
Mickey Gasper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.92	4	+17.8%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	0	+9.0%	High	Loss

MIL @ CHC

26–1945 dec57.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Robert Gasser	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	5.31	4	+26.2%	Low	Win
Matthew Boyd	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.85	3	+0.7%	Low	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 1.5	1.18	2	-2.5%	Low	Win
William Contreras	Hits	Over 1.5	1.32	2	+6.6%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Hits	Under 1.5	0.80	2	+5.2%	High	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 1.5	1.02	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	1.33	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+1.0%	Low	Win
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	-2.5%	Low	Win
Joey Ortiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+0.7%	Low	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Carson Kelly	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Tyrone Taylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+10.3%	High	Win
Cooper Pratt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	1	-1.3%	Low	Win
Matt Shaw	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.55	3	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	3.04	0	+12.8%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.97	1	+13.3%	High	Loss
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.51	5	+6.1%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	2	-2.3%	Low	Win
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	3	-1.0%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.00	2	+17.2%	High	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.56	2	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	5	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Joey Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	5	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	1	+15.5%	High	Loss
Tyrone Taylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	4	+10.9%	High	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	3	+1.3%	Low	Win
Matt Shaw	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	1	+5.2%	High	Loss
Cooper Pratt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	2	+7.1%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.08	2	+6.0%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.25	0	+13.7%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.96	0	+20.4%	Low	Loss
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.92	4	+8.6%	High	Win
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.73	1	+24.4%	Low	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	1	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Andrew Vaughn	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.12	2	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	2	+9.7%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Christian Yelich	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	4	+9.3%	High	Win
Robert Gasser	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.31	4	+25.9%	Low	Loss

DET @ MIN

21–1637 dec56.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Troy Melton	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.27	4	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 1.5	1.07	0	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	1	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Gleyber Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	-3.1%	Low	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	2	-2.6%	Low	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	2	+10.1%	High	Win
Max Clark	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	1	+5.0%	High	Loss
Eduardo Valencia	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	—	-2.8%	Low	Void
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	1	-2.4%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	3	-2.2%	Low	Win
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	2	+13.8%	High	Win
Ben Malgeri	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	1	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	1	+9.0%	High	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	2	-0.9%	Low	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	4	+5.8%	High	Win
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.53	2	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	3	+5.5%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	6	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	5	+14.0%	High	Win
Max Clark	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.39	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.00	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Eduardo Valencia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	—	+1.5%	Low	Void
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.41	3	+2.1%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.22	8	-2.6%	Low	Win
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	6	+20.4%	Low	Win
Ben Malgeri	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+2.1%	Low	Win
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	0	+15.3%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	4	+7.4%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	1	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Hao-Yu Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	2	+1.2%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	1	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	7	+8.8%	High	Win
Gleyber Torres	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	3	+19.1%	High	Win

MIA @ KC

22–2345 dec48.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Randy Dobnak	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.28	6	+16.3%	High	Win
Tyler Phillips	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.14	4	+17.1%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.16	1	-1.6%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 1.5	1.37	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.16	1	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Under 1.5	1.05	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Under 1.5	1.01	2	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Vinnie Pasquantino	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Griffin Conine	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	0	+13.3%	High	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	2	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	-1.6%	Low	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	-2.2%	Low	Win
Isaac Collins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Kyle Isbel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Joe Mack	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Josh Rojas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	2	-1.6%	Low	Win
Owen Caissie	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.24	2	-3.2%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.68	0	+6.6%	High	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.11	3	-2.7%	Low	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.69	3	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	3	-1.7%	Low	Win
Vinnie Pasquantino	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+5.4%	High	Loss
Griffin Conine	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.11	0	+6.7%	High	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	0	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	3	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Kyle Isbel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Owen Caissie	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.12	2	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Joe Mack	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.38	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Josh Rojas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	3	+5.1%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	4	-1.0%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.10	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	1	+5.8%	High	Loss
Griffin Conine	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.86	0	+2.2%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	3	+5.6%	High	Win
Javier Sanoja	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	2	-0.0%	Low	Win
Vinnie Pasquantino	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	0	+13.9%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Nick Loftin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	4	+9.2%	High	Win
Jakob Marsee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss

ATH @ TEX

20–1535 dec57.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
MacKenzie Gore	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.59	4	+9.7%	High	Win
Corey Seager	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	2	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.90	4	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	2	-2.1%	Low	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	2	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+5.4%	High	Win
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Tommy White	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	—	+2.5%	Low	Void
Jonah Heim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	2	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	1	+1.1%	Low	Win
Cody Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+12.8%	High	Win
Joc Pederson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.48	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Darell Hernaiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+14.0%	High	Win
Alika Williams	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Danny Jansen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	—	-0.5%	Low	Void
Justin Foscue	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+11.8%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	6	-2.3%	Low	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	9	+0.3%	Low	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	4	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.41	1	+15.8%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	1	+6.5%	High	Loss
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	—	+9.2%	High	Void
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	5	+9.8%	High	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	2	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Joc Pederson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.23	2	+0.2%	Low	Win
Cody Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+16.8%	High	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.55	3	+7.4%	High	Win
Danny Jansen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.32	—	+6.5%	High	Void
Darell Hernaiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.04	3	+19.6%	High	Win
Alika Williams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.25	1	+10.2%	High	Win
Justin Foscue	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.55	0	+13.6%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	4	-1.9%	Low	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	5	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.56	3	+6.8%	High	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+19.7%	High	Loss

CWS @ HOU

15–2136 dec41.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ronel Blanco	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.27	3	+16.6%	High	Win
Sean Burke	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.33	6	+12.9%	High	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Yainer Diaz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Jose Altuve	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	—	-1.3%	Low	Void
Andrew Benintendi	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	2	+10.5%	High	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	2	+8.8%	High	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	0	-0.3%	Low	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+10.8%	High	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	—	+6.1%	High	Void
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	1	+2.0%	Low	Win
Christian Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	2	+1.3%	Low	Win
Cam Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Drew Romo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Taylor Trammell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.37	2	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	1	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	3	+9.7%	High	Win
Yainer Diaz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.47	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Jose Altuve	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	3	+6.5%	High	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	—	+7.2%	High	Void
Christian Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	5	+10.2%	High	Win
Daulton Varsho	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	—	+9.8%	High	Void
Isaac Paredes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	3	+12.9%	High	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	0	+20.9%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	2	+12.0%	High	Win
Cam Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.24	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Drew Romo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.37	0	+14.8%	High	Loss
Taylor Trammell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.68	2	+0.3%	Low	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	2	+11.1%	High	Win
Sam Antonacci	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Yainer Diaz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+13.4%	High	Loss

BAL @ COL

23–2548 dec47.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kyle Bradish	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.50	4	+1.5%	Low	Win
Gabriel Hughes	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	2.99	4	+13.9%	High	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 1.5	0.81	3	+11.8%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.95	0	+6.0%	High	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Under 1.5	1.10	2	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits	Under 1.5	1.00	1	+2.3%	Low	Win
Samuel Basallo	Hits	Under 1.5	0.63	0	+16.1%	High	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits	Under 1.5	0.94	1	-0.5%	Low	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Under 1.5	0.71	0	+8.4%	High	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.92	0	-0.5%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Under 0.5	0.91	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	+7.0%	High	Win
Coby Mayo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	—	-0.6%	Low	Void
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	—	-2.7%	Low	Void
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Connor Norby	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Colton Cowser	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	0	-2.0%	Low	Win
Zac Veen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.32	1	+12.5%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	1	-3.5%	Low	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.39	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Samuel Basallo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.32	0	+16.0%	High	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.01	0	+1.4%	Low	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.54	5	+10.9%	High	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.06	1	-3.5%	Low	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.91	3	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.52	0	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Coby Mayo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	—	+4.5%	Medium	Void
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.44	4	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.48	2	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Dylan Beavers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	—	-0.4%	Low	Void
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.45	0	-1.8%	Low	Win
Connor Norby	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Zac Veen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.71	2	+9.9%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.24	1	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	0	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	1	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.16	0	+5.6%	High	Win
Jackson Holliday	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.09	6	+6.4%	High	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	1	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	3	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Mickey Moniak	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	1	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Coby Mayo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	—	+1.4%	Low	Void
Cole Carrigg	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Leody Taveras	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.13	0	+0.3%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.21	4	-1.9%	Low	Win
Dylan Beavers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	2	+1.8%	Low	Win
Willi Castro	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	—	+3.1%	Medium	Void
Colton Cowser	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Hughes	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.99	4	+15.9%	High	Loss

NYY @ LAA

21–930 dec70.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Grayson Rodriguez	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.70	7	+8.9%	High	Loss
Gerrit Cole	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	6.08	5	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Amed Rosario	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	—	+9.0%	High	Void
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	3	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.27	2	+15.4%	High	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	3	+8.6%	High	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	1	+7.7%	High	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Christian Moore	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	1	-1.6%	Low	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	3	+9.1%	High	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	—	-2.5%	Low	Void
Spencer Jones	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	2	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Austin Wells	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Josh Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.43	1	-1.6%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	2	+5.8%	High	Win
Cody Bellinger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	5	+6.9%	High	Win
Amed Rosario	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.16	—	+3.7%	Medium	Void
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	2	-2.8%	Low	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.00	3	+27.1%	Low	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	6	+13.0%	High	Win
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	0	+15.9%	High	Loss
Christian Moore	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.08	3	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Spencer Jones	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.69	7	+11.7%	High	Win
Austin Wells	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.47	1	+12.0%	High	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.67	5	+12.7%	High	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.38	—	+8.7%	High	Void
Josh Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.15	0	+10.2%	High	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+10.6%	High	Win
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	1	+6.5%	High	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	3	+5.9%	High	Win
Amed Rosario	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.84	—	-0.2%	Low	Void

PHI @ AZ

24–2044 dec54.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Eduardo Rodriguez	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.28	3	+16.9%	High	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	0.85	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.08	2	-0.9%	Low	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Under 0.5	0.90	2	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+0.7%	Low	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	4	+8.8%	High	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Edmundo Sosa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+6.4%	High	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Tim Tawa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	1	+5.8%	High	Win
Jordan Lawlar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	2	+7.0%	High	Win
Derek Hill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.62	3	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	4	+2.2%	Low	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	2	-2.4%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	2	+9.6%	High	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	1	+7.6%	High	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	6	+13.8%	High	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+14.5%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	2	+10.7%	High	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	2	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Edmundo Sosa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	1	+21.2%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+7.9%	High	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.67	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Tim Tawa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.81	1	+9.4%	High	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.39	1	+8.6%	High	Win
Jordan Lawlar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.63	4	+9.8%	High	Win
Derek Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.55	1	+16.7%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.13	2	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.26	3	-0.1%	Low	Win
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	2	+2.5%	Low	Win
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	1	+10.1%	High	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	0	+14.6%	High	Loss
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.14	4	+21.2%	Low	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+15.2%	High	Loss

STL @ LAD

14–1630 dec46.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Michael McGreevy	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.08	4	+14.4%	High	Win
Eric Lauer	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.88	2	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 1.5	1.18	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	2	-1.1%	Low	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.90	3	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	3	+5.4%	High	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Max Muncy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	+8.8%	High	Win
Thomas Saggese	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	2	+6.9%	High	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.65	3	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	7	+1.1%	Low	Win
Tommy Edman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	5	-0.1%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Max Muncy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	0	+12.4%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.54	7	+15.1%	High	Win
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.90	3	+14.4%	High	Win
Thomas Saggese	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.24	8	+13.0%	High	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	7	+10.2%	High	Win
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	4	+6.6%	High	Win
Tommy Edman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	3	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Max Muncy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.14	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss

all settled dates