9 MLB games · 304 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Tropicana Field38 leansFinal · graded
DET@TB

Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays
first pitch6:40 PM ET
DET@TB
Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 1.6 K across 17 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 3 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.41 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 5 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 5 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Nationals Park38 leansFinal · graded
MIA@WSH

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
first pitch6:45 PM ET
MIA@WSH
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.55 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 41 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Great American Ball Park1 leanFinal · graded
KC@CIN

Kansas City Royals at Cincinnati Reds
first pitch7:10 PM ET
KC@CIN
Kansas City Royals at Cincinnati Reds
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.0 K across 10 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
Target Field37 leansFinal · graded
CWS@MIN

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
first pitch7:40 PM ET
CWS@MIN
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.17
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 57 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.67
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 47 games
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
American Family Field39 leansFinal · graded
SF@MIL

San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers
first pitch7:40 PM ET
SF@MIL
San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.5 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.5 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.40 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 51 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 59 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 51 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 53 games
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
Busch Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
TEX@STL

Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals
first pitch7:45 PM ET
TEX@STL
Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.57 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.67
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.38
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.62
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 8 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
COL@LAA

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Angels
first pitch9:38 PM ET
COL@LAA
Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Angels
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 10 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.36 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 59 games
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
Chase Field38 leansFinal · graded
LAD@AZ

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks
first pitch9:40 PM ET
LAD@AZ
Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.9 K across 10 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 11 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.67
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.83
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.56 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 56 games
T-Mobile Park37 leansFinal · graded
NYM@SEA

New York Mets at Seattle Mariners
first pitch9:40 PM ET
NYM@SEA
New York Mets at Seattle Mariners
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.89
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.25 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.22
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 42 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 56 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
