Bout 9 of 13
Javad Mahjoub vs Joel Faglier
Sat, Oct 17, 5:00 PM ET · Heavyweight · 3 rounds · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · Rogers Place
No simulation story for this event: Neither fighter has enough UFC history in our corpus to build a read from.
No model read for this bout. Neither fighter has enough UFC history in our corpus to build a read from.
Who the model expects to win
Probabilities over the two fighters, from the head that was evaluated on its own preregistered bar.
Javad Mahjoub5-0-0
Joel Faglier6-0-0Where these numbers come from
Three separate heads — winner, method and round — each fitted on a corpus of tracked UFC fights and each tested on past fights it never trained on before it was published. This is an experimental model: winner forecasts are graded on every new card, method and round are not yet graded, and it has not been shown to have an edge over the market.
Educational and paper-only — not betting advice.
Other bouts on this card
- Mike Malott vs Joaquin BuckleyWelterweight · Mike Malott 53.4%
- Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine JasudaviciusW Flyweight · Erin Blanchfield 72.6%
- Kyle Nelson vs Cristian PérezLightweight · Cristian Pérez 63.1%
- Kyle Daukaus vs Marc-Andre BarriaultMiddleweight · Kyle Daukaus 58.1%
- Louis Jourdain vs Timmy CuambaBantamweight · Timmy Cuamba 54.6%
- Nate Landwehr vs Mandel NalloLightweight · Nate Landwehr 56.4%
- Tanner Boser vs Jhonata DinizHeavyweight · Jhonata Diniz 51.2%
- Julien LeBlanc vs Nick GalantiMiddleweight · no model read
- Katlyn Cerminara vs Mackenzie StillerW Flyweight · Katlyn Cerminara 66.9%
- Chad Anheliger vs Steven KoslowBantamweight · Steven Koslow 64.9%
- Chelsea Chandler vs Melissa CrodenW Bantamweight · Melissa Croden 56.3%
- SuYoung You vs Cody ChovancekBantamweight · SuYoung You 63.9%