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92–97 on 189 decisive picks · 48.7%2026-09-07
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MLB model board · 2026-09-07

11 MLB games · 191 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDSep 7, 2:23 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
80
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
21
model vs market · context
Small gap
58
13 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
19
no projection emitted
Strikeouts3 gap ≥ 5 pp·11 totalHits35 gap ≥ 5 pp·90 totalHits + Runs + RBIs42 gap ≥ 5 pp·90 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzCIN vs LAD
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+18.1%
proj 1.5-201 · draftkings
Kaelen Culpepper
Kaelen CulpepperMIN vs DET
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+18.4%
proj 2.07-181 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
Brett BatemanTOR vs ATH
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+13.6%
proj 1.4-217 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael DeversSF vs STL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+9.4%
proj 1.24-243 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal StewartCIN vs LAD
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+12.6%
proj 1.16-190 · draftkings
Thomas Saggese
Thomas SaggeseSTL vs SF
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+15.9%
proj 1.15-159 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie ClementTOR vs ATH
Gap 2.5–5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+4.3%
proj 0.82-266 · draftkings
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert RuizWSH vs SD
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+13%
proj 2.01-177 · draftkings
Filters · 191 of 191 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Citizens Bank Park0 leans

ATL@PHI

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies

first pitch
1:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Grant Holmes
probable · awayGrant Holmes
ATL
Jesús Luzardo
probable · homeJesús Luzardo
PHI
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
loanDepot park0 leans

NYM@MIA

New York Mets at Miami Marlins

first pitch
1:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jonah Tong
probable · awayJonah Tong
NYM
Eury Pérez
probable · homeEury Pérez
MIA
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Fenway Park0 leans

LAA@BOS

Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox

first pitch
1:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Grayson Rodriguez
probable · awayGrayson Rodriguez
LAA
Brayan Bello
probable · homeBrayan Bello
BOS
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards0 leans

CLE@BAL

Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles

first pitch
1:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Joey Cantillo
probable · awayJoey Cantillo
CLE
Trevor Rogers
probable · homeTrevor Rogers
BAL
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Kauffman Stadium0 leans

AZ@KC

Arizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals

first pitch
2:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Derek Law
probable · awayDerek Law
AZ
Noah Cameron
probable · homeNoah Cameron
KC
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
American Family Field0 leans

CHC@MIL

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers

first pitch
2:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Matthew Boyd
probable · awayMatthew Boyd
CHC
Robert Gasser
probable · homeRobert Gasser
MIL
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Comerica Park38 leansFinal · graded

MIN@DET

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers

first pitch
3:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Joe Ryan
probable · awayJoe Ryan
MIN
Troy Melton
probable · homeTroy Melton
DET
Strikeouts
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MINvsDETPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.53
Edge+17.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.0 K across 23 starts
-103 · draftkings
Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DETvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection4.24
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 17 starts
+121 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Kaelen Culpepper
Kaelen Culpepper
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.07
Edge+18.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 25 games
-181 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 79 games
+101 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 135 games
-113 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 108 games
+130 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 134 games
-117 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 122 games
-116 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 137 games
-106 · draftkings
Kaelen Culpepper
Kaelen Culpepper
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 25 games
-146 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 84 games
-102 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.64
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 117 games
-164 · draftkings
Max Clark
Max Clark
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 33 games
+120 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 108 games
-147 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 125 games
-107 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 84 games
-204 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 137 games
-209 · draftkings
Walker Jenkins
Walker Jenkins
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.38
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.38
  • SeasonSeason average 0.38 across 8 games
+104 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.47
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 112 games
+121 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.8
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 112 games
-173 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 117 games
-134 · draftkings
John Peck
John Peck
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.6
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 5 games
-168 · draftkings
Max Clark
Max Clark
DETvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 33 games
-165 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 140 games
+129 · draftkings
John Peck
John Peck
DETvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 5 games
-138 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 134 games
-244 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 135 games
-235 · draftkings
Walker Jenkins
Walker Jenkins
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.25
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.25
  • SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 8 games
-180 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 125 games
-216 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 132 games
-117 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 122 games
-213 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 132 games
+168 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 138 games
-122 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 130 games
+109 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 140 games
-142 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 138 games
+185 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 79 games
-193 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.87
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 130 games
-176 · draftkings
Petco Park38 leansFinal · graded

WSH@SD

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres

first pitch
5:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jake Irvin
probable · awayJake Irvin
WSH
Nick Pivetta
probable · homeNick Pivetta
SD
Strikeouts
Jake Irvin
Jake Irvin
WSHvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.92
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 18 starts
+124 · draftkings
Nick Pivetta
Nick PivettaModel anomaly
SDvsWSHPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER4.5
Projection6.37
Edge+27.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.0 K across 4 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-123 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+16.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 117 games
-109 · draftkings
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert Ruiz
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+15.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 90 games
-145 · draftkings
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert Ruiz
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.01
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 90 games
-177 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 90 games
-131 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 143 games
-180 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 118 games
+110 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 136 games
+120 · draftkings
Brady House
Brady House
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 78 games
-163 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 118 games
-148 · draftkings
Dustin Harris
Dustin Harris
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 25 games
-156 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 90 games
+140 · draftkings
Abimelec Ortiz
Abimelec Ortiz
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 32 games
-155 · draftkings
Dustin Harris
Dustin Harris
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 25 games
+125 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 90 games
-129 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 139 games
-134 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 112 games
-140 · draftkings
Brady House
Brady HouseModel anomaly
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+22.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 78 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+126 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen LileModel anomaly
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.58
Edge+21.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 143 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+113 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob YoungModel anomaly
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.72
Edge+20.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 117 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-134 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan CrewsModel anomaly
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.92
Edge+20%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 90 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-161 · draftkings
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 72 games
+101 · draftkings
Abimelec Ortiz
Abimelec Ortiz
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 32 games
-102 · draftkings
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 58 games
+128 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 139 games
+175 · draftkings
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 72 games
-167 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection1.99
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 141 games
-165 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 136 games
+139 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.95
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 141 games
-225 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 139 games
-244 · draftkings
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 58 games
+104 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 139 games
-135 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 136 games
+104 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 136 games
-153 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 112 games
-259 · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
WSH @ SDBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
WSH @ SDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oracle Park39 leansFinal · graded

STL@SF

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants

first pitch
8:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Michael McGreevy
probable · awayMichael McGreevy
STL
Logan Webb
probable · homeLogan Webb
SF
Strikeouts
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy
STLvsSFPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection3.72
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 27 starts
+110 · draftkings
Logan Webb
Logan WebbModel anomaly
SFvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER5.5
Projection3.79
Edge+20.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 25 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-158 · fanduel
Logan Webb
Logan WebbModel anomaly
SFvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection3.79
Edge+20.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 25 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+124 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.32
Edge+17.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 18 games
+100 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection3.1
Edge+17.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 144 games
-145 · draftkings
Thomas Saggese
Thomas Saggese
STLvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 34 games
-159 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 98 games
-104 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 140 games
-110 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.69
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 49 games
-183 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.31
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 73 games
-143 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+11.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 114 games
+131 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 98 games
-193 · draftkings
Nate Furman
Nate Furman
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.27 across 15 games
+110 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 144 games
-243 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 114 games
+147 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 140 games
-223 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsSFBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 114 games
-164 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 18 games
-191 · draftkings
Nate Furman
Nate Furman
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 15 games
+141 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.30 across 27 games
-108 · draftkings
Thomas Saggese
Thomas SaggeseModel anomaly
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.59
Edge+26%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 34 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+127 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 45 games
+109 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.42
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 114 games
-121 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.94
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 143 games
-238 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.94
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 45 games
-170 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.87
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 27 games
-178 · draftkings
Bryan Torres
Bryan Torres
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 55 games
+156 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 49 games
-142 · draftkings
Bryan Torres
Bryan Torres
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 55 games
-131 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 131 games
-130 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 143 games
-138 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.83
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 131 games
-277 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 73 games
-111 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ SFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
STL @ SFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
STL @ SFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ SFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
STL @ SFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
STL @ SFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

CIN@LAD

Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers

first pitch
9:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Chase Burns
probable · awayChase Burns
CIN
probable · homeTBD
LAD
Strikeouts
Chase Burns
Chase BurnsModel anomaly
CINvsLADPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER4.5
Projection6.63
Edge+28.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.6 K across 26 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-116 · draftkings
Emmet Sheehan
CIN @ LADPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line6.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.07
Edge+18.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 111 games
+127 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.52
Edge+18.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 143 games
+103 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.5
Edge+18.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 124 games
-201 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.62
Edge+16.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 106 games
-110 · draftkings
Juan Brito
Juan Brito
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.89
Edge+15.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 19 games
-154 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.39
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 65 games
-108 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.58
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 115 games
-148 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 143 games
-190 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 75 games
-127 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 111 games
-144 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 138 games
-132 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 106 games
-205 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 75 games
+120 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 115 games
+115 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 65 games
-213 · draftkings
Juan Brito
Juan Brito
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 19 games
-121 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 138 games
-251 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 115 games
-113 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzModel anomaly
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection3.02
Edge+24.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 124 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-105 · draftkings
Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LADvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.35
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 77 games
+117 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 129 games
+104 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 134 games
+105 · draftkings
Will Smith
Will Smith
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.39
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 58 games
+102 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 134 games
+127 · draftkings
Will Smith
Will Smith
LADvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 58 games
+122 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 129 games
+168 · draftkings
Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 77 games
-128 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 115 games
-155 · draftkings
Hector Rodriguez
CIN @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
CIN @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Jorge
Carlos Jorge
CINvsLADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
CIN @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Hector Rodriguez
CIN @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Jorge
Carlos Jorge
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Sutter Health Park38 leansFinal · graded

TOR@ATH

Toronto Blue Jays at Athletics

first pitch
10:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Dylan Cease
probable · awayDylan Cease
TOR
Jacob Lopez
probable · homeJacob Lopez
ATH
Strikeouts
Jacob Lopez
Jacob LopezModel anomaly
ATHvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER4.5
Projection6.05
Edge+25.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 23 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+108 · draftkings
Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease
TORvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER7.5
Projection7.49
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 8.5 K across 26 starts
-103 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.41
Edge+19.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 25 games
-118 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+16.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 66 games
-108 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+16%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 99 games
+124 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.12
Edge+15.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 127 games
+111 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 131 games
+127 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.4
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 25 games
-217 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 89 games
-153 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 105 games
+106 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 99 games
-164 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 65 games
-142 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 105 games
-180 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 92 games
+130 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 131 games
-140 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 127 games
-197 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 113 games
+122 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.28
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 109 games
-157 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 106 games
-171 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 113 games
-145 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 92 games
-158 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.82
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 140 games
-266 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 137 games
-131 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika WilliamsModel anomaly
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.86
Edge+26.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 66 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-123 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack GelofModel anomaly
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+22.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 89 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+123 · draftkings
Charles McAdoo
Charles McAdoo
TORvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 26 games
+109 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 65 games
+194 · draftkings
Charles McAdoo
Charles McAdoo
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.21
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 26 games
+121 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 65 games
-152 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 106 games
-137 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 109 games
+195 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.94
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 129 games
-251 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 140 games
-103 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 137 games
-208 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 65 games
-115 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 129 games
-160 · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
TOR @ ATHBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
TOR @ ATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
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