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MLB model board · 2026-07-07

16 MLB games · 139 model leans

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on the separate Power Board because the variance profile is different.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDJul 7, 10:07 AM ETeducational analytics only
Stronger signals
57
clean edge ≥ 5 pp
Watch
22
edge ≥ 2.5 pp
High-variance
51
6 R5 anomalies
Sample too small
9
no projection emitted
Strikeouts11H·21 totalHits20H·72 totalTotal Bases14H·28 totalHits + Runs + RBIs12H·18 total
Top clean leans · 8 loaded
High & Medium · no model anomalies
Henry Bolte
Henry BolteATH vs DET
High
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+18.2%
proj 1.76-172 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauterCLE vs MIN
High
HitsOver 0.5+7%
proj 1.26-246 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley GreeneDET vs ATH
High
HitsOver 0.5+7.1%
proj 1.18-235 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack GelofATH vs DET
High
HitsOver 0.5+14.2%
proj 1.11-164 · draftkings
Joey Cantillo
Joey CantilloCLE vs MIN
High
StrikeoutsOver 4.5+18.1%
proj 6.26-143 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar HendersonBAL vs CHC
Medium
HitsUnder 1.5+4.8%
proj 0.81-247 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigleDET vs ATH
Medium
HitsOver 0.5+2.6%
proj 1.08-266 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks LeeMIN vs CLE
High
HitsOver 0.5+10.8%
proj 1.12-181 · draftkings
Filters · 139 of 139 leans
Market
Confidence
Team
Sort
Density
Busch Stadium0 leans

MIL@STL

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

tipoff
2:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jacob Misiorowski
probable · awayJacob Misiorowski
MIL
probable · homeTBD
STL
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Busch Stadium1 lean

MIL@STL

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

tipoff
7:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
MIL
probable · homeTBD
STL
Strikeouts
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob MisiorowskiR5 anomaly
MILvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Low
OVER7.5
Projection8.71
Edge+23.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 9.2 K across 17 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above R5 anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+114 · fanduel
Oriole Park at Camden Yards31 leansFinal · graded

CHC@BAL

Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles

tipoff
6:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Matthew Boyd
probable · awayMatthew Boyd
CHC
Shane Baz
probable · homeShane Baz
BAL
Strikeouts
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BALvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
High
OVER5.5
Projection5.97
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 17 starts
+112 · draftkings
Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd
CHCvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
High
UNDER4.5
Projection4.4
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 7 starts
+120 · fanduel
Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd
CHCvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
High
UNDER5.5
Projection4.4
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 7 starts
-165 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsBALBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 74 games
+121 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsCHCBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 91 games
+133 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsCHCBatterHits
High
UNDER0.5
Projection0.41
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 39 games
+121 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsBALBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 90 games
-102 · draftkings
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsCHCBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 67 games
-166 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 58 games
-138 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Medium
UNDER1.5
Projection0.81
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 90 games
-247 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 91 games
-199 · draftkings
Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 85 games
-151 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Medium
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 60 games
+192 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 63 games
-190 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 88 games
-264 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsCHCBatterTotal Bases
Low
UNDER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 90 games
-134 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 74 games
-226 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsBALBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 88 games
+128 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 75 games
+140 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
BALvsCHCBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 90 games
+119 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 89 games
+181 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BALvsCHCBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 60 games
+119 · draftkings
Tyler O'Neill
Tyler O'Neill
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 51 games
+106 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 85 games
+140 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsBALBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 85 games
+123 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsBALBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 89 games
+106 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 66 games
+114 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsBALBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection1.38
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 88 games
+116 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 88 games
+198 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 90 games
-220 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 90 games
-268 · draftkings
Comerica Park45 leansFinal · graded

ATH@DET

Athletics at Detroit Tigers

tipoff
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
J.T. Ginn
probable · awayJ.T. Ginn
ATH
Tarik Skubal
probable · homeTarik Skubal
DET
Strikeouts
Tarik Skubal
Tarik Skubal
DETvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
High
UNDER8.5
Projection7.83
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.8 K across 11 starts
-129 · draftkings
JT Ginn
ATH @ DETPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · fanduel
JT Ginn
ATH @ DETPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line5.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+18.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 46 games
+123 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.76
Edge+18.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 47 games
-172 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsDETBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+17.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 25 games
+101 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsDETBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 60 games
-164 · draftkings
Colby Thomas
Colby Thomas
ATHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 37 games
-136 · draftkings
Hao-Yu Lee
Hao-Yu Lee
DETvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.52
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 49 games
-159 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsDETBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+13.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 47 games
-140 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER1.5
Projection2.49
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 89 games
-132 · draftkings
Hao-Yu Lee
Hao-Yu Lee
DETvsATHBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 49 games
-119 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsATHBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 83 games
+127 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.43 across 89 games
+103 · draftkings
Kerry Carpenter
Kerry Carpenter
DETvsATHBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 67 games
+130 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 89 games
+111 · draftkings
Kerry Carpenter
Kerry Carpenter
DETvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 67 games
-110 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsATHBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 89 games
-235 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsDETBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 89 games
+134 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsDETBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 80 games
+121 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 87 games
-143 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 83 games
-121 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 63 games
+114 · draftkings
James Outman
James Outman
DETvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.28
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 45 games
-170 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsATHBatterTotal Bases
Medium
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 87 games
+118 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Medium
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 80 games
-113 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsATHBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 89 games
-146 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsATHBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 87 games
-266 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack GelofR5 anomaly
ATHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Low
OVER1.5
Projection2.42
Edge+25%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 60 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above R5 anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+125 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika WilliamsR5 anomaly
ATHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Low
OVER0.5
Projection1.74
Edge+23.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 25 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above R5 anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-122 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley GreeneR5 anomaly
DETvsATHBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection2.32
Edge+22%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 89 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above R5 anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+121 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsATHBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 63 games
-162 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 46 games
-170 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsATHBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 81 games
+128 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 89 games
-194 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 80 games
-233 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsATHBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 83 games
-202 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Low
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 81 games
+111 · draftkings
Kerry Carpenter
Kerry Carpenter
DETvsATHBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 67 games
-188 · draftkings
James Outman
James Outman
DETvsATHBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.45
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 45 games
-111 · draftkings
Colby Thomas
Colby Thomas
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 37 games
-115 · draftkings
Josh Kuroda-Grauer
ATH @ DETBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
ATH @ DETBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Josh Kuroda-Grauer
ATH @ DETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
ATH @ DETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
PNC Park2 leansFinal · graded

ATL@PIT

Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates

tipoff
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Hurston Waldrep
probable · awayHurston Waldrep
ATL
Paul Skenes
probable · homePaul Skenes
PIT
Strikeouts
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
PITvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Low
UNDER6.5
Projection6.64
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.6 K across 18 starts
+104 · fanduel
Hurston Waldrep
Hurston Waldrep
ATLvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · fanduel
loanDepot park0 leans

SEA@MIA

Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins

tipoff
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
SEA
Max Meyer
probable · homeMax Meyer
MIA
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Tropicana Field2 leansFinal · graded

NYY@TB

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays

tipoff
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Will Warren
probable · awayWill Warren
NYY
Ian Seymour
probable · homeIan Seymour
TB
Strikeouts
Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour
TBvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
High
UNDER5.5
Projection4.35
Edge+15.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 1.9 K across 31 starts
-136 · fanduel
Will Warren
Will Warren
NYYvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Medium
OVER4.5
Projection5.16
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 17 starts
-122 · fanduel
Nationals Park2 leansFinal · graded

HOU@WSH

Houston Astros at Washington Nationals

tipoff
6:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Tatsuya Imai
probable · awayTatsuya Imai
HOU
Andrew Alvarez
probable · homeAndrew Alvarez
WSH
Strikeouts
Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSHvsHOUPitcherStrikeouts
High
OVER4.5
Projection5.08
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.4 K across 11 starts
-106 · fanduel
Tatsuya Imai
Tatsuya Imai
HOUvsWSHPitcherStrikeouts
High
OVER4.5
Projection6.47
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 12 starts
-148 · fanduel
Citi Field0 leans

KC@NYM

Kansas City Royals at New York Mets

tipoff
7:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Seth Lugo
probable · awaySeth Lugo
KC
probable · homeTBD
NYM
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Great American Ball Park0 leans

PHI@CIN

Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds

tipoff
7:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
PHI
Andrew Abbott
probable · homeAndrew Abbott
CIN
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Target Field25 leansFinal · graded

CLE@MIN

Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins

tipoff
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Joey Cantillo
probable · awayJoey Cantillo
CLE
Taj Bradley
probable · homeTaj Bradley
MIN
Strikeouts
Joey Cantillo
Joey Cantillo
CLEvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
High
OVER4.5
Projection6.26
Edge+18.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 18 starts
-143 · draftkings
Taj Bradley
Taj Bradley
MINvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
High
OVER6.5
Projection6.9
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 16 starts
+117 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MINvsCLEBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection2.12
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 75 games
+114 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsMINBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 74 games
+116 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsCLEBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 85 games
-181 · draftkings
Cooper Ingle
Cooper Ingle
CLEvsMINBatterHits
High
UNDER0.5
Projection0.29
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.29
  • SeasonSeason average 0.29 across 7 games
+102 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsCLEBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 57 games
-164 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsMINBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 88 games
+148 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsMINBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 74 games
-246 · draftkings
Kahlil Watson
Kahlil Watson
CLEvsMINBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 17 games
-150 · draftkings
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan Kreidler
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 44 games
-119 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 88 games
-175 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 76 games
-195 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 85 games
-143 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 82 games
-163 · draftkings
Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 75 games
-220 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody ClemensR5 anomaly
MINvsCLEBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+22.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 76 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above R5 anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+142 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 88 games
-210 · draftkings
Victor Caratini
Victor Caratini
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 66 games
-155 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 56 games
-116 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 81 games
+112 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 59 games
+158 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsMINBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 59 games
+132 · draftkings
Austin Martin
Austin Martin
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 73 games
+150 · draftkings
Gabriel Arias
Gabriel Arias
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 24 games
-142 · draftkings
Rate Field27 leansFinal · graded

BOS@CWS

Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox

tipoff
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Payton Tolle
probable · awayPayton Tolle
BOS
Noah Schultz
probable · homeNoah Schultz
CWS
Strikeouts
Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOSvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
High
UNDER5.5
Projection5.13
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 13 starts
+107 · draftkings
Noah Schultz
Noah Schultz
CWSvsBOSPitcherStrikeouts
Low
UNDER4.5
Projection4.57
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.4 K across 9 starts
+112 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsCWSBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+19.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 85 games
+125 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+18.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 81 games
-129 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsBOSBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection2.07
Edge+17.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 85 games
+132 · draftkings
Connor Wong
Connor Wong
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 35 games
-120 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsBOSBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 88 games
+104 · draftkings
Anthony Seigler
Anthony Seigler
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 16 games
-189 · draftkings
Romy Gonzalez
Romy Gonzalez
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 5 games
-207 · draftkings
Drew Romo
Drew Romo
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
High
UNDER0.5
Projection0.32
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 32 games
-106 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsCWSBatterTotal Bases
High
OVER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 82 games
+134 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 87 games
-191 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 24 games
-141 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
High
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 82 games
-219 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 85 games
-218 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsCWSBatterTotal Bases
Medium
OVER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 86 games
+138 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Medium
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 85 games
-201 · draftkings
Randal Grichuk
Randal Grichuk
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Medium
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 54 games
+141 · draftkings
Romy Gonzalez
Romy GonzalezR5 anomaly
BOSvsCWSBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+21.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 5 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above R5 anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+137 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 86 games
+152 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 79 games
+160 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 81 games
+116 · draftkings
Randal Grichuk
Randal Grichuk
CWSvsBOSBatterTotal Bases
Low
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 54 games
+126 · draftkings
Andruw Monasterio
Andruw Monasterio
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 50 games
-105 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Low
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 88 games
-242 · draftkings
Junior Perez
Junior Perez
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Low
UNDER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.44
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 9 games
-111 · draftkings
Luisangel Acuna
BOS @ CWSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Globe Life Field2 leansFinal · graded

LAA@TEX

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers

tipoff
8:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
José Soriano
probable · awayJosé Soriano
LAA
Jacob deGrom
probable · homeJacob deGrom
TEX
Strikeouts
Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom
TEXvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Medium
OVER7.5
Projection7.81
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.8 K across 17 starts
-104 · fanduel
Jose Soriano
LAA @ TEXPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line5.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · fanduel
Petco Park0 leans

AZ@SD

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

tipoff
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Zac Gallen
probable · awayZac Gallen
AZ
Germán Márquez
probable · homeGermán Márquez
SD
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Oracle Park0 leans

TOR@SF

Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants

tipoff
9:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
TOR
Trevor McDonald
probable · homeTrevor McDonald
SF
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium2 leansFinal · graded

COL@LAD

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers

tipoff
10:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Michael Lorenzen
probable · awayMichael Lorenzen
COL
Justin Wrobleski
probable · homeJustin Wrobleski
LAD
Strikeouts
Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
COLvsLADPitcherStrikeouts
High
UNDER3.5
Projection2.87
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 19 starts
+114 · fanduel
Justin Wrobleski
Justin Wrobleski
LADvsCOLPitcherStrikeouts
Low
OVER5.5
Projection5.4
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 15 starts
+104 · fanduel
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