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95–98 on 193 decisive picks · 49.2%2026-07-23
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MLB model board · 2026-07-23

5 MLB games · 187 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDJul 23, 11:33 AM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
87
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
18
model vs market · context
Small gap
65
5 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
12
no projection emitted
Strikeouts6 gap ≥ 5 pp·9 totalHits34 gap ≥ 5 pp·89 totalHits + Runs + RBIs47 gap ≥ 5 pp·89 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Chandler Simpson
Chandler SimpsonTB vs TOR
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+10%
proj 1.35-250 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven KwanCLE vs MIN
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+10.8%
proj 1.16-204 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke KeaschallMIN vs CLE
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+14.3%
proj 1.65-173 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty FranceSD vs ATL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+15.4%
proj 1.2-165 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel MorenoAZ vs STL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+7.2%
proj 1.17-236 · draftkings
Gavin Williams
Gavin WilliamsCLE vs MIN
Gap ≥ 5 pp
StrikeoutsOver 6.5+18.7%
proj 8.4-145 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauterCLE vs MIN
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+8.4%
proj 1.24-221 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick BaileyCLE vs MIN
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+17.6%
proj 1.63-142 · draftkings
Filters · 187 of 187 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Truist Park37 leansFinal · graded

SD@ATL

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves

first pitch
12:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Kyle Hart
probable · awayKyle Hart
SD
Chris Sale
probable · homeChris Sale
ATL
Strikeouts
Chris Sale
Chris SaleModel anomaly
ATLvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER7.5
Projection5.64
Edge+21.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.8 K across 18 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-154 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge+18.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 99 games
+122 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.44
Edge+16.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 50 games
-133 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+15.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 71 games
-165 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
SDvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 61 games
+111 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 50 games
-114 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 86 games
+123 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.94
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 78 games
-162 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.33
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 78 games
+200 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 101 games
-199 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 99 games
-175 · draftkings
Jase Bowen
Jase Bowen
SDvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 20 games
-113 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 83 games
+136 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 101 games
-119 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 97 games
+121 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 95 games
-151 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.86
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 101 games
-267 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty FranceModel anomaly
SDvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.64
Edge+24.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 71 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+125 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.Model anomaly
SDvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.59
Edge+23.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 101 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+103 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 83 games
-134 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.11
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 101 games
-158 · draftkings
Jase Bowen
Jase Bowen
SDvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.38
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.35 across 20 games
+114 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.06
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 95 games
+184 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 95 games
-159 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
SDvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 61 games
-209 · draftkings
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
SDvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 50 games
-109 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 95 games
-108 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 97 games
+138 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.02
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 101 games
-260 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 101 games
-207 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 86 games
-132 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 101 games
-147 · draftkings
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
SDvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 50 games
-138 · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
SD @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
James Jarvis
SD @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
SD @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
James Jarvis
SD @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Progressive Field39 leansFinal · graded

MIN@CLE

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians

first pitch
1:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Taj Bradley
probable · awayTaj Bradley
MIN
Gavin Williams
probable · homeGavin Williams
CLE
Strikeouts
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLEvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection8.4
Edge+18.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 9.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 7.2 K across 20 starts
-145 · draftkings
Taj Bradley
Taj Bradley
MINvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection6.97
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 19 starts
+125 · draftkings
Taj Bradley
Taj Bradley
MINvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection6.97
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 19 starts
-158 · fanduel
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.28
Edge+19%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 100 games
+107 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.63
Edge+17.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 65 games
-142 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge+15.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 43 games
+114 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.65
Edge+14.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 96 games
-173 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 86 games
-111 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 94 games
-101 · draftkings
Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 77 games
+102 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 71 games
+114 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 96 games
+103 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.4
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 93 games
-143 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 65 games
-111 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 94 games
-204 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 100 games
+122 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 100 games
-180 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 100 games
-151 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 96 games
-139 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 68 games
-120 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 86 games
-221 · draftkings
Austin Martin
Austin Martin
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.28
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 82 games
-168 · draftkings
Petey Halpin
Petey Halpin
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.4
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 31 games
-163 · draftkings
Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 77 games
-185 · draftkings
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan Kreidler
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 55 games
-118 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 96 games
-199 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 43 games
-176 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 71 games
-157 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 93 games
-108 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 88 games
+111 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce LewisModel anomaly
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.84
Edge+20.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 68 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-146 · draftkings
Austin Martin
Austin Martin
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 82 games
-135 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 88 games
+129 · draftkings
Petey Halpin
Petey Halpin
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 31 games
-125 · draftkings
Rhys Hoskins
Rhys Hoskins
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 80 games
+127 · draftkings
Rhys Hoskins
Rhys Hoskins
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 80 games
+101 · draftkings
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan Kreidler
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.47
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 55 games
+105 · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
MIN @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
MIN @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rogers Centre35 leansFinal · graded

TB@TOR

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays

first pitch
3:07 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Casey Legumina
probable · awayCasey Legumina
TB
Shane Bieber
probable · homeShane Bieber
TOR
Strikeouts
Shane Bieber
Shane Bieber
TORvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER4.5
Projection4.09
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 5 starts
-154 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+14.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 92 games
-113 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+12.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 34 games
-106 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.35
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 92 games
-250 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 71 games
-101 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.38
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 75 games
+110 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
TORvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.43
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 84 games
-178 · draftkings
Hunter Feduccia
Hunter Feduccia
TBvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 53 games
-165 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 71 games
+130 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 71 games
-188 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
TORvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 84 games
-136 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 98 games
-106 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 100 games
-130 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 86 games
+139 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 101 games
+168 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 75 games
+141 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 31 games
-183 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.53
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 101 games
+107 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 86 games
-128 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 100 games
-244 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.38
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 31 games
+103 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 77 games
+121 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.87
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 97 games
-267 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 71 games
-137 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.17
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 99 games
+186 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 77 games
-155 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 34 games
-205 · draftkings
Hunter Feduccia
Hunter Feduccia
TBvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 53 games
-128 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 98 games
+137 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 99 games
-141 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 97 games
-140 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
TB @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Luis Urias
TB @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
TB @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Luis Urias
TB @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Busch Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

AZ@STL

Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals

first pitch
5:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Brandon Pfaadt
probable · awayBrandon Pfaadt
AZ
Michael McGreevy
probable · homeMichael McGreevy
STL
Strikeouts
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy
STLvsAZPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.25
Edge+18.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 19 starts
+118 · draftkings
Brandon Pfaadt
Brandon Pfaadt
AZvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.18
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.6 K across 17 starts
-117 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa
AZvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+18%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 39 games
+136 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+16.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 75 games
-113 · draftkings
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro Vargas
AZvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+14.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 83 games
+127 · draftkings
Max Kepler
Max Kepler
AZvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 17 games
+108 · draftkings
Ryan Waldschmidt
Ryan Waldschmidt
AZvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.54
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 38 games
-152 · draftkings
Blaze Jordan
Blaze Jordan
STLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.99
Edge+11.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 27 games
-179 · draftkings
Blaze Jordan
Blaze Jordan
STLvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 27 games
-141 · draftkings
Ryan Waldschmidt
Ryan Waldschmidt
AZvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 38 games
-122 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 75 games
-236 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 95 games
-108 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.47
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 79 games
+125 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa
AZvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 39 games
-155 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.53 across 99 games
-135 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 98 games
-118 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 98 games
+104 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 96 games
-157 · draftkings
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro Vargas
AZvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 83 games
-172 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
STLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 37 games
+113 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 100 games
-145 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan ArenadoModel anomaly
AZvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.32
Edge+23.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 96 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+131 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 98 games
-183 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 92 games
+111 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 92 games
+140 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 100 games
-231 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 98 games
-230 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
STLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 37 games
+125 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 98 games
+173 · draftkings
Max Kepler
Max Kepler
AZvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 17 games
-180 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 99 games
-274 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.89
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 79 games
-159 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 95 games
-216 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 29 games
-146 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 98 games
-121 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.41
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.41 across 29 games
-113 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
AZ @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
AZ @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Comerica Park38 leansFinal · graded

KC@DET

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Randy Dobnak
probable · awayRandy Dobnak
KC
Troy Melton
probable · homeTroy Melton
DET
Strikeouts
Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DETvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection7.08
Edge+19.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 9 starts
-122 · draftkings
Randy Dobnak
Randy Dobnak
KCvsDETPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection2.33
Edge+16.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.3 K across 3 starts
-153 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Kerry Carpenter
Kerry Carpenter
DETvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.34
Edge+17.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 78 games
+148 · draftkings
Tyler Tolbert
Tyler Tolbert
KCvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.01
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 25 games
-133 · draftkings
Tyler Tolbert
Tyler Tolbert
KCvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+12.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 25 games
-113 · draftkings
Kerry Carpenter
Kerry Carpenter
DETvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.79
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 78 games
-125 · draftkings
Lane Thomas
Lane Thomas
KCvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 85 games
+116 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.62
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 90 games
-187 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 80 games
+123 · draftkings
Starling Marte
Starling Marte
KCvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.38
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 43 games
-169 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 95 games
+118 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 75 games
+145 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 75 games
+107 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 101 games
+100 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 80 games
-168 · draftkings
Josh Rojas
Josh Rojas
KCvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 19 games
-160 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 92 games
+178 · draftkings
Starling Marte
Starling Marte
KCvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 43 games
-139 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 90 games
-149 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 75 games
-131 · draftkings
Lane Thomas
Lane Thomas
KCvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 85 games
-170 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.59
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 94 games
+113 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 92 games
-103 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 45 games
+181 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 99 games
+121 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 101 games
-163 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.86
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 101 games
-280 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.06
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 93 games
+208 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 101 games
+126 · draftkings
James Outman
James Outman
DETvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.45
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.41 across 54 games
-116 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 75 games
-194 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 93 games
-155 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 94 games
-166 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 95 games
-163 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 45 games
-131 · draftkings
Josh Rojas
Josh Rojas
KCvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 19 games
-129 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.98
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 99 games
-268 · draftkings
James Outman
James Outman
DETvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 54 games
-159 · draftkings
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HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.

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