NFL · Player research
Jayden Daniels
Current roster: Washington Commanders · 3 recorded seasons (2024 to 2026)
Current GameTime forecast · model output, not history
Published pregame ranges
PHI @ WSH · Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET · Model status: published families, and estimates labelled as such
- Passing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met
- 185 (range 99–310)
- Rushing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met
- 18 (range 0–59)
- Anytime touchdown
- 23.1% chance to score, if he plays
Forecast record · what we said, and what happened
Our forecasts for Jayden Daniels
12 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Passing yards | 165.3 (range 85.9–283.3) | Actual 300 · missed by 134.7 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Rushing yards | 19.4 (range 0.5–64.3) | Actual 10 · missed by 9.4 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 26.2% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 13.5% chance | Happened |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Passing yards | 146.7 (range 74.9–254.5) | Actual 199 · missed by 52.3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rushing yards | 16.8 (range 0.2–53.2) | Actual 103 · missed by 86.2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 18.0% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rushing yards | 17.8 (range 1.7–70.2) | Actual 69 · missed by 51.2 |
Show 4 older forecasts
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Passing yards | 179.2 (range 95.1–302.7) | Actual 96 · missed by 83.2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Passing yards | 118 (range 18–249) | Actual 164 · missed by 46 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 20.0% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rushing yards | 18 (range 1–50) | Actual 31 · missed by 13 |
How each forecast type has done overall: Passing yards · Rushing yards · Anytime touchdown
2026 recorded snapshot
Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.
Recent form and game log
Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.
Last 3 / 5 / 10 recorded games
| Stat | Last 3 · avg (n) | Last 5 · avg (n) | Last 10 · avg (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing attempts | 6.7 (n=3) | 5.8 (n=5) | 7.2 (n=10) |
| Rushing yards | 60.7 (n=3) | 45.8 (n=5) | 42.3 (n=10) |
| Rushing TDs | 0.7 (n=3) | 0.4 (n=5) | 0.4 (n=10) |
Recorded 10, 103, 69 rushing yards in the last 3 available games.
Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.