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80–82 on 162 decisive picks · 49.4%2026-05-21
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MLB model board · 2026-05-21

7 MLB games · 264 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDMay 21, 11:30 AM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
93
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
37
model vs market · context
Small gap
99
9 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
26
no projection emitted
Strikeouts5 gap ≥ 5 pp·12 totalHits36 gap ≥ 5 pp·126 totalHits + Runs + RBIs52 gap ≥ 5 pp·126 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Riley Greene
Riley GreeneDET vs CLE
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+18.8%
proj 1.34-177 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto LopezMIA vs ATL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+10.3%
proj 1.34-259 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob MarseeMIA vs ATL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+16.7%
proj 2.02-186 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan SotoNYM vs WSH
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+12.6%
proj 1.26-221 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen LileWSH vs NYM
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+10.1%
proj 1.23-231 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier EdwardsMIA vs ATL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+8.7%
proj 1.19-238 · draftkings
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.AZ vs COL
Gap 2.5–5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+5%
proj 0.83-277 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike YastrzemskiATL vs MIA
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+15.3%
proj 1.56-165 · draftkings
Filters · 264 of 264 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Comerica Park38 leansFinal · graded

CLE@DET

Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers

first pitch
1:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Joey Cantillo
probable · awayJoey Cantillo
CLE
Casey Mize
probable · homeCasey Mize
DET
Strikeouts
Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DETvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.07
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 7 starts
-114 · draftkings
Joey Cantillo
Joey CantilloModel anomaly
CLEvsDETPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER5.5
Projection3.67
Edge+22.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 10 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-138 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.34
Edge+18.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 50 games
-177 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.27
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 50 games
+104 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 49 games
-147 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 46 games
+102 · draftkings
Zack Short
Zack Short
DETvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.00 across 7 games
-170 · draftkings
Zack Short
Zack Short
DETvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.14
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.14
  • SeasonSeason average 0.14 across 7 games
-114 · draftkings
Rhys Hoskins
Rhys Hoskins
CLEvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.41
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 39 games
+109 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 48 games
-192 · draftkings
Daniel Schneemann
Daniel Schneemann
CLEvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.54
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 40 games
+112 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 44 games
-108 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 48 games
+101 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan RocchioModel anomaly
CLEvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+23.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 49 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+131 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis BazzanaModel anomaly
CLEvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+20.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 20 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+123 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis BazzanaModel anomaly
CLEvsDETBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+20.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 20 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-156 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 49 games
+124 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 44 games
-213 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 33 games
-131 · draftkings
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
DETvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.27
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 30 games
-143 · draftkings
Matt Vierling
Matt Vierling
DETvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 36 games
+108 · draftkings
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
DETvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 30 games
-125 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 46 games
+123 · draftkings
Daniel Schneemann
Daniel Schneemann
CLEvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 40 games
+126 · draftkings
Matt Vierling
Matt Vierling
DETvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 36 games
+139 · draftkings
Rhys Hoskins
Rhys Hoskins
CLEvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.33
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 39 games
+113 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 46 games
+120 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 49 games
+105 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 46 games
-189 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.35
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.39 across 33 games
-133 · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
CLE @ DETBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Martinez
CLE @ DETBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Wenceel Perez
CLE @ DETBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Hao-Yu Lee
CLE @ DETBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
CLE @ DETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Martinez
CLE @ DETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Wenceel Perez
CLE @ DETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Hao-Yu Lee
CLE @ DETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Busch Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

PIT@STL

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals

first pitch
1:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Braxton Ashcraft
probable · awayBraxton Ashcraft
PIT
Dustin May
probable · homeDustin May
STL
Strikeouts
Dustin May
Dustin May
STLvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection4.13
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 9 starts
+115 · draftkings
Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
PITvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.92
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 9 starts
+110 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.3
Edge+18%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 47 games
+107 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.62
Edge+15.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.53 across 47 games
-110 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+14.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 44 games
+101 · draftkings
Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 42 games
-127 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 49 games
+103 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.57 across 47 games
-114 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 43 games
+100 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 46 games
+133 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 47 games
-198 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 47 games
-181 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.17
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 47 games
-116 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 46 games
-134 · draftkings
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.37
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 30 games
+107 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 44 games
-200 · draftkings
Victor Scott II
Victor Scott II
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 42 games
-143 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsPITBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 47 games
-223 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 42 games
+121 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsPITBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 47 games
-248 · draftkings
Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.22
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 42 games
-267 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 29 games
+153 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 49 games
-194 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 43 games
-188 · draftkings
Victor Scott II
Victor Scott II
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 42 games
-123 · draftkings
Jared Triolo
Jared Triolo
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.19
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 17 games
-140 · draftkings
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 30 games
-177 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 42 games
-175 · draftkings
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 40 games
+115 · draftkings
Jared Triolo
Jared Triolo
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 17 games
-201 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 29 games
-137 · draftkings
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 40 games
+129 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Pedro Pages
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Pedro Pages
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nationals Park38 leansFinal · graded

NYM@WSH

New York Mets at Washington Nationals

first pitch
4:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
David Peterson
probable · awayDavid Peterson
NYM
Cade Cavalli
probable · homeCade Cavalli
WSH
Strikeouts
David Peterson
David Peterson
NYMvsWSHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.19
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 10 starts
-109 · draftkings
Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
WSHvsNYMPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER4.5
Projection4.91
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 10 starts
+114 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert Ruiz
WSHvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.62
Edge+18.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 29 games
+107 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+16.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 9 games
+124 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.73
Edge+14.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 45 games
-137 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.56
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.52 across 50 games
-110 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 45 games
+123 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 46 games
+113 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 34 games
-221 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.42
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 45 games
+190 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 49 games
-197 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.91
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 49 games
-188 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 49 games
-231 · draftkings
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert Ruiz
WSHvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 29 games
-185 · draftkings
MJ Melendez
MJ Melendez
NYMvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.3
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 28 games
-105 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.89
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 9 games
-154 · draftkings
Mark Vientos
Mark Vientos
NYMvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 41 games
-114 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 46 games
-173 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 50 games
-213 · draftkings
Andrés Chaparro
Andrés Chaparro
WSHvsNYMBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 5 games
+101 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.68
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 49 games
+102 · draftkings
Mark Vientos
Mark Vientos
NYMvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 41 games
-219 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen LileModel anomaly
WSHvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.77
Edge+23.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 49 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-106 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan SotoModel anomaly
NYMvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.91
Edge+20.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 34 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-126 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsModel anomaly
WSHvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.71
Edge+20.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.61 across 49 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+101 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 49 games
+149 · draftkings
Andrés Chaparro
Andrés Chaparro
WSHvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 5 games
+135 · draftkings
Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead
WSHvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 36 games
+164 · draftkings
Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead
WSHvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 36 games
-107 · draftkings
Luis Torrens
Luis Torrens
NYMvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 25 games
+122 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 49 games
-166 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 45 games
-171 · draftkings
MJ Melendez
MJ Melendez
NYMvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 28 games
+125 · draftkings
Luis Torrens
Luis Torrens
NYMvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 25 games
+125 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsNYMBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
NYM @ WSHBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
NYM @ WSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
loanDepot park38 leansFinal · graded

ATL@MIA

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Spencer Strider
probable · awaySpencer Strider
ATL
Sandy Alcantara
probable · homeSandy Alcantara
MIA
Strikeouts
Spencer Strider
Spencer Strider
ATLvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection6
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.0 K across 3 starts
-143 · draftkings
Sandy Alcantara
Sandy Alcantara
MIAvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER4.5
Projection4.59
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 10 starts
+100 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.02
Edge+16.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 48 games
-186 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.56
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 46 games
-165 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.43 across 49 games
-117 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 48 games
-134 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.55
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 14 games
-140 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.34
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 49 games
-259 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
MIAvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.44
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 45 games
-179 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.66 across 50 games
-118 · draftkings
Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIAvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.33
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 42 games
-147 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards
MIAvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 50 games
-238 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
MIAvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 47 games
-104 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 27 games
+119 · draftkings
Sandy León
Sandy León
ATLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.33
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 6 games
+105 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 33 games
+125 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 50 games
-117 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 14 games
-101 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsATLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 27 games
-149 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier EdwardsModel anomaly
MIAvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.55
Edge+20.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 50 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-116 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 47 games
+120 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 50 games
-206 · draftkings
Sandy León
Sandy León
ATLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.33
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 6 games
-125 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 39 games
+171 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 39 games
-112 · draftkings
Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIAvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 42 games
-115 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.96
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 47 games
-220 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 50 games
+169 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
MIAvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 47 games
-197 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
MIAvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 45 games
-146 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 33 games
+126 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 50 games
-104 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 50 games
+151 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 46 games
-125 · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
ATL @ MIABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
ATL @ MIABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
ATL @ MIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
ATL @ MIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yankee Stadium37 leansFinal · graded

TOR@NYY

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees

first pitch
7:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Braydon Fisher
probable · awayBraydon Fisher
TOR
Carlos Rodón
probable · homeCarlos Rodón
NYY
Strikeouts
Carlos Rodon
TOR @ NYYPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line5.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
TORvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+19.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 46 games
+120 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
TORvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+16.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 46 games
-157 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+14.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 49 games
-169 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+14.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 25 games
+102 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 49 games
+102 · draftkings
Lenyn Sosa
Lenyn Sosa
TORvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.77
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 34 games
-140 · draftkings
Lenyn Sosa
Lenyn Sosa
TORvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 34 games
+134 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.56 across 45 games
-127 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 25 games
-180 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 49 games
-114 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 48 games
+105 · draftkings
Anthony Volpe
Anthony Volpe
NYYvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.43
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 7 games
+127 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 47 games
+104 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.37
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 37 games
-108 · draftkings
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela
TORvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 27 games
-127 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 49 games
+181 · draftkings
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela
TORvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.57
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 27 games
-167 · draftkings
Davis Schneider
Davis Schneider
TORvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 30 games
-123 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.42
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 44 games
-102 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.33
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 9 games
-121 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.56
  • SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 9 games
+120 · draftkings
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYYvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 38 games
-109 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 49 games
+163 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 44 games
-172 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 45 games
-211 · draftkings
Davis Schneider
Davis Schneider
TORvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.3
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.30 across 30 games
-154 · draftkings
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYYvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 38 games
+130 · draftkings
Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYYvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 50 games
-130 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 30 games
-196 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 37 games
+122 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 48 games
-201 · draftkings
Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYYvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 50 games
-206 · draftkings
Anthony Volpe
Anthony Volpe
NYYvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.71
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 7 games
-142 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 47 games
+139 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 49 games
-122 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 30 games
-109 · draftkings
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

ATH@LAA

Athletics at Los Angeles Angels

first pitch
9:38 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Luis Severino
probable · awayLuis Severino
ATH
José Soriano
probable · homeJosé Soriano
LAA
Strikeouts
Luis Severino
Luis Severino
ATHvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection5
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 10 starts
+106 · draftkings
Jose Soriano
ATH @ LAAPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line6.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 29 games
+122 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 7 games
-146 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 48 games
-161 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.6
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.70 across 44 games
-144 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.57
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 7 games
+129 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 29 games
-153 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 46 games
+121 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 50 games
-110 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 50 games
-105 · draftkings
Darell Hernaiz
Darell Hernaiz
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 29 games
+124 · draftkings
Darell Hernaiz
Darell Hernaiz
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 29 games
-160 · draftkings
Tyler Soderstrom
Tyler Soderstrom
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 46 games
+148 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 28 games
+176 · draftkings
Josh Lowe
Josh Lowe
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 40 games
-175 · draftkings
Jorge Soler
Jorge Soler
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 46 games
+110 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 49 games
+150 · draftkings
Brent Rooker
Brent Rooker
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 33 games
-107 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick KurtzModel anomaly
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection3.01
Edge+24.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 48 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-103 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 49 games
-112 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 31 games
+109 · draftkings
Nolan Schanuel
Nolan Schanuel
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 46 games
-110 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 44 games
-267 · draftkings
Jorge Soler
Jorge Soler
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 46 games
-158 · draftkings
Brent Rooker
Brent Rooker
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 33 games
-187 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 50 games
-204 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 38 games
-109 · draftkings
Tyler Soderstrom
Tyler Soderstrom
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 46 games
-124 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 28 games
-116 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 38 games
-198 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.11
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 31 games
-172 · draftkings
Nolan Schanuel
Nolan Schanuel
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 46 games
-235 · draftkings
Josh Lowe
Josh Lowe
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 40 games
-139 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 46 games
-177 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 50 games
-200 · draftkings
Yoan Moncada
ATH @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yoan Moncada
ATH @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Chase Field37 leansFinal · graded

COL@AZ

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Zach Agnos
probable · awayZach Agnos
COL
Eduardo Rodriguez
probable · homeEduardo Rodriguez
AZ
Strikeouts
Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez
AZvsCOLPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER5.5
Projection5.07
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 9 starts
-139 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 45 games
+114 · draftkings
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro Vargas
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.85
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.80 across 41 games
-156 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 36 games
+124 · draftkings
Ryan Waldschmidt
Ryan Waldschmidt
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 12 games
-112 · draftkings
Ryan Waldschmidt
Ryan Waldschmidt
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 12 games
-179 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 36 games
-159 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 40 games
+182 · draftkings
Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
COLvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 45 games
-178 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 49 games
-111 · draftkings
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro Vargas
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 41 games
+192 · draftkings
Adrian Del Castillo
Adrian Del Castillo
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.02
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 30 games
-130 · draftkings
Adrian Del Castillo
Adrian Del Castillo
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 30 games
+128 · draftkings
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.83
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 23 games
-277 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 42 games
-108 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 45 games
+193 · draftkings
Tyler Freeman
Tyler Freeman
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.59
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 28 games
-104 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 45 games
-234 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 45 games
-195 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 27 games
-157 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 42 games
-207 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 46 games
+136 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 40 games
-112 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.48
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 45 games
+108 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 45 games
+107 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.38
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 46 games
+111 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 45 games
-196 · draftkings
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 23 games
+113 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.51
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 45 games
-104 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 45 games
-109 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 46 games
+105 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 46 games
-183 · draftkings
Tyler Freeman
Tyler Freeman
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 28 games
+197 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 49 games
-237 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.97
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 45 games
-268 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.88
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 27 games
-269 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 45 games
-166 · draftkings
Open MLB model audit · partial →
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HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.

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