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Results · one day

Thursday, October 22

Game by game

Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.

NFL · 1–0 game winners

Full NFL record →

Model Performance:Winner →

NE @ CHI

Final · NE 24 – 30 CHI

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	CHI (home)	Win

Player ranges · 29 of 37 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
D'Andre Swift · CHI	Receptions	0–5	4	Inside
D'Andre Swift · CHI	Receiving yards	0–53	12	Inside
D'Andre Swift · CHI	Rushing yards	9–72	78	Outside
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE	Receptions	0–5	5	Inside
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE	Receiving yards	0–45	93	Outside
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE	Rushing yards	9–69	22	Inside
A.J. Brown · NE	Receptions	1–9	3	Inside
A.J. Brown · NE	Receiving yards	3–71	48	Inside
DeMario Douglas · NE	Receptions	1–7	3	Inside
DeMario Douglas · NE	Receiving yards	2–72	23	Inside
Hunter Henry · NE	Receptions	1–6	7	Outside
Hunter Henry · NE	Receiving yards	0–69	71	Outside
Roschon Johnson · CHI	Receptions	0–3	0	Inside
Roschon Johnson · CHI	Receiving yards	0–38	0	Inside
Roschon Johnson · CHI	Rushing yards	0–33	13	Inside
Caleb Williams · CHI	Rushing yards	0–41	18	Inside
Caleb Williams · CHI	Passing yards	124–363	308	Inside
Luther Burden III · CHI	Receptions	1–9	4	Inside
Luther Burden III · CHI	Receiving yards	11–99	130	Outside
TreVeyon Henderson · NE	Rushing yards	5–60	9	Inside
Colston Loveland · CHI	Receptions	1–7	7	Inside
Colston Loveland · CHI	Receiving yards	4–77	69	Inside
Rome Odunze · CHI	Receptions	1–7	4	Inside
Rome Odunze · CHI	Receiving yards	4–83	69	Inside
Kalif Raymond · CHI	Receptions	1–7	0	Outside
Kalif Raymond · CHI	Receiving yards	1–67	0	Outside
Efton Chism III · NE	Receptions	0–4	1	Inside
Efton Chism III · NE	Receiving yards	0–43	16	Inside
Eli Raridon · NE	Receptions	0–4	3	Inside
Eli Raridon · NE	Receiving yards	0–47	56	Outside
Drake Maye · NE	Rushing yards	0–51	26	Inside
Drake Maye · NE	Passing yards	127–389	321	Inside
Corey Kiner · NE	Rushing yards	0–45	13	Inside
Kyle Williams · NE	Receptions	0–3	0	Inside
Kyle Williams · NE	Receiving yards	0–41	0	Inside
Cole Kmet · CHI	Receptions	0–3	3	Inside
Cole Kmet · CHI	Receiving yards	0–34	28	Inside

NBA · Official Forecast vs final

Each game's official winner side as it was frozen before tip, against the official final. A game with no final yet is pending and a disputed final is held — neither is ever counted as a miss. The model's NBA single picks are graded in the model suggestions record.

Model Performance · season to date: the official side won 44 and lost 27 of 71 decided games · 10 pending.

Counts, not an accuracy claim: the preregistered minimum before any judgment of the winner side is 300 graded games, and this is 71. The Elo-derived estimate shown on the boards is not a validated probability, and no calibration is claimed.

Thu, Oct 22 · 2 games · side won 2, lost 0

Official winner side vs final, Thu, Oct 22
Game	Official side	Final	Result
CLE @ PHItip 7:00 PM ET	PHIfrozen 10:29 AM ET	CLE 106 – 114 PHI	Side won
DEN @ OKCtip 9:30 PM ET	OKCfrozen 10:29 AM ET	DEN 84 – 96 OKC	Side won

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.

Published Wed, Oct 21, 9:32 PM ET · first kickoff Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET

NFL · Anytime touchdown · top 5

1. D'Andre Swift CHI v NEScored
Projection 63.5% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →
2. Rhamondre Stevenson NE v CHIScored
Projection 36.7% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →
3. A.J. Brown NE v CHIDid not score
Projection 32.5% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 0 of his last 1 game on our boards
Game receipt →
4. DeMario Douglas NE v CHIDid not score
Projection 31.7% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →
5. Hunter Henry NE v CHIDid not score
Projection 26.6% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →

NFL · Receptions · top 5

1. Luther Burden III CHI v NEInside the range · 4
Projection 4 rec (1–9) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 8 · 4 · 4 rec
Game receipt →
2. A.J. Brown NE v CHIInside the range · 3
Projection 4 rec (1–9) · no book line captured
Last 1 game on our boards: 3 rec
Game receipt →
3. Colston Loveland CHI v NEInside the range · 7
Projection 3 rec (1–7) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 6 · 2 · 6 rec
Game receipt →
4. DeMario Douglas NE v CHIInside the range · 3
Projection 3 rec (1–7) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 7 · 4 · 2 rec
Game receipt →
5. Rome Odunze CHI v NEInside the range · 4
Projection 3 rec (1–7) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 3 · 3 · 6 rec
Game receipt →

NFL · Receiving yards · top 5

1. Luther Burden III CHI v NEOutside the range · 130
Projection 45 yds (11–100) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 95 · 47 · 63 yds
Game receipt →
2. Rome Odunze CHI v NEInside the range · 69
Projection 35 yds (4–84) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 39 · 40 · 94 yds
Game receipt →
3. Colston Loveland CHI v NEInside the range · 69
Projection 30 yds (4–76) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 65 · 19 · 57 yds
Game receipt →
4. A.J. Brown NE v CHIInside the range · 48
Projection 29 yds (4–71) · no book line captured
Last 1 game on our boards: 27 yds
Game receipt →
5. DeMario Douglas NE v CHIInside the range · 23
Projection 28 yds (3–74) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 86 · 65 · 15 yds
Game receipt →

Not eligible that day: Rushing yards (estimate only), Passing yards (estimate only).

MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.

Product cards settled this day

Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.

Bank Builder · lane A
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Bank Builder · lane B
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane A
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane B
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

Suggested Parlays published this day

The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.

Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Medium Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
High Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Longshot
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

all settled dates

Game by game

NFL · 1–0 game winners

NE @ CHI

NBA · Official Forecast vs final

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

NFL · Anytime touchdown · top 5

NFL · Receptions · top 5

NFL · Receiving yards · top 5

Product cards settled this day

Bank Builder · lane A

Bank Builder · lane B

Moonshot · lane A

Moonshot · lane B

Suggested Parlays published this day

Low Risk

Medium Risk

High Risk

Longshot