Forecast record · what we said, and what happened
Our forecasts for Nico Collins
15 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Receptions | 3.7 (range 0.7–6.6) | Actual 2 · missed by 1.7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 35.5% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Receiving yards | 38.7 (range 5.5–94.7) | Actual 6 · missed by 32.7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 36.7% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Receptions | 4.5 (range 1.8–9.1) | Actual 3 · missed by 1.5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Receiving yards | 45.1 (range 9.8–101.6) | Actual 74 · missed by 28.9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 41.5% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Receiving yards | 41.4 (range 8.2–97.6) | Actual 56 · missed by 14.6 |
Show 7 older forecasts
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Receptions | 5.2 (range 1.7–9.5) | Actual 5 · missed by 0.2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Receptions | 3 (range 1–6) | Actual 7 · missed by 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Receiving yards | 33.1 (range 4.2–82.4) | Actual 118 · missed by 84.9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 32.4% chance | Happened |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Receptions | 3 (range 1–7) | Actual 7 · missed by 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 29.2% chance | Happened |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Receiving yards | 38 (range 6–91) | Actual 75 · missed by 37 |
How each forecast type has done overall: Receptions · Anytime touchdown · Receiving yards
2026 recorded snapshot
Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.
Recorded games
5
Targets
35
over 5 recorded games
Receptions
24
over 5 recorded games
Receiving yards
329
over 5 recorded games
Recent form and game log
Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.
Last 3 / 5 / 10 recorded games
| Stat | Last 3 · avg (n) | Last 5 · avg (n) | Last 10 · avg (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.7 (n=3) | 7 (n=5) | 6.7 (n=10) |
| Receptions | 3.3 (n=3) | 4.8 (n=5) | 4.1 (n=10) |
| Receiving yards | 45.3 (n=3) | 65.8 (n=5) | 67.2 (n=10) |
| Receiving TDs | 0 (n=3) | 0.6 (n=5) | 0.5 (n=10) |
Recorded 6, 74, 56 receiving yards in the last 3 available games.
Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.
Receiving yards, game by game
Game log
5 recorded games · 35 targets · 24 receptions · 329 receiving yards| Date | Team | Opponent | Team result | TGT | REC | YDS | TD | Game page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | HOU | vs NYG | L 21–27 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 18, 2026 | HOU | vs JAX | W 34–31 | 5 | 3 | 74 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 11, 2026 | HOU | @ TEN | W 26–3 | 7 | 5 | 56 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 4, 2026 | HOU | vs DAL | L 30–34 | 8 | 7 | 118 | 2 | Game → |
| Sep 13, 2026 | HOU | vs BUF | L 31–36 | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 | Game → |
