47.1%

148–166 on 314 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-06-11. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

148

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

166

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

47.1%

148–166 on 314

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBHunter DobbinsOver 3.5 Strikeouts+25.1pp edgeactual 5
MLBKyle BradishUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+21.4pp edgeactual 5
MLBAlec BurlesonOver 1.5 Total Bases+21.1pp edgeactual 4
MLBAlec BurlesonOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.5pp edgeactual 3
MLBDillon DinglerOver 1.5 Total Bases+17.0pp edgeactual 4

Biggest misses

MLBAlex BregmanUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.3pp edgeactual 5
MLBColt KeithUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.2pp edgeactual 7
MLBCorey SeagerUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+14.4pp edgeactual 5
MLBJimmy CrooksUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+8.6pp edgeactual 4
MLBCorey SeagerUnder 1.5 Total Bases+8.1pp edgeactual 5

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

AZ @ MIA

17–2946 dec37.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Merrill Kelly	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.50	1	+13.4%	High	Win
Tyler Phillips	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.55	5	+24.3%	Low	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.43	2	+7.7%	High	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Under 0.5	0.91	1	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	+5.1%	High	Loss
Liam Hicks	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	1	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	0	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	0	-1.3%	Low	Win
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	+1.1%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	0	+0.6%	Low	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Tommy Troy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	-2.6%	Low	Win
Joe Mack	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Owen Caissie	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	0	+0.5%	Low	Win
Jorge Barrosa	Hits	Under 0.5	0.27	1	+12.4%	High	Loss
Aramis Garcia	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Esteury Ruiz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.66	3	+10.4%	High	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	1	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Liam Hicks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	1	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.53	2	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.52	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Kyle Stowers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.46	0	-3.4%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	2	-0.6%	Low	Win
Tommy Troy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Joe Mack	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	0	+11.5%	High	Loss
Owen Caissie	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
Jorge Barrosa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.56	1	+12.9%	High	Win
Aramis Garcia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+8.4%	High	Loss
Esteury Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.18	0	+9.9%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.17	2	+15.1%	High	Win
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.27	0	+13.6%	High	Loss
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Kyle Stowers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.56	0	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Liam Hicks	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	1	+7.0%	High	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.18	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.12	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	0	+2.4%	Low	Loss

MIN @ DET

23–2649 dec46.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Zebby Matthews	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.09	4	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Keider Montero	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.85	4	-2.0%	Low	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits	Under 1.5	1.04	0	-1.4%	Low	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Over 1.5	1.10	3	+2.0%	Low	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	-1.2%	Low	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Riley Greene	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	1.33	1	+9.5%	High	Win
Kerry Carpenter	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	1	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	2	+5.3%	High	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Colt Keith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.48	2	+9.6%	High	Loss
Victor Caratini	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Austin Martin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	2	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
Tristan Gray	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Jake Rogers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.19	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.11	4	+13.5%	High	Win
Riley Greene	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	4	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
Kerry Carpenter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	2	+1.6%	Low	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.55	3	+13.6%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	1	+6.7%	High	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	1	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.32	2	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Colt Keith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.76	7	+15.2%	High	Loss
Victor Caratini	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Zach McKinstry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.00	4	+6.5%	High	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	4	+5.3%	High	Win
Austin Martin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Tristan Gray	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+14.4%	High	Loss
Jake Rogers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+2.1%	Low	Win
Byron Buxton	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.12	0	+5.4%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.25	0	+13.5%	High	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.60	4	+17.0%	High	Win
Kerry Carpenter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+5.4%	High	Loss
Riley Greene	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	4	+10.1%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+12.2%	High	Loss
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.13	2	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.17	1	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	1	+9.3%	High	Loss
Gleyber Torres	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	4	+16.3%	High	Win

STL @ NYM

23–2144 dec52.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Hunter Dobbins	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.67	5	+25.1%	Low	Win
Christian Scott	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.24	6	-1.9%	Low	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits	Under 1.5	0.91	1	+6.8%	High	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.32	1	+9.4%	High	Win
Juan Soto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	2	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
Marcus Semien	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.34	1	+12.8%	High	Win
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	2	-1.9%	Low	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	+1.7%	Low	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	2	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Masyn Winn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Jimmy Crooks	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	1	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+9.1%	High	Win
Nolan Gorman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.42	0	-0.2%	Low	Win
MJ Melendez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.36	1	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.77	4	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Juan Soto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	5	-3.4%	Low	Win
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	2	+8.3%	High	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.00	3	+20.5%	Low	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	5	-0.3%	Low	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.90	1	+19.2%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	1	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	4	+6.3%	High	Win
Brett Baty	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Masyn Winn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Jimmy Crooks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.83	4	+8.6%	High	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	1	+8.8%	High	Loss
Nolan Gorman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
MJ Melendez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+5.7%	High	Win
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	4	-3.3%	Low	Win
Juan Soto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	6	+0.2%	Low	Win
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.34	4	+21.1%	Low	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.36	1	+21.9%	Low	Loss
Carson Benge	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.23	1	+20.8%	Low	Loss
Marcus Semien	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	1	+12.4%	High	Loss
Jared Young	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	5	+12.7%	High	Win

TEX @ KC

17–2946 dec37.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kumar Rocker	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.04	3	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Michael Wacha	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.52	2	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Josh Jung	Hits	Over 1.5	1.35	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.05	1	+5.5%	High	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Under 1.5	0.89	2	+7.1%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits	Under 1.5	0.49	2	+17.9%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Under 1.5	0.95	2	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 1.5	1.04	2	-1.6%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	2	+5.5%	High	Win
Vinnie Pasquantino	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Michael Massey	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	1	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Lane Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Nicky Lopez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Evan Carter	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	1	+5.1%	High	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.79	1	+10.2%	High	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.53	3	+10.2%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.29	5	+14.4%	High	Loss
Josh Jung	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.55	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	3	+6.8%	High	Win
Vinnie Pasquantino	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+1.3%	Low	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	1	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	4	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	2	+0.1%	Low	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.50	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Michael Massey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	0	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Nicky Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Evan Carter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.22	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.54	1	-1.7%	Low	Win
Josh Jung	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.03	0	+6.6%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.22	4	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Corey Seager	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.96	5	+8.1%	High	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.10	2	+12.6%	High	Win
Vinnie Pasquantino	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Jake Burger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Carter Jensen	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	2	-0.7%	Low	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.56	2	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Michael Massey	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Lane Thomas	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.04	0	-2.4%	Low	Win

CHC @ COL

26–2248 dec54.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ryan Feltner	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.13	3	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Edward Cabrera	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.00	5	+7.7%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Over 1.5	1.32	2	-2.2%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Under 1.5	0.79	1	+12.0%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Under 1.5	0.94	1	+5.6%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Under 1.5	0.85	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Michael Busch	Hits	Under 1.5	1.00	2	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits	Under 1.5	0.83	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Troy Johnston	Hits	Over 1.5	1.12	3	-0.4%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	1	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	2	+1.0%	Low	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Carson Kelly	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	1	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Moisés Ballesteros	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	+12.1%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	0	+11.1%	High	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Kyle Karros	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Edouard Julien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.59	4	-2.3%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.47	5	+15.3%	High	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.89	3	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.73	6	+6.2%	High	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.78	4	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.53	1	+7.0%	High	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.51	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Moisés Ballesteros	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.07	1	+11.7%	High	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.39	3	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.67	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Troy Johnston	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	3	+5.0%	High	Win
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Dansby Swanson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.20	1	+5.6%	High	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Kyle Karros	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Edouard Julien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	1	+5.8%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.57	3	+9.9%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	4	-2.4%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.19	4	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.34	0	+13.0%	High	Loss
Ian Happ	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	1	+7.3%	High	Loss
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	2	+1.5%	Low	Win
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.24	1	-1.0%	Low	Win
Moisés Ballesteros	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.78	1	+7.5%	High	Win
Troy Johnston	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	4	+6.1%	High	Win
Willi Castro	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	2	+6.0%	High	Win
Carson Kelly	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.98	4	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	2	+0.6%	Low	Win
Dansby Swanson	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.84	0	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	0	+10.5%	High	Loss

LAD @ PIT

25–2045 dec55.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Justin Wrobleski	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.92	1	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Mitch Keller	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.47	3	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Over 1.5	1.43	2	+9.2%	High	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 1.5	1.24	1	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits	Under 1.5	0.76	1	+9.6%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 1.5	1.21	2	+2.5%	Low	Win
Andy Pages	Hits	Under 1.5	0.99	2	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits	Over 1.5	1.13	1	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Under 1.5	0.87	1	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Max Muncy	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	-0.9%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Marcell Ozuna	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Dalton Rushing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+2.1%	Low	Win
Ryan Ward	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Alex Freeland	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.97	5	+7.5%	High	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.70	3	+9.5%	High	Win
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.64	1	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	4	+1.3%	Low	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.74	3	+15.0%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	2	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Max Muncy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	0	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	3	+0.4%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	4	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+5.2%	High	Loss
Dalton Rushing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	2	+5.4%	High	Win
Marcell Ozuna	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	4	+10.5%	High	Win
Ryan Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.78	0	+27.0%	Low	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.41	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Alex Freeland	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.42	5	+11.3%	High	Win
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+9.4%	High	Loss
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.20	1	-2.3%	Low	Win
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.00	2	+9.8%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	2	+8.4%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	1	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Max Muncy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Kyle Tucker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	1	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	4	+11.1%	High	Win
Ryan O'Hearn	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	1	+12.7%	High	Loss

SEA @ BAL

17–1936 dec47.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kyle Bradish	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.19	5	+21.4%	Low	Win
Bryan Woo	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	6.26	4	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	3	+1.1%	Low	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Colton Cowser	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	1	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+5.2%	High	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	1	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Colt Emerson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Coby Mayo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Luke Raley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Jhonny Pereda	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+14.5%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	1	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	5	+0.3%	Low	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.47	4	+14.0%	High	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	1	+12.0%	High	Loss
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	3	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	3	+12.1%	High	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+8.8%	High	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	2	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	3	+7.3%	High	Win
Luke Raley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.15	4	-2.6%	Low	Win
Colt Emerson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	1	+11.6%	High	Loss
Coby Mayo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	1	+16.0%	High	Loss
Jhonny Pereda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+11.9%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	4	+13.7%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	0	+8.7%	High	Loss
Colton Cowser	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	4	+1.2%	Low	Win
Cole Young	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	6	+1.7%	Low	Win
Randy Arozarena	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+12.5%	High	Loss

← 2026-06-10 all settled dates 2026-06-12 →