NBA Predicted Player Statistics · Tue, Oct 20
NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Past slate · Tue, Oct 20. Every Official Forecast figure here was frozen before that day’s tip-offs and is shown exactly as frozen, never updated after a game. Today’s board
Forecast vs. Actual
Forecast: the Official Forecast, frozen before tip-off and never changed. Actual: the final box score (ESPN), after the official final. A dash means did not play — never a zero.
Coverage list not recorded for this slate. Players who played without a projection are listed from the final box score.
55 of 55 players · order: expected minutes
· 20 without a projection| Player | Team | Min | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | SA | 36.7 | 34 | 24.9 | 12 | 8.7 | 13 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 35.7 | 36 | 25.1 | 32 | 2.5 | 6 | 7.7 | 4 | 1.2 | 3 |
| Devin Vassell | SA | 34.5 | 31 | 12.1 | 7 | 5.6 | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | 2.5 | 1 |
| De'Aaron Fox | SA | 33.1 | 32 | 11.5 | 14 | 4.1 | 7 | 5.8 | 7 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Jalen Brunson | NY | 32.7 | 34 | 24.2 | 21 | 3.2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Cade Cunningham | DET | 32.2 | 35 | 21.4 | 22 | 3.7 | 4 | 5.8 | 8 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Stephon Castle | SA | 31.5 | 28 | 15.1 | 24 | 4.9 | 7 | 5.3 | 1 | 1.1 | 5 |
| Jayson Tatum | BOS | 30.8 | 38 | 19.4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 5.7 | 11 | 2.5 | 0 |
| Julian Champagnie | SA | 30.6 | 30 | 11.3 | 8 | 5.4 | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Paul George | BOS | 30.5 | 31 | 13.2 | 38 | 3.2 | 5 | 2.6 | 3 | 2.7 | 7 |
| Chet Holmgren | OKC | 30.2 | 31 | 12.7 | 14 | 7.4 | 7 | 1.1 | 2 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Mikal Bridges | NY | 29.5 | 33 | 11.6 | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| OG Anunoby | NY | 29 | 32 | 16.1 | 10 | 4.4 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 28.7 | 40 | 16.9 | 28 | 3.1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Derrick White | BOS | 28.4 | 36 | 8.4 | 17 | 2.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 8 | 1.6 | 3 |
| Ajay Mitchell | OKC | 28.1 | 23 | 13.7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4.4 | 6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Payton Pritchard | BOS | 27.5 | 28 | 13.2 | 17 | 2.9 | 4 | 4.8 | 1 | 2.2 | 2 |
| LeBron James | PHI | 27.3 | 34 | 16.5 | 14 | 4.7 | 9 | 5.2 | 7 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 26.8 | 24 | 12 | 19 | 8.6 | 12 | 3.1 | 1 | 1.2 | 3 |
| VJ Edgecombe | PHI | 26.6 | 35 | 10 | 9 | 4.5 | 4 | 2.4 | 1 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Josh Hart | NY | 26.1 | 30 | 9.4 | 14 | 7.5 | 7 | 3.8 | 3 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Dylan Harper | SA | 26 | 32 | 13 | 18 | 5.6 | 7 | 2.8 | 5 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Cason Wallace | OKC | 25.9 | 19 | 9.6 | 6 | 3.6 | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | 2.4 | 0 |
| Elijah Harkless | DET | 25.4 | — | 6.3 | — | 3 | — | 3.2 | — | 0.8 | — |
| Rayan Rupert | PHI | 25.2 | DNP | 12.1 | — | 5.8 | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Jaylen Brown | PHI | 24.8 | 35 | 17.9 | 19 | 3.7 | 8 | 2.1 | 6 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Alex Caruso | OKC | 24.2 | 25 | 11.3 | 9 | 2.5 | 6 | 2.3 | 1 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Joel Embiid | PHI | 23.9 | 33 | 16.9 | 13 | 5.1 | 11 | 3.8 | 6 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Ausar Thompson | DET | 23.8 | 33 | 5.4 | 11 | 5.8 | 11 | 2.8 | 5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Duncan Robinson | DET | 23.2 | 28 | 9.7 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | 2.6 | 5 |
| Jalen Duren | DET | 23.2 | 28 | 8 | 22 | 6.6 | 9 | 1.6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Taurean Prince · Day-To-Day | DET | 23.1 | — | 10.8 | — | 3.5 | — | 2.5 | — | 2.8 | — |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | OKC | 22.7 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 7.9 | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared McCain | OKC | 21.8 | 22 | 11.6 | 20 | 1.9 | 2 | 1.1 | 2 | 1.9 | 6 |
| Sam Hauser | BOS | 20.7 | 18 | 7.6 | 11 | 3.4 | 4 | 1.2 | 1 | 2.3 | 3 |
| Daniss Jenkins | DET | 20.5 | 15 | 8.1 | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | 2.6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Anfernee Simons · Day-To-Day | PHI | 20.3 | 25 | 10.4 | 13 | 1.9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.8 | 3 |
| John Collins | DET | 19 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 4.6 | 5 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Landry Shamet | NY | 18 | 25 | 6.6 | 5 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.8 | 4 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Jalen Williams | OKC | 17.6 | 30 | 8.1 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 0.9 | 2 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Neemias Queta | BOS | 17.5 | 22 | 7.2 | 3 | 6.9 | 4 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Jaylin Williams | OKC | 16.8 | 17 | 4.8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1.2 | 1 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Baylor Scheierman | BOS | 16 | 18 | 6.6 | 8 | 2.3 | 3 | 0.9 | 0 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Keldon Johnson | SA | 15.5 | 20 | 6.4 | 10 | 2.8 | 4 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | PHI | 15.2 | 26 | 5.8 | 10 | 1.7 | 4 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Dean Wade · Day-To-Day | PHI | 14.9 | — | 2.2 | — | 2.5 | — | 0.6 | — | 0.6 | — |
| Caleb Love | PHI | 14.8 | DNP | 6.5 | — | 1.4 | — | 1.5 | — | 1.2 | — |
| Kevin Huerter | DET | 14.4 | 18 | 4.8 | 3 | 1.7 | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Miles McBride | NY | 13.5 | 14 | 4.3 | 3 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Jordan Walsh | BOS | 13.4 | 13 | 2.3 | 0 | 2.2 | 6 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Mike Conley | BOS | 12.9 | DNP | 3.5 | — | 0.8 | — | 2.1 | — | 0.8 | — |
| James Wiseman | NY | 12.6 | DNP | 2.6 | — | 1.6 | — | 0.6 | — | 0 | — |
| Mitchell Robinson | BOS | 11.4 | 18 | 3.3 | 4 | 4.6 | 3 | 0.3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Luka Garza | BOS | 10.6 | 8 | 5.7 | 2 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Andre Drummond | NY | 10.3 | 24 | 2.7 | 12 | 2.9 | 14 | 0.3 | 4 | 0.2 | 0 |
Technical detailsFreeze times, receipts and method · 3 games
Model: nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1. Source: v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games. PRA, P+R and P+A: sum over the same simulated draws (v0 engine; components independent within a player) — the median of each simulated game’s sum, so it need not equal the sum of the separate medians. Players with at least 10 expected minutes who are not ruled out. The default order is expected minutes; a column sort is the reader’s own. Game status is read-only, from the schedule and finals record (Started: tipped off, no final recorded yet); it never changes a frozen figure. Forecast vs. Actual: PRA, P+R and P+A actuals add up the actual points, rebounds and assists; “awaiting final” means the game has no official final yet; “Played, no projection” and “Projection unavailable” mark players without an Official Forecast projection — their actuals are shown, no forecast is invented. Forecast and Actual are compared per player only.
- Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons: tip-off Oct 20, 3:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 20, 8:29 AM ET · receipt fc6819451e28 · Final
- Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks: tip-off Oct 20, 7:00 PM ET · frozen Oct 20, 10:17 AM ET · receipt 7b2456fc54c4 · Final
- Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs: tip-off Oct 20, 9:30 PM ET · frozen Oct 20, 10:17 AM ET · receipt 38c74fd6bdcf · Final
- Not shown: no NBA game-outcome chance has been validated (0 graded regular-season games).
- Not shown: this model's team score is a sum of player simulations that ignores the opponent, can contradict the Elo side, and has not met its historical checks.
- Medians only: the model's ranges have not yet shown reliable coverage.
- No sportsbook prices, lines, edges, picks or rankings: there is no authorized NBA price, and these figures are not betting recommendations.